South East Europe Regular Economic Report, June 2012

After they achieved 2.2 percent growth in 2011, early indications are that the economies of the six countries in South East Europe (the SEE6: Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina (BIH), Kosovo, FYR Macedonia, Montenegro, and Serbia) are slowing drastica...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: World Bank
Format: General Economy, Macroeconomics and Growth Study
Language:English
en_US
Published: Washington, DC 2012
Subjects:
CDS
NPL
TAX
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2012/06/16336076/south-east-europe-regular-economic-report
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/11888
id okr-10986-11888
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic ACCOUNTING
ADVERSE EFFECT
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
BALANCE SHEET
BANK CREDIT
BANK DEPOSITS
BANK FOR INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENTS
BANK LENDING
BANK OF GREECE
BANKING SECTOR
BANKING SYSTEM
BANKING SYSTEMS
BANKRUPTCY
BANKRUPTCY LAW
BANKRUPTCY PROCEDURE
BONDS
BOOST TO GROWTH
BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT
CADASTRE
CAPITAL ADEQUACY
CAPITAL ADEQUACY RATIOS
CAPITAL EXPENDITURES
CAPITAL INFLOWS
CDS
CENTRAL BANK
CENTRAL BANKS
COMMERCIAL BORROWING
COMMODITY
COMMODITY PRICES
CONFIDENCE INDICES
CONSOLIDATION
CONTRACT ENFORCEMENT
CREDIT DEFAULT
CREDIT DEFAULT SWAP
CREDIT EXPANSION
CREDIT INFORMATION
CREDIT INFORMATION SYSTEM
CREDIT LINE
CREDIT RATING
CREDITORS
CURRENCY
CURRENCY BOARD
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS
DEBT LEVELS
DEBT PAPER
DEBT SERVICING
DEBT SERVICING COSTS
DEMOGRAPHIC
DEPOSIT
DEPOSITS
DIVIDEND
DIVIDENDS
DOMESTIC BANK
DOMESTIC BORROWING
DOMESTIC CAPITAL
DOMESTIC CAPITAL MARKETS
ECONOMIC CRISIS
ECONOMIC INTEGRATION
EMERGING ECONOMIES
EMERGING MARKETS
EMPLOYMENT
ENFORCEMENT SYSTEM
ENTERPRISE PERFORMANCE
EQUIPMENT
EQUITY INDEX
EUROBOND
EXCHANGE RATES
EXPENDITURE
EXPENDITURES
EXPORT GROWTH
EXPORT MARKET
EXPORT PERFORMANCE
EXPOSURE
EXTERNAL DEBT
EXTERNAL DEFICITS
EXTERNAL FINANCING
FINANCES
FINANCIAL CRISES
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FINANCIAL MARKET
FINANCIAL MARKET DEVELOPMENT
FINANCIAL SECTOR
FINANCIAL STABILITY
FINANCING SOURCES
FISCAL BURDEN
FISCAL CONSOLIDATION
FISCAL DEFICIT
FISCAL DEFICITS
FISCAL POLICIES
FISCAL POLICY
FIXED EXCHANGE RATES
FLEXIBLE EXCHANGE RATE
FLEXIBLE EXCHANGE RATE REGIMES
FLEXIBLE EXCHANGE RATES
FOREIGN BANKS
FOREIGN CURRENCY
FOREIGN CURRENCY DEPOSITS
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES
FOREIGN FINANCING
FOREIGN INVESTMENT
FOREIGN PORTFOLIO
FOREIGN PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT
FUTURE GROWTH
GLOBAL BOND
GLOBAL ECONOMY
GOVERNMENT BORROWING
GOVERNMENT DEBT
GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES
GOVERNMENT REVENUES
GROWTH RATE
HOST COUNTRIES
INCOME
INCOME LEVELS
INCOME TAX
INCOME TAXES
INDIVIDUAL FIRMS
INFLATION
INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT
INSURANCE
INTEREST EXPENDITURES
INTEREST RATES
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL STATISTICS
INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENTS
INVESTOR INTEREST
ISSUANCE
LABOR MARKET
LABOR MARKETS
LAWS
LEGISLATION
LEGISLATIVE FRAMEWORK
LENDERS
LEVEL OF DEBT
LIQUIDATION
LIQUIDITY
LOAN
LOAN LOSS PROVISIONS
LOAN PROCEEDS
MACROECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT
MACROECONOMIC MANAGEMENT
MACROECONOMIC POLICIES
MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
