The Poverty Impact of Climate Change in Mexico
This paper examines the effects of climate change on poverty through the relationship between indicators of climate change (temperature and rainfall change) and municipal level gross domestic product, and subsequently between gross domestic product...
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| Format: | Policy Research Working Paper |
| Language: | English en_US |
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World Bank, Washington, DC
2013
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| Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2013/05/17751206/poverty-impact-climate-change-mexico http://hdl.handle.net/10986/15550 |
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okr-10986-15550 |
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oai_dc |
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Digital Repository |
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Foreign Institution |
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Digital Repositories |
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World Bank Open Knowledge Repository |
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World Bank |
| language |
English en_US |
| topic |
ABSOLUTE TEMPERATURE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY ANTARCTICA ASSET POVERTY ATMOSPHERE BUSINESS AS USUAL SCENARIO CHANGES IN POVERTY CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS CLIMATE CHANGES CLIMATE CONDITIONS CLIMATE DATA CLIMATE EFFECTS CLIMATE MODEL CLIMATE MODELS CLIMATE PROJECTIONS CLIMATE RESEARCH CLIMATE VARIABILITY CLIMATE VARIABLES CLIMATE-RELATED DISASTERS CLIMATIC CONDITIONS CLIMATIC DISASTERS CLIMATIC EVENTS CLIMATIC FACTORS CLIMATIC RESEARCH CLIMATIC VARIABLES CO2 COASTAL REGIONS CONSUMPTION DATA CROP YIELD CRU DAILY TEMPERATURE ECONOMIC ACTIVITY ECONOMIC ANALYSIS ECONOMIC CONDITIONS ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC IMPACTS ECONOMIC SHOCKS EFFECT OF CLIMATE CHANGE EMISSION EMISSIONS EMISSIONS SCENARIOS EXTREME DRY EXTREME POVERTY FERTILIZATION FLOODS FOOD POVERTY FOSSIL FUELS FUTURE CLIMATE CHANGE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODEL GLOBAL CLIMATE GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE GLOBAL WARMING GREENHOUSE GREENHOUSE GASES HOUSEHOLD WELFARE HOUSING HUMAN DEVELOPMENT HYDROLOGICAL MODEL HYDROLOGY IMPACT OF CLIMATE IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS OF TEMPERATURE INCOME INCOME POVERTY INDICATORS OF CLIMATE CHANGE INSURANCE INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE IPCC IRRIGATION LAND SURFACE LIVING STANDARDS LOCAL RAINFALL METEOROLOGICAL STATIONS MOUNTAINOUS REGIONS NATURAL DISASTERS NEGATIVE IMPACT OUTPUT DECLINES PER CAPITA INCOME POOR HOUSEHOLDS POVERTY ESTIMATES POVERTY IMPACT POVERTY LEVELS POVERTY LINE POVERTY MAPPING POVERTY MAPS POVERTY MEASURES POVERTY RATE POVERTY RATES POVERTY REDUCTION PP PRECIPITATION RAIN RAINFALL RAINFALL SCENARIOS RAINFALL VARIABILITY RURAL POVERTY SOCIAL DIMENSIONS OF CLIMATE CHANGE STORMS SURFACE ENERGY SURFACE VEGETATION SURFACE WATER TEMPERATURE TEMPERATURE CHANGE TEMPERATURE CHANGES TEMPERATURE INCREASES TEMPERATURES WARMING CLIMATE WELFARE LEVEL |
| spellingShingle |
ABSOLUTE TEMPERATURE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY ANTARCTICA ASSET POVERTY ATMOSPHERE BUSINESS AS USUAL SCENARIO CHANGES IN POVERTY CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS CLIMATE CHANGES CLIMATE CONDITIONS CLIMATE DATA CLIMATE EFFECTS CLIMATE MODEL CLIMATE MODELS CLIMATE PROJECTIONS CLIMATE RESEARCH CLIMATE VARIABILITY CLIMATE VARIABLES CLIMATE-RELATED DISASTERS CLIMATIC CONDITIONS CLIMATIC DISASTERS CLIMATIC EVENTS CLIMATIC FACTORS CLIMATIC RESEARCH CLIMATIC VARIABLES CO2 COASTAL REGIONS CONSUMPTION DATA CROP YIELD CRU DAILY TEMPERATURE ECONOMIC ACTIVITY ECONOMIC ANALYSIS ECONOMIC CONDITIONS ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC IMPACTS ECONOMIC SHOCKS EFFECT OF CLIMATE CHANGE EMISSION EMISSIONS EMISSIONS SCENARIOS EXTREME DRY EXTREME POVERTY