Politically Optimal Tariffs : An Application to Egypt

Egyptian economic history has been influenced by the import-substitution industrialization approach to development, dating back to Gamal Abdel Nasser's Pan-Arabic and socialist movement in the 1950s. Two major waves of liberalization have mark...

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Main Authors: Madani, Dorsati, Olarreaga, Marcelo
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2014
Subjects:
OIL
WTO
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2002/09/2004283/politically-optimal-tariffs-application-egypt
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19278
id okr-10986-19278
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic OPTIMAL TAXATION
TRADE LIBERALIZATION
TARIFF AGREEMENTS
TARIFF POLICY
TARIFF STRUCTURES
ALLOCATION OF RESOURCES
FREE TRADE
TARIFF REDUCTIONS
EUROPEAN UNION
PROTECTIVE TARIFFS
EXTERNAL TRADE AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES
AGRICULTURAL EXPORTS
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS
AGRICULTURE
APPLIED TARIFF
AVERAGE TARIFF
AVERAGE TARIFFS
BILATERAL AGREEMENTS
CAPITAL GOODS
COMMAND ECONOMY
COMMODITY EXPORTS
COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE
COMPETITIVENESS
CONSUMERS
CURRENCY
CUSTOMS
DEMAND FOR GOODS
DEVELOPMENT
DOMESTIC MARKET
DOMESTIC PRODUCERS
DOMESTIC PRODUCTION
DUTY FREE
ECONOMIC DISTORTIONS
ECONOMIC HISTORY
ECONOMIC INCENTIVES
ECONOMIC POLICY
ECONOMIC RESOURCES
ELASTICITIES
ELASTICITY
ELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTION
EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE
EQUILIBRIUM
EXCHANGE RATE
EXPORT BIAS
EXPORT COMPETITIVENESS
EXPORT MARKET
EXPORTERS
EXPORTS
EXTERNAL TARIFF
EXTERNAL TARIFFS
EXTERNAL TRADE
FINAL GOODS
FISHERIES
FOREIGN MARKETS
FOREIGN TRADE
FREE ACCESS
FREE TRADE
FREE TRADE AREA
FREE TRADE AREAS
HIGH TARIFFS
IMPORT PENETRATION
IMPORTS
INCOME
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTS
INDUSTRIALIZATION
INDUSTRY TRADE
INSURANCE
INTEREST RATES
INTERMEDIATE GOODS
INTERMEDIATE INPUTS
LABOR MARKETS
MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
MARGINAL PRODUCTIVITY
MARKET ACCESS
MONOPOLIES
NET IMPORTS
NON-TARIFF BARRIERS
OIL
OPTIMAL TARIFFS
POLITICAL ECONOMY
PREFERENTIAL ACCESS
PREFERENTIAL TRADE
PREFERENTIAL TRADE AGREEMENTS
PROTECTIONIST PRESSURES
QUOTAS
RATES OF PROTECTION
REDISTRIBUTIVE EFFECTS
REGIONAL TRADE
REGIONAL TRADE AGREEMENTS
REGIONAL TRADE LIBERALIZATION
RENT SEEKING
RESOURCE ALLOCATION
RULES OF ORIGIN
STRUCTURAL ADJUSTMENT
TARIFF BARRIERS
TARIFF CONCESSIONS
TARIFF CUTS
TARIFF ESCALATION
TARIFF LEVELS
TARIFF PROTECTION
TARIFF RATES
TARIFF REDUCTION
TARIFF REDUCTIONS
TARIFF REFORM
TARIFF REVENUE
TARIFF SCHEDULE
TARIFF STRUCTURE
TOURISM
TRADE
TRADE AGREEMENT
TRADE BLOCS
TRADE DIVERSION
TRADE LIBERALIZATION
TRADE PARTNER
TRADE POLICIES
TRADE POLICY
TRADE REFORM
TRADE REFORMS
TRADE REGIME
URUGUAY ROUND
VALUE ADDED
WTO
ZERO TARIFFS
spellingShingle OPTIMAL TAXATION
TRADE LIBERALIZATION
TARIFF AGREEMENTS
TARIFF POLICY
TARIFF STRUCTURES
ALLOCATION OF RESOURCES
FREE TRADE
TARIFF REDUCTIONS
EUROPEAN UNION
PROTECTIVE TARIFFS
EXTERNAL TRADE AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES
AGRICULTURAL EXPORTS
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS
AGRICULTURE
APPLIED TARIFF
AVERAGE TARIFF
AVERAGE TARIFFS
BILATERAL AGREEMENTS
CAPITAL GOODS
COMMAND ECONOMY
COMMODITY EXPORTS
COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE
COMPETITIVENESS
CONSUMERS
CURRENCY
CUSTOMS
DEMAND FOR GOODS
DEVELOPMENT
DOMESTIC MARKET
DOMESTIC PRODUCERS
DOMESTIC PRODUCTION
DUTY FREE
ECONOMIC DISTORTIONS
ECONOMIC HISTORY
ECONOMIC INCENTIVES
ECONOMIC POLICY
ECONOMIC RESOURCES
ELASTICITIES
ELASTICITY
ELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTION
EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE
EQUILIBRIUM
EXCHANGE RATE
EXPORT BIAS
EXPORT COMPETITIVENESS
EXPORT MARKET
EXPORTERS
EXPORTS
EXTERNAL TARIFF
EXTERNAL TARIFFS
