Growth and Volatility Analysis Using Wavelets

The magnitude and persistence of growth in gross domestic product are topics of intense scrutiny by economists. Although the existing techniques provide a range of tools to study the nature of growth and volatility time series, these usually come w...

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Main Authors: Maslova, Inga, Onder, Harun, Sanghi, Apurva
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2013
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2013/08/18124857/growth-volatility-analysis-using-wavelets
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/16011
id okr-10986-16011
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-160112021-04-23T14:03:27Z Growth and Volatility Analysis Using Wavelets Maslova, Inga Onder, Harun Sanghi, Apurva AMERICAN ECONOMIC ASSOCIATION AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW AVERAGE GROWTH AVERAGE GROWTH RATE AVERAGE GROWTH RATES BLACK MARKET BLACK MARKET PREMIUM BUSINESS CYCLE BUSINESS CYCLE VOLATILITY BUSINESS CYCLES CAPITA GROWTH COMMODITY COMMODITY PRICE COMMODITY PRICES CONSUMPTION GROWTH CORRELATION ANALYSIS CORRELATION COEFFICIENT CORRELATIONS CREDIT CONSTRAINTS CROSS COUNTRY CUSTOMS UNION DATA AVAILABILITY DEBT DEBT CRISIS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPING ECONOMIES DEVELOPMENT POLICY DOMESTIC ECONOMY ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES ECONOMIC DECLINE ECONOMIC DOWNTURN ECONOMIC DOWNTURNS ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC MANAGEMENT ECONOMIC POLICY ECONOMIC REFORM ECONOMIC UNIONS ECONOMICS ESTIMATORS FINANCIAL DATA FLUCTUATIONS FOREIGN CURRENCIES FREE TRADE FUNCTIONAL FORM GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT GROWTH LITERATURE GROWTH PERFORMANCE GROWTH PROCESS GROWTH RATES GROWTH RELATIONSHIP HIGH INCOME HIGH INCOME COUNTRIES IMPACT OF VOLATILITY INCOME INCOME GROUP INCOMES INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS LINK BETWEEN VOLATILITY LONG RUN LONG-TERM GROWTH LOW INCOME LOW INCOME COUNTRIES LOW INCOME COUNTRY MACROECONOMIC DYNAMICS MARGINAL PROPENSITY MEDIUM TERM METHODOLOGY MIDDLE INCOME MONETARY UNION NEGATIVE EFFECT OUTPUT OUTPUT GROWTH PER CAPITA GROWTH PER CAPITA INCOME PER CAPITA INCOME LEVELS POLICY MAKERS POLICY RESEARCH POVERTY REDUCTION PURCHASING POWER PURCHASING POWER PARITY RAPID GROWTH REGIONAL INTEGRATION RESEARCH WORKING PAPERS RICH COUNTRIES RISK SHARING SHARP REDUCTION SIGNIFICANT CORRELATION STRUCTURAL BREAK TECHNIQUES TIME SERIES ANALYSIS VARIABILITY VOLATILITY wavelets growth acceleration The magnitude and persistence of growth in gross domestic product are topics of intense scrutiny by economists. Although the existing techniques provide a range of tools to study the nature of growth and volatility time series, these usually come with shortcomings, including the need to arbitrarily define acceleration spells, and focus on a particular frequency at a time. This paper explores the application of "wavelet-based" techniques to study the time-varying nature of growth and volatility. These techniques lend themselves to a more robust analysis of short-term and long-term determinants of growth and volatility than the traditional decomposition techniques, as demonstrated on a small sample of countries. In addition to having desirable technical advantages, such as localization in time and frequency and the ability to work with non-stationary series, these techniques also make it possible to accurately decompose the association between growth trajectories of different countries over different time horizons. Such "co-movement" analysis can provide policy makers with important insights on regional integration, growth poles, and how short and long term developments in other countries affect their domestic economy. 2013-10-02T16:52:05Z 2013-10-02T16:52:05Z 2013-08 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2013/08/18124857/growth-volatility-analysis-using-wavelets http://hdl.handle.net/10986/16011 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 6578 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic AMERICAN ECONOMIC ASSOCIATION
AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW
AVERAGE GROWTH
AVERAGE GROWTH RATE
AVERAGE GROWTH RATES
BLACK MARKET
BLACK MARKET PREMIUM
BUSINESS CYCLE
BUSINESS CYCLE VOLATILITY
BUSINESS CYCLES
CAPITA GROWTH
COMMODITY
COMMODITY PRICE
COMMODITY PRICES
CONSUMPTION GROWTH
CORRELATION ANALYSIS
CORRELATION COEFFICIENT
CORRELATIONS
CREDIT CONSTRAINTS
CROSS COUNTRY
CUSTOMS UNION
DATA AVAILABILITY
DEBT
DEBT CRISIS
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING ECONOMIES
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
DOMESTIC ECONOMY
ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES
ECONOMIC DECLINE
ECONOMIC DOWNTURN
ECONOMIC DOWNTURNS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC MANAGEMENT
ECONOMIC POLICY
ECONOMIC REFORM
ECONOMIC UNIONS
ECONOMICS
ESTIMATORS
