The Middle Class Consensus and Economic Development

Modern political economy stresses "society's polarization" as a determinant of development outcomes. Among the most common dorms of social conflict are class polarization, and ethnic polarization. A middle class consensus is defined...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Easterly, William
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2014
Subjects:
GDP
M2
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2000/05/437389/middle-class-consensus-economic-development
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/18849
id okr-10986-18849
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic AGRICULTURE
AVERAGE LEVEL
BACKWARD PARTS
BALANCED GROWTH
BETTER HEALTH
BLACK MARKET
BLACK MARKET PREMIUM
CAPITAL ACCUMULATION
CAPITAL INVESTMENT
CITIZENS
CIVIL WAR
CLASS LINES
CLASS POLARIZATION
CLEAN WATER
COMMUNITY INCOME INEQUALITY
CONSUMERS
CORRUPTION
COVARIANCE MATRIX
CROSS-COUNTRY DATA
CROSS-COUNTRY DIFFERENCES
CROSS-COUNTRY INCOME
CROSS-COUNTRY STUDIES
DEBT
DEMOCRACY
DEMOCRATIC ELECTIONS
DEPENDENT VARIABLE
DEVELOPMENT DIFFERENCES
DEVELOPMENT DISADVANTAGE
DEVELOPMENT ISSUES
DEVELOPMENT OUTCOMES
DEVELOPMENT REPORT
DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH
DEVELOPMENT SOCIETY
DEVELOPMENT SUCCESSES
DISTRIBUTIVE GOODS
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC EFFECTS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC HISTORIANS
ECONOMIC POLICIES
ECONOMICS LITERATURE
EDUCATION SPENDING
ELASTICITY
ELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTION
EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE
EMPIRICAL GROWTH LITERATURE
EMPIRICAL SECTION
EMPIRICAL WORK
ENDOGENOUS GROWTH
ENDOGENOUS GROWTH MODEL
ENDOGENOUS OUTCOMES
ENDOGENOUS SEGREGATION
ENDOGENOUS VARIABLES
ESTIMATION METHOD
ETHNIC HETEROGENEITY
ETHNIC HOMOGENEITY
EXOGENOUS COUNTRY CHARACTERISTICS
EXOGENOUS FACTORS
EXOGENOUS VARIABLE
EXTERNALITY
FACTOR ENDOWMENTS
FOREIGN AID
GDP
GDP PER CAPITA
GEOGRAPHIC DISADVANTAGE
GROWTH
GROWTH EFFECT
GROWTH INCREASE
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH RATES
GROWTH REGRESSION
GROWTH REGRESSIONS
HEALTH OUTCOMES
HEALTH SERVICES
HETEROSKEDASTICITY
HIGH INCOME INEQUALITY
HIGH INEQUALITY
HUMAN CAPITAL
INCOME
INCOME
INCOME DIFFERENCES
INCOME DIFFERENTIALS
INCOME DISTRIBUTION
INCOME EQUATION
INCOME INCREASE
INCOME QUINTILES
INCOME REGRESSIONS
INCOME SHARE
INCOMES
INDUSTRIALIZATION
INEQUALITY
INEQUALITY EQUATION
INFANT MORTALITY
INFRASTRUCTURE CAPITAL
INTEREST GROUP
LAND INEQUALITY
LANDOWNERS LORD
LEVELS OF INCOME
LIFE EXPECTANCY
LIQUIDITY
LOCAL COMMUNITY
LOCAL SCHOOL FINANCE
LOG INCOME
LOG INFLATION
LONG RUN
LONG-RUNNING CONFLICT
LOW SHARE
LOWER INCOME
M2
MACROECONOMICS
MASS EDUCATION
MEDIAN VOTER
MIDDLE CLASS
MIDDLE CLASS CONSENSUS
MIDDLE CLASS CONSENSUS HYPOTHESIS
MIDDLE CLASS INCOME SHARE
MIDDLE CLASS SHARE
MIDDLE CLASS SOCIETY
MIDDLE INCOME SHARE
MIDDLE QUINTILES
MILITARY MAN
MINIMUM MIDDLE CLASS INCOME SHARE
