Carbon Price Efficiency : Lock-in and Path Dependence in Urban Forms and Transport Infrastructure

This paper investigates the effect of carbon or gasoline taxes on commuting-related CO2 emissions in an urban context. To assess the impact of public transport on the efficiency of the tax, the paper investigates two exogenous scenarios using a dyn...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Avner, Paolo, Rentschler, Jun, Hallegatte, Stéphane
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2014
Subjects:
AIR
BUS
CAR
CO2
GHG
TAX
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/06/19705748/carbon-price-efficiency-lock-in-path-dependence-urban-forms-transport-infrastructure
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/18829
id okr-10986-18829
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic ABSOLUTE LEVEL OF EMISSIONS
ACCESSIBILITY
ACCIDENTS
AIR
AIR TRAVEL
ALTERNATIVE FORMS OF TRANSPORT
AUTOMOBILE
AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY
AUTOMOBILES
BUS
BUSES
CAR
CAR COST
CAR INDUSTRY
CAR TECHNOLOGIES
CAR TRANSPORT
CAR TRAVEL
CAR TRAVEL DEMAND
CARBON
CARBON BUDGET
CARBON DIOXIDE
CARBON DIOXIDE EMISSIONS
CARBON EMISSION
CARBON EMISSIONS
CARBON PRICE
CARBON TAX
CARBON TAXES
CARRIERS
CARS
CLIMATE
CLIMATE CHANGE
CO2
COMBUSTION
COMMUTER MODE CHOICE
COMMUTERS
CONVERGENCE
COST OF TRANSPORT
COSTS OF TRANSPORT
CROSS ELASTICITY
CROSS-ELASTICITIES
DECREASE IN EMISSIONS
DEMAND ELASTICITIES
DEMAND ELASTICITY
DEMAND FOR AUTOMOBILE FUEL
DEMAND FOR ROAD TRANSPORT
DEMAND FOR TRANSPORT
DEMAND FOR TRANSPORTATION
DEMAND FOR TRANSPORTATION FUELS
DRIVERS
DRIVING
ELASTICITIES
ELASTICITIES OF ROAD TRAFFIC
ELASTICITIES OF TRAVEL DEMAND
ELASTICITY OF FUEL CONSUMPTION
ELASTICITY VALUES
ELECTRIC VEHICLES
ELECTRICITY
EMISSION
EMISSION LEVEL
EMISSION LEVELS
EMISSION REDUCTION
EMISSION REDUCTION TARGET
EMISSION REDUCTIONS
EMISSION-REDUCTION
EMISSIONS
EMISSIONS FROM TRANSPORT
EMISSIONS REDUCTION
ENERGY CONSUMPTION
ENERGY POLICY
ENVIRONMENTAL TAXES
EXTERNALITIES
FINANCE INFRASTRUCTURE
FINANCIAL BURDEN
FOSSIL FUEL
FOSSIL FUELS
FUEL
FUEL CONSUMPTION
FUEL ECONOMY
FUEL EFFICIENCY
FUEL EFFICIENT VEHICLES
FUEL PRICE
FUEL PRICE ELASTICITIES
FUEL PRICE ELASTICITY
FUEL PRICE INCREASE
FUEL PRICE INCREASES
FUEL PRICES
FUEL TAXATION
FUEL TAXES
FUEL-EFFICIENT VEHICLES
GASOLINE
GASOLINE CONSUMPTION
GASOLINE PRICE
GASOLINE PRICES
GASOLINE TAX
GASOLINE TAXES
GHG
GLOBAL WARMING
GREENHOUSE
GREENHOUSE GAS
GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS
HYBRID CARS
IMPACT OF ROAD PRICING
INCOME
INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT
INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT
INFRASTRUCTURE POLICIES
INFRASTRUCTURES
INTERNAL COMBUSTION ENGINES
JOURNEY
LAND USE
LOCAL AIR POLLUTION
LONG RUN ELASTICITIES
LONG-TERM ELASTICITIES
LONG-TERM ELASTICITY
LOW-CARBON
MARGINAL ABATEMENT
MARGINAL ABATEMENT COST
MEANS OF TRANSPORT