MARKET ACCESS
MARKET CONDITIONS
MARKET DEVELOPMENT
MARKET DEVELOPMENTS
MARKET EFFICIENCY
MARKET PERFORMANCE
MATURITY
MIGRATION
MINISTRIES OF FINANCE
MONETARY FUND
MONETARY POLICY
NATIONAL BANK
NON-PERFORMING LOANS
NONPERFORMING LOANS
NOTARY
NPL
OIL PRICES
OPEN ECONOMIES
OUTPUT
OVERSIGHT PROCESSES
PENSION
PENSION REFORM
PENSION REFORMS
PENSION SYSTEMS
PENSIONS
POLITICAL ECONOMY
PORTFOLIO
PORTFOLIO FLOWS
PRIVATE CREDIT
PRIVATE CREDIT BUREAU
PRIVATE FINANCING
PRIVATIZATION
PRODUCTIVITY
PUBLIC DEBT
PUBLIC FINANCE
PUBLIC FINANCES
PUBLIC SPENDING
PUBLIC-PRIVATE PARTNERSHIPS
RAPID GROWTH
REAL ESTATE
REAL GROWTH RATES
REAL SECTOR
REFORM PROGRAM
REGIONAL TRADE
REGULATORS
REMITTANCES
REORGANIZATION
RETIREMENT
RETURN
RETURNS
RETURNS ON EQUITY
RISK PREMIUM
RULE OF LAW
SELF-REGULATION
SETTLEMENT
SINGLE MARKET
SOCIAL PROTECTION
SOVEREIGN DEBT
SOVEREIGN DEBT MARKET
SOVEREIGN DEBT PROBLEMS
STOCK MARKET
STOCK MARKET VOLATILITY
SUBSIDIARIES
SUBSIDIARY
SUPERVISORY AUTHORITIES
TAX
TAX ADMINISTRATION
TAX COMPLIANCE
TAX RATE
TAX RATES
TAXATION
TRACK RECORD
TRADE BALANCE
TRADE LIBERALIZATION
TRADE RELATIONS
TRANSPARENCY
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
UNEMPLOYMENT RATES
VOLATILE ENVIRONMENT
WAGES
spellingShingle ACCOUNTING
ADVERSE EFFECT
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
BALANCE SHEET
BANK CREDIT
BANK DEPOSITS
BANK FOR INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENTS
BANK LENDING
BANK OF GREECE
BANKING SECTOR
BANKING SYSTEM
BANKING SYSTEMS
BANKRUPTCY
BANKRUPTCY LAW
BANKRUPTCY PROCEDURE
BONDS
BOOST TO GROWTH
BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT
CADASTRE
CAPITAL ADEQUACY
CAPITAL ADEQUACY RATIOS
CAPITAL EXPENDITURES
CAPITAL INFLOWS
CDS
CENTRAL BANK
CENTRAL BANKS
COMMERCIAL BORROWING
COMMODITY
COMMODITY PRICES
CONFIDENCE INDICES
CONSOLIDATION
CONTRACT ENFORCEMENT
CREDIT DEFAULT
CREDIT DEFAULT SWAP
CREDIT EXPANSION
CREDIT INFORMATION
CREDIT INFORMATION SYSTEM
CREDIT LINE
CREDIT RATING
CREDITORS
CURRENCY
CURRENCY BOARD
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS
DEBT LEVELS
DEBT PAPER
DEBT SERVICING
DEBT SERVICING COSTS
DEMOGRAPHIC
DEPOSIT
DEPOSITS
DIVIDEND
DIVIDENDS
DOMESTIC BANK
DOMESTIC BORROWING
DOMESTIC CAPITAL
DOMESTIC CAPITAL MARKETS
ECONOMIC CRISIS
ECONOMIC INTEGRATION
EMERGING ECONOMIES
EMERGING MARKETS
EMPLOYMENT
ENFORCEMENT SYSTEM
ENTERPRISE PERFORMANCE
EQUIPMENT
EQUITY INDEX
EUROBOND
EXCHANGE RATES
EXPENDITURE
EXPENDITURES
EXPORT GROWTH
EXPORT MARKET
EXPORT PERFORMANCE
EXPOSURE
EXTERNAL DEBT
EXTERNAL DEFICITS
EXTERNAL FINANCING
FINANCES
FINANCIAL CRISES
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FINANCIAL MARKET
FINANCIAL MARKET DEVELOPMENT
FINANCIAL SECTOR
FINANCIAL STABILITY
FINANCING SOURCES
FISCAL BURDEN
FISCAL CONSOLIDATION
FISCAL DEFICIT
FISCAL DEFICITS
FISCAL POLICIES
FISCAL POLICY
FIXED EXCHANGE RATES
FLEXIBLE EXCHANGE RATE
FLEXIBLE EXCHANGE RATE REGIMES
FLEXIBLE EXCHANGE RATES
FOREIGN BANKS
FOREIGN CURRENCY
FOREIGN CURRENCY DEPOSITS
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES
FOREIGN FINANCING
FOREIGN INVESTMENT
FOREIGN PORTFOLIO
FOREIGN PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT
FUTURE GROWTH
GLOBAL BOND
GLOBAL ECONOMY
GOVERNMENT BORROWING
GOVERNMENT DEBT
GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES
GOVERNMENT REVENUES
GROWTH RATE
HOST COUNTRIES
INCOME
INCOME LEVELS
INCOME TAX
INCOME TAXES
INDIVIDUAL FIRMS
INFLATION
INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT
INSURANCE