NATIONAL POLICIES
NEIGHBORHOOD EXTERNALITIES
NEIGHBORHOOD SEGREGATION
NEOCLASSICAL MODEL
NON-OIL COMMODITY
NON-OIL COMMODITY EXPORTERS
OIL EXPORTING NATIONS
OIL PRODUCTION
OIL WINDFALL
OIL-EXPORTING DUMMY
OLD MIDDLE CLASS
OLD STATE-SECTOR MIDDLE CLASS
OLIGARCHIC ELITE
OUTPUT COLLAPSE
PARSIMONIOUS EXPLANATION
PARSIMONIOUS REGRESSIONS
PER CAPITA GROWTH
PER CAPITA GROWTH RATE
PER CAPITA INCOME
POLARIZED SOCIETIES
POLICY RESEARCH
POLITICAL BLOCS
POLITICAL COMMUNITY
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POLITICAL INSTABILITY
POLITICAL RIGHTS
POLITICAL SCIENCE
POLITICAL SCIENCE LITERATURE
POOR GROWTH
POOR POLICIES
POVERTY RATE
PRIMARY ENROLLMENT
PRIMARY SCHOOL
PRODUCTION FUNCTION
PUBLIC GOOD
PUBLIC GOODS
PUBLIC SPENDING
PUBLIC SUPPORT
REAL EXCHANGE RATE
REAL EXCHANGE RATE OVERVALUATION
REDISTRIBUTIVE DEVICE
RESOURCE ENDOWMENTS
SECONDARY ENROLLMENT
SECONDARY ENROLLMENT MIDDLE CLASS
SOCIAL CAPITAL
SOCIAL CLUBS
SOCIAL CONFLICT
SOCIAL DOMINANCE
SOCIAL HIERARCHY
SOCIAL INFRASTRUCTURE
SOCIAL OUTCOMES
STANDARD DEVIATION
TELEPHONES
TRADE SHOCKS
UNEQUAL DISTRIBUTION
UNIVERSAL SUFFRAGE
spellingShingle AGRICULTURE
AVERAGE LEVEL
BACKWARD PARTS
BALANCED GROWTH
BETTER HEALTH
BLACK MARKET
BLACK MARKET PREMIUM
CAPITAL ACCUMULATION
CAPITAL INVESTMENT
CITIZENS
CIVIL WAR
CLASS LINES
CLASS POLARIZATION
CLEAN WATER
COMMUNITY INCOME INEQUALITY
CONSUMERS
CORRUPTION
COVARIANCE MATRIX
CROSS-COUNTRY DATA
CROSS-COUNTRY DIFFERENCES
CROSS-COUNTRY INCOME
CROSS-COUNTRY STUDIES
DEBT
DEMOCRACY
DEMOCRATIC ELECTIONS
DEPENDENT VARIABLE
DEVELOPMENT DIFFERENCES
DEVELOPMENT DISADVANTAGE
DEVELOPMENT ISSUES
DEVELOPMENT OUTCOMES
DEVELOPMENT REPORT
DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH
DEVELOPMENT SOCIETY
DEVELOPMENT SUCCESSES
DISTRIBUTIVE GOODS
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC EFFECTS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC HISTORIANS
ECONOMIC POLICIES
ECONOMICS LITERATURE
EDUCATION SPENDING
ELASTICITY
ELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTION
EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE
EMPIRICAL GROWTH LITERATURE
EMPIRICAL SECTION
EMPIRICAL WORK
ENDOGENOUS GROWTH
ENDOGENOUS GROWTH MODEL
ENDOGENOUS OUTCOMES
ENDOGENOUS SEGREGATION
ENDOGENOUS VARIABLES
ESTIMATION METHOD
ETHNIC HETEROGENEITY
ETHNIC HOMOGENEITY
EXOGENOUS COUNTRY CHARACTERISTICS
EXOGENOUS FACTORS
EXOGENOUS VARIABLE
EXTERNALITY
FACTOR ENDOWMENTS
FOREIGN AID
GDP
GDP PER CAPITA
GEOGRAPHIC DISADVANTAGE
GROWTH
GROWTH EFFECT
GROWTH INCREASE
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH RATES
GROWTH REGRESSION
GROWTH REGRESSIONS
HEALTH OUTCOMES
HEALTH SERVICES
HETEROSKEDASTICITY
HIGH INCOME INEQUALITY
HIGH INEQUALITY
HUMAN CAPITAL
INCOME
INCOME
INCOME DIFFERENCES
INCOME DIFFERENTIALS
INCOME DISTRIBUTION
INCOME EQUATION
INCOME INCREASE
INCOME QUINTILES
INCOME REGRESSIONS
INCOME SHARE
INCOMES
INDUSTRIALIZATION
INEQUALITY
INEQUALITY EQUATION
INFANT MORTALITY
INFRASTRUCTURE CAPITAL
INTEREST GROUP
