Open Skies over the Middle East

The dynamism of air traffic markets in the Middle East obscures the persistence of restrictions on international competition. But how important are such restrictions for passenger traffic? This paper uses detailed data on worldwide passenger aviati...

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Main Authors: Cristea, Anca, Hillberry, Russell, Mattoo, Aaditya
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2014
Subjects:
AIR
ASA
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/06/19705719/open-skies-over-middle-east
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/18826
id okr-10986-18826
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-188262021-04-23T14:03:49Z Open Skies over the Middle East Cristea, Anca Hillberry, Russell Mattoo, Aaditya AIR AIR CARGO AIR LIBERALIZATION AIR PASSENGER AIR PASSENGERS AIR SERVICE AIR SERVICE AGREEMENT AIR SERVICE AGREEMENTS AIR SERVICES AIR TRAFFIC AIR TRAFFIC DATA AIR TRAFFIC GROWTH AIR TRANSPORT AIR TRANSPORT POLICY AIR TRANSPORT SECTOR AIR TRANSPORTATION AIR TRAVEL AIRFARES AIRLINE AIRLINES AIRPORT AIRPORTS ALTERNATIVE MODES ASA AVIATION AGREEMENTS AVIATION INDUSTRY AVIATION MARKET AVIATION POLICY CARRIERS CHARTER FLIGHTS CITY TRAFFIC CIVIL AVIATION CLIMATE CHANGE CONTROL MEASURES COST OF TRAVEL DEMAND FOR TRAVEL DEMOCRACIES DEMOCRACY DIRECT FLIGHTS DIRECT ROUTES DOMESTIC AIR TRANSPORT ECHO EROSION FARES FLIGHT FLIGHT INFORMATION FRAMEWORK FREIGHT FREIGHT TRANSPORT GEOGRAPHIC AREA INCOME INTEGRATION OF TRANSPORTATION INTERNATIONAL AIR SERVICES INTERNATIONAL AIR TRANSPORT INTERNATIONAL AIR TRAVEL INTERNATIONAL AIRLINE INTERNATIONAL AVIATION INTERNATIONAL CIVIL AVIATION INTERNATIONAL CIVIL AVIATION ORGANISATION INTERNATIONAL CIVIL AVIATION ORGANIZATION INTERNATIONAL FLIGHTS INTERNATIONAL TRADE INTERNATIONAL TRAFFIC INTERNATIONAL TRAVEL INVESTIGATION LANDING MOBILITY MODES OF TRANSPORT MULTINATIONAL PASSENGER NUMBERS PASSENGER TRAFFIC PASSENGER TRANSPORT PASSENGER TRAVEL PASSENGER TRAVELLING PASSENGERS PLANES POPULATION DENSITY RANGE REGIONAL HUB ROUGH ROUTE ROUTES SHARING SPRING TEMPERATURE TRAFFIC DATA TRAFFIC FLOWS TRAFFIC GROWTH TRAFFIC LEVELS TRANSPORT COSTS TRANSPORT MARKETS TRANSPORT POLICY TRANSPORT SERVICES TRANSPORTATION MARKETS TRANSPORTATION SERVICES TRAVEL COSTS TRAVEL DEMAND TRAVEL PATTERNS TRIP TRUE URBAN AREAS VOLUME OF AIR The dynamism of air traffic markets in the Middle East obscures the persistence of restrictions on international competition. But how important are such restrictions for passenger traffic? This paper uses detailed data on worldwide passenger aviation to estimate the effect of air transport policy on international air traffic. The policy variable is a quantitative measure of the commitments under international agreements. The paper analyzes, for the first time, not only bilateral agreements, but also plurilateral agreements such as the one between Arab states. The analysis finds that more liberal policy is associated with greater passenger traffic between countries. Higher traffic levels appear to be driven primarily by larger numbers of city pairs being served, rather than by more passengers traveling along given routes. To demonstrate the quantitative implication of the estimates, two liberalization scenarios in the Middle East are evaluated. Deepening the plurilateral agreement among Arab states would lead to a 30 percent increase in intraregional passenger traffic. Widening the agreement to include Turkey would generate significantly larger gains because current policy vis-à-vis Turkey is much more restrictive. 