Long-Term Mitigation Strategies and Marginal Abatement Cost Curves : A Case Study on Brazil

Decision makers facing abatement targets need to decide which abatement measures to implement, and in which order. This paper investigates the ability of marginal abatement cost (MAC) curves to inform this decision, reanalysing a MAC curve develope...

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Main Authors: Vogt-Schilb, Adrien, Hallegatte, Stephane, de Gouvello, Christophe
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2014
Subjects:
AIR
CO
CO2
GHG
OIL
PP
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/03/19258772/long-term-mitigation-strategies-marginal-abatement-cost-curves-case-study-brazil
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/17284
id okr-10986-17284
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-172842021-04-23T14:03:37Z Long-Term Mitigation Strategies and Marginal Abatement Cost Curves : A Case Study on Brazil Vogt-Schilb, Adrien Hallegatte, Stephane de Gouvello, Christophe ABATEMENT COSTS ABATEMENT MEASURES ABATEMENT POTENTIAL AIR ALLOWABLE CARBON EMISSIONS AMOUNT OF EMISSIONS APPROACH AVAILABILITY BIOMASS CARBON CARBON BUDGET CARBON ECONOMY CARBON INTENSITY CARBON NEUTRAL CARBON PRICE CARBON TAX CARBON TECHNOLOGIES CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION CLIMATE POLICY CLIMATE PROBLEM CLIMATIC CHANGE CO CO2 COMBUSTION COST OF ABATEMENT CUMULATIVE EMISSIONS DEMAND FOR ELECTRICITY DIESEL DIFFUSION DISCOUNT RATE ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS ECONOMIC GROWTH EFFICIENCY GAINS EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS ELECTRIC VEHICLES ELECTRICITY ELECTRICITY DEMAND ELECTRICITY DEMAND GROWTH ELECTRICITY PRODUCTION EMISSION EMISSION ABATEMENT EMISSION BASELINE EMISSION REDUCTION EMISSION REDUCTION MEASURES EMISSION SCENARIO EMISSION SCENARIOS EMISSION TARGET EMISSION-REDUCTION EMISSIONS EMISSIONS ABATEMENT EMISSIONS FROM DEFORESTATION ENERGY ECONOMICS ENERGY EFFICIENCY ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS ENERGY POLICY ENERGY SAVINGS ENERGY TECHNOLOGIES ENVIRONMENTAL QUALITY ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH ETHANOL FINANCIAL SUPPORT FOREST FOREST MANAGEMENT FOSSIL FOSSIL FUEL FOSSIL FUELS FUEL TYPE GASOLINE GASOLINE USE GHG GLOBAL GREENHOUSE GLOBAL GREENHOUSE GAS GLOBAL WARMING GREENHOUSE GREENHOUSE GAS GREENHOUSE GAS ABATEMENT GREENHOUSE GAS ABATEMENT COST GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS REDUCTION HEAT HEAT RECOVERY HYDRO POWER IMPORTS LIGHTNING LOW-CARBON LOW-COST EMISSION REDUCTIONS MARGINAL ABATEMENT MARGINAL ABATEMENT COST MARGINAL COST MARGINAL ENERGY MAXIMUM PENETRATION MAXIMUM PENETRATION RATE NATURAL GAS NATURAL RESOURCES NUCLEAR POWER OIL OIL IMPORTS PASTURE LAND PEAK POWER PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER POLICY IMPLICATIONS POLICY MAKERS POWER GENERATION POWER SECTOR PP PRICE SIGNAL RECOVERY FURNACE REFINERIES RENEWABLE POWER RESIDENTIAL BUILDING RESIDENTIAL BUILDINGS RESOURCE ECONOMICS SAND SUPPLY CURVE SUPPLY CURVES SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT TAX REVENUE UNCERTAINTIES WASTE WASTE RECYCLING WASTE REDUCTION WIND WIND POWER ZERO EMISSIONS Decision makers facing abatement targets need to decide which abatement measures to implement, and in which order. This paper investigates the ability of marginal abatement cost (MAC) curves to inform this decision, reanalysing a MAC curve developed by the World Bank on Brazil. Misinterpreting MAC curves and focusing on short-term targets (e.g., for 2020) would lead to under-invest in expensive, long-to-implement and large-potential options, such as clean transportation infrastructure. Meeting short-term targets with marginal energy-efficiency improvements would lead to carbon-intensive lock-ins that make longer-term targets (e.g., for 2030 and beyond) impossible or too expensive to reach. Improvements to existing MAC curves are proposed, based on (1) enhanced data collection and reporting; (2) a simple optimization tool that accounts for constraints on implementation speeds; and (3) new graphical representations of MAC curves. Designing climate mitigation policies can be done through a pragmatic combination of two approaches. The synergy approach is based on MAC curves to identify the cheapest mitigation options and maximize co-benefits. The urgency approach considers the long-term objective (e.g., halving emissions by 2050) and works backward to identify actions that need to be implemented early, such as public support to clean infrastructure and zero-carbon technologies. 