Population Pressures, Migration, and the Returns to Human Capital and Land : Insights from Indonesia

Rapid population growth in many developing countries has raised concerns regarding food security and household welfare. To understand the consequences of population growth in a general equilibrium setting, this paper examines the dynamics of popula...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Liu, Yanyan, Yamauchi, Futoshi
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2014
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/02/19153546/population-pressures-migration-returns-human-capital-land-insights-indonesia
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/17338
id okr-10986-17338
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic AGRARIAN ECONOMY
AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES
AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT
AGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT
AGRICULTURAL GROWTH
AGRICULTURAL LAND
AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY
AGRICULTURAL SECTOR
AGRICULTURAL TECHNOLOGIES
BULLETIN
CENSUS
CENSUS DATA
CENSUSES
CHANGE IN POPULATION
CITY POPULATION
CONSEQUENCES OF POPULATION
CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE
DEATH RATE
DEMOGRAPHIC CHARACTERISTICS
DEMOGRAPHIC DATA
DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
DIVERSIFICATION
ECOLOGICAL ZONES
ECONOMIC GROWTH
EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT
EFFECTS OF POPULATION
EMPLOYMENT OPPORTUNITIES
EPIDEMIC
EXISTING POPULATION
FAMILY MEMBERS
FAMILY PLANNING
FAMILY PLANNING ACCEPTORS
FARM ACTIVITIES
FARM ACTIVITY
FARM EMPLOYMENT
FARM HOUSEHOLDS
FARM INCOME
FARM INCOMES
FARM SIZE
FARMERS
FARMLAND
FERTILITY
FERTILITY RATE
FOOD AVAILABILITY
FOOD INSECURITY
FOOD POLICY
FOOD PRICE
FOOD PRICES
FOOD PROCESSING
FOOD SECURITY
FOOD SECURITY PROBLEMS
GREEN REVOLUTION
HIGH POPULATION DENSITY
HOSPITAL
HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION
HOUSEHOLD DEMOGRAPHICS
HOUSEHOLD HEAD
HOUSEHOLD LEVEL
HOUSEHOLD SIZE
HOUSEHOLD WELFARE
HUMAN CAPITAL
HUMAN CAPITAL FORMATION
ILLNESS
IMPACTS OF POPULATION
INCOME
INCOME DYNAMICS
INCOME GROWTH
INCOME SHARES
INCOME SHOCK
INCOME SHOCKS
INDIGENOUS PEOPLE
INDUSTRIALIZATION
INFORMATION ON POPULATION
INTENSIVE AGRICULTURE
INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION
INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
IRRIGATION
LABOR FORCE
LABOR MARKET
LAND PRODUCTIVITY
LANDHOLDINGS
LANDLESS HOUSEHOLDS
LARGE CITIES
LOCAL ECONOMY
LOCAL POPULATION
MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
MALES
MIGRANT
MIGRANTS
MIGRATION
MIGRATION POLICY
MIGRATION PROCESS
MORTALITY
NATURAL DISASTERS
NATURAL RESOURCE
NATURAL RESOURCES
NUMBER OF CHILDREN
PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION
POLICY DISCUSSIONS
POLICY RESEARCH
POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POLITICAL LEADERSHIP
POOR
POPULATION DENSITY
POPULATION DYNAMICS
POPULATION INCREASES
POPULATION POLICIES
POPULATION PRESSURES
POPULATION SIZE
POVERTY LINE
PRICE STABILIZATION
PRIMARY SCHOOL
PROGRESS
PUBLIC EDUCATION
PUBLIC POLICY
RAPID POPULATION GROWTH
REMITTANCES
RURAL
RURAL AREAS
RURAL COMMUNITIES
RURAL CREDIT
RURAL DEVELOPMENT
RURAL ECONOMY
RURAL HOUSEHOLDS
RURAL PEOPLE
RURAL POOR
RURAL POPULATION
RURAL POVERTY
RURAL RESIDENTS
SCARCE RESOURCES
SCHOOL AGE
SCHOOL-AGE CHILDREN
SCHOOLING
SECONDARY SCHOOL
SECONDARY SCHOOL EDUCATION
SELF-SUFFICIENCY
SMALL FARMERS
SMALLHOLDERS
SOCIAL MOBILITY
SOCIAL POLICIES
STATE UNIVERSITY
