Food Price Spikes, Price Insulation, and Poverty

This paper has two purposes. It first considers the impact on world food prices of the changes in restrictions on trade in staple foods during the 2008 world food price crisis. Those changes -- reductions in import protection or increases in export...

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Main Authors: Anderson, Kym, Ivanic, Maros, Martin, Will
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2013
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2013/07/18020399/food-price-spikes-price-insulation-poverty
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/15893
id okr-10986-15893
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-158932021-04-23T14:03:26Z Food Price Spikes, Price Insulation, and Poverty Anderson, Kym Ivanic, Maros Martin, Will AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS AGRICULTURAL PRICE AGRICULTURAL WAGES AGRICULTURE BALANCE SHEET BARS BORDER PRICE CASH TRANSFERS CEREALS COMMODITIES COMMODITY COMMODITY PRICE COMMODITY PRICE STABILIZATION COMMODITY PRICES COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY CONSUMER PRICE CONSUMER PRICE INDEX DAIRY DATES DEMAND ELASTICITY DEMAND FOR FOOD DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPING COUNTRY DOMESTIC MARKET DOMESTIC MARKETS DOMESTIC PRICE DOMESTIC PRICES ECONOMIC GROWTH EDIBLE OILS EXPENDITURE EXPENDITURES FARM HOUSEHOLDS FARMERS FINANCIAL CRISIS FOOD CONSUMPTION FOOD EXPENDITURE FOOD EXPENDITURES FOOD ITEMS FOOD POLICY FOOD PRICE FOOD PRICES FOOD PRODUCTS FOOD STAPLES FRUITS FUTURE PRICE FUTURES GLOBAL MARKET GLOBAL POVERTY GRAINS GROUNDNUTS HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD SURVEY IMPORT SUBSIDIES INCOME INCOME EFFECTS INCOME GROUPS INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES INVENTORY LIBERALIZATION LOCAL CURRENCY LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES MAIZE MARKET PRICES MARKET SHARE MARKETPLACE MEATS MIDDLE-INCOME COUNTRIES OIL PRODUCTS OUTPUT PALM OIL POOR POOR COUNTRIES POOR HOUSEHOLDS POOR PEOPLE POOR POPULATIONS POOR RURAL PEOPLE POVERTY ESTIMATES POVERTY IMPACT POVERTY LINE POVERTY RATES POVERTY REDUCTION POWER PARITY PRICE CHANGE PRICE CHANGES PRICE DISTORTIONS PRICE INCREASE PRICE INCREASES PRICE LEVEL PRICE LEVELS PRICE SERIES PRICE STABILIZATION PRICE VOLATILITY PRICING POLICIES PRODUCER PRICE PRODUCER PRICE INDEX PURCHASING PURCHASING POWER REPUTATION RISK MANAGEMENT RURAL RURAL DEVELOPMENT SAFETY NET MEASURES SALE SALES SHARE OF WORLD OUTPUT SMALL COUNTRIES SOCIAL PROTECTION SOCIAL SAFETY NET SOCIAL SAFETY NETS SOYBEAN SOYBEANS STAPLE FOODS STOCKS SUGAR SUPPLIERS SUPPLY ELASTICITY TAX RATES TRADE TAX TRADE TAXES URBANIZATION VEGETABLES WHEAT WORLD MARKET WORLD TRADE international price transmission loss aversion trade and poverty This paper has two purposes. It first considers the impact on world food prices of the changes in restrictions on trade in staple foods during the 2008 world food price crisis. Those changes -- reductions in import protection or increases in export restraints -- were meant to partially insulate domestic markets from the spike in international prices. The authors find that this insulation added substantially to the spike in international prices for rice, wheat, maize, and oilseeds. As a result, although domestic prices rose less than they would have without insulation in some developing countries, in many other countries they rose more than they would have in the absence of such insulation. The paper's second purpose it to estimate the combined impact of such insulating behavior on poverty in various developing countries and globally. The analysis finds that the actual poverty-reducing impact of insulation is much less than its apparent impact, and that its net effect was to increase global poverty in 2008 by 8 million people, although this increase was not significantly different from zero. Since there are domestic policy instruments, such as conditional cash transfers, that could now provide social protection for the poor far more efficiently and equitably than variations in border restrictions, the authors suggest it is time to seek a multilateral agreement to desist from changing restrictions on trade when international food prices spike. 