INTEREST EXPENDITURES
INTEREST RATES
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL STATISTICS
INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENTS
INVESTOR INTEREST
ISSUANCE
LABOR MARKET
LABOR MARKETS
LAWS
LEGISLATION
LEGISLATIVE FRAMEWORK
LENDERS
LEVEL OF DEBT
LIQUIDATION
LIQUIDITY
LOAN
LOAN LOSS PROVISIONS
LOAN PROCEEDS
MACROECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT
MACROECONOMIC MANAGEMENT
MACROECONOMIC POLICIES
MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
MARKET ACCESS
MARKET CONDITIONS
MARKET DEVELOPMENT
MARKET DEVELOPMENTS
MARKET EFFICIENCY
MARKET PERFORMANCE
MATURITY
MIGRATION
MINISTRIES OF FINANCE
MONETARY FUND
MONETARY POLICY
NATIONAL BANK
NON-PERFORMING LOANS
NONPERFORMING LOANS
NOTARY
NPL
OIL PRICES
OPEN ECONOMIES
OUTPUT
OVERSIGHT PROCESSES
PENSION
PENSION REFORM
PENSION REFORMS
PENSION SYSTEMS
PENSIONS
POLITICAL ECONOMY
PORTFOLIO
PORTFOLIO FLOWS
PRIVATE CREDIT
PRIVATE CREDIT BUREAU
PRIVATE FINANCING
PRIVATIZATION
PRODUCTIVITY
PUBLIC DEBT
PUBLIC FINANCE
PUBLIC FINANCES
PUBLIC SPENDING
PUBLIC-PRIVATE PARTNERSHIPS
RAPID GROWTH
REAL ESTATE
REAL GROWTH RATES
REAL SECTOR
REFORM PROGRAM
REGIONAL TRADE
REGULATORS
REMITTANCES
REORGANIZATION
RETIREMENT
RETURN
RETURNS
RETURNS ON EQUITY
RISK PREMIUM
RULE OF LAW
SELF-REGULATION
SETTLEMENT
SINGLE MARKET
SOCIAL PROTECTION
SOVEREIGN DEBT
SOVEREIGN DEBT MARKET
SOVEREIGN DEBT PROBLEMS
STOCK MARKET
STOCK MARKET VOLATILITY
SUBSIDIARIES
SUBSIDIARY
SUPERVISORY AUTHORITIES
TAX
TAX ADMINISTRATION
TAX COMPLIANCE
TAX RATE
TAX RATES
TAXATION
TRACK RECORD
TRADE BALANCE
TRADE LIBERALIZATION
TRADE RELATIONS
TRANSPARENCY
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
UNEMPLOYMENT RATES
VOLATILE ENVIRONMENT
WAGES
World Bank
South East Europe Regular Economic Report, June 2012
geographic_facet Europe and Central Asia
description After they achieved 2.2 percent growth in 2011, early indications are that the economies of the six countries in South East Europe (the SEE6: Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina (BIH), Kosovo, FYR Macedonia, Montenegro, and Serbia) are slowing drastically and can expect just 1.1 percent growth in 2012. Economic conditions in the Euro zone are holding back economic activity and depressing government revenues in SEE6 countries. With both public debt and financing pressures high, most countries in the region need to embark on major fiscal consolidation programs if they are to reverse their adverse debt dynamics and avoid financing problems down the road. The good news is that in general the SEE6 financial sectors are still relatively well placed, despite elevated risks and vulnerability to adverse shocks, especially the possibility of contagion if the Greek crisis should intensify. The bad news is social: SEE6 countries have the highest unemployment and poverty rates in Europe. Yet even with the difficult short-term situation, SEE6 countries now have historic opportunity to board the European 'convergence train' and over the long term reduce their per capita income gap with developed European Union (EU) countries. All earlier entrants were able to 'catch up quickly.' In principle, the same 'convergence train' is now pulling into the EU candidate countries in SEE6; but these gains are not automatic, they will materialize only if country policies and reforms facilitate them. The long-term SEE6 structural reform agenda must leverage greater trade and financial integration and reform labor markets and the public sector.