STRUCTURAL TRANSFORMATION
TECHNOLOGICAL INNOVATIONS
TRANSACTION COSTS
TRANSPORTATION
UNEMPLOYMENT
URBAN AREAS
URBAN CENTERS
URBAN COMMUNITIES
URBAN MIGRATION
URBAN POPULATION
URBANIZATION
WAGE GROWTH
WAGE RATES
WELFARE INDICATOR
YOUNG CHILDREN
YOUNG PEOPLE
spellingShingle AGRARIAN ECONOMY
AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES
AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT
AGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT
AGRICULTURAL GROWTH
AGRICULTURAL LAND
AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY
AGRICULTURAL SECTOR
AGRICULTURAL TECHNOLOGIES
BULLETIN
CENSUS
CENSUS DATA
CENSUSES
CHANGE IN POPULATION
CITY POPULATION
CONSEQUENCES OF POPULATION
CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE
DEATH RATE
DEMOGRAPHIC CHARACTERISTICS
DEMOGRAPHIC DATA
DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
DIVERSIFICATION
ECOLOGICAL ZONES
ECONOMIC GROWTH
EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT
EFFECTS OF POPULATION
EMPLOYMENT OPPORTUNITIES
EPIDEMIC
EXISTING POPULATION
FAMILY MEMBERS
FAMILY PLANNING
FAMILY PLANNING ACCEPTORS
FARM ACTIVITIES
FARM ACTIVITY
FARM EMPLOYMENT
FARM HOUSEHOLDS
FARM INCOME
FARM INCOMES
FARM SIZE
FARMERS
FARMLAND
FERTILITY
FERTILITY RATE
FOOD AVAILABILITY
FOOD INSECURITY
FOOD POLICY
FOOD PRICE
FOOD PRICES
FOOD PROCESSING
FOOD SECURITY
FOOD SECURITY PROBLEMS
GREEN REVOLUTION
HIGH POPULATION DENSITY
HOSPITAL
HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION
HOUSEHOLD DEMOGRAPHICS
HOUSEHOLD HEAD
HOUSEHOLD LEVEL
HOUSEHOLD SIZE
HOUSEHOLD WELFARE
HUMAN CAPITAL
HUMAN CAPITAL FORMATION
ILLNESS
IMPACTS OF POPULATION
INCOME
INCOME DYNAMICS
INCOME GROWTH
INCOME SHARES
INCOME SHOCK
INCOME SHOCKS
INDIGENOUS PEOPLE
INDUSTRIALIZATION
INFORMATION ON POPULATION
INTENSIVE AGRICULTURE
INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION
INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
IRRIGATION
LABOR FORCE
LABOR MARKET
LAND PRODUCTIVITY
LANDHOLDINGS
LANDLESS HOUSEHOLDS
LARGE CITIES
LOCAL ECONOMY
LOCAL POPULATION
MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
MALES
MIGRANT
MIGRANTS
MIGRATION
MIGRATION POLICY
MIGRATION PROCESS
MORTALITY
NATURAL DISASTERS
NATURAL RESOURCE
NATURAL RESOURCES
NUMBER OF CHILDREN
PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION
POLICY DISCUSSIONS
POLICY RESEARCH
POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POLITICAL LEADERSHIP
POOR
POPULATION DENSITY
POPULATION DYNAMICS
POPULATION INCREASES
POPULATION POLICIES
POPULATION PRESSURES
POPULATION SIZE
POVERTY LINE
PRICE STABILIZATION
PRIMARY SCHOOL
PROGRESS
PUBLIC EDUCATION
PUBLIC POLICY
RAPID POPULATION GROWTH
REMITTANCES
RURAL
RURAL AREAS
RURAL COMMUNITIES
RURAL CREDIT
RURAL DEVELOPMENT
RURAL ECONOMY
RURAL HOUSEHOLDS
RURAL PEOPLE
RURAL POOR
RURAL POPULATION
RURAL POVERTY
RURAL RESIDENTS
SCARCE RESOURCES
SCHOOL AGE
SCHOOL-AGE CHILDREN
SCHOOLING
SECONDARY SCHOOL
SECONDARY SCHOOL EDUCATION
SELF-SUFFICIENCY
SMALL FARMERS
SMALLHOLDERS
SOCIAL MOBILITY
SOCIAL POLICIES
STATE UNIVERSITY
STRUCTURAL TRANSFORMATION
TECHNOLOGICAL INNOVATIONS
TRANSACTION COSTS
TRANSPORTATION
UNEMPLOYMENT
URBAN AREAS
URBAN CENTERS
URBAN COMMUNITIES
URBAN MIGRATION
URBAN POPULATION
URBANIZATION
WAGE GROWTH
WAGE RATES
WELFARE INDICATOR
YOUNG CHILDREN
YOUNG PEOPLE
Liu, Yanyan
Yamauchi, Futoshi
Population Pressures, Migration, and the Returns to Human Capital and Land : Insights from Indonesia
geographic_facet East Asia and Pacific
Indonesia
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 6790