2014-03-18T19:06:11Z 2014-03-18T19:06:11Z 2014-03 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/03/19258772/long-term-mitigation-strategies-marginal-abatement-cost-curves-case-study-brazil http://hdl.handle.net/10986/17284 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 6808 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research Latin America & Caribbean Brazil
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic ABATEMENT COSTS
ABATEMENT MEASURES
ABATEMENT POTENTIAL
AIR
ALLOWABLE CARBON EMISSIONS
AMOUNT OF EMISSIONS
APPROACH
AVAILABILITY
BIOMASS
CARBON
CARBON BUDGET
CARBON ECONOMY
CARBON INTENSITY
CARBON NEUTRAL
CARBON PRICE
CARBON TAX
CARBON TECHNOLOGIES
CLIMATE
CLIMATE CHANGE
CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS
CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION
CLIMATE POLICY
CLIMATE PROBLEM
CLIMATIC CHANGE
CO
CO2
COMBUSTION
COST OF ABATEMENT
CUMULATIVE EMISSIONS
DEMAND FOR ELECTRICITY
DIESEL
DIFFUSION
DISCOUNT RATE
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
EFFICIENCY GAINS
EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS
ELECTRIC VEHICLES
ELECTRICITY
ELECTRICITY DEMAND
ELECTRICITY DEMAND GROWTH
ELECTRICITY PRODUCTION
EMISSION
EMISSION ABATEMENT
EMISSION BASELINE
EMISSION REDUCTION
EMISSION REDUCTION MEASURES
EMISSION SCENARIO
EMISSION SCENARIOS
EMISSION TARGET
EMISSION-REDUCTION
EMISSIONS
EMISSIONS ABATEMENT
EMISSIONS FROM DEFORESTATION
ENERGY ECONOMICS
ENERGY EFFICIENCY
ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS
ENERGY POLICY
ENERGY SAVINGS
ENERGY TECHNOLOGIES
ENVIRONMENTAL QUALITY
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH
ETHANOL
FINANCIAL SUPPORT
FOREST
FOREST MANAGEMENT
FOSSIL
FOSSIL FUEL
FOSSIL FUELS
FUEL TYPE
GASOLINE
GASOLINE USE
GHG
GLOBAL GREENHOUSE
GLOBAL GREENHOUSE GAS
GLOBAL WARMING
GREENHOUSE
GREENHOUSE GAS
GREENHOUSE GAS ABATEMENT
GREENHOUSE GAS ABATEMENT COST
GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS
GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS REDUCTION
HEAT
HEAT RECOVERY
HYDRO POWER
IMPORTS
LIGHTNING
LOW-CARBON
LOW-COST EMISSION REDUCTIONS
MARGINAL ABATEMENT
MARGINAL ABATEMENT COST
MARGINAL COST
MARGINAL ENERGY
MAXIMUM PENETRATION
MAXIMUM PENETRATION RATE
NATURAL GAS
NATURAL RESOURCES
NUCLEAR POWER
OIL
OIL IMPORTS
PASTURE LAND
PEAK POWER
PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER
POLICY IMPLICATIONS
POLICY MAKERS
POWER GENERATION
POWER SECTOR
PP
PRICE SIGNAL
RECOVERY FURNACE
REFINERIES
RENEWABLE POWER
RESIDENTIAL BUILDING
RESIDENTIAL BUILDINGS
RESOURCE ECONOMICS
SAND
SUPPLY CURVE
SUPPLY CURVES
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
TAX REVENUE
UNCERTAINTIES
WASTE
WASTE RECYCLING
WASTE REDUCTION
WIND
WIND POWER
ZERO EMISSIONS
spellingShingle ABATEMENT COSTS
ABATEMENT MEASURES
ABATEMENT POTENTIAL
AIR
ALLOWABLE CARBON EMISSIONS
AMOUNT OF EMISSIONS
APPROACH
AVAILABILITY
BIOMASS
CARBON
CARBON BUDGET
CARBON ECONOMY
CARBON INTENSITY
CARBON NEUTRAL
CARBON PRICE
CARBON TAX
CARBON TECHNOLOGIES
CLIMATE
CLIMATE CHANGE
CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS
CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION
CLIMATE POLICY
CLIMATE PROBLEM
CLIMATIC CHANGE
CO
CO2
COMBUSTION
COST OF ABATEMENT
CUMULATIVE EMISSIONS
DEMAND FOR ELECTRICITY
DIESEL
DIFFUSION
DISCOUNT RATE
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
EFFICIENCY GAINS
EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS
ELECTRIC VEHICLES
ELECTRICITY
ELECTRICITY DEMAND
ELECTRICITY DEMAND GROWTH
ELECTRICITY PRODUCTION
EMISSION
EMISSION ABATEMENT
EMISSION BASELINE
EMISSION REDUCTION
EMISSION REDUCTION MEASURES
EMISSION SCENARIO
EMISSION SCENARIOS
EMISSION TARGET
EMISSION-REDUCTION
EMISSIONS
EMISSIONS ABATEMENT