FINANCIAL DATA
FLUCTUATIONS
FOREIGN CURRENCIES
FREE TRADE
FUNCTIONAL FORM
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
GROWTH LITERATURE
GROWTH PERFORMANCE
GROWTH PROCESS
GROWTH RATES
GROWTH RELATIONSHIP
HIGH INCOME
HIGH INCOME COUNTRIES
IMPACT OF VOLATILITY
INCOME
INCOME GROUP
INCOMES
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS
LINK BETWEEN VOLATILITY
LONG RUN
LONG-TERM GROWTH
LOW INCOME
LOW INCOME COUNTRIES
LOW INCOME COUNTRY
MACROECONOMIC DYNAMICS
MARGINAL PROPENSITY
MEDIUM TERM
METHODOLOGY
MIDDLE INCOME
MONETARY UNION
NEGATIVE EFFECT
OUTPUT
OUTPUT GROWTH
PER CAPITA GROWTH
PER CAPITA INCOME
PER CAPITA INCOME LEVELS
POLICY MAKERS
POLICY RESEARCH
POVERTY REDUCTION
PURCHASING POWER
PURCHASING POWER PARITY
RAPID GROWTH
REGIONAL INTEGRATION
RESEARCH WORKING PAPERS
RICH COUNTRIES
RISK SHARING
SHARP REDUCTION
SIGNIFICANT CORRELATION
STRUCTURAL BREAK
TECHNIQUES
TIME SERIES ANALYSIS
VARIABILITY
VOLATILITY
wavelets
growth acceleration
spellingShingle AMERICAN ECONOMIC ASSOCIATION
AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW
AVERAGE GROWTH
AVERAGE GROWTH RATE
AVERAGE GROWTH RATES
BLACK MARKET
BLACK MARKET PREMIUM
BUSINESS CYCLE
BUSINESS CYCLE VOLATILITY
BUSINESS CYCLES
CAPITA GROWTH
COMMODITY
COMMODITY PRICE
COMMODITY PRICES
CONSUMPTION GROWTH
CORRELATION ANALYSIS
CORRELATION COEFFICIENT
CORRELATIONS
CREDIT CONSTRAINTS
CROSS COUNTRY
CUSTOMS UNION
DATA AVAILABILITY
DEBT
DEBT CRISIS
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING ECONOMIES
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
DOMESTIC ECONOMY
ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES
ECONOMIC DECLINE
ECONOMIC DOWNTURN
ECONOMIC DOWNTURNS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC MANAGEMENT
ECONOMIC POLICY
ECONOMIC REFORM
ECONOMIC UNIONS
ECONOMICS
ESTIMATORS
FINANCIAL DATA
FLUCTUATIONS
FOREIGN CURRENCIES
FREE TRADE
FUNCTIONAL FORM
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
GROWTH LITERATURE
GROWTH PERFORMANCE
GROWTH PROCESS
GROWTH RATES
GROWTH RELATIONSHIP
HIGH INCOME
HIGH INCOME COUNTRIES
IMPACT OF VOLATILITY
INCOME
INCOME GROUP
INCOMES
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS
LINK BETWEEN VOLATILITY
LONG RUN
LONG-TERM GROWTH
LOW INCOME
LOW INCOME COUNTRIES
LOW INCOME COUNTRY
MACROECONOMIC DYNAMICS
MARGINAL PROPENSITY
MEDIUM TERM
METHODOLOGY
MIDDLE INCOME
MONETARY UNION
NEGATIVE EFFECT
OUTPUT
OUTPUT GROWTH
PER CAPITA GROWTH
PER CAPITA INCOME
PER CAPITA INCOME LEVELS
POLICY MAKERS
POLICY RESEARCH
POVERTY REDUCTION
PURCHASING POWER
PURCHASING POWER PARITY
RAPID GROWTH
REGIONAL INTEGRATION
RESEARCH WORKING PAPERS
RICH COUNTRIES
RISK SHARING
SHARP REDUCTION
SIGNIFICANT CORRELATION
STRUCTURAL BREAK
TECHNIQUES
TIME SERIES ANALYSIS
VARIABILITY
VOLATILITY
wavelets
growth acceleration
Maslova, Inga
Onder, Harun
Sanghi, Apurva
Growth and Volatility Analysis Using Wavelets
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 6578
description The magnitude and persistence of growth in gross domestic product are topics of intense scrutiny by economists. Although the existing techniques provide a range of tools to study the nature of growth and volatility time series, these usually come with shortcomings, including the need to arbitrarily define acceleration spells, and focus on a particular frequency at a time. This paper explores the application of "wavelet-based" techniques to study the time-varying nature of growth and volatility. These techniques lend themselves to a more robust analysis of short-term and long-term determinants of growth and volatility than the traditional decomposition techniques, as demonstrated on a small sample of countries. In addition to having desirable technical advantages, such as localization in time and frequency and the ability to work with non-stationary series, these techniques also make it possible to accurately decompose the association between growth trajectories of different countries over different time horizons. Such "co-movement" analysis can provide policy makers with important insights on regional integration, growth poles, and how short and long term developments in other countries affect their domestic economy.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Maslova, Inga
Onder, Harun
Sanghi, Apurva
author_facet Maslova, Inga
Onder, Harun
Sanghi, Apurva
author_sort Maslova, Inga
title Growth and Volatility Analysis Using Wavelets
title_short Growth and Volatility Analysis Using Wavelets
title_full Growth and Volatility Analysis Using Wavelets
title_fullStr Growth and Volatility Analysis Using Wavelets
title_full_unstemmed Growth and Volatility Analysis Using Wavelets
title_sort growth and volatility analysis using wavelets
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2013
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2013/08/18124857/growth-volatility-analysis-using-wavelets
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/16011
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