A new approach for forecasting OPEC petroleum consumption based on neural network train by using flower pollination algorithm

Petroleum is the live wire of modern technology and its operations, with economic development being positively linked to petroleum consumption. Many meta-heuristic algorithms have been proposed in literature for the optimization of Neural Network (NN) to build a forecasting model. In this paper, as...

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Main Authors: Haruna, Chiroma, Khan, Abdullah, Abubakar, Adamu, Saudi, Younes, Hamza, Mukhtar Fatihu, Shuiba, Liyana, Gital, Abdulsalam, Herawan, Tutut
Format: Article
Language:English
English
Published: Elsevier 2016
Subjects:
Online Access:http://irep.iium.edu.my/51477/
http://irep.iium.edu.my/51477/
http://irep.iium.edu.my/51477/
http://irep.iium.edu.my/51477/1/A_new_approach_for_forecasting_OPEC_petroleum_consumption_based_on_neural_network_train_by_using_flowerpollination_algorithm.pdf
http://irep.iium.edu.my/51477/4/51477_A_new_approach_for_forecasting_OPEC_petroleum_SCOPUS.pdf
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spelling iium-514772017-01-17T08:21:04Z http://irep.iium.edu.my/51477/ A new approach for forecasting OPEC petroleum consumption based on neural network train by using flower pollination algorithm Haruna, Chiroma Khan, Abdullah Abubakar, Adamu Saudi, Younes Hamza, Mukhtar Fatihu Shuiba, Liyana Gital, Abdulsalam Herawan, Tutut QA76 Computer software Petroleum is the live wire of modern technology and its operations, with economic development being positively linked to petroleum consumption. Many meta-heuristic algorithms have been proposed in literature for the optimization of Neural Network (NN) to build a forecasting model. In this paper, as an alternative to previous methods, we propose a new flower pollination algorithm with remarkable balance between consistency and exploration for NN training to build a model for the forecasting of petroleum consumption by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). The proposed approach is compared with established meta-heuristic algorithms. The results show that the new proposed method out performs existing algorithms by advancing OPEC petroleum consumption forecast accuracy and convergence speed. Our proposed method has the potential to be used as an important tool in forecasting OPEC petroleum consumption to be used by OPEC authorities and other global oil-related organizations.This will facilitate proper monitoring and control of OPEC petroleum consumption. Elsevier 2016-11 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://irep.iium.edu.my/51477/1/A_new_approach_for_forecasting_OPEC_petroleum_consumption_based_on_neural_network_train_by_using_flowerpollination_algorithm.pdf application/pdf en http://irep.iium.edu.my/51477/4/51477_A_new_approach_for_forecasting_OPEC_petroleum_SCOPUS.pdf Haruna, Chiroma and Khan, Abdullah and Abubakar, Adamu and Saudi, Younes and Hamza, Mukhtar Fatihu and Shuiba, Liyana and Gital, Abdulsalam and Herawan, Tutut (2016) A new approach for forecasting OPEC petroleum consumption based on neural network train by using flower pollination algorithm. Applied Soft Computing, 48 (November 2016). pp. 50-58. ISSN 1568-4946 http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1568494616303180 10.1016/j.asoc.2016.06.038
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Local University
institution International Islamic University Malaysia
building IIUM Repository
collection Online Access
language English
English
topic QA76 Computer software
spellingShingle QA76 Computer software
Haruna, Chiroma
Khan, Abdullah
Abubakar, Adamu
Saudi, Younes
Hamza, Mukhtar Fatihu
Shuiba, Liyana
Gital, Abdulsalam
Herawan, Tutut
A new approach for forecasting OPEC petroleum consumption based on neural network train by using flower pollination algorithm
description Petroleum is the live wire of modern technology and its operations, with economic development being positively linked to petroleum consumption. Many meta-heuristic algorithms have been proposed in literature for the optimization of Neural Network (NN) to build a forecasting model. In this paper, as an alternative to previous methods, we propose a new flower pollination algorithm with remarkable balance between consistency and exploration for NN training to build a model for the forecasting of petroleum consumption by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). The proposed approach is compared with established meta-heuristic algorithms. The results show that the new proposed method out performs existing algorithms by advancing OPEC petroleum consumption forecast accuracy and convergence speed. Our proposed method has the potential to be used as an important tool in forecasting OPEC petroleum consumption to be used by OPEC authorities and other global oil-related organizations.This will facilitate proper monitoring and control of OPEC petroleum consumption.
format Article
author Haruna, Chiroma
Khan, Abdullah
Abubakar, Adamu
Saudi, Younes
Hamza, Mukhtar Fatihu
Shuiba, Liyana
Gital, Abdulsalam
Herawan, Tutut
author_facet Haruna, Chiroma
Khan, Abdullah
Abubakar, Adamu
Saudi, Younes
Hamza, Mukhtar Fatihu
Shuiba, Liyana
Gital, Abdulsalam
Herawan, Tutut
author_sort Haruna, Chiroma
title A new approach for forecasting OPEC petroleum consumption based on neural network train by using flower pollination algorithm
title_short A new approach for forecasting OPEC petroleum consumption based on neural network train by using flower pollination algorithm
title_full A new approach for forecasting OPEC petroleum consumption based on neural network train by using flower pollination algorithm
title_fullStr A new approach for forecasting OPEC petroleum consumption based on neural network train by using flower pollination algorithm
title_full_unstemmed A new approach for forecasting OPEC petroleum consumption based on neural network train by using flower pollination algorithm
title_sort new approach for forecasting opec petroleum consumption based on neural network train by using flower pollination algorithm
publisher Elsevier
publishDate 2016
url http://irep.iium.edu.my/51477/
http://irep.iium.edu.my/51477/
http://irep.iium.edu.my/51477/
http://irep.iium.edu.my/51477/1/A_new_approach_for_forecasting_OPEC_petroleum_consumption_based_on_neural_network_train_by_using_flowerpollination_algorithm.pdf
http://irep.iium.edu.my/51477/4/51477_A_new_approach_for_forecasting_OPEC_petroleum_SCOPUS.pdf
first_indexed 2023-09-18T21:12:52Z
last_indexed 2023-09-18T21:12:52Z
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