Triggers of Contract Breach : Contract Design, Shocks, or Institutions?

This paper constructs a large contract-level data set to examine factors that trigger breach of foreign investment contracts. Similar to the case of outright expropriation, political regime type is an important determinant of breach of contract. Fu...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Nose, Manabu
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2014
Subjects:
NPL
TAX
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/01/18756215/triggers-contract-breach-contract-design-shocks-or-institutions
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/16813
id okr-10986-16813
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic ADJUSTMENT MECHANISM
AFFILIATED ORGANIZATIONS
ARBITRAL AWARDS
ARBITRATION
ARBITRATIONS
BANK POLICY
BARGAINING
BARGAINING POWER
BILATERAL INVESTMENT TREATIES
BREACH
BREACH OF CONTRACT
BREACHES
BUSINESS CLIMATE
CAPITAL INVESTMENTS
CHECKS
CLAIMANT
COMMODITIES
COMMODITY
COMMODITY EXPORTS
COMMODITY PRICE
COMMODITY PRICES
COMPETITIVE BIDDING
CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE
CONTRACT DESIGN
CONTRACT DESIGNS
CONTRACT DISPUTES
CONTRACT ENFORCEMENT
CONTRACT RENEGOTIATION
CONTRACTUAL AGREEMENT
CONTRACTUAL DISPUTE
CONTRACTUAL DISPUTES
CONTRACTUAL OBLIGATIONS
CONTRACTUAL PERIOD
CONTRACTUAL TERMS
DATA AVAILABILITY
DECENTRALIZATION
DEMOCRACIES
DEMOCRACY
DEVALUATION
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING COUNTRY
DEVELOPMENT BANK
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DISTRIBUTION OF INCOME
DOUBLE TAXATION
DUMMY VARIABLE
ECONOMIC CRISIS
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC FLUCTUATIONS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC POLICIES
ECONOMICS
EQUITY INVESTMENTS
EXCHANGE RATE
EXISTING CONTRACTS
EXPIRATION OF CONTRACTS
EXPORTER
EXPORTERS
EXPOSURE
EXPOSURES
EXPROPRIATION
EXPROPRIATION RISK
EXPROPRIATIONS
EXTERNAL DEBT
FINANCE CORPORATION
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FISCAL CAPACITY
FIXED EFFECT MODEL
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
FOREIGN INVESTMENT
FOREIGN INVESTMENTS
FOREIGN INVESTORS
FOREIGN TRADE
GLOBALIZATION
GOVERNMENT GUARANTEE
GOVERNMENT GUARANTEES
GROWTH RATES
HOST COUNTRIES
HOST COUNTRY
HOST GOVERNMENT
HOST GOVERNMENTS
INCOME
INCOME INEQUALITY
INCOME LEVEL
INCOMPLETE CONTRACT
INCOMPLETE CONTRACTS
INFRASTRUCTURE CONCESSIONS
INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENTS
INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS
INITIAL CONTRACT
INSURANCE
INSURERS
INTERNATIONAL ARBITRATIONS
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL MARKET
INTERNATIONAL COMMERCIAL ARBITRATION
INTERNATIONAL COURT
INTERNATIONAL FINANCE
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
INTERNATIONAL INVESTORS
INTERNATIONAL LAW
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
INVESTING
INVESTMENT BANK
INVESTMENT CONTRACTS
INVESTMENT FLOWS
INVESTMENT PERIOD
LAW ENFORCEMENT
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY CONSTRAINT
LOCAL ECONOMY
LOCAL SECURITY
LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES
MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES
MARGINAL COST
MATURITY
MIDDLE-INCOME COUNTRIES
MONETARY FUND
MONOPOLY
MULTILATERAL INVESTMENT GUARANTEE AGENCY
MULTINATIONAL CORPORATIONS
NATURAL DISASTER
NATURAL DISASTERS
NATURAL RESOURCE
NATURAL RESOURCES
NEGATIVE INCOME SHOCKS
NEGOTIATIONS
NEW CONTRACT
NOMINAL VALUE
NPL
OIL PRICE
ORIGINAL CONTRACTS
PARTICIPATIONS
PAYMENT GUARANTEE
PAYMENT OBLIGATIONS
POLITICAL ECONOMICS
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POLITICAL INSTITUTIONS
POLITICAL POWER
POLITICAL POWERS
POLITICAL REGIME
POLITICAL RISK
POLITICAL RISK INSURANCE