MOBILITY
MODAL CHOICE
MODAL SHARE
MODAL SHIFT
MODAL SPLIT
MODE OF TRANSPORT
NEGATIVE IMPACT
NEIGHBORHOODS
NOISE
NUCLEAR ENERGY
PASSENGERS
POPULATION DENSITIES
POPULATION DENSITY
POPULATION GROWTH
PRICE CHANGES
PRICE ELASTICITIES
PRICE ELASTICITY
PRICE ELASTICITY OF DEMAND
PRICE ELASTICITY OF GASOLINE
PRICE INCENTIVES
PRICE OF FUEL
PRICE OF GASOLINE
PRIVATE MOTOR VEHICLE
PRIVATE VEHICLES
PUBLIC TRANSIT
PUBLIC TRANSIT NETWORK
PUBLIC TRANSPORT
PUBLIC TRANSPORT ALTERNATIVES
PUBLIC TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE
PUBLIC TRANSPORT INVESTMENTS
PUBLIC TRANSPORT MODES
PUBLIC TRANSPORT NETWORK
PUBLIC TRANSPORT NETWORKS
PUBLIC TRANSPORT PROVISION
PUBLIC TRANSPORT SERVICE
PUBLIC TRANSPORT SYSTEM
PUBLIC TRANSPORT SYSTEMS
PUBLIC TRANSPORT USAGE
PUBLIC TRANSPORT USE
PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION
RAIL
RAIL TRANSPORT
REBATES
RISK MANAGEMENT
ROAD
ROAD CONGESTION
ROAD TRAFFIC
ROAD TRANSPORT
ROADS
ROUTE
SCENARIOS
SOCIAL COST OF CARBON
SPRAWL
TAX
TAX REVENUE
TRAFFIC DEMAND
TRAFFIC ELASTICITIES
TRAFFIC PSYCHOLOGY
TRANSIT INFRASTRUCTURE
TRANSIT SYSTEM
TRANSIT USAGE
TRANSIT USE
TRANSPORT
TRANSPORT CHOICES
TRANSPORT COSTS
TRANSPORT DEMAND
TRANSPORT ECONOMICS
TRANSPORT ELASTICITIES
TRANSPORT EMISSIONS
TRANSPORT IMPACTS
TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE
TRANSPORT MODE
TRANSPORT POLICIES
TRANSPORT POLICY
TRANSPORT PRICE
TRANSPORT SECTOR
TRANSPORT SUBSIDIES
TRANSPORTATION COSTS
TRANSPORTATION ECONOMICS
TRANSPORTATION EMISSIONS
TRANSPORTATION NETWORKS
TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH
TRANSPORTATION SYSTEM
TRANSPORTS
TRAVEL BEHAVIOR
TRAVEL DISTANCES
TRAVEL MODE
TRAVEL OPTIONS
TRIP
TRIPS
URBAN SPRAWL
URBAN SYSTEMS
URBAN TRANSPORTATION
VEHICLE
VEHICLE FLEET
VEHICLES
WALKING
spellingShingle ABSOLUTE LEVEL OF EMISSIONS
ACCESSIBILITY
ACCIDENTS
AIR
AIR TRAVEL
ALTERNATIVE FORMS OF TRANSPORT
AUTOMOBILE
AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY
AUTOMOBILES
BUS
BUSES
CAR
CAR COST
CAR INDUSTRY
CAR TECHNOLOGIES
CAR TRANSPORT
CAR TRAVEL
CAR TRAVEL DEMAND
CARBON
CARBON BUDGET
CARBON DIOXIDE
CARBON DIOXIDE EMISSIONS
CARBON EMISSION
CARBON EMISSIONS
CARBON PRICE
CARBON TAX
CARBON TAXES
CARRIERS
CARS
CLIMATE
CLIMATE CHANGE
CO2
COMBUSTION
COMMUTER MODE CHOICE
COMMUTERS
CONVERGENCE
COST OF TRANSPORT
COSTS OF TRANSPORT
CROSS ELASTICITY
CROSS-ELASTICITIES
DECREASE IN EMISSIONS
DEMAND ELASTICITIES
DEMAND ELASTICITY
DEMAND FOR AUTOMOBILE FUEL
DEMAND FOR ROAD TRANSPORT
DEMAND FOR TRANSPORT
DEMAND FOR TRANSPORTATION
DEMAND FOR TRANSPORTATION FUELS
DRIVERS
DRIVING
ELASTICITIES
ELASTICITIES OF ROAD TRAFFIC
ELASTICITIES OF TRAVEL DEMAND
ELASTICITY OF FUEL CONSUMPTION
ELASTICITY VALUES
ELECTRIC VEHICLES
ELECTRICITY
EMISSION
EMISSION LEVEL
EMISSION LEVELS
EMISSION REDUCTION
EMISSION REDUCTION TARGET
EMISSION REDUCTIONS
EMISSION-REDUCTION
EMISSIONS
EMISSIONS FROM TRANSPORT
EMISSIONS REDUCTION
