Mexico - Fiscal Sustainability (Vol. 1 of 2) : Executive Summary

The study reviews the stabilization efforts, and successes that preceded, and have underpinned Mexico's sweeping market-oriented structural reforms since the late 1980s, anchored in strong fiscal adjustment. It seeks to support the Government&...

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Main Author: World Bank
Language:English
en_US
Published: Washington, DC 2013
Subjects:
GDP
TAX
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2001/06/1552059/mexico-fiscal-sustainability-vol-1-2-executive-summary
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/15503
id okr-10986-15503
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic ACCOUNTING FRAMEWORK
BALANCE SHEET
BANK DEPOSITS
BANK FAILURES
BANKING SECTOR
BANKING SYSTEM
BENCHMARK
BENCHMARKS
BONDS
BORROWING
BUDGET ACCOUNTING
BUDGET CONSTRAINT
BUDGET DEFICIT
BUDGET PROCESS
BUDGET SURPLUS
BUSINESS CYCLES
CENTRAL GOVERNMENT
DEBT MANAGEMENT
DEBT RESTRUCTURING
DEFICIT ADJUSTMENTS
DEFICIT REDUCTION
DEFLATION
DEPOSIT INSURANCE
DEPOSIT INSURANCE SCHEMES
DEPOSITS
DISCOUNT RATE
DISCRETIONARY POLICY
ECONOMIC EXPANSION
ELASTICITY
ELECTRICITY
EXCHANGE RATE
EXCHANGE RATES
EXPENDITURE
EXPORTS
EXTERNAL SHOCK
EXTERNAL SHOCKS
FEDERAL GOVERNMENT
FINANCIAL CRISES
FISCAL
FISCAL ADJUSTMENT
FISCAL BUDGET
FISCAL COSTS
FISCAL DEFICIT
FISCAL DEFICITS
FISCAL MEASURES
FISCAL POLICIES
FISCAL POLICY
FISCAL PRESSURES
FISCAL REFORM
FISCAL SURPLUS
FISCAL SUSTAINABILITY
FISCAL YEAR
FOREIGN DEBT
GDP
GOVERNMENT ACCOUNTING
GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION
GOVERNMENT DEBT
GOVERNMENT GUARANTEES
GOVERNMENT POLICIES
GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS
GOVERNMENT REVENUE
GOVERNMENT REVENUES
GOVERNMENT SPENDING
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
GROWTH RATES
INDUSTRIAL ECONOMIES
INFLATION
INSURANCE
INTEREST RATE
LAWS
LOAN GUARANTEES
MACROECONOMIC POLICY
MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
MARKET VALUE
MINISTRY OF FINANCE
MONETARY POLICY
MONEY SUPPLY
MORAL HAZARD
MUNICIPALITIES
NATIONS
NOMINAL EXCHANGE RATE
PENSION LIABILITIES
PENSION REFORM
PENSION SYSTEMS
PENSIONS
PRESENT VALUE
PRIVATE BANKS
PRIVATE SECTOR
PRIVATE SECTOR INVESTMENTS
PRIVATIZATION
PRODUCTIVITY
PROVISION OF INFRASTRUCTURE
PUBLIC DEBT
PUBLIC EXPENDITURE
PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE
PUBLIC INVESTMENT
PUBLIC INVESTMENTS
PUBLIC SECTOR
PUBLIC SECTOR DEBT
PUBLIC SPENDING
REAL GDP
REAL GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
REAL INCOME
REAL INTEREST RATE
REAL INTEREST RATES
REAL TERMS
RETIREMENT
ROADS
SOCIAL SECURITY
STABILIZATION EFFORTS
STATE GOVERNMENT
STATE-OWNED ENTERPRISES
SYSTEMIC RISK
TAX
TAX REVENUE
TAX REVENUES
TAX SYSTEM
TELECOMMUNICATIONS
TIME SERIES
TRANSPORT
UNEMPLOYMENT
VALUE ADDED FISCAL SUSTAINABILITY
BUSINESS CYCLES
FISCAL POLICY
ECONOMIC GROWTH
BUDGET ESTIMATES
EXTERNAL SHOCKS
INFRASTRUCTURE
CONTINGENT LIABILITY
FISCAL COSTS
FISCAL DEFICITS
PUBLIC DEBT
DEBT MANAGEMENT
POLICY FRAMEWORK
PENSION SYSTEMS
FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
spellingShingle ACCOUNTING FRAMEWORK
BALANCE SHEET
BANK DEPOSITS
BANK FAILURES
BANKING SECTOR
BANKING SYSTEM
BENCHMARK
BENCHMARKS