EXTERNAL TRADE
FINAL GOODS
FISHERIES
FOREIGN MARKETS
FOREIGN TRADE
FREE ACCESS
FREE TRADE
FREE TRADE AREA
FREE TRADE AREAS
HIGH TARIFFS
IMPORT PENETRATION
IMPORTS
INCOME
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTS
INDUSTRIALIZATION
INDUSTRY TRADE
INSURANCE
INTEREST RATES
INTERMEDIATE GOODS
INTERMEDIATE INPUTS
LABOR MARKETS
MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
MARGINAL PRODUCTIVITY
MARKET ACCESS
MONOPOLIES
NET IMPORTS
NON-TARIFF BARRIERS
OIL
OPTIMAL TARIFFS
POLITICAL ECONOMY
PREFERENTIAL ACCESS
PREFERENTIAL TRADE
PREFERENTIAL TRADE AGREEMENTS
PROTECTIONIST PRESSURES
QUOTAS
RATES OF PROTECTION
REDISTRIBUTIVE EFFECTS
REGIONAL TRADE
REGIONAL TRADE AGREEMENTS
REGIONAL TRADE LIBERALIZATION
RENT SEEKING
RESOURCE ALLOCATION
RULES OF ORIGIN
STRUCTURAL ADJUSTMENT
TARIFF BARRIERS
TARIFF CONCESSIONS
TARIFF CUTS
TARIFF ESCALATION
TARIFF LEVELS
TARIFF PROTECTION
TARIFF RATES
TARIFF REDUCTION
TARIFF REDUCTIONS
TARIFF REFORM
TARIFF REVENUE
TARIFF SCHEDULE
TARIFF STRUCTURE
TOURISM
TRADE
TRADE AGREEMENT
TRADE BLOCS
TRADE DIVERSION
TRADE LIBERALIZATION
TRADE PARTNER
TRADE POLICIES
TRADE POLICY
TRADE REFORM
TRADE REFORMS
TRADE REGIME
URUGUAY ROUND
VALUE ADDED
WTO
ZERO TARIFFS
Madani, Dorsati
Olarreaga, Marcelo
Politically Optimal Tariffs : An Application to Egypt
geographic_facet Middle East and North Africa
Egypt, Arab Republic of
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 2882
description Egyptian economic history has been influenced by the import-substitution industrialization approach to development, dating back to Gamal Abdel Nasser's Pan-Arabic and socialist movement in the 1950s. Two major waves of liberalization have marked the government's efforts to rationalize and modernize the economy-the Infitah (opening) promoted by Anwar Sadat in the 1980s, and further trade and privatization efforts by Hosni Mubarak in the 1990s. Nonetheless, the extent of trade liberalization does not compare well with similar countries. Despite a decade of liberalization, the trade regime is characterized by deliberate and gradual reforms. By 1999 these reforms had led to average tariffs close to 30 percent, with high dispersion and escalation, well above those in comparable countries. provide a political economy analysis of the difficulties of liberalizing tariffs in Egypt in general, and in its specific industries. They present the theoretical and empirical models and discuss the results. The authors also explore the potential effects of the Euro-Med agreement for Egypt The authors provide a political economy analysis of the difficulties of liberalizing tariffs in Egypt in general, and in its specific industries. They present the theoretical and empirical models and discuss the results. The authors also explore the potential effects of the Euro-Med agreement for Egypt. The political economy analysis of the Egyptian tariff structure identifies two sets of highly protected sectors. Overprotected industries are defined as those with actual tariffs at least 25 percent higher than what is predicted by the political economy variables. The political determinants can be divided into two groups: the lobbying and counter-lobbying forces. First, the lobbying strength of specific capital in each sector is proxied by the degree of industry concentration, the labor-capital ratio, and the import penetration ratio. Second, counter-lobbying in factor or input markets is proxied by wage level, degree of processing in the industry, and degree of intra-industry trade. Using this methodology, the authors identify two sets of products: six products where tariff cuts will not be politically costly, and six where it will be politically costly, In both cases, lowering tariffs will improve resource allocation and efficiency in the industries involved. The prospects of a free trade area with Europe should also help reduce tariffs in sectors where a high share of production is exported or imported from Europe. If