Too Little Too Late : Welfare Impacts of Rainfall Shocks in Rural Indonesia

Too Little Too Late : Welfare Impacts of Rainfall Shocks in Rural Indonesia

We use regression analysis to assess the potential welfare impacts in rural Indonesia of two types of shock: a delay in monsoon onset; and a significant shortfall in rain during the 90-day post-onset period. Focusing on households with family farm businesses, we find that a delay in monsoon onset do...

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Main Authors: Skoufias, Emmanuel, Katayama, Roy S., Essama-Nssah, B.
Format: Journal Article
Language:en_US
Published: Taylor and Francis 2013
Subjects:
welfare
rainfall shocks
social protection
agriculture
rice
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10986/13384
id okr-10986-13384
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-133842021-04-23T14:03:08Z Too Little Too Late : Welfare Impacts of Rainfall Shocks in Rural Indonesia Skoufias, Emmanuel Katayama, Roy S. Essama-Nssah, B. welfare rainfall shocks social protection agriculture rice We use regression analysis to assess the potential welfare impacts in rural Indonesia of two types of shock: a delay in monsoon onset; and a significant shortfall in rain during the 90-day post-onset period. Focusing on households with family farm businesses, we find that a delay in monsoon onset does not have a significant effect on the welfare of rice farmers. However, rice farm households located in areas exposed to low rainfall following the monsoon are negatively affected. Such households appear to be able to protect their food expenditure in the face of weather shocks, but at the expense of their non-food expenditure. We also use propensity score matching to identify community programs that might moderate the impact of this type of shock. We find that access to credit and public works projects has the strongest moderating effect. This is an important consideration for the design and implementation of adaptation strategies. 2013-05-13T15:05:33Z 2013-05-13T15:05:33Z 2012-11-20 Journal Article Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies 0007-4918 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/13384 en_US Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies;48(3) CC BY-NC-ND 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo/ World Bank Taylor and Francis Publications & Research :: Journal Article Publications & Research Indonesia
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language en_US
topic welfare
rainfall shocks
social protection
agriculture
rice
spellingShingle welfare
rainfall shocks
social protection
agriculture
rice
Skoufias, Emmanuel
Katayama, Roy S.
Essama-Nssah, B.
Too Little Too Late : Welfare Impacts of Rainfall Shocks in Rural Indonesia
geographic_facet Indonesia
relation Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies;48(3)
description We use regression analysis to assess the potential welfare impacts in rural Indonesia of two types of shock: a delay in monsoon onset; and a significant shortfall in rain during the 90-day post-onset period. Focusing on households with family farm businesses, we find that a delay in monsoon onset does not have a significant effect on the welfare of rice farmers. However, rice farm households located in areas exposed to low rainfall following the monsoon are negatively affected. Such households appear to be able to protect their food expenditure in the face of weather shocks, but at the expense of their non-food expenditure. We also use propensity score matching to identify community programs that might moderate the impact of this type of shock. We find that access to credit and public works projects has the strongest moderating effect. This is an important consideration for the design and implementation of adaptation strategies.
format Journal Article
author Skoufias, Emmanuel
Katayama, Roy S.
Essama-Nssah, B.
author_facet Skoufias, Emmanuel
Katayama, Roy S.
Essama-Nssah, B.
author_sort Skoufias, Emmanuel
title Too Little Too Late : Welfare Impacts of Rainfall Shocks in Rural Indonesia
title_short Too Little Too Late : Welfare Impacts of Rainfall Shocks in Rural Indonesia
title_full Too Little Too Late : Welfare Impacts of Rainfall Shocks in Rural Indonesia
title_fullStr Too Little Too Late : Welfare Impacts of Rainfall Shocks in Rural Indonesia
title_full_unstemmed Too Little Too Late : Welfare Impacts of Rainfall Shocks in Rural Indonesia
title_sort too little too late : welfare impacts of rainfall shocks in rural indonesia
publisher Taylor and Francis
publishDate 2013
url http://hdl.handle.net/10986/13384
_version_ 1764423382536814592

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