BONDS
BORROWING
BUDGET ACCOUNTING
BUDGET CONSTRAINT
BUDGET DEFICIT
BUDGET PROCESS
BUDGET SURPLUS
BUSINESS CYCLES
CENTRAL GOVERNMENT
DEBT MANAGEMENT
DEBT RESTRUCTURING
DEFICIT ADJUSTMENTS
DEFICIT REDUCTION
DEFLATION
DEPOSIT INSURANCE
DEPOSIT INSURANCE SCHEMES
DEPOSITS
DISCOUNT RATE
DISCRETIONARY POLICY
ECONOMIC EXPANSION
ELASTICITY
ELECTRICITY
EXCHANGE RATE
EXCHANGE RATES
EXPENDITURE
EXPORTS
EXTERNAL SHOCK
EXTERNAL SHOCKS
FEDERAL GOVERNMENT
FINANCIAL CRISES
FISCAL
FISCAL ADJUSTMENT
FISCAL BUDGET
FISCAL COSTS
FISCAL DEFICIT
FISCAL DEFICITS
FISCAL MEASURES
FISCAL POLICIES
FISCAL POLICY
FISCAL PRESSURES
FISCAL REFORM
FISCAL SURPLUS
FISCAL SUSTAINABILITY
FISCAL YEAR
FOREIGN DEBT
GDP
GOVERNMENT ACCOUNTING
GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION
GOVERNMENT DEBT
GOVERNMENT GUARANTEES
GOVERNMENT POLICIES
GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS
GOVERNMENT REVENUE
GOVERNMENT REVENUES
GOVERNMENT SPENDING
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
GROWTH RATES
INDUSTRIAL ECONOMIES
INFLATION
INSURANCE
INTEREST RATE
LAWS
LOAN GUARANTEES
MACROECONOMIC POLICY
MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
MARKET VALUE
MINISTRY OF FINANCE
MONETARY POLICY
MONEY SUPPLY
MORAL HAZARD
MUNICIPALITIES
NATIONS
NOMINAL EXCHANGE RATE
PENSION LIABILITIES
PENSION REFORM
PENSION SYSTEMS
PENSIONS
PRESENT VALUE
PRIVATE BANKS
PRIVATE SECTOR
PRIVATE SECTOR INVESTMENTS
PRIVATIZATION
PRODUCTIVITY
PROVISION OF INFRASTRUCTURE
PUBLIC DEBT
PUBLIC EXPENDITURE
PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE
PUBLIC INVESTMENT
PUBLIC INVESTMENTS
PUBLIC SECTOR
PUBLIC SECTOR DEBT
PUBLIC SPENDING
REAL GDP
REAL GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
REAL INCOME
REAL INTEREST RATE
REAL INTEREST RATES
REAL TERMS
RETIREMENT
ROADS
SOCIAL SECURITY
STABILIZATION EFFORTS
STATE GOVERNMENT
STATE-OWNED ENTERPRISES
SYSTEMIC RISK
TAX
TAX REVENUE
TAX REVENUES
TAX SYSTEM
TELECOMMUNICATIONS
TIME SERIES
TRANSPORT
UNEMPLOYMENT
VALUE ADDED FISCAL SUSTAINABILITY
BUSINESS CYCLES
FISCAL POLICY
ECONOMIC GROWTH
BUDGET ESTIMATES
EXTERNAL SHOCKS
INFRASTRUCTURE
CONTINGENT LIABILITY
FISCAL COSTS
FISCAL DEFICITS
PUBLIC DEBT
DEBT MANAGEMENT
POLICY FRAMEWORK
PENSION SYSTEMS
FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
World Bank
Mexico - Fiscal Sustainability (Vol. 1 of 2) : Executive Summary
geographic_facet Latin America & Caribbean
Mexico
description The study reviews the stabilization efforts, and successes that preceded, and have underpinned Mexico's sweeping market-oriented structural reforms since the late 1980s, anchored in strong fiscal adjustment. It seeks to support the Government's efforts, and provides a body of technical analysis, by: correcting fiscal trends for various business-cycle effects; building a simulation model to assess the sensitivity of the fiscal budget to exogenous shocks under structural scenarios; estimating the direct, and indirect potential impact on the fiscal accounts of closing public infrastructure gaps, and funding contingent liabilities; and, consolidating the financial accounts of the main public sector institutions to assess sustainability of their aggregate debt path. Following a brief review on fiscal issues, the report focuses