LAND INEQUALITY
LANDOWNERS LORD
LEVELS OF INCOME
LIFE EXPECTANCY
LIQUIDITY
LOCAL COMMUNITY
LOCAL SCHOOL FINANCE
LOG INCOME
LOG INFLATION
LONG RUN
LONG-RUNNING CONFLICT
LOW SHARE
LOWER INCOME
M2
MACROECONOMICS
MASS EDUCATION
MEDIAN VOTER
MIDDLE CLASS
MIDDLE CLASS CONSENSUS
MIDDLE CLASS CONSENSUS HYPOTHESIS
MIDDLE CLASS INCOME SHARE
MIDDLE CLASS SHARE
MIDDLE CLASS SOCIETY
MIDDLE INCOME SHARE
MIDDLE QUINTILES
MILITARY MAN
MINIMUM MIDDLE CLASS INCOME SHARE
NATIONAL POLICIES
NEIGHBORHOOD EXTERNALITIES
NEIGHBORHOOD SEGREGATION
NEOCLASSICAL MODEL
NON-OIL COMMODITY
NON-OIL COMMODITY EXPORTERS
OIL EXPORTING NATIONS
OIL PRODUCTION
OIL WINDFALL
OIL-EXPORTING DUMMY
OLD MIDDLE CLASS
OLD STATE-SECTOR MIDDLE CLASS
OLIGARCHIC ELITE
OUTPUT COLLAPSE
PARSIMONIOUS EXPLANATION
PARSIMONIOUS REGRESSIONS
PER CAPITA GROWTH
PER CAPITA GROWTH RATE
PER CAPITA INCOME
POLARIZED SOCIETIES
POLICY RESEARCH
POLITICAL BLOCS
POLITICAL COMMUNITY
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POLITICAL INSTABILITY
POLITICAL RIGHTS
POLITICAL SCIENCE
POLITICAL SCIENCE LITERATURE
POOR GROWTH
POOR POLICIES
POVERTY RATE
PRIMARY ENROLLMENT
PRIMARY SCHOOL
PRODUCTION FUNCTION
PUBLIC GOOD
PUBLIC GOODS
PUBLIC SPENDING
PUBLIC SUPPORT
REAL EXCHANGE RATE
REAL EXCHANGE RATE OVERVALUATION
REDISTRIBUTIVE DEVICE
RESOURCE ENDOWMENTS
SECONDARY ENROLLMENT
SECONDARY ENROLLMENT MIDDLE CLASS
SOCIAL CAPITAL
SOCIAL CLUBS
SOCIAL CONFLICT
SOCIAL DOMINANCE
SOCIAL HIERARCHY
SOCIAL INFRASTRUCTURE
SOCIAL OUTCOMES
STANDARD DEVIATION
TELEPHONES
TRADE SHOCKS
UNEQUAL DISTRIBUTION
UNIVERSAL SUFFRAGE
Easterly, William
The Middle Class Consensus and Economic Development
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 2346
description Modern political economy stresses "society's polarization" as a determinant of development outcomes. Among the most common dorms of social conflict are class polarization, and ethnic polarization. A middle class consensus is defined as a high share of income for the middle class and a low degree of ethnic polarization. A middle class consensus distinguishes development successes from failures. A theoretical model shows how groups - distinguished by class or ethnicity - will under-invest in human capital and infrastructure when there is "leakage" to another group. The author links the existence of a middle class consensus to exogenous country characteristics, such as resource endowments, along the lines of the provocative thesis of Engerman and Sokoloff (1997), that tropical commodity exporters are more unequal than other societies. The author confirms this hypothesis with cross-country data. This makes it possible to use resource endowments as instruments for inequality. A higher share of income for the middle class and lower ethnic polarization, are empirically associated with higher income, higher growth, more education, better health, better infrastructure, better economic policies, less political instability, less civil war (putting ethnic minorities at risk), more social "modernization," and more democracy.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Easterly, William