EMISSIONS FROM DEFORESTATION
ENERGY ECONOMICS
ENERGY EFFICIENCY
ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS
ENERGY POLICY
ENERGY SAVINGS
ENERGY TECHNOLOGIES
ENVIRONMENTAL QUALITY
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH
ETHANOL
FINANCIAL SUPPORT
FOREST
FOREST MANAGEMENT
FOSSIL
FOSSIL FUEL
FOSSIL FUELS
FUEL TYPE
GASOLINE
GASOLINE USE
GHG
GLOBAL GREENHOUSE
GLOBAL GREENHOUSE GAS
GLOBAL WARMING
GREENHOUSE
GREENHOUSE GAS
GREENHOUSE GAS ABATEMENT
GREENHOUSE GAS ABATEMENT COST
GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS
GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS REDUCTION
HEAT
HEAT RECOVERY
HYDRO POWER
IMPORTS
LIGHTNING
LOW-CARBON
LOW-COST EMISSION REDUCTIONS
MARGINAL ABATEMENT
MARGINAL ABATEMENT COST
MARGINAL COST
MARGINAL ENERGY
MAXIMUM PENETRATION
MAXIMUM PENETRATION RATE
NATURAL GAS
NATURAL RESOURCES
NUCLEAR POWER
OIL
OIL IMPORTS
PASTURE LAND
PEAK POWER
PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER
POLICY IMPLICATIONS
POLICY MAKERS
POWER GENERATION
POWER SECTOR
PP
PRICE SIGNAL
RECOVERY FURNACE
REFINERIES
RENEWABLE POWER
RESIDENTIAL BUILDING
RESIDENTIAL BUILDINGS
RESOURCE ECONOMICS
SAND
SUPPLY CURVE
SUPPLY CURVES
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
TAX REVENUE
UNCERTAINTIES
WASTE
WASTE RECYCLING
WASTE REDUCTION
WIND
WIND POWER
ZERO EMISSIONS
Vogt-Schilb, Adrien
Hallegatte, Stephane
de Gouvello, Christophe
Long-Term Mitigation Strategies and Marginal Abatement Cost Curves : A Case Study on Brazil
geographic_facet Latin America & Caribbean
Brazil
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 6808
description Decision makers facing abatement targets need to decide which abatement measures to implement, and in which order. This paper investigates the ability of marginal abatement cost (MAC) curves to inform this decision, reanalysing a MAC curve developed by the World Bank on Brazil. Misinterpreting MAC curves and focusing on short-term targets (e.g., for 2020) would lead to under-invest in expensive, long-to-implement and large-potential options, such as clean transportation infrastructure. Meeting short-term targets with marginal energy-efficiency improvements would lead to carbon-intensive lock-ins that make longer-term targets (e.g., for 2030 and beyond) impossible or too expensive to reach. Improvements to existing MAC curves are proposed, based on (1) enhanced data collection and reporting; (2) a simple optimization tool that accounts for constraints on implementation speeds; and (3) new graphical representations of MAC curves. Designing climate mitigation policies can be done through a pragmatic combination of two approaches. The synergy approach is based on MAC curves to identify the cheapest mitigation options and maximize co-benefits. The urgency approach considers the long-term objective (e.g., halving emissions by 2050) and works backward to identify actions that need to be implemented early, such as public support to clean infrastructure and zero-carbon technologies.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Vogt-Schilb, Adrien
Hallegatte, Stephane
de Gouvello, Christophe
author_facet Vogt-Schilb, Adrien
Hallegatte, Stephane
de Gouvello, Christophe
author_sort Vogt-Schilb, Adrien
title Long-Term Mitigation Strategies and Marginal Abatement Cost Curves : A Case Study on Brazil
title_short Long-Term Mitigation Strategies and Marginal Abatement Cost Curves : A Case Study on Brazil
title_full Long-Term Mitigation Strategies and Marginal Abatement Cost Curves : A Case Study on Brazil
title_fullStr Long-Term Mitigation Strategies and Marginal Abatement Cost Curves : A Case Study on Brazil
title_full_unstemmed Long-Term Mitigation Strategies and Marginal Abatement Cost Curves : A Case Study on Brazil
title_sort long-term mitigation strategies and marginal abatement cost curves : a case study on brazil
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2014
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/03/19258772/long-term-mitigation-strategies-marginal-abatement-cost-curves-case-study-brazil
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/17284
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