ENERGY CONSUMPTION
ENERGY POLICY
ENVIRONMENTAL TAXES
EXTERNALITIES
FINANCE INFRASTRUCTURE
FINANCIAL BURDEN
FOSSIL FUEL
FOSSIL FUELS
FUEL
FUEL CONSUMPTION
FUEL ECONOMY
FUEL EFFICIENCY
FUEL EFFICIENT VEHICLES
FUEL PRICE
FUEL PRICE ELASTICITIES
FUEL PRICE ELASTICITY
FUEL PRICE INCREASE
FUEL PRICE INCREASES
FUEL PRICES
FUEL TAXATION
FUEL TAXES
FUEL-EFFICIENT VEHICLES
GASOLINE
GASOLINE CONSUMPTION
GASOLINE PRICE
GASOLINE PRICES
GASOLINE TAX
GASOLINE TAXES
GHG
GLOBAL WARMING
GREENHOUSE
GREENHOUSE GAS
GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS
HYBRID CARS
IMPACT OF ROAD PRICING
INCOME
INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT
INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT
INFRASTRUCTURE POLICIES
INFRASTRUCTURES
INTERNAL COMBUSTION ENGINES
JOURNEY
LAND USE
LOCAL AIR POLLUTION
LONG RUN ELASTICITIES
LONG-TERM ELASTICITIES
LONG-TERM ELASTICITY
LOW-CARBON
MARGINAL ABATEMENT
MARGINAL ABATEMENT COST
MEANS OF TRANSPORT
MOBILITY
MODAL CHOICE
MODAL SHARE
MODAL SHIFT
MODAL SPLIT
MODE OF TRANSPORT
NEGATIVE IMPACT
NEIGHBORHOODS
NOISE
NUCLEAR ENERGY
PASSENGERS
POPULATION DENSITIES
POPULATION DENSITY
POPULATION GROWTH
PRICE CHANGES
PRICE ELASTICITIES
PRICE ELASTICITY
PRICE ELASTICITY OF DEMAND
PRICE ELASTICITY OF GASOLINE
PRICE INCENTIVES
PRICE OF FUEL
PRICE OF GASOLINE
PRIVATE MOTOR VEHICLE
PRIVATE VEHICLES
PUBLIC TRANSIT
PUBLIC TRANSIT NETWORK
PUBLIC TRANSPORT
PUBLIC TRANSPORT ALTERNATIVES
PUBLIC TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE
PUBLIC TRANSPORT INVESTMENTS
PUBLIC TRANSPORT MODES
PUBLIC TRANSPORT NETWORK
PUBLIC TRANSPORT NETWORKS
PUBLIC TRANSPORT PROVISION
PUBLIC TRANSPORT SERVICE
PUBLIC TRANSPORT SYSTEM
PUBLIC TRANSPORT SYSTEMS
PUBLIC TRANSPORT USAGE
PUBLIC TRANSPORT USE
PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION
RAIL
RAIL TRANSPORT
REBATES
RISK MANAGEMENT
ROAD
ROAD CONGESTION
ROAD TRAFFIC
ROAD TRANSPORT
ROADS
ROUTE
SCENARIOS
SOCIAL COST OF CARBON
SPRAWL
TAX
TAX REVENUE
TRAFFIC DEMAND
TRAFFIC ELASTICITIES
TRAFFIC PSYCHOLOGY
TRANSIT INFRASTRUCTURE
TRANSIT SYSTEM
TRANSIT USAGE
TRANSIT USE
TRANSPORT
TRANSPORT CHOICES
TRANSPORT COSTS
TRANSPORT DEMAND
TRANSPORT ECONOMICS
TRANSPORT ELASTICITIES
TRANSPORT EMISSIONS
TRANSPORT IMPACTS
TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE
TRANSPORT MODE
TRANSPORT POLICIES
TRANSPORT POLICY
TRANSPORT PRICE
TRANSPORT SECTOR
TRANSPORT SUBSIDIES
TRANSPORTATION COSTS
TRANSPORTATION ECONOMICS
TRANSPORTATION EMISSIONS
TRANSPORTATION NETWORKS
TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH
TRANSPORTATION SYSTEM
TRANSPORTS
TRAVEL BEHAVIOR
TRAVEL DISTANCES
TRAVEL MODE
TRAVEL OPTIONS
TRIP
TRIPS
URBAN SPRAWL
URBAN SYSTEMS
URBAN TRANSPORTATION
VEHICLE
VEHICLE FLEET
VEHICLES
WALKING
Avner, Paolo
Rentschler, Jun
Hallegatte, Stéphane
Carbon Price Efficiency : Lock-in and Path Dependence in Urban Forms and Transport Infrastructure
