The Demand for Commodity Insurance by Developing Country Agricultural Producers : Theory and an Application to Cocoa in Ghana
The author considers the benefit to agricultural producers of commodity price insurance that provides in every year-but in advance of the resolution of production and price uncertainty--a minimum price for a fixed or variable portion of production....
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Format: | Policy Research Working Paper |
Language: | English en_US |
Published: |
World Bank, Washington, DC
2014
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Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2002/09/2017580/demand-commodity-insurance-developing-country-agricultural-producers-theory-application-cocoa-ghana http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19271 |
Summary: | The author considers the benefit to
agricultural producers of commodity price insurance that
provides in every year-but in advance of the resolution of
production and price uncertainty--a minimum price for a fixed
or variable portion of production. Under the assumption that
producers do not change their long term production and
income diversification pattern, the author suggests a
theoretical framework that leads to explicit formulas of the
benefit in providing this type of insurance. He shows that
this benefit depends not only on the actuarially fair
insurance premium, but also on household-specific factors
that depend on the attitudes to risk, the consumption
smoothing parameters, and the household-specific exposures
to income risks. The author applies the theoretical
framework for Ghana, using the Ghana Living Standards Survey
data to specify various classes of cocoa-producing
households and monthly price data for both domestic and
international prices, to formulate appropriate models for
ascertaining price risks faced by producers. The author
gives empirical estimates of the actuarially fair premium,
and shows that they are smaller than market-based put option
prices from organized exchanges. The overall benefit in
providing minimum price insurance to households, however,
turns out to be substantially higher than the actuarially
fair premiums and the market-based put option prices. This
is due to both the magnitude of the uncertainties facing the
households, as well as their risk and consumption smoothing behavior. |
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