FERTILIZATION FLOODS FOOD POVERTY FOSSIL FUELS FUTURE CLIMATE CHANGE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODEL GLOBAL CLIMATE GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE GLOBAL WARMING GREENHOUSE GREENHOUSE GASES HOUSEHOLD WELFARE HOUSING HUMAN DEVELOPMENT HYDROLOGICAL MODEL HYDROLOGY IMPACT OF CLIMATE IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS OF TEMPERATURE INCOME INCOME POVERTY INDICATORS OF CLIMATE CHANGE INSURANCE INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE IPCC IRRIGATION LAND SURFACE LIVING STANDARDS LOCAL RAINFALL METEOROLOGICAL STATIONS MOUNTAINOUS REGIONS NATURAL DISASTERS NEGATIVE IMPACT OUTPUT DECLINES PER CAPITA INCOME POOR HOUSEHOLDS POVERTY ESTIMATES POVERTY IMPACT POVERTY LEVELS POVERTY LINE POVERTY MAPPING POVERTY MAPS POVERTY MEASURES POVERTY RATE POVERTY RATES POVERTY REDUCTION PP PRECIPITATION RAIN RAINFALL RAINFALL SCENARIOS RAINFALL VARIABILITY RURAL POVERTY SOCIAL DIMENSIONS OF CLIMATE CHANGE STORMS SURFACE ENERGY SURFACE VEGETATION SURFACE WATER TEMPERATURE TEMPERATURE CHANGE TEMPERATURE CHANGES TEMPERATURE INCREASES TEMPERATURES WARMING CLIMATE WELFARE LEVEL de la Fuente, Alejandro Olivera Villarroel, Marcelo The Poverty Impact of Climate Change in Mexico |
| geographic_facet |
Latin America & Caribbean Mexico |
| relation |
Policy Research Working Paper;No. 6461 |
| description |
This paper examines the effects of
climate change on poverty through the relationship between
indicators of climate change (temperature and rainfall
change) and municipal level gross domestic product, and
subsequently between gross domestic product and poverty. The
evidence suggests that climate change could have a negative
impact on poverty by 2030. The paper proposes a two-stage
least squares regression where it first regresses
temperature and rainfall (along with geographic controls and
state and year fixed effects) on municipal gross domestic
product per capita for 2000 and 2005 The resulting gross
domestic product per capita is used in a second equation to
estimate municipal poverty on the same years. The authors
then incorporate projections of temperature and rainfall
changes by 2030 into the estimated climate-gross domestic
product coefficients to assess the effects of climate change
in economic activity and how this in turn will influence
poverty. At the same time, they account for the potential
adaptive capacity of municipalities through higher
population densities and economic growth. Both would reduce
poverty by 31.72 percentage points between 2005 and 2030
with changing climate. However, poverty could have been
reduced up to 34.15 percentage points over the same period
had there been no climate change. This suggests that climate
change slows down the pace of poverty reduction. An
alternative reading is that poverty is expected to increase
from 15.25 percent (without climate change) to 17.68 percent
(with climate change) by 2030. Given the existing population
projections for 2030, this represents 2,902,868 people
remaining in poverty as a result of climate change. |
| format |
Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper |
| author |
de la Fuente, Alejandro Olivera Villarroel, Marcelo |
| author_facet |
de la Fuente, Alejandro Olivera Villarroel, Marcelo |
| author_sort |
de la Fuente, Alejandro |
| title |
The Poverty Impact of Climate Change in Mexico |
| title_short |
The Poverty Impact of Climate Change in Mexico |
| title_full |
The Poverty Impact of Climate Change in Mexico |
| title_fullStr |
The Poverty Impact of Climate Change in Mexico |
| title_full_unstemmed |
The Poverty Impact of Climate Change in Mexico |
| title_sort |
poverty impact of climate change in mexico |
| publisher |
World Bank, Washington, DC |
| publishDate |
2013 |
| url |
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2013/05/17751206/poverty-impact-climate-change-mexico http://hdl.handle.net/10986/15550 |
| _version_ |
1764429542050496512 |
| spelling |
