Afghanistan Economic Update, October 2013

Uncertainty surrounding the political and security transition in Afghanistan has led to a slowdown in economic growth in 2013, following strong growth in 2012. After a decade of strong fiscal performance, revenue collection has weakened in 2013, po...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Khan, Faruk, Joya, Omar
Format: Economic Updates and Modeling
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2014
Subjects:
CPI
GDP
M2
OIL
TAX
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2013/10/18433329/afghanistan-economic-update-poverty-reduction-economic-management
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/16656
id okr-10986-16656
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic ACCESS TO FINANCE
ACCOUNTING
ADMINISTRATIVE BURDEN
ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT
ADVISORY SERVICES
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION
AGRICULTURAL SECTOR
AGRICULTURAL SECTORS
AGRICULTURE
AID DEPENDENT
AUDITS
BANK FINANCING
BANK POLICY
BANKING LAW
BANKING SECTOR
BINDING CONSTRAINT
BROAD MONEY
CAPACITY DEVELOPMENT
CAPITAL FLIGHT
CAPITAL FORMATION
CAPITAL INFLOWS
COLLATERAL
COLLATERAL REGISTRY
COMMERCIAL BANKS
COMMODITY
COMMODITY PRICES
CONSUMER SPENDING
CONTRACT ENFORCEMENT
CORRUPTION
CPI
CREDIT BUREAU
CREDITS
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT
DEBT
DECISION MAKING
DEMOGRAPHIC
DEPOSIT
DEPOSITS
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
DOMESTIC INVESTORS
ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC IMPACT
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
ECONOMIC SECTOR WORK
ECONOMICS
EDUCATION SYSTEM
EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE
ENABLING ENVIRONMENT
ENROLLMENT
ENVIRONMENTAL
ENVIRONMENTAL BENEFITS
EXPENDITURE
EXPENDITURES
EXPORTER
EXPORTS
EXPOSURE
EXTERNAL DEBT
EXTERNAL TRADE
EXTERNALITIES
FAMILIES
FAMILY BUSINESSES
FARMERS
FINANCE CORPORATION
FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FINANCIAL MARKETS DEVELOPMENT
FINANCIAL SECTOR
FINANCIAL SECTORS
FINANCING NEEDS
FIXED CAPITAL
FLEXIBLE EXCHANGE RATE
FOOD PRICE
FOOD PRICES
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES
FOREIGN FIRMS
GDP
GDP PER CAPITA
GOOD GOVERNANCE
GOVERNMENT FINANCE
GOVERNMENT INVESTMENTS
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH RATES
GUARANTEE AGENCY
HUMAN CAPITAL
INCOME
INCOME TAX
INCOMES
INFLATION
INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT
INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENTS
INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT
INTERNATIONAL FINANCE
INTERNATIONAL RESERVES
INTERNATIONAL SECURITY
INVENTORIES
INVESTMENT CLIMATE
INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO
INVESTOR CONFIDENCE
JOB CREATION
LABOR FORCE
LABOR MARKET
LEGISLATIVE FRAMEWORK
LOAN
LOAN-TO-DEPOSIT RATIO
LOCAL CURRENCY
M2
MATURITY
MINES
MONEY GROWTH
NATURAL RESOURCE
NATURAL RESOURCES
NEW COMPANIES
OIL
OPEN MARKET
OPEN MARKET OPERATIONS
OUTPUT
OUTPUTS
OUTREACH
PENSION
PHYSICAL CAPITAL
PLEDGES
POLICY DECISIONS
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POLITICAL UNCERTAINTY
PORTFOLIO
PRICE INCREASES
PRIVATE INVESTMENT
PRIVATE SECTOR DEVELOPMENT
PROFITABILITY
PROPERTY TAX
PUBLIC CREDIT
PUBLIC EXPENDITURES
PUBLIC INVESTMENT
PUBLIC POLICIES
PUBLIC POLICY
RAPID EXPANSION
RATE OF RETURN
REAL ESTATE
REAL GDP
REFORM PROGRAM
REGIONAL INTEGRATION
REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT
REGULATORY FRAMEWORK
REGULATORY OVERSIGHT
RESERVE
RISK MANAGEMENT
RISK PERCEPTION
RULE OF LAW
RURAL ACCESS
SAFETY NET
SUPPLY CHAINS
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
TAX
TAX CODE
TAX INCENTIVES
TAX RATE
TAX RATES
TAX REVENUE
TAX REVENUES
TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE
TELECOMMUNICATIONS
