Replicating Replication : Due Diligence in Roodman and Morduch’s Replication of Pitt and Khandker (1998)

"The Impact of Microcredit on the Poor in Bangladesh: Revisiting the Evidence," by David Roodman and Jonathan Morduch (2011) is the most recent of a sequence of papers and postings that seeks to refute the findings of the Pitt and Khandke...

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Main Authors: Pitt, Mark M., Khandker, Shahidur R.
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2013
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2012/11/16985792/replicating-replication-due-diligence-roodman-morduchs-replication-pitt-khandker-1998
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/12111
id okr-10986-12111
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-121112021-04-23T14:02:59Z Replicating Replication : Due Diligence in Roodman and Morduch’s Replication of Pitt and Khandker (1998) Pitt, Mark M. Khandker, Shahidur R. AGRICULTURE ALGEBRA BIASES CALCULATION COEFFICIENTS CONSISTENT ESTIMATES CONSTANT TERM CONSUMPTION FUNCTION COVARIANCE CRITICAL VALUES DATA MATRICES DEPENDENT VARIABLE DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DEVELOPMENT POLICY DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH DUMMY VARIABLE DUMMY VARIABLES ECONOMETRIC ANALYSES ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS ECONOMETRIC METHODS ECONOMETRIC MODEL ECONOMETRIC MODELING ECONOMETRIC THEORY ECONOMETRICS ENDOGENOUS VARIABLES EQUATIONS ERROR ERROR TERM ESTIMATION COMMANDS ESTIMATORS EXOGENOUS REGRESSORS EXOGENOUS VARIABLES EXPERIMENTATION F-TEST FINITE SAMPLES FIXED EFFECTS HYPOTHESIS TESTING INDEPENDENT VARIABLE INDEPENDENT VARIABLES INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES REGRESSION JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS KURTOSIS LARGE NUMBER LEAST SQUARES REGRESSION LOG-LIKELIHOOD FUNCTION MATHEMATICS MATRICES MATRIX MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD METHOD MEAN VALUE MOMENT CONDITIONS NONLINEARITY NORMAL DISTRIBUTION 0 HYPOTHESIS NUMBER OF OBSERVATIONS OUTLIERS PANEL DATA PARAMETER VECTOR POLITICAL ECONOMY POSITIVE EFFECTS PRECISION PREDICTION PROBABILITIES PROBABILITY PROBABILITY VALUE RANDOM SAMPLING RANDOM VARIABLE RANDOM VARIABLES REASONING REGRESSION EQUATION REGRESSION MODEL RESEARCH PAPERS RESEARCH REPORT RESEARCH WORKING PAPERS SAMPLE DESIGN SAMPLE SIZE SET OF VARIABLES SIMULATION SIMULATIONS SIMULTANEOUS EQUATIONS SKEWNESS SLOPE COEFFICIENTS STANDARD DEVIATION STANDARD DEVIATIONS STANDARD ERRORS STATA STATA CODE STATISTICAL THEORY STATISTICALLY SIGNIFICANT EFFECT T-RATIO T-RATIOS TEST STATISTIC TEST STATISTICS VALIDITY WEALTH "The Impact of Microcredit on the Poor in Bangladesh: Revisiting the Evidence," by David Roodman and Jonathan Morduch (2011) is the most recent of a sequence of papers and postings that seeks to refute the findings of the Pitt and Khandker (1998) article "The Impact of Group-Based Credit on Poor Households in Bangladesh: Does the Gender of Participants Matter?" that microcredit for women had significant, favorable effects on poverty reduction. In this paper the authors show that these latest Roodman and Morduch claims are based on seriously flawed econometric methods and theory and a lack of due diligence in formulating models and interpreting output from packaged software. On the basis of Roodman and Morduch's preferred two-stage least squares regression, an alternative calculation of the standard errors would lead one to conclude that the problem with Pitt and Khandker is that they underestimate the positive and statistically significant effect of women's credit on household consumption. As in their previous efforts, the methods of Roodman and Morduch are shown to bias the findings in the direction of rejecting the results of Pitt and Khandker. We also further examine two aspects of our instrumental variable approach that have been attacked by Roodman and Morduch. The first is the validity of the exclusion restrictions underlying the use of interactions between program choice and the set of exogenous variables (including the village fixed effects) as instruments. The second is the application of the "one-half acre" program eligibility rule. The authors show that identification does not require both of these, and present new results dropping each assumption in turn. The results originally reported in the Pitt and Khandker paper hold up extremely well in this new analysis. 