on selected sources of fiscal instability. Chapter I questions the role of fiscal policy in determining output; the responsiveness of the fiscal policy to the business cycle; and, the "persistence" of fiscal policy vs. financing needs, implying the fiscal policy lacks a design that makes it a stabilizing feature of the economy. Chapters II and III investigate the impacts of major exogenous shocks, and provide estimates of the potential payoffs from increased investment in public infrastructure, calculating the optimal infrastructure stocks implied by the elasticity estimates. Chapter IV addresses the measurement of contingent liabilities, within the traditional budget accounting framework, while Chapter V provides estimates of the debt stock at the state level, suggesting disturbing trends in the size, and concentration of the debt are developing, and, sobering evidence on the health of the sub-national pension systems suggest a large percentage of these are either in actuarial deficit, or will be by 2001.
author World Bank
author_facet World Bank
author_sort World Bank
title Mexico - Fiscal Sustainability (Vol. 1 of 2) : Executive Summary
title_short Mexico - Fiscal Sustainability (Vol. 1 of 2) : Executive Summary
title_full Mexico - Fiscal Sustainability (Vol. 1 of 2) : Executive Summary
title_fullStr Mexico - Fiscal Sustainability (Vol. 1 of 2) : Executive Summary
title_full_unstemmed Mexico - Fiscal Sustainability (Vol. 1 of 2) : Executive Summary
title_sort mexico - fiscal sustainability (vol. 1 of 2) : executive summary
publisher Washington, DC
publishDate 2013
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2001/06/1552059/mexico-fiscal-sustainability-vol-1-2-executive-summary
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/15503
_version_ 1764426838569910272
spelling okr-10986-155032021-04-23T14:03:14Z Mexico - Fiscal Sustainability (Vol. 1 of 2) : Executive Summary World Bank ACCOUNTING FRAMEWORK BALANCE SHEET BANK DEPOSITS BANK FAILURES BANKING SECTOR BANKING SYSTEM BENCHMARK BENCHMARKS BONDS BORROWING BUDGET ACCOUNTING BUDGET CONSTRAINT BUDGET DEFICIT BUDGET PROCESS BUDGET SURPLUS BUSINESS CYCLES CENTRAL GOVERNMENT DEBT MANAGEMENT DEBT RESTRUCTURING DEFICIT ADJUSTMENTS DEFICIT REDUCTION DEFLATION DEPOSIT INSURANCE DEPOSIT INSURANCE SCHEMES DEPOSITS DISCOUNT RATE DISCRETIONARY POLICY ECONOMIC EXPANSION ELASTICITY ELECTRICITY EXCHANGE RATE EXCHANGE RATES EXPENDITURE EXPORTS EXTERNAL SHOCK EXTERNAL SHOCKS FEDERAL GOVERNMENT FINANCIAL CRISES FISCAL FISCAL ADJUSTMENT FISCAL BUDGET FISCAL COSTS FISCAL DEFICIT FISCAL DEFICITS FISCAL MEASURES FISCAL POLICIES FISCAL POLICY FISCAL PRESSURES FISCAL REFORM FISCAL SURPLUS FISCAL SUSTAINABILITY FISCAL YEAR FOREIGN DEBT GDP GOVERNMENT ACCOUNTING GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION GOVERNMENT DEBT GOVERNMENT GUARANTEES GOVERNMENT POLICIES GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS GOVERNMENT REVENUE GOVERNMENT REVENUES GOVERNMENT SPENDING GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT GROWTH RATES INDUSTRIAL ECONOMIES INFLATION INSURANCE INTEREST RATE LAWS LOAN GUARANTEES MACROECONOMIC POLICY MACROECONOMIC STABILITY MARKET VALUE MINISTRY OF FINANCE MONETARY POLICY MONEY SUPPLY