Past, Current and Future Trends in Tobacco Use

This paper first estimates the number of tobacco users in 2000 and cigarette consumption from 1970 to 2000 by regions and levels of development and briefly discusses the advantages and disadvantages of estimating tobacco use on the basis of prevale...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Guindon, G. Emmanuel, Boisclair, David
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2013
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2003/03/4045681/past-current-future-trends-tobacco-use
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/13726
id okr-10986-13726
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-137262021-04-23T14:03:09Z Past, Current and Future Trends in Tobacco Use Guindon, G. Emmanuel Boisclair, David AGRICULTURE ANNUAL GROWTH ANNUAL GROWTH RATE ANNUAL RATE AVERAGE ANNUAL AVERAGE INCOME AVERAGE RATE CANCER CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE CONSUMPTION PATTERNS COUNTRY LEVEL DATA QUALITY DEVELOPED COUNTRIES DEVELOPED WORLD DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPING WORLD ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC IMPACT ELASTICITY EMPLOYMENT EPIDEMIOLOGICAL STUDIES EPIDEMIOLOGY EXPORTS GDP GDP PER CAPITA GROWTH RATE HEALTH HEALTH PROBLEMS HEALTH SERVICES HUMAN DEVELOPMENT IMPORTS INCOME INCOME EFFECT INCOME ELASTICITY INCOME INCREASE INCOME LEVELS INTERNATIONAL TRADE LOW INCOMES MARKET ECONOMIES MEAN INCOME MORTALITY NUTRITION PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA INCOME POLICY MAKERS POLICY MAKING POOR DATA POPULATION DATA POPULATION GROWTH PREMATURE DEATH PRICE INCREASES PRICE OF TOBACCO PRODUCTS REAL GDP SMOKING TAX REVENUES TAXATION TOBACCO TOBACCO ADVERTISING TOBACCO COMPANIES TOBACCO CONSUMPTION TOBACCO CONTROL TOBACCO EPIDEMIC TOBACCO TAXES TOBACCO USE YOUNG PEOPLE ECONOMICS OF TOBACCO CONTROL TOBACCO USE CIGARETTES NICOTINE TOBACCO INDUSTRY TOBACCO SMOKING TOBACCO TRADE POLICIES TOBACCO CONTROL TOBACCO LAW SMOKING This paper first estimates the number of tobacco users in 2000 and cigarette consumption from 1970 to 2000 by regions and levels of development and briefly discusses the advantages and disadvantages of estimating tobacco use on the basis of prevalence surveys or aggregate data. Secondly, prevalence (and its associated number of smokers) and cigarette consumption (total and per capita) are projected in the future using several scenarios of changes in tobacco use (prevalence and cigarette consumption), as well as different assumptions about population and income growth. The results show that even if all countries immediately implement a comprehensive set of tobacco control policies, the reduction in the number of tobacco users and the total consumption of cigarettes will be gradual. This should give comfort to farmers and others who fear the impact of tobacco control on their livelihoods. It is however, discouraging news for public health, since it implies that the number of tobacco attributable deaths will continue to rise for decades to come. 2013-05-30T20:41:58Z 2013-05-30T20:41:58Z 2003-03 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2003/03/4045681/past-current-future-trends-tobacco-use http://hdl.handle.net/10986/13726 English en_US HNP discussion paper; CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Working Paper Publications & Research
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic AGRICULTURE
ANNUAL GROWTH
ANNUAL GROWTH RATE
ANNUAL RATE
AVERAGE ANNUAL
AVERAGE INCOME
AVERAGE RATE
CANCER
CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE
CONSUMPTION PATTERNS
COUNTRY LEVEL
DATA QUALITY
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
DEVELOPED WORLD
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING WORLD
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC IMPACT
ELASTICITY
EMPLOYMENT
EPIDEMIOLOGICAL STUDIES
EPIDEMIOLOGY
EXPORTS
GDP
GDP PER CAPITA
GROWTH RATE
HEALTH
HEALTH PROBLEMS
HEALTH SERVICES
HUMAN DEVELOPMENT