2013-01-04T21:41:09Z 2013-01-04T21:41:09Z 2012-11 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2012/11/16985792/replicating-replication-due-diligence-roodman-morduchs-replication-pitt-khandker-1998 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/12111 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper; No. 6273 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic AGRICULTURE
ALGEBRA
BIASES
CALCULATION
COEFFICIENTS
CONSISTENT ESTIMATES
CONSTANT TERM
CONSUMPTION FUNCTION
COVARIANCE
CRITICAL VALUES
DATA MATRICES
DEPENDENT VARIABLE
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH
DUMMY VARIABLE
DUMMY VARIABLES
ECONOMETRIC ANALYSES
ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS
ECONOMETRIC METHODS
ECONOMETRIC MODEL
ECONOMETRIC MODELING
ECONOMETRIC THEORY
ECONOMETRICS
ENDOGENOUS VARIABLES
EQUATIONS
ERROR
ERROR TERM
ESTIMATION COMMANDS
ESTIMATORS
EXOGENOUS REGRESSORS
EXOGENOUS VARIABLES
EXPERIMENTATION
F-TEST
FINITE SAMPLES
FIXED EFFECTS
HYPOTHESIS TESTING
INDEPENDENT VARIABLE
INDEPENDENT VARIABLES
INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES
INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES REGRESSION
JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS
KURTOSIS
LARGE NUMBER
LEAST SQUARES REGRESSION
LOG-LIKELIHOOD FUNCTION
MATHEMATICS
MATRICES
MATRIX
MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD
MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION
MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD METHOD
MEAN VALUE
MOMENT CONDITIONS
NONLINEARITY
NORMAL DISTRIBUTION
0 HYPOTHESIS
NUMBER OF OBSERVATIONS
OUTLIERS
PANEL DATA
PARAMETER VECTOR
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POSITIVE EFFECTS
PRECISION
PREDICTION
PROBABILITIES
PROBABILITY
PROBABILITY VALUE
RANDOM SAMPLING
RANDOM VARIABLE
RANDOM VARIABLES
REASONING
REGRESSION EQUATION
REGRESSION MODEL
RESEARCH PAPERS
RESEARCH REPORT
RESEARCH WORKING PAPERS
SAMPLE DESIGN
SAMPLE SIZE
SET OF VARIABLES
SIMULATION
SIMULATIONS
SIMULTANEOUS EQUATIONS
SKEWNESS
SLOPE COEFFICIENTS
STANDARD DEVIATION
STANDARD DEVIATIONS
STANDARD ERRORS
STATA
STATA CODE
STATISTICAL THEORY
STATISTICALLY SIGNIFICANT EFFECT
T-RATIO
T-RATIOS
TEST STATISTIC
TEST STATISTICS
VALIDITY
WEALTH
spellingShingle AGRICULTURE
ALGEBRA
BIASES
CALCULATION
COEFFICIENTS
CONSISTENT ESTIMATES
CONSTANT TERM
CONSUMPTION FUNCTION
COVARIANCE
CRITICAL VALUES
DATA MATRICES
DEPENDENT VARIABLE
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH
DUMMY VARIABLE
DUMMY VARIABLES
ECONOMETRIC ANALYSES
ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS
ECONOMETRIC METHODS
ECONOMETRIC MODEL
ECONOMETRIC MODELING
ECONOMETRIC THEORY
ECONOMETRICS
ENDOGENOUS VARIABLES
EQUATIONS
ERROR
ERROR TERM
ESTIMATION COMMANDS
ESTIMATORS
EXOGENOUS REGRESSORS
EXOGENOUS VARIABLES
EXPERIMENTATION
F-TEST
FINITE SAMPLES
FIXED EFFECTS
HYPOTHESIS TESTING
INDEPENDENT VARIABLE
INDEPENDENT VARIABLES
INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES
INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES REGRESSION
JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS
KURTOSIS
LARGE NUMBER
LEAST SQUARES REGRESSION
LOG-LIKELIHOOD FUNCTION
MATHEMATICS
MATRICES
MATRIX
MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD
MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION
MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD METHOD
MEAN VALUE