author_facet Easterly, William
author_sort Easterly, William
title The Middle Class Consensus and Economic Development
title_short The Middle Class Consensus and Economic Development
title_full The Middle Class Consensus and Economic Development
title_fullStr The Middle Class Consensus and Economic Development
title_full_unstemmed The Middle Class Consensus and Economic Development
title_sort middle class consensus and economic development
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2014
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2000/05/437389/middle-class-consensus-economic-development
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/18849
_version_ 1764441621912354816
spelling okr-10986-188492021-04-23T14:03:46Z The Middle Class Consensus and Economic Development Easterly, William AGRICULTURE AVERAGE LEVEL BACKWARD PARTS BALANCED GROWTH BETTER HEALTH BLACK MARKET BLACK MARKET PREMIUM CAPITAL ACCUMULATION CAPITAL INVESTMENT CITIZENS CIVIL WAR CLASS LINES CLASS POLARIZATION CLEAN WATER COMMUNITY INCOME INEQUALITY CONSUMERS CORRUPTION COVARIANCE MATRIX CROSS-COUNTRY DATA CROSS-COUNTRY DIFFERENCES CROSS-COUNTRY INCOME CROSS-COUNTRY STUDIES DEBT DEMOCRACY DEMOCRATIC ELECTIONS DEPENDENT VARIABLE DEVELOPMENT DIFFERENCES DEVELOPMENT DISADVANTAGE DEVELOPMENT ISSUES DEVELOPMENT OUTCOMES DEVELOPMENT REPORT DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH DEVELOPMENT SOCIETY DEVELOPMENT SUCCESSES DISTRIBUTIVE GOODS ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC EFFECTS ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC HISTORIANS ECONOMIC POLICIES ECONOMICS LITERATURE EDUCATION SPENDING ELASTICITY ELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTION EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE EMPIRICAL GROWTH LITERATURE EMPIRICAL SECTION EMPIRICAL WORK ENDOGENOUS GROWTH ENDOGENOUS GROWTH MODEL ENDOGENOUS OUTCOMES ENDOGENOUS SEGREGATION ENDOGENOUS VARIABLES ESTIMATION METHOD ETHNIC HETEROGENEITY ETHNIC HOMOGENEITY EXOGENOUS COUNTRY CHARACTERISTICS EXOGENOUS FACTORS EXOGENOUS VARIABLE EXTERNALITY FACTOR ENDOWMENTS FOREIGN AID GDP GDP PER CAPITA GEOGRAPHIC DISADVANTAGE GROWTH GROWTH EFFECT GROWTH INCREASE GROWTH RATE GROWTH RATES GROWTH REGRESSION GROWTH REGRESSIONS HEALTH OUTCOMES HEALTH SERVICES HETEROSKEDASTICITY HIGH INCOME INEQUALITY HIGH INEQUALITY HUMAN CAPITAL INCOME INCOME INCOME DIFFERENCES INCOME DIFFERENTIALS INCOME DISTRIBUTION INCOME EQUATION INCOME INCREASE INCOME QUINTILES INCOME REGRESSIONS INCOME SHARE INCOMES INDUSTRIALIZATION INEQUALITY INEQUALITY EQUATION INFANT MORTALITY INFRASTRUCTURE CAPITAL INTEREST GROUP LAND INEQUALITY LANDOWNERS LORD LEVELS OF INCOME LIFE EXPECTANCY LIQUIDITY LOCAL COMMUNITY LOCAL SCHOOL FINANCE LOG INCOME LOG INFLATION LONG RUN LONG-RUNNING CONFLICT LOW SHARE LOWER INCOME M2 MACROECONOMICS