products are exported to Europe, the potential free access to the European market should more than compensate for any tariff reductions in the local market. On the other hand, if products are heavily imported from Europe, the preferential access for European exporters will tend to significantly increase their presence in the Egyptian market. This in turn will reduce the "protective" aspect of external tariffs in sectors with large import penetration as competition will be coming from Europe. The EU-Egypt agreement includes a lengthy (19 years) structure of tariff reduction. This structure will lead to increased effective rates of protection for the first eight years of its implementation, added economic distortions, and inefficient use of resources. The Egyptian authorities may want to consider speeding up the Euro-Med schedule of liberalization to mitigate an increase in effective rates of protection. Furthermore, special effort should be made to reduce external tariffs on semi-processed and processed goods to attenuate the expected negative effects of the rise in effective rates of protection. More generally, to prevent the high potential for trade diversion associated with Egypt's high tariffs, a simultaneous reduction in Egypt's external tariffs should accompany the EU-Egypt agreement.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Madani, Dorsati
Olarreaga, Marcelo
author_facet Madani, Dorsati
Olarreaga, Marcelo
author_sort Madani, Dorsati
title Politically Optimal Tariffs : An Application to Egypt
title_short Politically Optimal Tariffs : An Application to Egypt
title_full Politically Optimal Tariffs : An Application to Egypt
title_fullStr Politically Optimal Tariffs : An Application to Egypt
title_full_unstemmed Politically Optimal Tariffs : An Application to Egypt
title_sort politically optimal tariffs : an application to egypt
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2014
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2002/09/2004283/politically-optimal-tariffs-application-egypt
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19278
_version_ 1764439666291900416
spelling okr-10986-192782021-04-23T14:03:42Z Politically Optimal Tariffs : An Application to Egypt Madani, Dorsati Olarreaga, Marcelo OPTIMAL TAXATION TRADE LIBERALIZATION TARIFF AGREEMENTS TARIFF POLICY TARIFF STRUCTURES ALLOCATION OF RESOURCES FREE TRADE TARIFF REDUCTIONS EUROPEAN UNION PROTECTIVE TARIFFS EXTERNAL TRADE AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES AGRICULTURAL EXPORTS AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS AGRICULTURE APPLIED TARIFF AVERAGE TARIFF AVERAGE TARIFFS BILATERAL AGREEMENTS CAPITAL GOODS COMMAND ECONOMY COMMODITY EXPORTS COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE COMPETITIVENESS CONSUMERS CURRENCY CUSTOMS DEMAND FOR GOODS DEVELOPMENT DOMESTIC MARKET DOMESTIC PRODUCERS DOMESTIC PRODUCTION DUTY FREE ECONOMIC DISTORTIONS ECONOMIC HISTORY ECONOMIC INCENTIVES ECONOMIC POLICY ECONOMIC RESOURCES ELASTICITIES ELASTICITY ELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTION EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE EQUILIBRIUM EXCHANGE RATE EXPORT BIAS EXPORT COMPETITIVENESS EXPORT MARKET EXPORTERS EXPORTS EXTERNAL TARIFF EXTERNAL TARIFFS EXTERNAL TRADE FINAL GOODS FISHERIES FOREIGN MARKETS FOREIGN TRADE FREE ACCESS FREE TRADE FREE TRADE AREA FREE TRADE AREAS HIGH TARIFFS IMPORT PENETRATION IMPORTS INCOME INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTS INDUSTRIALIZATION INDUSTRY TRADE INSURANCE INTEREST RATES INTERMEDIATE GOODS INTERMEDIATE INPUTS LABOR MARKETS MACROECONOMIC STABILITY MARGINAL PRODUCTIVITY MARKET ACCESS MONOPOLIES NET IMPORTS NON-TARIFF BARRIERS OIL OPTIMAL TARIFFS POLITICAL ECONOMY PREFERENTIAL ACCESS PREFERENTIAL TRADE PREFERENTIAL TRADE AGREEMENTS PROTECTIONIST PRESSURES QUOTAS RATES OF PROTECTION REDISTRIBUTIVE EFFECTS REGIONAL TRADE REGIONAL TRADE AGREEMENTS REGIONAL TRADE LIBERALIZATION