format Economic & Sector Work :: General Economy, Macroeconomics and Growth Study
author World Bank
author_facet World Bank
author_sort World Bank
title South East Europe Regular Economic Report, June 2012
title_short South East Europe Regular Economic Report, June 2012
title_full South East Europe Regular Economic Report, June 2012
title_fullStr South East Europe Regular Economic Report, June 2012
title_full_unstemmed South East Europe Regular Economic Report, June 2012
title_sort south east europe regular economic report, june 2012
publisher Washington, DC
publishDate 2012
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2012/06/16336076/south-east-europe-regular-economic-report
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/11888
_version_ 1764418282315579392
spelling okr-10986-118882021-04-23T14:02:58Z South East Europe Regular Economic Report, June 2012 World Bank ACCOUNTING ADVERSE EFFECT BALANCE OF PAYMENTS BALANCE SHEET BANK CREDIT BANK DEPOSITS BANK FOR INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENTS BANK LENDING BANK OF GREECE BANKING SECTOR BANKING SYSTEM BANKING SYSTEMS BANKRUPTCY BANKRUPTCY LAW BANKRUPTCY PROCEDURE BONDS BOOST TO GROWTH BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT CADASTRE CAPITAL ADEQUACY CAPITAL ADEQUACY RATIOS CAPITAL EXPENDITURES CAPITAL INFLOWS CDS CENTRAL BANK CENTRAL BANKS COMMERCIAL BORROWING COMMODITY COMMODITY PRICES CONFIDENCE INDICES CONSOLIDATION CONTRACT ENFORCEMENT CREDIT DEFAULT CREDIT DEFAULT SWAP CREDIT EXPANSION CREDIT INFORMATION CREDIT INFORMATION SYSTEM CREDIT LINE CREDIT RATING CREDITORS CURRENCY CURRENCY BOARD CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS DEBT LEVELS DEBT PAPER DEBT SERVICING DEBT SERVICING COSTS DEMOGRAPHIC DEPOSIT DEPOSITS DIVIDEND DIVIDENDS DOMESTIC BANK DOMESTIC BORROWING DOMESTIC CAPITAL DOMESTIC CAPITAL MARKETS ECONOMIC CRISIS ECONOMIC INTEGRATION EMERGING ECONOMIES EMERGING MARKETS EMPLOYMENT ENFORCEMENT SYSTEM ENTERPRISE PERFORMANCE EQUIPMENT EQUITY INDEX EUROBOND EXCHANGE RATES EXPENDITURE EXPENDITURES EXPORT GROWTH EXPORT MARKET EXPORT PERFORMANCE EXPOSURE EXTERNAL DEBT EXTERNAL DEFICITS EXTERNAL FINANCING FINANCES FINANCIAL CRISES FINANCIAL CRISIS FINANCIAL MARKET FINANCIAL MARKET DEVELOPMENT FINANCIAL SECTOR FINANCIAL STABILITY FINANCING SOURCES FISCAL BURDEN FISCAL CONSOLIDATION FISCAL DEFICIT FISCAL DEFICITS FISCAL POLICIES FISCAL POLICY FIXED EXCHANGE RATES FLEXIBLE EXCHANGE RATE FLEXIBLE EXCHANGE RATE REGIMES FLEXIBLE EXCHANGE RATES FOREIGN BANKS FOREIGN CURRENCY FOREIGN CURRENCY DEPOSITS FOREIGN EXCHANGE FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES FOREIGN FINANCING FOREIGN INVESTMENT FOREIGN PORTFOLIO FOREIGN PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT FUTURE GROWTH GLOBAL BOND GLOBAL ECONOMY GOVERNMENT BORROWING GOVERNMENT DEBT GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES GOVERNMENT REVENUES GROWTH RATE HOST COUNTRIES INCOME INCOME LEVELS INCOME TAX INCOME TAXES INDIVIDUAL FIRMS INFLATION INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT INSURANCE INTEREST EXPENDITURES INTEREST RATES INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL STATISTICS INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENTS INVESTOR INTEREST ISSUANCE LABOR MARKET LABOR MARKETS LAWS LEGISLATION LEGISLATIVE FRAMEWORK LENDERS LEVEL OF DEBT LIQUIDATION LIQUIDITY LOAN LOAN LOSS