MOMENT CONDITIONS
NONLINEARITY
NORMAL DISTRIBUTION
0 HYPOTHESIS
NUMBER OF OBSERVATIONS
OUTLIERS
PANEL DATA
PARAMETER VECTOR
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POSITIVE EFFECTS
PRECISION
PREDICTION
PROBABILITIES
PROBABILITY
PROBABILITY VALUE
RANDOM SAMPLING
RANDOM VARIABLE
RANDOM VARIABLES
REASONING
REGRESSION EQUATION
REGRESSION MODEL
RESEARCH PAPERS
RESEARCH REPORT
RESEARCH WORKING PAPERS
SAMPLE DESIGN
SAMPLE SIZE
SET OF VARIABLES
SIMULATION
SIMULATIONS
SIMULTANEOUS EQUATIONS
SKEWNESS
SLOPE COEFFICIENTS
STANDARD DEVIATION
STANDARD DEVIATIONS
STANDARD ERRORS
STATA
STATA CODE
STATISTICAL THEORY
STATISTICALLY SIGNIFICANT EFFECT
T-RATIO
T-RATIOS
TEST STATISTIC
TEST STATISTICS
VALIDITY
WEALTH
Pitt, Mark M.
Khandker, Shahidur R.
Replicating Replication : Due Diligence in Roodman and Morduch’s Replication of Pitt and Khandker (1998)
relation Policy Research Working Paper; No. 6273
description "The Impact of Microcredit on the Poor in Bangladesh: Revisiting the Evidence," by David Roodman and Jonathan Morduch (2011) is the most recent of a sequence of papers and postings that seeks to refute the findings of the Pitt and Khandker (1998) article "The Impact of Group-Based Credit on Poor Households in Bangladesh: Does the Gender of Participants Matter?" that microcredit for women had significant, favorable effects on poverty reduction. In this paper the authors show that these latest Roodman and Morduch claims are based on seriously flawed econometric methods and theory and a lack of due diligence in formulating models and interpreting output from packaged software. On the basis of Roodman and Morduch's preferred two-stage least squares regression, an alternative calculation of the standard errors would lead one to conclude that the problem with Pitt and Khandker is that they underestimate the positive and statistically significant effect of women's credit on household consumption. As in their previous efforts, the methods of Roodman and Morduch are shown to bias the findings in the direction of rejecting the results of Pitt and Khandker. We also further examine two aspects of our instrumental variable approach that have been attacked by Roodman and Morduch. The first is the validity of the exclusion restrictions underlying the use of interactions between program choice and the set of exogenous variables (including the village fixed effects) as instruments. The second is the application of the "one-half acre" program eligibility rule. The authors show that identification does not require both of these, and present new results dropping each assumption in turn. The results originally reported in the Pitt and Khandker paper hold up extremely well in this new analysis.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Pitt, Mark M.
Khandker, Shahidur R.
author_facet Pitt, Mark M.
Khandker, Shahidur R.
author_sort Pitt, Mark M.
title Replicating Replication : Due Diligence in Roodman and Morduch’s Replication of Pitt and Khandker (1998)
title_short Replicating Replication : Due Diligence in Roodman and Morduch’s Replication of Pitt and Khandker (1998)
title_full Replicating Replication : Due Diligence in Roodman and Morduch’s Replication of Pitt and Khandker (1998)
title_fullStr Replicating Replication : Due Diligence in Roodman and Morduch’s Replication of Pitt and Khandker (1998)
title_full_unstemmed Replicating Replication : Due Diligence in Roodman and Morduch’s Replication of Pitt and Khandker (1998)
title_sort replicating replication : due diligence in roodman and morduch’s replication of pitt and khandker (1998)
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2013
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2012/11/16985792/replicating-replication-due-diligence-roodman-morduchs-replication-pitt-khandker-1998
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/12111
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