PRICE ADJUSTMENT
PRICE CHANGE
PRICE RISK
PRICE SERIES
PRICE VOLATILITY
PRIVATE ENTITIES
PRIVATE INFRASTRUCTURE
PRIVATE INVESTMENT
PRIVATE INVESTMENTS
PRIVATE INVESTOR
PRIVATE INVESTORS
PRIVATIZATION
PROCUREMENT
PRODUCTIVE INVESTMENTS
PROFIT MARGIN
PROPERTY RIGHT
PROPERTY RIGHTS
PROVISION OF GUARANTEES
PUBLIC INVESTMENTS
PUBLIC POLICY
PUBLIC-PRIVATE PARTNERSHIP
REGIONAL DUMMIES
RENTS
REPUDIATION
REPUTATION
RISK APPETITE
RISK AVERSION
RISK MANAGEMENT
RISK REDUCTION
SETTLEMENT
SOLICITATION
SOVEREIGN DEBT
SOVEREIGN DEFAULT
SOVEREIGN DEFAULTS
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
TAX
TAX REVENUE
TAX REVENUES
TERMINATION
TRANSACTION
TRANSACTION COSTS
TRANSPARENCY
TREATIES
TREATY
TURNOVER
TURNOVERS
UNSOLICITED PROPOSALS
spellingShingle ADJUSTMENT MECHANISM
AFFILIATED ORGANIZATIONS
ARBITRAL AWARDS
ARBITRATION
ARBITRATIONS
BANK POLICY
BARGAINING
BARGAINING POWER
BILATERAL INVESTMENT TREATIES
BREACH
BREACH OF CONTRACT
BREACHES
BUSINESS CLIMATE
CAPITAL INVESTMENTS
CHECKS
CLAIMANT
COMMODITIES
COMMODITY
COMMODITY EXPORTS
COMMODITY PRICE
COMMODITY PRICES
COMPETITIVE BIDDING
CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE
CONTRACT DESIGN
CONTRACT DESIGNS
CONTRACT DISPUTES
CONTRACT ENFORCEMENT
CONTRACT RENEGOTIATION
CONTRACTUAL AGREEMENT
CONTRACTUAL DISPUTE
CONTRACTUAL DISPUTES
CONTRACTUAL OBLIGATIONS
CONTRACTUAL PERIOD
CONTRACTUAL TERMS
DATA AVAILABILITY
DECENTRALIZATION
DEMOCRACIES
DEMOCRACY
DEVALUATION
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING COUNTRY
DEVELOPMENT BANK
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DISTRIBUTION OF INCOME
DOUBLE TAXATION
DUMMY VARIABLE
ECONOMIC CRISIS
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC FLUCTUATIONS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC POLICIES
ECONOMICS
EQUITY INVESTMENTS
EXCHANGE RATE
EXISTING CONTRACTS
EXPIRATION OF CONTRACTS
EXPORTER
EXPORTERS
EXPOSURE
EXPOSURES
EXPROPRIATION
EXPROPRIATION RISK
EXPROPRIATIONS
EXTERNAL DEBT
FINANCE CORPORATION
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FISCAL CAPACITY
FIXED EFFECT MODEL
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
FOREIGN INVESTMENT
FOREIGN INVESTMENTS
FOREIGN INVESTORS
FOREIGN TRADE
GLOBALIZATION
GOVERNMENT GUARANTEE
GOVERNMENT GUARANTEES
GROWTH RATES
HOST COUNTRIES
HOST COUNTRY
HOST GOVERNMENT
HOST GOVERNMENTS
INCOME
INCOME INEQUALITY
INCOME LEVEL
INCOMPLETE CONTRACT
INCOMPLETE CONTRACTS
INFRASTRUCTURE CONCESSIONS
INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENTS
INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS
INITIAL CONTRACT
INSURANCE
INSURERS
INTERNATIONAL ARBITRATIONS
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL MARKET
INTERNATIONAL COMMERCIAL ARBITRATION
INTERNATIONAL COURT
INTERNATIONAL FINANCE
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
INTERNATIONAL INVESTORS
INTERNATIONAL LAW
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
INVESTING
INVESTMENT BANK
INVESTMENT CONTRACTS
INVESTMENT FLOWS
INVESTMENT PERIOD
LAW ENFORCEMENT
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY CONSTRAINT
LOCAL ECONOMY
LOCAL SECURITY
LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES
MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES
MARGINAL COST
MATURITY
MIDDLE-INCOME COUNTRIES
MONETARY FUND
MONOPOLY
MULTILATERAL INVESTMENT GUARANTEE AGENCY
MULTINATIONAL CORPORATIONS
NATURAL DISASTER
NATURAL DISASTERS
NATURAL RESOURCE
NATURAL RESOURCES
NEGATIVE INCOME SHOCKS
NEGOTIATIONS
NEW CONTRACT
NOMINAL VALUE
NPL
OIL PRICE
ORIGINAL CONTRACTS
PARTICIPATIONS
PAYMENT GUARANTEE
PAYMENT OBLIGATIONS
POLITICAL ECONOMICS
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POLITICAL INSTITUTIONS
POLITICAL POWER
POLITICAL POWERS
POLITICAL REGIME