2013-09-26T20:47:04Z 2013-09-26T20:47:04Z 2013-07 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2013/07/18020399/food-price-spikes-price-insulation-poverty http://hdl.handle.net/10986/15893 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 6535 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES
AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS
AGRICULTURAL PRICE
AGRICULTURAL WAGES
AGRICULTURE
BALANCE SHEET
BARS
BORDER PRICE
CASH TRANSFERS
CEREALS
COMMODITIES
COMMODITY
COMMODITY PRICE
COMMODITY PRICE STABILIZATION
COMMODITY PRICES
COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY
CONSUMER PRICE
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
DAIRY
DATES
DEMAND ELASTICITY
DEMAND FOR FOOD
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING COUNTRY
DOMESTIC MARKET
DOMESTIC MARKETS
DOMESTIC PRICE
DOMESTIC PRICES
ECONOMIC GROWTH
EDIBLE OILS
EXPENDITURE
EXPENDITURES
FARM HOUSEHOLDS
FARMERS
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FOOD CONSUMPTION
FOOD EXPENDITURE
FOOD EXPENDITURES
FOOD ITEMS
FOOD POLICY
FOOD PRICE
FOOD PRICES
FOOD PRODUCTS
FOOD STAPLES
FRUITS
FUTURE PRICE
FUTURES
GLOBAL MARKET
GLOBAL POVERTY
GRAINS
GROUNDNUTS
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
HOUSEHOLD SURVEY
IMPORT SUBSIDIES
INCOME
INCOME EFFECTS
INCOME GROUPS
INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES
INVENTORY
LIBERALIZATION
LOCAL CURRENCY
LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES
MAIZE
MARKET PRICES
MARKET SHARE
MARKETPLACE
MEATS
MIDDLE-INCOME COUNTRIES
OIL PRODUCTS
OUTPUT
PALM OIL
POOR
POOR COUNTRIES
POOR HOUSEHOLDS
POOR PEOPLE
POOR POPULATIONS
POOR RURAL PEOPLE
POVERTY ESTIMATES
POVERTY IMPACT
POVERTY LINE
POVERTY RATES
POVERTY REDUCTION
POWER PARITY
PRICE CHANGE
PRICE CHANGES
PRICE DISTORTIONS
PRICE INCREASE
PRICE INCREASES
PRICE LEVEL
PRICE LEVELS
PRICE SERIES
PRICE STABILIZATION
PRICE VOLATILITY
PRICING POLICIES
PRODUCER PRICE
PRODUCER PRICE INDEX
PURCHASING
PURCHASING POWER
REPUTATION
RISK MANAGEMENT
RURAL
RURAL DEVELOPMENT
SAFETY NET MEASURES
SALE
SALES
SHARE OF WORLD OUTPUT
SMALL COUNTRIES
SOCIAL PROTECTION
SOCIAL SAFETY NET
SOCIAL SAFETY NETS
SOYBEAN
SOYBEANS
STAPLE FOODS
STOCKS
SUGAR
SUPPLIERS
SUPPLY ELASTICITY
TAX RATES
TRADE TAX
TRADE TAXES
URBANIZATION
VEGETABLES
WHEAT
WORLD MARKET
WORLD TRADE
international price transmission
loss aversion
trade and poverty
spellingShingle AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES
AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS
AGRICULTURAL PRICE
AGRICULTURAL WAGES
AGRICULTURE
BALANCE SHEET
BARS
BORDER PRICE
CASH TRANSFERS
CEREALS
COMMODITIES
COMMODITY
COMMODITY PRICE
COMMODITY PRICE STABILIZATION
COMMODITY PRICES
COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY
CONSUMER PRICE
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
DAIRY
DATES
DEMAND ELASTICITY
DEMAND FOR FOOD
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING COUNTRY
DOMESTIC MARKET
DOMESTIC MARKETS
DOMESTIC PRICE
DOMESTIC PRICES
ECONOMIC GROWTH
EDIBLE OILS
EXPENDITURE
EXPENDITURES
FARM HOUSEHOLDS
FARMERS
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FOOD CONSUMPTION
FOOD EXPENDITURE
FOOD EXPENDITURES
FOOD ITEMS
FOOD POLICY
FOOD PRICE