2014-06-30T16:45:46Z 2014-06-30T16:45:46Z 2014-06 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/06/19705719/open-skies-over-middle-east http://hdl.handle.net/10986/18826 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 6937 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research Middle East and North Africa Middle East Turkey
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic AIR
AIR CARGO
AIR LIBERALIZATION
AIR PASSENGER
AIR PASSENGERS
AIR SERVICE
AIR SERVICE AGREEMENT
AIR SERVICE AGREEMENTS
AIR SERVICES
AIR TRAFFIC
AIR TRAFFIC DATA
AIR TRAFFIC GROWTH
AIR TRANSPORT
AIR TRANSPORT POLICY
AIR TRANSPORT SECTOR
AIR TRANSPORTATION
AIR TRAVEL
AIRFARES
AIRLINE
AIRLINES
AIRPORT
AIRPORTS
ALTERNATIVE MODES
ASA
AVIATION AGREEMENTS
AVIATION INDUSTRY
AVIATION MARKET
AVIATION POLICY
CARRIERS
CHARTER FLIGHTS
CITY TRAFFIC
CIVIL AVIATION
CLIMATE CHANGE
CONTROL MEASURES
COST OF TRAVEL
DEMAND FOR TRAVEL
DEMOCRACIES
DEMOCRACY
DIRECT FLIGHTS
DIRECT ROUTES
DOMESTIC AIR TRANSPORT
ECHO
EROSION
FARES
FLIGHT
FLIGHT INFORMATION
FRAMEWORK
FREIGHT
FREIGHT TRANSPORT
GEOGRAPHIC AREA
INCOME
INTEGRATION OF TRANSPORTATION
INTERNATIONAL AIR SERVICES
INTERNATIONAL AIR TRANSPORT
INTERNATIONAL AIR TRAVEL
INTERNATIONAL AIRLINE
INTERNATIONAL AVIATION
INTERNATIONAL CIVIL AVIATION
INTERNATIONAL CIVIL AVIATION ORGANISATION
INTERNATIONAL CIVIL AVIATION ORGANIZATION
INTERNATIONAL FLIGHTS
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
INTERNATIONAL TRAFFIC
INTERNATIONAL TRAVEL
INVESTIGATION
LANDING
MOBILITY
MODES OF TRANSPORT
MULTINATIONAL
PASSENGER NUMBERS
PASSENGER TRAFFIC
PASSENGER TRANSPORT
PASSENGER TRAVEL
PASSENGER TRAVELLING
PASSENGERS
PLANES
POPULATION DENSITY
RANGE
REGIONAL HUB
ROUGH
ROUTE
ROUTES
SHARING
SPRING
TEMPERATURE
TRAFFIC DATA
TRAFFIC FLOWS
TRAFFIC GROWTH
TRAFFIC LEVELS
TRANSPORT COSTS
TRANSPORT MARKETS
TRANSPORT POLICY
TRANSPORT SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION MARKETS
TRANSPORTATION SERVICES
TRAVEL COSTS
TRAVEL DEMAND
TRAVEL PATTERNS
TRIP
TRUE
URBAN AREAS
VOLUME OF AIR
spellingShingle AIR
AIR CARGO
AIR LIBERALIZATION
AIR PASSENGER
AIR PASSENGERS
AIR SERVICE
AIR SERVICE AGREEMENT
AIR SERVICE AGREEMENTS
AIR SERVICES
AIR TRAFFIC
AIR TRAFFIC DATA
AIR TRAFFIC GROWTH
AIR TRANSPORT
AIR TRANSPORT POLICY
AIR TRANSPORT SECTOR
AIR TRANSPORTATION
AIR TRAVEL
AIRFARES
AIRLINE
AIRLINES
AIRPORT
AIRPORTS
ALTERNATIVE MODES
ASA
AVIATION AGREEMENTS
AVIATION INDUSTRY
AVIATION MARKET
AVIATION POLICY
CARRIERS
CHARTER FLIGHTS
CITY TRAFFIC
CIVIL AVIATION
CLIMATE CHANGE
CONTROL MEASURES
COST OF TRAVEL
DEMAND FOR TRAVEL
DEMOCRACIES
DEMOCRACY
DIRECT FLIGHTS
DIRECT ROUTES
DOMESTIC AIR TRANSPORT
ECHO
EROSION
FARES
FLIGHT
FLIGHT INFORMATION
FRAMEWORK