POLITICAL RISK
POLITICAL RISK INSURANCE
PRICE ADJUSTMENT
PRICE CHANGE
PRICE RISK
PRICE SERIES
PRICE VOLATILITY
PRIVATE ENTITIES
PRIVATE INFRASTRUCTURE
PRIVATE INVESTMENT
PRIVATE INVESTMENTS
PRIVATE INVESTOR
PRIVATE INVESTORS
PRIVATIZATION
PROCUREMENT
PRODUCTIVE INVESTMENTS
PROFIT MARGIN
PROPERTY RIGHT
PROPERTY RIGHTS
PROVISION OF GUARANTEES
PUBLIC INVESTMENTS
PUBLIC POLICY
PUBLIC-PRIVATE PARTNERSHIP
REGIONAL DUMMIES
RENTS
REPUDIATION
REPUTATION
RISK APPETITE
RISK AVERSION
RISK MANAGEMENT
RISK REDUCTION
SETTLEMENT
SOLICITATION
SOVEREIGN DEBT
SOVEREIGN DEFAULT
SOVEREIGN DEFAULTS
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
TAX
TAX REVENUE
TAX REVENUES
TERMINATION
TRANSACTION
TRANSACTION COSTS
TRANSPARENCY
TREATIES
TREATY
TURNOVER
TURNOVERS
UNSOLICITED PROPOSALS
Nose, Manabu
Triggers of Contract Breach : Contract Design, Shocks, or Institutions?
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 6738
description This paper constructs a large contract-level data set to examine factors that trigger breach of foreign investment contracts. Similar to the case of outright expropriation, political regime type is an important determinant of breach of contract. Furthermore, although investors' bargaining power becomes obsolete as contracts mature, contracts can be designed to mitigate the risk of breach of contract by involving multilateral organizations and creating buffers to absorb commodity price shocks. The paper examines the type of countries prone to contract breaches. After controlling for regional and sector fixed effects, less-democratic and resource-dependent governments are more likely to breach contracts, especially after large global shocks, notably natural disasters.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Nose, Manabu
author_facet Nose, Manabu
author_sort Nose, Manabu
title Triggers of Contract Breach : Contract Design, Shocks, or Institutions?
title_short Triggers of Contract Breach : Contract Design, Shocks, or Institutions?
title_full Triggers of Contract Breach : Contract Design, Shocks, or Institutions?
title_fullStr Triggers of Contract Breach : Contract Design, Shocks, or Institutions?
title_full_unstemmed Triggers of Contract Breach : Contract Design, Shocks, or Institutions?
title_sort triggers of contract breach : contract design, shocks, or institutions?
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2014
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/01/18756215/triggers-contract-breach-contract-design-shocks-or-institutions
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/16813
_version_ 1764434929832165376
spelling okr-10986-168132021-04-23T14:03:33Z Triggers of Contract Breach : Contract Design, Shocks, or Institutions? Nose, Manabu ADJUSTMENT MECHANISM AFFILIATED ORGANIZATIONS ARBITRAL AWARDS ARBITRATION ARBITRATIONS BANK POLICY BARGAINING BARGAINING POWER BILATERAL INVESTMENT TREATIES BREACH BREACH OF CONTRACT BREACHES BUSINESS CLIMATE CAPITAL INVESTMENTS CHECKS CLAIMANT COMMODITIES COMMODITY COMMODITY EXPORTS COMMODITY PRICE COMMODITY PRICES COMPETITIVE BIDDING CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE CONTRACT DESIGN CONTRACT DESIGNS CONTRACT DISPUTES CONTRACT ENFORCEMENT CONTRACT RENEGOTIATION CONTRACTUAL AGREEMENT CONTRACTUAL DISPUTE CONTRACTUAL DISPUTES CONTRACTUAL OBLIGATIONS CONTRACTUAL PERIOD CONTRACTUAL TERMS DATA AVAILABILITY DECENTRALIZATION DEMOCRACIES DEMOCRACY DEVALUATION DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPING COUNTRY DEVELOPMENT BANK DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DISTRIBUTION OF INCOME DOUBLE TAXATION DUMMY VARIABLE ECONOMIC CRISIS ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC FLUCTUATIONS ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC POLICIES ECONOMICS EQUITY INVESTMENTS EXCHANGE RATE EXISTING CONTRACTS EXPIRATION OF CONTRACTS EXPORTER EXPORTERS EXPOSURE EXPOSURES EXPROPRIATION EXPROPRIATION RISK EXPROPRIATIONS EXTERNAL DEBT FINANCE CORPORATION FINANCIAL CRISIS FISCAL CAPACITY FIXED EFFECT MODEL FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT FOREIGN INVESTMENT FOREIGN INVESTMENTS FOREIGN INVESTORS FOREIGN TRADE GLOBALIZATION GOVERNMENT GUARANTEE GOVERNMENT GUARANTEES GROWTH RATES HOST COUNTRIES HOST COUNTRY HOST GOVERNMENT HOST GOVERNMENTS INCOME INCOME INEQUALITY INCOME LEVEL INCOMPLETE CONTRACT INCOMPLETE CONTRACTS INFRASTRUCTURE CONCESSIONS INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENTS INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS INITIAL CONTRACT INSURANCE INSURERS INTERNATIONAL ARBITRATIONS INTERNATIONAL BANK INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL MARKET INTERNATIONAL COMMERCIAL ARBITRATION INTERNATIONAL COURT INTERNATIONAL FINANCE INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS INTERNATIONAL INVESTORS INTERNATIONAL LAW INTERNATIONAL TRADE INVESTING INVESTMENT BANK INVESTMENT CONTRACTS INVESTMENT FLOWS INVESTMENT PERIOD LAW ENFORCEMENT LIQUIDITY LIQUIDITY CONSTRAINT LOCAL ECONOMY LOCAL SECURITY LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES MARGINAL COST MATURITY MIDDLE-INCOME COUNTRIES MONETARY FUND MONOPOLY MULTILATERAL INVESTMENT GUARANTEE AGENCY MULTINATIONAL CORPORATIONS NATURAL DISASTER NATURAL DISASTERS NATURAL RESOURCE NATURAL RESOURCES NEGATIVE INCOME SHOCKS NEGOTIATIONS NEW CONTRACT NOMINAL VALUE NPL OIL PRICE ORIGINAL CONTRACTS PARTICIPATIONS PAYMENT GUARANTEE PAYMENT OBLIGATIONS POLITICAL ECONOMICS POLITICAL ECONOMY POLITICAL INSTITUTIONS POLITICAL POWER POLITICAL POWERS POLITICAL REGIME POLITICAL RISK POLITICAL RISK INSURANCE PRICE ADJUSTMENT PRICE CHANGE PRICE RISK PRICE SERIES PRICE VOLATILITY PRIVATE ENTITIES PRIVATE INFRASTRUCTURE PRIVATE INVESTMENT PRIVATE INVESTMENTS PRIVATE INVESTOR PRIVATE INVESTORS PRIVATIZATION PROCUREMENT PRODUCTIVE INVESTMENTS PROFIT MARGIN PROPERTY RIGHT PROPERTY RIGHTS PROVISION OF GUARANTEES PUBLIC INVESTMENTS PUBLIC POLICY PUBLIC-PRIVATE PARTNERSHIP REGIONAL DUMMIES RENTS REPUDIATION REPUTATION RISK APPETITE RISK AVERSION RISK MANAGEMENT RISK REDUCTION SETTLEMENT SOLICITATION SOVEREIGN DEBT SOVEREIGN DEFAULT SOVEREIGN DEFAULTS SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT TAX TAX REVENUE TAX REVENUES TERMINATION TRANSACTION TRANSACTION COSTS TRANSPARENCY TREATIES TREATY TURNOVER TURNOVERS UNSOLICITED PROPOSALS This paper constructs a large contract-level data set to examine factors that trigger breach of foreign investment contracts. Similar to the case of outright expropriation, political regime type is an important determinant of breach of contract. Furthermore, although investors' bargaining power becomes obsolete as contracts mature, contracts can be designed to mitigate the risk of breach of contract by involving multilateral organizations and creating buffers to absorb commodity price shocks. The paper examines the type of countries prone to contract breaches. After controlling for regional and sector fixed effects, less-democratic and resource-dependent governments are more likely to breach contracts, especially after large global shocks, notably natural disasters. 2014-02-03T20:14:19Z 2014-02-03T20:14:19Z 2014-01 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/01/18756215/triggers-contract-breach-contract-design-shocks-or-institutions http://hdl.handle.net/10986/16813 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 6738 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research