Bulgaria : Options to Improve Security of Gas Supply
This report presents the findings of a study aiming to define the least cost short (up to 2015) and medium term (up to 2020) measures that the Government of Bulgaria (GoB) can implement to meet gas security of supply requirements seen in the light...
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| Format: | Energy Study |
| Language: | English en_US |
| Published: |
Washington, DC
2013
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| Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2013/06/17899907/bulgaria-options-improve-security-gas-supply http://hdl.handle.net/10986/16080 |
| Summary: | This report presents the findings of a
study aiming to define the least cost short (up to 2015) and
medium term (up to 2020) measures that the Government of
Bulgaria (GoB) can implement to meet gas security of supply
requirements seen in the light of Bulgaria's
vulnerability to gas supply disruptions and its increasingly
important role for regional gas cross-border transmission
and trade. Bulgarian gas demand is of modest size (3.0 bcm
in 2011) and natural gas only plays a small role in
Bulgaria's energy mix (14 percent of the total primary
energy supply). Over the next ten years gas demand patterns
are likely to change, however, and consumption levels are
expected to grow steadily. The growth rate of gas demand and
its importance in the supply mix will be driven by choices
of electricity generation strategy and the rate of household
gasification. There is a significant risk that a gas-focused
electricity strategy would reduce Bulgaria's overall
security of supply. However, this would only be the case if
the new gas supply was contracted from the same sources and
routes as the existing contracts (from Russia via Ukraine)
and if the gas-fired power plants did not have back-up
fuels. Conversely, if Bulgaria is able to secure new gas
contracts from other sources delivered via new routes, and
if back-up fuels are provided at those plants, then Bulgaria
could increase its gas consumption while increasing its
overall energy security of supply. This issue is at the core
of the present report. |
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