Past, Current and Future Trends in Tobacco Use
This paper first estimates the number of tobacco users in 2000 and cigarette consumption from 1970 to 2000 by regions and levels of development and briefly discusses the advantages and disadvantages of estimating tobacco use on the basis of prevale...
| Main Authors: | , |
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| Format: | Working Paper |
| Language: | English en_US |
| Published: |
World Bank, Washington, DC
2013
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2003/03/4045681/past-current-future-trends-tobacco-use http://hdl.handle.net/10986/13726 |
| Summary: | This paper first estimates the number of
tobacco users in 2000 and cigarette consumption from 1970 to
2000 by regions and levels of development and briefly
discusses the advantages and disadvantages of estimating
tobacco use on the basis of prevalence surveys or aggregate
data. Secondly, prevalence (and its associated number of
smokers) and cigarette consumption (total and per capita)
are projected in the future using several scenarios of
changes in tobacco use (prevalence and cigarette
consumption), as well as different assumptions about
population and income growth. The results show that even if
all countries immediately implement a comprehensive set of
tobacco control policies, the reduction in the number of
tobacco users and the total consumption of cigarettes will
be gradual. This should give comfort to farmers and others
who fear the impact of tobacco control on their livelihoods.
It is however, discouraging news for public health, since it
implies that the number of tobacco attributable deaths will
continue to rise for decades to come. |
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