description Rapid population growth in many developing countries has raised concerns regarding food security and household welfare. To understand the consequences of population growth in a general equilibrium setting, this paper examines the dynamics of population density and its impacts on household outcomes. The analysis uses panel data from Indonesia combined with district-level demographic data. Historically, Indonesia has adapted to land constraints through a mix of agricultural intensification, expansion of the land frontier, and nonfarm diversification, with public policies playing a role in catalyzing all of these responses. In contemporary Indonesia, the paper finds that human capital determines the effect of increased population density on per capita household consumption expenditure. On the one hand, the effect of population density is positive if the average educational attainment is high (above junior high school), while it is negative otherwise. On the other hand, farmers with larger holdings maintain their advantage in farming regardless of population density. The paper concludes with some potential lessons for African countries from Indonesia's more successful rural development experiences.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Liu, Yanyan
Yamauchi, Futoshi
author_facet Liu, Yanyan
Yamauchi, Futoshi
author_sort Liu, Yanyan
title Population Pressures, Migration, and the Returns to Human Capital and Land : Insights from Indonesia
title_short Population Pressures, Migration, and the Returns to Human Capital and Land : Insights from Indonesia
title_full Population Pressures, Migration, and the Returns to Human Capital and Land : Insights from Indonesia
title_fullStr Population Pressures, Migration, and the Returns to Human Capital and Land : Insights from Indonesia
title_full_unstemmed Population Pressures, Migration, and the Returns to Human Capital and Land : Insights from Indonesia
title_sort population pressures, migration, and the returns to human capital and land : insights from indonesia
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2014
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/02/19153546/population-pressures-migration-returns-human-capital-land-insights-indonesia
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/17338
_version_ 1764436901441306624
spelling okr-10986-173382021-04-23T14:03:37Z Population Pressures, Migration, and the Returns to Human Capital and Land : Insights from Indonesia Liu, Yanyan Yamauchi, Futoshi AGRARIAN ECONOMY AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT AGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT AGRICULTURAL GROWTH AGRICULTURAL LAND AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY AGRICULTURAL SECTOR AGRICULTURAL TECHNOLOGIES BULLETIN CENSUS CENSUS DATA CENSUSES CHANGE IN POPULATION CITY POPULATION CONSEQUENCES OF POPULATION CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE DEATH RATE DEMOGRAPHIC CHARACTERISTICS DEMOGRAPHIC DATA DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPMENT POLICY DIVERSIFICATION ECOLOGICAL ZONES ECONOMIC GROWTH EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT EFFECTS OF POPULATION EMPLOYMENT OPPORTUNITIES EPIDEMIC EXISTING POPULATION FAMILY MEMBERS FAMILY PLANNING FAMILY PLANNING ACCEPTORS FARM ACTIVITIES FARM ACTIVITY FARM EMPLOYMENT FARM HOUSEHOLDS FARM INCOME FARM INCOMES FARM SIZE FARMERS FARMLAND FERTILITY FERTILITY RATE FOOD AVAILABILITY FOOD INSECURITY FOOD POLICY FOOD PRICE FOOD