Monetary Conditions and Metal Prices

The monetary easing of the past few years by the world’s major central banks through conventional and unconventional policies coincided with the longest and broadest commodity price boom since the Second World War. And not surprisingly, the impending normalization of monetary conditions has created...

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Main Authors: Baffes, John, Savescu, Cristina
Format: Journal Article
Language:en_US
Published: Taylor & Francis 2014
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10986/17117
id okr-10986-17117
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-171172021-04-23T14:03:34Z Monetary Conditions and Metal Prices Baffes, John Savescu, Cristina commodity price boom interest rates metal prices monetary conditions The monetary easing of the past few years by the world’s major central banks through conventional and unconventional policies coincided with the longest and broadest commodity price boom since the Second World War. And not surprisingly, the impending normalization of monetary conditions has created expectations of a likely reversal in commodity price trends. Based on a reduced form, price-determination model which accounts for all quantifiable sectoral and macroeconomic fundamentals, this note finds that the effect of short-term interest rates on metal prices is mixed and modest. But, changes in longer term rates have a positive and highly significant impact. The note also concludes that metal prices respond (in that order) to industrial production, input prices, US dollar movements and physical stocks of metals. 2014-02-19T20:03:19Z 2014-02-19T20:03:19Z 2014-01-27 Journal Article Applied Economics Letters 1350-4851 DOI:10.1080/13504851.2013.864029 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/17117 en_US CC BY-NC-ND 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo World Bank Taylor & Francis Publications & Research :: Journal Article Publications & Research
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language en_US
topic commodity price boom
interest rates
metal prices
monetary conditions
spellingShingle commodity price boom
interest rates
metal prices
monetary conditions
Baffes, John
Savescu, Cristina
Monetary Conditions and Metal Prices
description The monetary easing of the past few years by the world’s major central banks through conventional and unconventional policies coincided with the longest and broadest commodity price boom since the Second World War. And not surprisingly, the impending normalization of monetary conditions has created expectations of a likely reversal in commodity price trends. Based on a reduced form, price-determination model which accounts for all quantifiable sectoral and macroeconomic fundamentals, this note finds that the effect of short-term interest rates on metal prices is mixed and modest. But, changes in longer term rates have a positive and highly significant impact. The note also concludes that metal prices respond (in that order) to industrial production, input prices, US dollar movements and physical stocks of metals.
format Journal Article
author Baffes, John
Savescu, Cristina
author_facet Baffes, John
Savescu, Cristina
author_sort Baffes, John
title Monetary Conditions and Metal Prices
title_short Monetary Conditions and Metal Prices
title_full Monetary Conditions and Metal Prices
title_fullStr Monetary Conditions and Metal Prices
title_full_unstemmed Monetary Conditions and Metal Prices
title_sort monetary conditions and metal prices
publisher Taylor & Francis
publishDate 2014
url http://hdl.handle.net/10986/17117
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