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 6941
description This paper investigates the effect of carbon or gasoline taxes on commuting-related CO2 emissions in an urban context. To assess the impact of public transport on the efficiency of the tax, the paper investigates two exogenous scenarios using a dynamic urban model (NEDUM-2D) calibrated for the urban area of Paris: (i) a scenario with the current dense public transport infrastructure, and (ii) a scenario without. It is shown that the price elasticity of CO2 emissions is twice as high in the short run if public transport options exist. Reducing commuting-related emissions thus requires lower (and more acceptable) tax levels in the presence of dense public transportation. If the goal of a carbon or gasoline tax is to change behaviors and reduce energy consumption and CO2 emissions (not to raise revenues), then there is an incentive to increase the price elasticity through complementary policies such as public transport development. The emission elasticity also depends on the baseline scenario and is larger when population growth and income growth are high. In the longer run, elasticities are higher and similar in the scenarios with and without public transport, because of larger urban reconfiguration in the latter scenario. These results are policy relevant, especially for fast-growing cities in developing countries. Even for cities where emission reductions are not a priority today, there is an option value attached to a dense public transport network, since it makes it possible to reduce emissions at a lower cost in the future.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Avner, Paolo
Rentschler, Jun
Hallegatte, Stéphane
author_facet Avner, Paolo
Rentschler, Jun
Hallegatte, Stéphane
author_sort Avner, Paolo
title Carbon Price Efficiency : Lock-in and Path Dependence in Urban Forms and Transport Infrastructure
title_short Carbon Price Efficiency : Lock-in and Path Dependence in Urban Forms and Transport Infrastructure
title_full Carbon Price Efficiency : Lock-in and Path Dependence in Urban Forms and Transport Infrastructure
title_fullStr Carbon Price Efficiency : Lock-in and Path Dependence in Urban Forms and Transport Infrastructure
title_full_unstemmed Carbon Price Efficiency : Lock-in and Path Dependence in Urban Forms and Transport Infrastructure
title_sort carbon price efficiency : lock-in and path dependence in urban forms and transport infrastructure
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2014
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/06/19705748/carbon-price-efficiency-lock-in-path-dependence-urban-forms-transport-infrastructure
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/18829
_version_ 1764442839423385600