FOOD PRICES
FOOD PRODUCTS
FOOD STAPLES
FRUITS
FUTURE PRICE
FUTURES
GLOBAL MARKET
GLOBAL POVERTY
GRAINS
GROUNDNUTS
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
HOUSEHOLD SURVEY
IMPORT SUBSIDIES
INCOME
INCOME EFFECTS
INCOME GROUPS
INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES
INVENTORY
LIBERALIZATION
LOCAL CURRENCY
LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES
MAIZE
MARKET PRICES
MARKET SHARE
MARKETPLACE
MEATS
MIDDLE-INCOME COUNTRIES
OIL PRODUCTS
OUTPUT
PALM OIL
POOR
POOR COUNTRIES
POOR HOUSEHOLDS
POOR PEOPLE
POOR POPULATIONS
POOR RURAL PEOPLE
POVERTY ESTIMATES
POVERTY IMPACT
POVERTY LINE
POVERTY RATES
POVERTY REDUCTION
POWER PARITY
PRICE CHANGE
PRICE CHANGES
PRICE DISTORTIONS
PRICE INCREASE
PRICE INCREASES
PRICE LEVEL
PRICE LEVELS
PRICE SERIES
PRICE STABILIZATION
PRICE VOLATILITY
PRICING POLICIES
PRODUCER PRICE
PRODUCER PRICE INDEX
PURCHASING
PURCHASING POWER
REPUTATION
RISK MANAGEMENT
RURAL
RURAL DEVELOPMENT
SAFETY NET MEASURES
SALE
SALES
SHARE OF WORLD OUTPUT
SMALL COUNTRIES
SOCIAL PROTECTION
SOCIAL SAFETY NET
SOCIAL SAFETY NETS
SOYBEAN
SOYBEANS
STAPLE FOODS
STOCKS
SUGAR
SUPPLIERS
SUPPLY ELASTICITY
TAX RATES
TRADE TAX
TRADE TAXES
URBANIZATION
VEGETABLES
WHEAT
WORLD MARKET
WORLD TRADE
international price transmission
loss aversion
trade and poverty
Anderson, Kym
Ivanic, Maros
Martin, Will
Food Price Spikes, Price Insulation, and Poverty
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 6535
description This paper has two purposes. It first considers the impact on world food prices of the changes in restrictions on trade in staple foods during the 2008 world food price crisis. Those changes -- reductions in import protection or increases in export restraints -- were meant to partially insulate domestic markets from the spike in international prices. The authors find that this insulation added substantially to the spike in international prices for rice, wheat, maize, and oilseeds. As a result, although domestic prices rose less than they would have without insulation in some developing countries, in many other countries they rose more than they would have in the absence of such insulation. The paper's second purpose it to estimate the combined impact of such insulating behavior on poverty in various developing countries and globally. The analysis finds that the actual poverty-reducing impact of insulation is much less than its apparent impact, and that its net effect was to increase global poverty in 2008 by 8 million people, although this increase was not significantly different from zero. Since there are domestic policy instruments, such as conditional cash transfers, that could now provide social protection for the poor far more efficiently and equitably than variations in border restrictions, the authors suggest it is time to seek a multilateral agreement to desist from changing restrictions on trade when international food prices spike.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Anderson, Kym
Ivanic, Maros
Martin, Will
author_facet Anderson, Kym
Ivanic, Maros
Martin, Will
author_sort Anderson, Kym
title Food Price Spikes, Price Insulation, and Poverty
title_short Food Price Spikes, Price Insulation, and Poverty
title_full Food Price Spikes, Price Insulation, and Poverty
title_fullStr Food Price Spikes, Price Insulation, and Poverty
title_full_unstemmed Food Price Spikes, Price Insulation, and Poverty
title_sort food price spikes, price insulation, and poverty
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2013
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2013/07/18020399/food-price-spikes-price-insulation-poverty
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/15893
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