Ensuring Robust Flood Risk Management in Ho Chi Minh City

Ho Chi Minh City faces significant and growing flood risk. Recent risk reduction efforts may be insufficient as climate and socio-economic conditions diverge from projections made when those efforts were initially planned. This study demonstrates h...

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Main Authors:	Lempert, Robert, Kalra, Nidhi, Peyraud, Suzanne, Mao, Zhimin, Tan, Sinh Bach, Cira, Dean, Lotsch, Alexander
Format:	Policy Research Working Paper
Language:	English en_US
Published:	World Bank, Washington, DC 2013
Subjects:	ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS BUILDING CODES CATCHMENT AREA CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CONDITIONS DECISION MAKERS DECISION MAKING DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPING COUNTRY DEVELOPMENT NETWORK DISASTER DISASTER REDUCTION ECONOMIC CONDITIONS ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC RISK EMERGING ECONOMIES EQUITY ISSUES EXTERNAL FUNDING EXTREME EVENTS FLOOD FLOOD CONTROL FLOOD RISK FLOOD RISK MANAGEMENT FLOODING FUTURES GROUNDWATER MANAGEMENT HOUSING INCOME INFORMATION SYSTEM INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENTS INTERNATIONAL BANK LEVEL OF RISK LOCAL CAPACITY OUTPUTS POLICY RESPONSES POLITICAL PROCESS PORTFOLIO PORTFOLIOS QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS RAPID MELTING RENTS RETURN RISK ANALYSIS RISK MANAGEMENT RISK MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES RISK REDUCTION RIVERS SOCIAL CAPITAL STORM URBAN DEVELOPMENT WASTE WATER WASTE WATER TREATMENT WASTEWATER TREATMENT WATER MANAGEMENT WATER MANAGEMENT MODEL WATER QUALITY WATER RESOURCE WATER TREATMENT PLANT
Online Access:	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2013/05/17784406/ensuring-robust-flood-risk-management-ho-chi-minh-city http://hdl.handle.net/10986/15603