PRICES FOOD PROCESSING FOOD SECURITY FOOD SECURITY PROBLEMS GREEN REVOLUTION HIGH POPULATION DENSITY HOSPITAL HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION HOUSEHOLD DEMOGRAPHICS HOUSEHOLD HEAD HOUSEHOLD LEVEL HOUSEHOLD SIZE HOUSEHOLD WELFARE HUMAN CAPITAL HUMAN CAPITAL FORMATION ILLNESS IMPACTS OF POPULATION INCOME INCOME DYNAMICS INCOME GROWTH INCOME SHARES INCOME SHOCK INCOME SHOCKS INDIGENOUS PEOPLE INDUSTRIALIZATION INFORMATION ON POPULATION INTENSIVE AGRICULTURE INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE INTERNATIONAL TRADE IRRIGATION LABOR FORCE LABOR MARKET LAND PRODUCTIVITY LANDHOLDINGS LANDLESS HOUSEHOLDS LARGE CITIES LOCAL ECONOMY LOCAL POPULATION MACROECONOMIC STABILITY MALES MIGRANT MIGRANTS MIGRATION MIGRATION POLICY MIGRATION PROCESS MORTALITY NATURAL DISASTERS NATURAL RESOURCE NATURAL RESOURCES NUMBER OF CHILDREN PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION POLICY DISCUSSIONS POLICY RESEARCH POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER POLITICAL ECONOMY POLITICAL LEADERSHIP POOR POPULATION DENSITY POPULATION DYNAMICS POPULATION INCREASES POPULATION POLICIES POPULATION PRESSURES POPULATION SIZE POVERTY LINE PRICE STABILIZATION PRIMARY SCHOOL PROGRESS PUBLIC EDUCATION PUBLIC POLICY RAPID POPULATION GROWTH REMITTANCES RURAL RURAL AREAS RURAL COMMUNITIES RURAL CREDIT RURAL DEVELOPMENT RURAL ECONOMY RURAL HOUSEHOLDS RURAL PEOPLE RURAL POOR RURAL POPULATION RURAL POVERTY RURAL RESIDENTS SCARCE RESOURCES SCHOOL AGE SCHOOL-AGE CHILDREN SCHOOLING SECONDARY SCHOOL SECONDARY SCHOOL EDUCATION SELF-SUFFICIENCY SMALL FARMERS SMALLHOLDERS SOCIAL MOBILITY SOCIAL POLICIES STATE UNIVERSITY STRUCTURAL TRANSFORMATION TECHNOLOGICAL INNOVATIONS TRANSACTION COSTS TRANSPORTATION UNEMPLOYMENT URBAN AREAS URBAN CENTERS URBAN COMMUNITIES URBAN MIGRATION URBAN POPULATION URBANIZATION WAGE GROWTH WAGE RATES WELFARE INDICATOR YOUNG CHILDREN YOUNG PEOPLE Rapid population growth in many developing countries has raised concerns regarding food security and household welfare. To understand the consequences of population growth in a general equilibrium setting, this paper examines the dynamics of population density and its impacts on household outcomes. The analysis uses panel data from Indonesia combined with district-level demographic data. Historically, Indonesia has adapted to land constraints through a mix of agricultural intensification, expansion of the land frontier, and nonfarm diversification, with public policies playing a role in catalyzing all of these responses. In contemporary Indonesia, the paper finds that human capital determines the effect of increased population density on per capita household consumption expenditure. On the one hand, the effect of population density is positive if the average educational attainment is high (above junior high school), while it is negative otherwise. On the other hand, farmers with larger holdings maintain their advantage in farming regardless of population density. The paper concludes with some potential lessons for African countries from Indonesia's more successful rural development experiences. 2014-03-18T21:45:19Z 2014-03-18T21:45:19Z 2014-02 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/02/19153546/population-pressures-migration-returns-human-capital-land-insights-indonesia http://hdl.handle.net/10986/17338 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 6790 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research East Asia and Pacific Indonesia