spelling okr-10986-188292021-04-23T14:03:49Z Carbon Price Efficiency : Lock-in and Path Dependence in Urban Forms and Transport Infrastructure Avner, Paolo Rentschler, Jun Hallegatte, Stéphane ABSOLUTE LEVEL OF EMISSIONS ACCESSIBILITY ACCIDENTS AIR AIR TRAVEL ALTERNATIVE FORMS OF TRANSPORT AUTOMOBILE AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY AUTOMOBILES BUS BUSES CAR CAR COST CAR INDUSTRY CAR TECHNOLOGIES CAR TRANSPORT CAR TRAVEL CAR TRAVEL DEMAND CARBON CARBON BUDGET CARBON DIOXIDE CARBON DIOXIDE EMISSIONS CARBON EMISSION CARBON EMISSIONS CARBON PRICE CARBON TAX CARBON TAXES CARRIERS CARS CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE CO2 COMBUSTION COMMUTER MODE CHOICE COMMUTERS CONVERGENCE COST OF TRANSPORT COSTS OF TRANSPORT CROSS ELASTICITY CROSS-ELASTICITIES DECREASE IN EMISSIONS DEMAND ELASTICITIES DEMAND ELASTICITY DEMAND FOR AUTOMOBILE FUEL DEMAND FOR ROAD TRANSPORT DEMAND FOR TRANSPORT DEMAND FOR TRANSPORTATION DEMAND FOR TRANSPORTATION FUELS DRIVERS DRIVING ELASTICITIES ELASTICITIES OF ROAD TRAFFIC ELASTICITIES OF TRAVEL DEMAND ELASTICITY OF FUEL CONSUMPTION ELASTICITY VALUES ELECTRIC VEHICLES ELECTRICITY EMISSION EMISSION LEVEL EMISSION LEVELS EMISSION REDUCTION EMISSION REDUCTION TARGET EMISSION REDUCTIONS EMISSION-REDUCTION EMISSIONS EMISSIONS FROM TRANSPORT EMISSIONS REDUCTION ENERGY CONSUMPTION ENERGY POLICY ENVIRONMENTAL TAXES EXTERNALITIES FINANCE INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCIAL BURDEN FOSSIL FUEL FOSSIL FUELS FUEL FUEL CONSUMPTION FUEL ECONOMY FUEL EFFICIENCY FUEL EFFICIENT VEHICLES FUEL PRICE FUEL PRICE ELASTICITIES FUEL PRICE ELASTICITY FUEL PRICE INCREASE FUEL PRICE INCREASES FUEL PRICES FUEL TAXATION FUEL TAXES FUEL-EFFICIENT VEHICLES GASOLINE GASOLINE CONSUMPTION GASOLINE PRICE GASOLINE PRICES GASOLINE TAX GASOLINE TAXES GHG GLOBAL WARMING GREENHOUSE GREENHOUSE GAS GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS HYBRID CARS IMPACT OF ROAD PRICING INCOME INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT INFRASTRUCTURE POLICIES INFRASTRUCTURES INTERNAL COMBUSTION ENGINES JOURNEY LAND USE LOCAL AIR POLLUTION LONG RUN ELASTICITIES LONG-TERM ELASTICITIES LONG-TERM ELASTICITY LOW-CARBON MARGINAL ABATEMENT MARGINAL ABATEMENT COST MEANS OF TRANSPORT MOBILITY MODAL CHOICE MODAL SHARE MODAL SHIFT MODAL SPLIT MODE OF TRANSPORT NEGATIVE IMPACT NEIGHBORHOODS NOISE NUCLEAR ENERGY PASSENGERS POPULATION DENSITIES POPULATION DENSITY POPULATION GROWTH PRICE CHANGES PRICE ELASTICITIES PRICE ELASTICITY PRICE ELASTICITY OF DEMAND PRICE ELASTICITY OF GASOLINE PRICE INCENTIVES PRICE OF FUEL PRICE OF GASOLINE PRIVATE MOTOR VEHICLE PRIVATE VEHICLES PUBLIC TRANSIT PUBLIC TRANSIT NETWORK PUBLIC TRANSPORT PUBLIC TRANSPORT ALTERNATIVES PUBLIC TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE PUBLIC TRANSPORT INVESTMENTS PUBLIC TRANSPORT MODES PUBLIC TRANSPORT NETWORK PUBLIC TRANSPORT NETWORKS PUBLIC TRANSPORT PROVISION PUBLIC TRANSPORT SERVICE PUBLIC TRANSPORT SYSTEM PUBLIC TRANSPORT SYSTEMS PUBLIC TRANSPORT USAGE PUBLIC TRANSPORT