id	okr-10986-15603
recordtype	oai_dc
spelling	okr-10986-156032021-04-23T14:03:19Z Ensuring Robust Flood Risk Management in Ho Chi Minh City Lempert, Robert Kalra, Nidhi Peyraud, Suzanne Mao, Zhimin Tan, Sinh Bach Cira, Dean Lotsch, Alexander ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS BUILDING CODES CATCHMENT AREA CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CONDITIONS DECISION MAKERS DECISION MAKING DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPING COUNTRY DEVELOPMENT NETWORK DISASTER DISASTER REDUCTION ECONOMIC CONDITIONS ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC RISK EMERGING ECONOMIES EQUITY ISSUES EXTERNAL FUNDING EXTREME EVENTS FLOOD FLOOD CONTROL FLOOD RISK FLOOD RISK MANAGEMENT FLOODING FUTURES GROUNDWATER MANAGEMENT HOUSING INCOME INFORMATION SYSTEM INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENTS INTERNATIONAL BANK LEVEL OF RISK LOCAL CAPACITY OUTPUTS POLICY RESPONSES POLITICAL PROCESS PORTFOLIO PORTFOLIOS QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS RAPID MELTING RENTS RETURN RISK ANALYSIS RISK MANAGEMENT RISK MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES RISK REDUCTION RIVERS SOCIAL CAPITAL STORM URBAN DEVELOPMENT WASTE WATER WASTE WATER TREATMENT WASTEWATER TREATMENT WATER MANAGEMENT WATER MANAGEMENT MODEL WATER QUALITY WATER RESOURCE WATER TREATMENT PLANT Ho Chi Minh City faces significant and growing flood risk. Recent risk reduction efforts may be insufficient as climate and socio-economic conditions diverge from projections made when those efforts were initially planned. This study demonstrates how robust decision making can help Ho Chi Minh City develop integrated flood risk management strategies in the face of such deep uncertainty. Robust decision making is an iterative, quantitative, decision support methodology designed to help policy makers identify strategies that are robust, that is, satisfying decision makers' objectives in many plausible futures, rather than being optimal in any single estimate of the future. This project used robust decision making to analyze flood risk management in Ho Chi Minh City's Nhieu Loc-Thi Nghe canal catchment area. It found that the soon-to-be-completed infrastructure may reduce risk in best estimates of future conditions, but it may not keep risk low in many other plausible futures. Thus, the infrastructure may not be sufficiently robust. The analysis further suggests that adaptation and retreat measures, particularly when used adaptively, can play an important role in reducing this risk. The study examines the conditions under which robust decision making concepts and full robust decision making analyses may prove useful in developing countries. It finds that planning efforts in developing countries should at minimum use models and data to evaluate their decisions under a wide range of conditions. Full robust decision making analyses can also augment existing planning efforts in numerous ways. 2013-09-04T19:07:06Z 2013-09-04T19:07:06Z 2013-05 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2013/05/17784406/ensuring-robust-flood-risk-management-ho-chi-minh-city http://hdl.handle.net/10986/15603 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 6456 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research East Asia and Pacific Vietnam
repository_type	Digital Repository
institution_category	Foreign Institution
institution	Digital Repositories
building	World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection	World Bank
language	English en_US
topic	ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS BUILDING CODES CATCHMENT AREA CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CONDITIONS DECISION MAKERS DECISION MAKING DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPING COUNTRY DEVELOPMENT NETWORK DISASTER DISASTER REDUCTION ECONOMIC CONDITIONS ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC RISK EMERGING ECONOMIES EQUITY ISSUES EXTERNAL FUNDING EXTREME EVENTS FLOOD FLOOD CONTROL FLOOD RISK FLOOD RISK MANAGEMENT FLOODING FUTURES GROUNDWATER MANAGEMENT HOUSING INCOME INFORMATION SYSTEM INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENTS INTERNATIONAL BANK LEVEL OF RISK LOCAL CAPACITY OUTPUTS POLICY RESPONSES POLITICAL PROCESS PORTFOLIO PORTFOLIOS QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS RAPID MELTING RENTS RETURN RISK ANALYSIS RISK MANAGEMENT RISK MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES RISK REDUCTION RIVERS SOCIAL CAPITAL STORM URBAN DEVELOPMENT WASTE WATER WASTE WATER TREATMENT WASTEWATER TREATMENT WATER MANAGEMENT WATER MANAGEMENT MODEL WATER QUALITY WATER RESOURCE WATER TREATMENT PLANT
spellingShingle	ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS BUILDING CODES CATCHMENT AREA CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CONDITIONS DECISION MAKERS DECISION MAKING DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPING COUNTRY DEVELOPMENT NETWORK DISASTER DISASTER REDUCTION ECONOMIC CONDITIONS ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC RISK EMERGING ECONOMIES EQUITY ISSUES EXTERNAL FUNDING EXTREME EVENTS FLOOD FLOOD CONTROL FLOOD RISK FLOOD RISK MANAGEMENT FLOODING FUTURES GROUNDWATER MANAGEMENT HOUSING INCOME INFORMATION SYSTEM INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENTS INTERNATIONAL BANK LEVEL OF RISK LOCAL CAPACITY OUTPUTS POLICY RESPONSES POLITICAL PROCESS PORTFOLIO PORTFOLIOS QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS RAPID MELTING RENTS RETURN RISK ANALYSIS RISK MANAGEMENT RISK MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES RISK REDUCTION RIVERS SOCIAL CAPITAL STORM URBAN DEVELOPMENT WASTE WATER WASTE WATER TREATMENT WASTEWATER TREATMENT WATER MANAGEMENT WATER MANAGEMENT MODEL WATER QUALITY WATER RESOURCE WATER TREATMENT PLANT Lempert, Robert Kalra, Nidhi Peyraud, Suzanne Mao, Zhimin Tan, Sinh Bach Cira, Dean Lotsch, Alexander Ensuring Robust Flood Risk Management in Ho Chi Minh City
geographic_facet	East Asia and Pacific Vietnam
relation	Policy Research Working Paper;No. 6456
description	Ho Chi Minh City faces significant and growing flood risk. Recent risk reduction efforts may be insufficient as climate and socio-economic conditions diverge from projections made when those efforts were initially planned. This study demonstrates how robust decision making can help Ho Chi Minh City develop integrated flood risk management strategies in the face of such deep uncertainty. Robust decision making is an iterative, quantitative, decision support methodology designed to help policy makers identify strategies that are robust, that is, satisfying decision makers' objectives in many plausible futures, rather than being optimal in any single estimate of the future. This project used robust decision making to analyze flood risk management in Ho Chi Minh City's Nhieu Loc-Thi Nghe canal catchment area. It found that the soon-to-be-completed infrastructure may reduce risk in best estimates of future conditions, but it may not keep risk low in many other plausible futures. Thus, the infrastructure may not be sufficiently robust. The analysis further suggests that adaptation and retreat measures, particularly when used adaptively, can play an important role in reducing this risk. The study examines the conditions under which robust decision making concepts and full robust decision making analyses may prove useful in developing countries. It finds that planning efforts in developing countries should at minimum use models and data to evaluate their decisions under a wide range of conditions. Full robust decision making analyses can also augment existing planning efforts in numerous ways.
format	Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author	Lempert, Robert Kalra, Nidhi Peyraud, Suzanne Mao, Zhimin Tan, Sinh Bach Cira, Dean Lotsch, Alexander
author_facet	Lempert, Robert Kalra, Nidhi Peyraud, Suzanne Mao, Zhimin Tan, Sinh Bach Cira, Dean Lotsch, Alexander
author_sort	Lempert, Robert
title	Ensuring Robust Flood Risk Management in Ho Chi Minh City
title_short	Ensuring Robust Flood Risk Management in Ho Chi Minh City
title_full	Ensuring Robust Flood Risk Management in Ho Chi Minh City
title_fullStr	Ensuring Robust Flood Risk Management in Ho Chi Minh City
title_full_unstemmed	Ensuring Robust Flood Risk Management in Ho Chi Minh City
title_sort	ensuring robust flood risk management in ho chi minh city
publisher	World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate	2013
url	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2013/05/17784406/ensuring-robust-flood-risk-management-ho-chi-minh-city http://hdl.handle.net/10986/15603
_version_	1764429576871608320

Ensuring Robust Flood Risk Management in Ho Chi Minh City

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