MASS EDUCATION MEDIAN VOTER MIDDLE CLASS MIDDLE CLASS CONSENSUS MIDDLE CLASS CONSENSUS HYPOTHESIS MIDDLE CLASS INCOME SHARE MIDDLE CLASS SHARE MIDDLE CLASS SOCIETY MIDDLE INCOME SHARE MIDDLE QUINTILES MILITARY MAN MINIMUM MIDDLE CLASS INCOME SHARE NATIONAL POLICIES NEIGHBORHOOD EXTERNALITIES NEIGHBORHOOD SEGREGATION NEOCLASSICAL MODEL NON-OIL COMMODITY NON-OIL COMMODITY EXPORTERS OIL EXPORTING NATIONS OIL PRODUCTION OIL WINDFALL OIL-EXPORTING DUMMY OLD MIDDLE CLASS OLD STATE-SECTOR MIDDLE CLASS OLIGARCHIC ELITE OUTPUT COLLAPSE PARSIMONIOUS EXPLANATION PARSIMONIOUS REGRESSIONS PER CAPITA GROWTH PER CAPITA GROWTH RATE PER CAPITA INCOME POLARIZED SOCIETIES POLICY RESEARCH POLITICAL BLOCS POLITICAL COMMUNITY POLITICAL ECONOMY POLITICAL INSTABILITY POLITICAL RIGHTS POLITICAL SCIENCE POLITICAL SCIENCE LITERATURE POOR GROWTH POOR POLICIES POVERTY RATE PRIMARY ENROLLMENT PRIMARY SCHOOL PRODUCTION FUNCTION PUBLIC GOOD PUBLIC GOODS PUBLIC SPENDING PUBLIC SUPPORT REAL EXCHANGE RATE REAL EXCHANGE RATE OVERVALUATION REDISTRIBUTIVE DEVICE RESOURCE ENDOWMENTS SECONDARY ENROLLMENT SECONDARY ENROLLMENT MIDDLE CLASS SOCIAL CAPITAL SOCIAL CLUBS SOCIAL CONFLICT SOCIAL DOMINANCE SOCIAL HIERARCHY SOCIAL INFRASTRUCTURE SOCIAL OUTCOMES STANDARD DEVIATION TELEPHONES TRADE SHOCKS UNEQUAL DISTRIBUTION UNIVERSAL SUFFRAGE Modern political economy stresses "society's polarization" as a determinant of development outcomes. Among the most common dorms of social conflict are class polarization, and ethnic polarization. A middle class consensus is defined as a high share of income for the middle class and a low degree of ethnic polarization. A middle class consensus distinguishes development successes from failures. A theoretical model shows how groups - distinguished by class or ethnicity - will under-invest in human capital and infrastructure when there is "leakage" to another group. The author links the existence of a middle class consensus to exogenous country characteristics, such as resource endowments, along the lines of the provocative thesis of Engerman and Sokoloff (1997), that tropical commodity exporters are more unequal than other societies. The author confirms this hypothesis with cross-country data. This makes it possible to use resource endowments as instruments for inequality. A higher share of income for the middle class and lower ethnic polarization, are empirically associated with higher income, higher growth, more education, better health, better infrastructure, better economic policies, less political instability, less civil war (putting ethnic minorities at risk), more social "modernization," and more democracy. 2014-06-30T19:07:50Z 2014-06-30T19:07:50Z 2000-05 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2000/05/437389/middle-class-consensus-economic-development http://hdl.handle.net/10986/18849 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 2346 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research