FREIGHT
FREIGHT TRANSPORT
GEOGRAPHIC AREA
INCOME
INTEGRATION OF TRANSPORTATION
INTERNATIONAL AIR SERVICES
INTERNATIONAL AIR TRANSPORT
INTERNATIONAL AIR TRAVEL
INTERNATIONAL AIRLINE
INTERNATIONAL AVIATION
INTERNATIONAL CIVIL AVIATION
INTERNATIONAL CIVIL AVIATION ORGANISATION
INTERNATIONAL CIVIL AVIATION ORGANIZATION
INTERNATIONAL FLIGHTS
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
INTERNATIONAL TRAFFIC
INTERNATIONAL TRAVEL
INVESTIGATION
LANDING
MOBILITY
MODES OF TRANSPORT
MULTINATIONAL
PASSENGER NUMBERS
PASSENGER TRAFFIC
PASSENGER TRANSPORT
PASSENGER TRAVEL
PASSENGER TRAVELLING
PASSENGERS
PLANES
POPULATION DENSITY
RANGE
REGIONAL HUB
ROUGH
ROUTE
ROUTES
SHARING
SPRING
TEMPERATURE
TRAFFIC DATA
TRAFFIC FLOWS
TRAFFIC GROWTH
TRAFFIC LEVELS
TRANSPORT COSTS
TRANSPORT MARKETS
TRANSPORT POLICY
TRANSPORT SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION MARKETS
TRANSPORTATION SERVICES
TRAVEL COSTS
TRAVEL DEMAND
TRAVEL PATTERNS
TRIP
TRUE
URBAN AREAS
VOLUME OF AIR
Cristea, Anca
Hillberry, Russell
Mattoo, Aaditya
Open Skies over the Middle East
geographic_facet Middle East and North Africa
Middle East
Turkey
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 6937
description The dynamism of air traffic markets in the Middle East obscures the persistence of restrictions on international competition. But how important are such restrictions for passenger traffic? This paper uses detailed data on worldwide passenger aviation to estimate the effect of air transport policy on international air traffic. The policy variable is a quantitative measure of the commitments under international agreements. The paper analyzes, for the first time, not only bilateral agreements, but also plurilateral agreements such as the one between Arab states. The analysis finds that more liberal policy is associated with greater passenger traffic between countries. Higher traffic levels appear to be driven primarily by larger numbers of city pairs being served, rather than by more passengers traveling along given routes. To demonstrate the quantitative implication of the estimates, two liberalization scenarios in the Middle East are evaluated. Deepening the plurilateral agreement among Arab states would lead to a 30 percent increase in intraregional passenger traffic. Widening the agreement to include Turkey would generate significantly larger gains because current policy vis-à-vis Turkey is much more restrictive.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Cristea, Anca
Hillberry, Russell
Mattoo, Aaditya
author_facet Cristea, Anca
Hillberry, Russell
Mattoo, Aaditya
author_sort Cristea, Anca
title Open Skies over the Middle East
title_short Open Skies over the Middle East
title_full Open Skies over the Middle East
title_fullStr Open Skies over the Middle East
title_full_unstemmed Open Skies over the Middle East
title_sort open skies over the middle east
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2014
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/06/19705719/open-skies-over-middle-east
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/18826
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