Monetary Conditions and Metal Prices
The monetary easing of the past few years by the world’s major central banks through conventional and unconventional policies coincided with the longest and broadest commodity price boom since the Second World War. And not surprisingly, the impending normalization of monetary conditions has created...
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okr-10986-171172021-04-23T14:03:34Z Monetary Conditions and Metal Prices Baffes, John Savescu, Cristina commodity price boom interest rates metal prices monetary conditions The monetary easing of the past few years by the world’s major central banks through conventional and unconventional policies coincided with the longest and broadest commodity price boom since the Second World War. And not surprisingly, the impending normalization of monetary conditions has created expectations of a likely reversal in commodity price trends. Based on a reduced form, price-determination model which accounts for all quantifiable sectoral and macroeconomic fundamentals, this note finds that the effect of short-term interest rates on metal prices is mixed and modest. But, changes in longer term rates have a positive and highly significant impact. The note also concludes that metal prices respond (in that order) to industrial production, input prices, US dollar movements and physical stocks of metals. 2014-02-19T20:03:19Z 2014-02-19T20:03:19Z 2014-01-27 Journal Article Applied Economics Letters 1350-4851 DOI:10.1080/13504851.2013.864029 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/17117 en_US CC BY-NC-ND 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo World Bank Taylor & Francis Publications & Research :: Journal Article Publications & Research |
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commodity price boom interest rates metal prices monetary conditions |
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commodity price boom interest rates metal prices monetary conditions Baffes, John Savescu, Cristina Monetary Conditions and Metal Prices |
description |
The monetary easing of the past few years by the world’s major central banks through conventional and unconventional policies coincided with the longest and broadest commodity price boom since the Second World War. And not surprisingly, the impending normalization of monetary conditions has created expectations of a likely reversal in commodity price trends. Based on a reduced form, price-determination model which accounts for all quantifiable sectoral and macroeconomic fundamentals, this note finds that the effect of short-term interest rates on metal prices is mixed and modest. But, changes in longer term rates have a positive and highly significant impact. The note also concludes that metal prices respond (in that order) to industrial production, input prices, US dollar movements and physical stocks of metals. |
format |
Journal Article |
author |
Baffes, John Savescu, Cristina |
author_facet |
Baffes, John Savescu, Cristina |
author_sort |
Baffes, John |
title |
Monetary Conditions and Metal Prices |
title_short |
Monetary Conditions and Metal Prices |
title_full |
Monetary Conditions and Metal Prices |
title_fullStr |
Monetary Conditions and Metal Prices |
title_full_unstemmed |
Monetary Conditions and Metal Prices |
title_sort |
monetary conditions and metal prices |
publisher |
Taylor & Francis |
publishDate |
2014 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/17117 |
_version_ |
1764435600343040000 |