Why Do Emerging Economies Borrow Short Term?
The authors argue that emerging economies borrow short term due to the high risk premium charged by international capital markets on long-term debt. They first present a model where the debt maturity structure is the outcome of a risk-sharing probl...
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Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2004/09/5119777/emerging-economies-borrow-short-term http://hdl.handle.net/10986/14139 |
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okr-10986-141392021-04-23T14:03:21Z Why Do Emerging Economies Borrow Short Term? Broner, Fernando A. Lorenzoni, Guido Schmukler, Sergio L. EMERGING ECONOMIES SHORT TERM BORROWING RISK PREMIUM CAPITAL MARKETS LONG-TERM DEBT MATURITY ACCELERATION RISK SHARING LIQUIDITY (ECONOMICS) BOND TRANSFER BORROWING COSTS BOND PRICES The authors argue that emerging economies borrow short term due to the high risk premium charged by international capital markets on long-term debt. They first present a model where the debt maturity structure is the outcome of a risk-sharing problem between the government and bondholders. By issuing long-term debt, the government lowers the probability of a liquidity crisis, transferring risk to bondholders. In equilibrium, this risk is reflected in a higher risk premium and borrowing cost. Therefore, the government faces a tradeoff between safer long-term borrowing and cheaper short-term debt. Second, the authors construct a new database of sovereign bond prices and issuance. They show that emerging economies pay a positive term premium (a higher risk premium on long-term bonds than on short-term bonds). During crises, the term premium increases, with issuance shifting toward shorter maturities. This suggests that changes in bondholders' risk aversion are important to understand emerging market crises. 2013-06-24T14:34:45Z 2013-06-24T14:34:45Z 2004-09 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2004/09/5119777/emerging-economies-borrow-short-term http://hdl.handle.net/10986/14139 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No.3389 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, D.C. Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research |
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Foreign Institution |
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Digital Repositories |
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World Bank Open Knowledge Repository |
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World Bank |
language |
English en_US |
topic |
EMERGING ECONOMIES SHORT TERM BORROWING RISK PREMIUM CAPITAL MARKETS LONG-TERM DEBT MATURITY ACCELERATION RISK SHARING LIQUIDITY (ECONOMICS) BOND TRANSFER BORROWING COSTS BOND PRICES |
spellingShingle |
EMERGING ECONOMIES SHORT TERM BORROWING RISK PREMIUM CAPITAL MARKETS LONG-TERM DEBT MATURITY ACCELERATION RISK SHARING LIQUIDITY (ECONOMICS) BOND TRANSFER BORROWING COSTS BOND PRICES Broner, Fernando A. Lorenzoni, Guido Schmukler, Sergio L. Why Do Emerging Economies Borrow Short Term? |
relation |
Policy Research Working Paper;No.3389 |
description |
The authors argue that emerging
economies borrow short term due to the high risk premium
charged by international capital markets on long-term debt.
They first present a model where the debt maturity structure
is the outcome of a risk-sharing problem between the
government and bondholders. By issuing long-term debt, the
government lowers the probability of a liquidity crisis,
transferring risk to bondholders. In equilibrium, this risk
is reflected in a higher risk premium and borrowing cost.
Therefore, the government faces a tradeoff between safer
long-term borrowing and cheaper short-term debt. Second, the
authors construct a new database of sovereign bond prices
and issuance. They show that emerging economies pay a
positive term premium (a higher risk premium on long-term
bonds than on short-term bonds). During crises, the term
premium increases, with issuance shifting toward shorter
maturities. This suggests that changes in bondholders'
risk aversion are important to understand emerging market crises. |
format |
Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper |
author |
Broner, Fernando A. Lorenzoni, Guido Schmukler, Sergio L. |
author_facet |
Broner, Fernando A. Lorenzoni, Guido Schmukler, Sergio L. |
author_sort |
Broner, Fernando A. |
title |
Why Do Emerging Economies Borrow Short Term? |
title_short |
Why Do Emerging Economies Borrow Short Term? |
title_full |
Why Do Emerging Economies Borrow Short Term? |
title_fullStr |
Why Do Emerging Economies Borrow Short Term? |
title_full_unstemmed |
Why Do Emerging Economies Borrow Short Term? |
title_sort |
why do emerging economies borrow short term? |
publisher |
World Bank, Washington, D.C. |
publishDate |
2013 |
url |
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2004/09/5119777/emerging-economies-borrow-short-term http://hdl.handle.net/10986/14139 |
_version_ |
1764430609799708672 |