USE PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION RAIL RAIL TRANSPORT REBATES RISK MANAGEMENT ROAD ROAD CONGESTION ROAD TRAFFIC ROAD TRANSPORT ROADS ROUTE SCENARIOS SOCIAL COST OF CARBON SPRAWL TAX TAX REVENUE TRAFFIC DEMAND TRAFFIC ELASTICITIES TRAFFIC PSYCHOLOGY TRANSIT INFRASTRUCTURE TRANSIT SYSTEM TRANSIT USAGE TRANSIT USE TRANSPORT TRANSPORT CHOICES TRANSPORT COSTS TRANSPORT DEMAND TRANSPORT ECONOMICS TRANSPORT ELASTICITIES TRANSPORT EMISSIONS TRANSPORT IMPACTS TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE TRANSPORT MODE TRANSPORT POLICIES TRANSPORT POLICY TRANSPORT PRICE TRANSPORT SECTOR TRANSPORT SUBSIDIES TRANSPORTATION COSTS TRANSPORTATION ECONOMICS TRANSPORTATION EMISSIONS TRANSPORTATION NETWORKS TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH TRANSPORTATION SYSTEM TRANSPORTS TRAVEL BEHAVIOR TRAVEL DISTANCES TRAVEL MODE TRAVEL OPTIONS TRIP TRIPS URBAN SPRAWL URBAN SYSTEMS URBAN TRANSPORTATION VEHICLE VEHICLE FLEET VEHICLES WALKING This paper investigates the effect of carbon or gasoline taxes on commuting-related CO2 emissions in an urban context. To assess the impact of public transport on the efficiency of the tax, the paper investigates two exogenous scenarios using a dynamic urban model (NEDUM-2D) calibrated for the urban area of Paris: (i) a scenario with the current dense public transport infrastructure, and (ii) a scenario without. It is shown that the price elasticity of CO2 emissions is twice as high in the short run if public transport options exist. Reducing commuting-related emissions thus requires lower (and more acceptable) tax levels in the presence of dense public transportation. If the goal of a carbon or gasoline tax is to change behaviors and reduce energy consumption and CO2 emissions (not to raise revenues), then there is an incentive to increase the price elasticity through complementary policies such as public transport development. The emission elasticity also depends on the baseline scenario and is larger when population growth and income growth are high. In the longer run, elasticities are higher and similar in the scenarios with and without public transport, because of larger urban reconfiguration in the latter scenario. These results are policy relevant, especially for fast-growing cities in developing countries. Even for cities where emission reductions are not a priority today, there is an option value attached to a dense public transport network, since it makes it possible to reduce emissions at a lower cost in the future. 2014-06-30T16:57:25Z 2014-06-30T16:57:25Z 2014-06 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/06/19705748/carbon-price-efficiency-lock-in-path-dependence-urban-forms-transport-infrastructure http://hdl.handle.net/10986/18829 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 6941 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research