TOTAL REVENUE
TRADE BALANCE
TRADE DEFICIT
TRADING
TRANSPARENCY
TRANSPARENT PROCESSES
TRANSPORTATION SERVICES
TRUST FUND
VALUATION
VALUE ADDED
VOLATILITY
WITHDRAWAL
spellingShingle ACCESS TO FINANCE
ACCOUNTING
ADMINISTRATIVE BURDEN
ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT
ADVISORY SERVICES
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION
AGRICULTURAL SECTOR
AGRICULTURAL SECTORS
AGRICULTURE
AID DEPENDENT
AUDITS
BANK FINANCING
BANK POLICY
BANKING LAW
BANKING SECTOR
BINDING CONSTRAINT
BROAD MONEY
CAPACITY DEVELOPMENT
CAPITAL FLIGHT
CAPITAL FORMATION
CAPITAL INFLOWS
COLLATERAL
COLLATERAL REGISTRY
COMMERCIAL BANKS
COMMODITY
COMMODITY PRICES
CONSUMER SPENDING
CONTRACT ENFORCEMENT
CORRUPTION
CPI
CREDIT BUREAU
CREDITS
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT
DEBT
DECISION MAKING
DEMOGRAPHIC
DEPOSIT
DEPOSITS
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
DOMESTIC INVESTORS
ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC IMPACT
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
ECONOMIC SECTOR WORK
ECONOMICS
EDUCATION SYSTEM
EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE
ENABLING ENVIRONMENT
ENROLLMENT
ENVIRONMENTAL
ENVIRONMENTAL BENEFITS
EXPENDITURE
EXPENDITURES
EXPORTER
EXPORTS
EXPOSURE
EXTERNAL DEBT
EXTERNAL TRADE
EXTERNALITIES
FAMILIES
FAMILY BUSINESSES
FARMERS
FINANCE CORPORATION
FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FINANCIAL MARKETS DEVELOPMENT
FINANCIAL SECTOR
FINANCIAL SECTORS
FINANCING NEEDS
FIXED CAPITAL
FLEXIBLE EXCHANGE RATE
FOOD PRICE
FOOD PRICES
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES
FOREIGN FIRMS
GDP
GDP PER CAPITA
GOOD GOVERNANCE
GOVERNMENT FINANCE
GOVERNMENT INVESTMENTS
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH RATES
GUARANTEE AGENCY
HUMAN CAPITAL
INCOME
INCOME TAX
INCOMES
INFLATION
INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT
INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENTS
INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT
INTERNATIONAL FINANCE
INTERNATIONAL RESERVES
INTERNATIONAL SECURITY
INVENTORIES
INVESTMENT CLIMATE
INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO
INVESTOR CONFIDENCE
JOB CREATION
LABOR FORCE
LABOR MARKET
LEGISLATIVE FRAMEWORK
LOAN
LOAN-TO-DEPOSIT RATIO
LOCAL CURRENCY
M2
MATURITY
MINES
MONEY GROWTH
NATURAL RESOURCE
NATURAL RESOURCES
NEW COMPANIES
OIL
OPEN MARKET
OPEN MARKET OPERATIONS
OUTPUT
OUTPUTS
OUTREACH
PENSION
PHYSICAL CAPITAL
PLEDGES
POLICY DECISIONS
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POLITICAL UNCERTAINTY
PORTFOLIO
PRICE INCREASES
PRIVATE INVESTMENT
PRIVATE SECTOR DEVELOPMENT
PROFITABILITY
PROPERTY TAX
PUBLIC CREDIT
PUBLIC EXPENDITURES
PUBLIC INVESTMENT
PUBLIC POLICIES
PUBLIC POLICY
RAPID EXPANSION
RATE OF RETURN
REAL ESTATE
REAL GDP
REFORM PROGRAM
REGIONAL INTEGRATION
REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT
REGULATORY FRAMEWORK
REGULATORY OVERSIGHT
RESERVE
RISK MANAGEMENT
RISK PERCEPTION
RULE OF LAW
RURAL ACCESS
SAFETY NET
SUPPLY CHAINS
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
TAX
TAX CODE
TAX INCENTIVES
TAX RATE
TAX RATES
TAX REVENUE
TAX REVENUES
TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE
TELECOMMUNICATIONS
TOTAL REVENUE
TRADE BALANCE
TRADE DEFICIT
TRADING
TRANSPARENCY
TRANSPARENT PROCESSES
TRANSPORTATION SERVICES
TRUST FUND
VALUATION
VALUE ADDED
VOLATILITY
WITHDRAWAL
Khan, Faruk
Joya, Omar
Afghanistan Economic Update, October 2013
geographic_facet South Asia
Afghanistan
relation Afghanistan economic update;