okr-10986-155502021-04-23T14:03:19Z The Poverty Impact of Climate Change in Mexico de la Fuente, Alejandro Olivera Villarroel, Marcelo ABSOLUTE TEMPERATURE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY ANTARCTICA ASSET POVERTY ATMOSPHERE BUSINESS AS USUAL SCENARIO CHANGES IN POVERTY CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS CLIMATE CHANGES CLIMATE CONDITIONS CLIMATE DATA CLIMATE EFFECTS CLIMATE MODEL CLIMATE MODELS CLIMATE PROJECTIONS CLIMATE RESEARCH CLIMATE VARIABILITY CLIMATE VARIABLES CLIMATE-RELATED DISASTERS CLIMATIC CONDITIONS CLIMATIC DISASTERS CLIMATIC EVENTS CLIMATIC FACTORS CLIMATIC RESEARCH CLIMATIC VARIABLES CO2 COASTAL REGIONS CONSUMPTION DATA CROP YIELD CRU DAILY TEMPERATURE ECONOMIC ACTIVITY ECONOMIC ANALYSIS ECONOMIC CONDITIONS ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC IMPACTS ECONOMIC SHOCKS EFFECT OF CLIMATE CHANGE EMISSION EMISSIONS EMISSIONS SCENARIOS EXTREME DRY EXTREME POVERTY FERTILIZATION FLOODS FOOD POVERTY FOSSIL FUELS FUTURE CLIMATE CHANGE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODEL GLOBAL CLIMATE GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE GLOBAL WARMING GREENHOUSE GREENHOUSE GASES HOUSEHOLD WELFARE HOUSING HUMAN DEVELOPMENT HYDROLOGICAL MODEL HYDROLOGY IMPACT OF CLIMATE IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS OF TEMPERATURE INCOME INCOME POVERTY INDICATORS OF CLIMATE CHANGE INSURANCE INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE IPCC IRRIGATION LAND SURFACE LIVING STANDARDS LOCAL RAINFALL METEOROLOGICAL STATIONS MOUNTAINOUS REGIONS NATURAL DISASTERS NEGATIVE IMPACT OUTPUT DECLINES PER CAPITA INCOME POOR HOUSEHOLDS POVERTY ESTIMATES POVERTY IMPACT POVERTY LEVELS POVERTY LINE POVERTY MAPPING POVERTY MAPS POVERTY MEASURES POVERTY RATE POVERTY RATES POVERTY REDUCTION PP PRECIPITATION RAIN RAINFALL RAINFALL SCENARIOS RAINFALL VARIABILITY RURAL POVERTY SOCIAL DIMENSIONS OF CLIMATE CHANGE STORMS SURFACE ENERGY SURFACE VEGETATION SURFACE WATER TEMPERATURE TEMPERATURE CHANGE TEMPERATURE CHANGES TEMPERATURE INCREASES TEMPERATURES WARMING CLIMATE WELFARE LEVEL This paper examines the effects of climate change on poverty through the relationship between indicators of climate change (temperature and rainfall change) and municipal level gross domestic product, and subsequently between gross domestic product and poverty. The evidence suggests that climate change could have a negative impact on poverty by 2030. The paper proposes a two-stage least squares regression where it first regresses temperature and rainfall (along with geographic controls and state and year fixed effects) on municipal gross domestic product per capita for 2000 and 2005 The resulting gross domestic product per capita is used in a second equation to estimate municipal poverty on the same years. The authors then incorporate projections of temperature and rainfall changes by 2030 into the estimated climate-gross domestic product coefficients to assess the effects of climate change in economic activity and how this in turn will influence poverty. At the same time, they account for the potential adaptive capacity of municipalities through higher population densities and economic growth. Both would reduce poverty by 31.72 percentage points between 2005 and 2030 with changing climate. However, poverty could have been reduced up to 34.15 percentage points over the same period had there been no climate change. This suggests that climate change slows down the pace of poverty reduction. An alternative reading is that poverty is expected to increase from 15.25 percent (without climate change) to 17.68 percent (with climate change) by 2030. Given the existing population projections for 2030, this represents 2,902,868 people remaining in poverty as a result of climate change. 2013-09-04T13:58:14Z 2013-09-04T13:58:14Z 2013-05-01 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2013/05/17751206/poverty-impact-climate-change-mexico http://hdl.handle.net/10986/15550 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 6461 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research Latin America & Caribbean Mexico |