MORAL HAZARD MUNICIPALITIES NATIONS NOMINAL EXCHANGE RATE PENSION LIABILITIES PENSION REFORM PENSION SYSTEMS PENSIONS PRESENT VALUE PRIVATE BANKS PRIVATE SECTOR PRIVATE SECTOR INVESTMENTS PRIVATIZATION PRODUCTIVITY PROVISION OF INFRASTRUCTURE PUBLIC DEBT PUBLIC EXPENDITURE PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE PUBLIC INVESTMENT PUBLIC INVESTMENTS PUBLIC SECTOR PUBLIC SECTOR DEBT PUBLIC SPENDING REAL GDP REAL GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT REAL INCOME REAL INTEREST RATE REAL INTEREST RATES REAL TERMS RETIREMENT ROADS SOCIAL SECURITY STABILIZATION EFFORTS STATE GOVERNMENT STATE-OWNED ENTERPRISES SYSTEMIC RISK TAX TAX REVENUE TAX REVENUES TAX SYSTEM TELECOMMUNICATIONS TIME SERIES TRANSPORT UNEMPLOYMENT VALUE ADDED FISCAL SUSTAINABILITY BUSINESS CYCLES FISCAL POLICY ECONOMIC GROWTH BUDGET ESTIMATES EXTERNAL SHOCKS INFRASTRUCTURE CONTINGENT LIABILITY FISCAL COSTS FISCAL DEFICITS PUBLIC DEBT DEBT MANAGEMENT POLICY FRAMEWORK PENSION SYSTEMS FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT The study reviews the stabilization efforts, and successes that preceded, and have underpinned Mexico's sweeping market-oriented structural reforms since the late 1980s, anchored in strong fiscal adjustment. It seeks to support the Government's efforts, and provides a body of technical analysis, by: correcting fiscal trends for various business-cycle effects; building a simulation model to assess the sensitivity of the fiscal budget to exogenous shocks under structural scenarios; estimating the direct, and indirect potential impact on the fiscal accounts of closing public infrastructure gaps, and funding contingent liabilities; and, consolidating the financial accounts of the main public sector institutions to assess sustainability of their aggregate debt path. Following a brief review on fiscal issues, the report focuses on selected sources of fiscal instability. Chapter I questions the role of fiscal policy in determining output; the responsiveness of the fiscal policy to the business cycle; and, the "persistence" of fiscal policy vs. financing needs, implying the fiscal policy lacks a design that makes it a stabilizing feature of the economy. Chapters II and III investigate the impacts of major exogenous shocks, and provide estimates of the potential payoffs from increased investment in public infrastructure, calculating the optimal infrastructure stocks implied by the elasticity estimates. Chapter IV addresses the measurement of contingent liabilities, within the traditional budget accounting framework, while Chapter V provides estimates of the debt stock at the state level, suggesting disturbing trends in the size, and concentration of the debt are developing, and, sobering evidence on the health of the sub-national pension systems suggest a large percentage of these are either in actuarial deficit, or will be by 2001. 2013-08-29T21:56:04Z 2013-08-29T21:56:04Z 2001-06-13 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2001/06/1552059/mexico-fiscal-sustainability-vol-1-2-executive-summary http://hdl.handle.net/10986/15503 English en_US CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank Washington, DC Latin America & Caribbean Mexico