description Uncertainty surrounding the political and security transition in Afghanistan has led to a slowdown in economic growth in 2013, following strong growth in 2012. After a decade of strong fiscal performance, revenue collection has weakened in 2013, potentially delaying Afghanistan's path toward self-reliance. In order to preserve fiscal sustainability, a concerted effort will be required going forward to improve revenue mobilization by strengthening tax and customs administration and by expediting introduction and implementation of the planned value-added tax. Afghanistan faces considerable expenditure needs in the areas of security, infrastructure development, service delivery, and operations and maintenance. Meeting these needs will also require significant grant assistance for the foreseeable future. In spite of the transition-related uncertainty and underperformance, Afghanistan will need to stay focused on its medium term structural reform goals. These include: (i) safeguarding sustainability by mobilizing revenue and securing grant assistance; (ii) supporting inclusive and job-creating post-transition growth by unlocking the potential of the agriculture and natural resource sectors and by tapping the potential of regional integration; (iii) improving upon the low levels of human capital and skills; and (iv) continuing to strengthen institutions and governance. This report is organized as follows: section one gives recent economic developments; section two presents economic outlook and medium term prospects; and section three presents structural policies for the medium term.
format Economic & Sector Work :: Economic Updates and Modeling
author Khan, Faruk
Joya, Omar
author_facet Khan, Faruk
Joya, Omar
author_sort Khan, Faruk
title Afghanistan Economic Update, October 2013
title_short Afghanistan Economic Update, October 2013
title_full Afghanistan Economic Update, October 2013
title_fullStr Afghanistan Economic Update, October 2013
title_full_unstemmed Afghanistan Economic Update, October 2013
title_sort afghanistan economic update, october 2013
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2014
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2013/10/18433329/afghanistan-economic-update-poverty-reduction-economic-management
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/16656
_version_ 1764433625319735296
spelling okr-10986-166562021-04-23T14:03:30Z Afghanistan Economic Update, October 2013 Khan, Faruk Joya, Omar ACCESS TO FINANCE ACCOUNTING ADMINISTRATIVE BURDEN ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT ADVISORY SERVICES AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL SECTOR AGRICULTURAL SECTORS AGRICULTURE AID DEPENDENT AUDITS BANK FINANCING BANK POLICY BANKING LAW BANKING SECTOR BINDING CONSTRAINT BROAD MONEY CAPACITY DEVELOPMENT CAPITAL FLIGHT CAPITAL FORMATION CAPITAL INFLOWS COLLATERAL COLLATERAL REGISTRY COMMERCIAL BANKS COMMODITY COMMODITY PRICES CONSUMER SPENDING CONTRACT ENFORCEMENT CORRUPTION CPI CREDIT BUREAU CREDITS CURRENT ACCOUNT CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT DEBT DECISION MAKING DEMOGRAPHIC DEPOSIT DEPOSITS DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE DEVELOPMENT POLICY DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY DOMESTIC INVESTORS ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES ECONOMIC ACTIVITY ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC IMPACT ECONOMIC OUTLOOK ECONOMIC SECTOR WORK ECONOMICS EDUCATION SYSTEM EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE ENABLING ENVIRONMENT ENROLLMENT ENVIRONMENTAL ENVIRONMENTAL BENEFITS EXPENDITURE EXPENDITURES EXPORTER EXPORTS EXPOSURE EXTERNAL DEBT EXTERNAL TRADE EXTERNALITIES FAMILIES FAMILY BUSINESSES FARMERS FINANCE CORPORATION FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT FINANCIAL MARKETS FINANCIAL MARKETS DEVELOPMENT FINANCIAL SECTOR FINANCIAL SECTORS FINANCING NEEDS FIXED CAPITAL FLEXIBLE EXCHANGE RATE FOOD PRICE FOOD PRICES FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT FOREIGN EXCHANGE FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES FOREIGN FIRMS GDP GDP PER CAPITA GOOD GOVERNANCE GOVERNMENT FINANCE GOVERNMENT INVESTMENTS GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION GROWTH RATE GROWTH RATES GUARANTEE AGENCY HUMAN CAPITAL INCOME INCOME TAX INCOMES INFLATION INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENTS INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT INTERNATIONAL FINANCE INTERNATIONAL RESERVES INTERNATIONAL SECURITY INVENTORIES INVESTMENT CLIMATE INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO INVESTOR CONFIDENCE JOB CREATION LABOR FORCE LABOR MARKET LEGISLATIVE FRAMEWORK LOAN LOAN-TO-DEPOSIT RATIO LOCAL CURRENCY M2 MATURITY MINES MONEY GROWTH NATURAL RESOURCE NATURAL RESOURCES NEW COMPANIES OIL OPEN MARKET OPEN MARKET OPERATIONS OUTPUT OUTPUTS OUTREACH PENSION PHYSICAL CAPITAL PLEDGES POLICY DECISIONS POLITICAL ECONOMY POLITICAL UNCERTAINTY PORTFOLIO PRICE INCREASES PRIVATE INVESTMENT PRIVATE SECTOR DEVELOPMENT PROFITABILITY PROPERTY TAX PUBLIC CREDIT PUBLIC EXPENDITURES PUBLIC INVESTMENT PUBLIC POLICIES PUBLIC POLICY RAPID EXPANSION RATE OF RETURN REAL ESTATE REAL GDP REFORM PROGRAM REGIONAL INTEGRATION REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT REGULATORY FRAMEWORK REGULATORY OVERSIGHT RESERVE RISK MANAGEMENT RISK PERCEPTION RULE OF LAW RURAL ACCESS SAFETY NET SUPPLY CHAINS SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT TAX TAX CODE TAX INCENTIVES TAX RATE TAX RATES TAX REVENUE TAX REVENUES TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE TELECOMMUNICATIONS TOTAL REVENUE TRADE BALANCE TRADE DEFICIT TRADING TRANSPARENCY TRANSPARENT PROCESSES TRANSPORTATION SERVICES TRUST FUND VALUATION VALUE ADDED VOLATILITY WITHDRAWAL Uncertainty surrounding the political and security transition in Afghanistan has led to a slowdown in economic growth in 2013, following strong growth in 2012. After a decade of strong fiscal performance, revenue collection has weakened in 2013, potentially delaying Afghanistan's path toward self-reliance. In order to preserve fiscal sustainability, a concerted effort will be required going forward to improve revenue mobilization by strengthening tax and customs administration and by expediting introduction and implementation of the planned value-added tax. Afghanistan faces considerable expenditure needs in the areas of security, infrastructure development, service delivery, and operations and maintenance. Meeting these needs will also require significant grant assistance for the foreseeable future. In spite of the transition-related uncertainty and underperformance, Afghanistan will need to stay focused on its medium term structural reform goals. These include: (i) safeguarding sustainability by mobilizing revenue and securing grant assistance; (ii) supporting inclusive and job-creating post-transition growth by unlocking the potential of the agriculture and natural resource sectors and by tapping the potential of regional integration; (iii) improving upon the low levels of human capital and skills; and (iv) continuing to strengthen institutions and governance. This report is organized as follows: section one gives recent economic developments; section two presents economic outlook and medium term prospects; and section three presents structural policies for the medium term. 2014-01-29T00:58:20Z 2014-01-29T00:58:20Z 2013-10 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2013/10/18433329/afghanistan-economic-update-poverty-reduction-economic-management http://hdl.handle.net/10986/16656 English en_US Afghanistan economic update; CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Economic & Sector Work :: Economic Updates and Modeling Economic & Sector Work South Asia Afghanistan