IMPORTS
INCOME
INCOME EFFECT
INCOME ELASTICITY
INCOME INCREASE
INCOME LEVELS
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
LOW INCOMES
MARKET ECONOMIES
MEAN INCOME
MORTALITY
NUTRITION
PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION
PER CAPITA INCOME
POLICY MAKERS
POLICY MAKING
POOR DATA
POPULATION DATA
POPULATION GROWTH
PREMATURE DEATH
PRICE INCREASES
PRICE OF TOBACCO PRODUCTS
REAL GDP
SMOKING
TAX REVENUES
TAXATION
TOBACCO
TOBACCO ADVERTISING
TOBACCO COMPANIES
TOBACCO CONSUMPTION
TOBACCO CONTROL
TOBACCO EPIDEMIC
TOBACCO TAXES
TOBACCO USE
YOUNG PEOPLE ECONOMICS OF TOBACCO CONTROL
TOBACCO USE
CIGARETTES
NICOTINE
TOBACCO INDUSTRY
TOBACCO SMOKING
TOBACCO TRADE POLICIES
TOBACCO CONTROL
TOBACCO LAW
SMOKING
spellingShingle AGRICULTURE
ANNUAL GROWTH
ANNUAL GROWTH RATE
ANNUAL RATE
AVERAGE ANNUAL
AVERAGE INCOME
AVERAGE RATE
CANCER
CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE
CONSUMPTION PATTERNS
COUNTRY LEVEL
DATA QUALITY
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
DEVELOPED WORLD
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING WORLD
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC IMPACT
ELASTICITY
EMPLOYMENT
EPIDEMIOLOGICAL STUDIES
EPIDEMIOLOGY
EXPORTS
GDP
GDP PER CAPITA
GROWTH RATE
HEALTH
HEALTH PROBLEMS
HEALTH SERVICES
HUMAN DEVELOPMENT
IMPORTS
INCOME
INCOME EFFECT
INCOME ELASTICITY
INCOME INCREASE
INCOME LEVELS
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
LOW INCOMES
MARKET ECONOMIES
MEAN INCOME
MORTALITY
NUTRITION
PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION
PER CAPITA INCOME
POLICY MAKERS
POLICY MAKING
POOR DATA
POPULATION DATA
POPULATION GROWTH
PREMATURE DEATH
PRICE INCREASES
PRICE OF TOBACCO PRODUCTS
REAL GDP
SMOKING
TAX REVENUES
TAXATION
TOBACCO
TOBACCO ADVERTISING
TOBACCO COMPANIES
TOBACCO CONSUMPTION
TOBACCO CONTROL
TOBACCO EPIDEMIC
TOBACCO TAXES
TOBACCO USE
YOUNG PEOPLE ECONOMICS OF TOBACCO CONTROL
TOBACCO USE
CIGARETTES
NICOTINE
TOBACCO INDUSTRY
TOBACCO SMOKING
TOBACCO TRADE POLICIES
TOBACCO CONTROL
TOBACCO LAW
SMOKING
Guindon, G. Emmanuel
Boisclair, David
Past, Current and Future Trends in Tobacco Use
relation HNP discussion paper;
description This paper first estimates the number of tobacco users in 2000 and cigarette consumption from 1970 to 2000 by regions and levels of development and briefly discusses the advantages and disadvantages of estimating tobacco use on the basis of prevalence surveys or aggregate data. Secondly, prevalence (and its associated number of smokers) and cigarette consumption (total and per capita) are projected in the future using several scenarios of changes in tobacco use (prevalence and cigarette consumption), as well as different assumptions about population and income growth. The results show that even if all countries immediately implement a comprehensive set of tobacco control policies, the reduction in the number of tobacco users and the total consumption of cigarettes will be gradual. This should give comfort to farmers and others who fear the impact of tobacco control on their livelihoods. It is however, discouraging news for public health, since it implies that the number of tobacco attributable deaths will continue to rise for decades to come.
format Publications & Research :: Working Paper
author Guindon, G. Emmanuel
Boisclair, David
author_facet Guindon, G. Emmanuel
Boisclair, David
author_sort Guindon, G. Emmanuel
title Past, Current and Future Trends in Tobacco Use
title_short Past, Current and Future Trends in Tobacco Use
title_full Past, Current and Future Trends in Tobacco Use
title_fullStr Past, Current and Future Trends in Tobacco Use
title_full_unstemmed Past, Current and Future Trends in Tobacco Use
title_sort past, current and future trends in tobacco use
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2013
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2003/03/4045681/past-current-future-trends-tobacco-use
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/13726
_version_ 1764424352279822336