PROVISIONS LOAN PROCEEDS MACROECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT MACROECONOMIC MANAGEMENT MACROECONOMIC POLICIES MACROECONOMIC STABILITY MARKET ACCESS MARKET CONDITIONS MARKET DEVELOPMENT MARKET DEVELOPMENTS MARKET EFFICIENCY MARKET PERFORMANCE MATURITY MIGRATION MINISTRIES OF FINANCE MONETARY FUND MONETARY POLICY NATIONAL BANK NON-PERFORMING LOANS NONPERFORMING LOANS NOTARY NPL OIL PRICES OPEN ECONOMIES OUTPUT OVERSIGHT PROCESSES PENSION PENSION REFORM PENSION REFORMS PENSION SYSTEMS PENSIONS POLITICAL ECONOMY PORTFOLIO PORTFOLIO FLOWS PRIVATE CREDIT PRIVATE CREDIT BUREAU PRIVATE FINANCING PRIVATIZATION PRODUCTIVITY PUBLIC DEBT PUBLIC FINANCE PUBLIC FINANCES PUBLIC SPENDING PUBLIC-PRIVATE PARTNERSHIPS RAPID GROWTH REAL ESTATE REAL GROWTH RATES REAL SECTOR REFORM PROGRAM REGIONAL TRADE REGULATORS REMITTANCES REORGANIZATION RETIREMENT RETURN RETURNS RETURNS ON EQUITY RISK PREMIUM RULE OF LAW SELF-REGULATION SETTLEMENT SINGLE MARKET SOCIAL PROTECTION SOVEREIGN DEBT SOVEREIGN DEBT MARKET SOVEREIGN DEBT PROBLEMS STOCK MARKET STOCK MARKET VOLATILITY SUBSIDIARIES SUBSIDIARY SUPERVISORY AUTHORITIES TAX TAX ADMINISTRATION TAX COMPLIANCE TAX RATE TAX RATES TAXATION TRACK RECORD TRADE BALANCE TRADE LIBERALIZATION TRADE RELATIONS TRANSPARENCY UNEMPLOYMENT RATE UNEMPLOYMENT RATES VOLATILE ENVIRONMENT WAGES After they achieved 2.2 percent growth in 2011, early indications are that the economies of the six countries in South East Europe (the SEE6: Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina (BIH), Kosovo, FYR Macedonia, Montenegro, and Serbia) are slowing drastically and can expect just 1.1 percent growth in 2012. Economic conditions in the Euro zone are holding back economic activity and depressing government revenues in SEE6 countries. With both public debt and financing pressures high, most countries in the region need to embark on major fiscal consolidation programs if they are to reverse their adverse debt dynamics and avoid financing problems down the road. The good news is that in general the SEE6 financial sectors are still relatively well placed, despite elevated risks and vulnerability to adverse shocks, especially the possibility of contagion if the Greek crisis should intensify. The bad news is social: SEE6 countries have the highest unemployment and poverty rates in Europe. Yet even with the difficult short-term situation, SEE6 countries now have historic opportunity to board the European 'convergence train' and over the long term reduce their per capita income gap with developed European Union (EU) countries. All earlier entrants were able to 'catch up quickly.' In principle, the same 'convergence train' is now pulling into the EU candidate countries in SEE6; but these gains are not automatic, they will materialize only if country policies and reforms facilitate them. The long-term SEE6 structural reform agenda must leverage greater trade and financial integration and reform labor markets and the public sector. 2012-12-04T22:32:41Z 2012-12-04T22:32:41Z 2012-06 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2012/06/16336076/south-east-europe-regular-economic-report http://hdl.handle.net/10986/11888 English en_US CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank Washington, DC Economic & Sector Work :: General Economy, Macroeconomics and Growth Study Economic & Sector Work Europe and Central Asia