Emerging Markets Instability : Do Sovereign Ratings Affect Country Risk and Stock Returns?

Financial market instability has been the focus of attention of both academic and policy circles. Rating agencies have been under particular scrutiny lately as promoters of financial excesses, upgrading countries in good times and downgrading them in bad times. Using a panel of emerging economie...

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Main Authors: Kaminsky, Graciela, Schmukler, Sergio L.
Format: Journal Article
Language:en_US
Published: World Bank 2013
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10986/16217
id okr-10986-16217
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-162172021-04-23T14:03:28Z Emerging Markets Instability : Do Sovereign Ratings Affect Country Risk and Stock Returns? Kaminsky, Graciela Schmukler, Sergio L. credit ratings emerging markets country risk stock returns financial markets spillover effects Financial market instability has been the focus of attention of both academic and policy circles. Rating agencies have been under particular scrutiny lately as promoters of financial excesses, upgrading countries in good times and downgrading them in bad times. Using a panel of emerging economies, this paper examines whether sovereign ratings affect financial markets. We find that changes in sovereign ratings have an impact on country risk and stock returns. We also find that these changes are transmitted across countries, with neighbor-country effects being more significant. Rating upgrades (downgrades) tend to occur following market rallies (downturns). Countries with more vulnerable economies, as measured by low ratings, are more sensitive to changes in U.S. interest rates. 2013-11-04T22:53:38Z 2013-11-04T22:53:38Z 2002-05-30 Journal Article World Bank Economic Review 1564-698X http://hdl.handle.net/10986/16217 en_US CC BY-NC-ND 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank Journal Article East Asia and Pacific Latin America & Caribbean
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language en_US
topic credit ratings
emerging markets
country risk
stock returns
financial markets
spillover effects
spellingShingle credit ratings
emerging markets
country risk
stock returns
financial markets
spillover effects
Kaminsky, Graciela
Schmukler, Sergio L.
Emerging Markets Instability : Do Sovereign Ratings Affect Country Risk and Stock Returns?
geographic_facet East Asia and Pacific
Latin America & Caribbean
description Financial market instability has been the focus of attention of both academic and policy circles. Rating agencies have been under particular scrutiny lately as promoters of financial excesses, upgrading countries in good times and downgrading them in bad times. Using a panel of emerging economies, this paper examines whether sovereign ratings affect financial markets. We find that changes in sovereign ratings have an impact on country risk and stock returns. We also find that these changes are transmitted across countries, with neighbor-country effects being more significant. Rating upgrades (downgrades) tend to occur following market rallies (downturns). Countries with more vulnerable economies, as measured by low ratings, are more sensitive to changes in U.S. interest rates.
format Journal Article
author Kaminsky, Graciela
Schmukler, Sergio L.
author_facet Kaminsky, Graciela
Schmukler, Sergio L.
author_sort Kaminsky, Graciela
title Emerging Markets Instability : Do Sovereign Ratings Affect Country Risk and Stock Returns?
title_short Emerging Markets Instability : Do Sovereign Ratings Affect Country Risk and Stock Returns?
title_full Emerging Markets Instability : Do Sovereign Ratings Affect Country Risk and Stock Returns?
title_fullStr Emerging Markets Instability : Do Sovereign Ratings Affect Country Risk and Stock Returns?
title_full_unstemmed Emerging Markets Instability : Do Sovereign Ratings Affect Country Risk and Stock Returns?
title_sort emerging markets instability : do sovereign ratings affect country risk and stock returns?
publisher World Bank
publishDate 2013
url http://hdl.handle.net/10986/16217
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