RENT SEEKING RESOURCE ALLOCATION RULES OF ORIGIN STRUCTURAL ADJUSTMENT TARIFF BARRIERS TARIFF CONCESSIONS TARIFF CUTS TARIFF ESCALATION TARIFF LEVELS TARIFF PROTECTION TARIFF RATES TARIFF REDUCTION TARIFF REDUCTIONS TARIFF REFORM TARIFF REVENUE TARIFF SCHEDULE TARIFF STRUCTURE TOURISM TRADE TRADE AGREEMENT TRADE BLOCS TRADE DIVERSION TRADE LIBERALIZATION TRADE PARTNER TRADE POLICIES TRADE POLICY TRADE REFORM TRADE REFORMS TRADE REGIME URUGUAY ROUND VALUE ADDED WTO ZERO TARIFFS Egyptian economic history has been influenced by the import-substitution industrialization approach to development, dating back to Gamal Abdel Nasser's Pan-Arabic and socialist movement in the 1950s. Two major waves of liberalization have marked the government's efforts to rationalize and modernize the economy-the Infitah (opening) promoted by Anwar Sadat in the 1980s, and further trade and privatization efforts by Hosni Mubarak in the 1990s. Nonetheless, the extent of trade liberalization does not compare well with similar countries. Despite a decade of liberalization, the trade regime is characterized by deliberate and gradual reforms. By 1999 these reforms had led to average tariffs close to 30 percent, with high dispersion and escalation, well above those in comparable countries. provide a political economy analysis of the difficulties of liberalizing tariffs in Egypt in general, and in its specific industries. They present the theoretical and empirical models and discuss the results. The authors also explore the potential effects of the Euro-Med agreement for Egypt The authors provide a political economy analysis of the difficulties of liberalizing tariffs in Egypt in general, and in its specific industries. They present the theoretical and empirical models and discuss the results. The authors also explore the potential effects of the Euro-Med agreement for Egypt. The political economy analysis of the Egyptian tariff structure identifies two sets of highly protected sectors. Overprotected industries are defined as those with actual tariffs at least 25 percent higher than what is predicted by the political economy variables. The political determinants can be divided into two groups: the lobbying and counter-lobbying forces. First, the lobbying strength of specific capital in each sector is proxied by the degree of industry concentration, the labor-capital ratio, and the import penetration ratio. Second, counter-lobbying in factor or input markets is proxied by wage level, degree of processing in the industry, and degree of intra-industry trade. Using this methodology, the authors identify two sets of products: six products where tariff cuts will not be politically costly, and six where it will be politically costly, In both cases, lowering tariffs will improve resource allocation and efficiency in the industries involved. The prospects of a free trade area with Europe should also help reduce tariffs in sectors where a high share of production is exported or imported from Europe. If products are exported to Europe, the potential free access to the European market should more than compensate for any tariff reductions in the local market. On the other hand, if products are heavily imported from Europe, the preferential access for European exporters will tend to significantly increase their presence in the Egyptian market. This in turn will reduce the "protective" aspect of external tariffs in sectors with large import penetration as competition will be coming from Europe. The EU-Egypt agreement includes a lengthy (19 years) structure of tariff reduction. This structure will lead to increased effective rates of protection for the first eight years of its implementation, added economic distortions, and inefficient use of resources. The Egyptian authorities may want to consider speeding up the Euro-Med schedule of liberalization to mitigate an increase in effective rates of protection. Furthermore, special effort should be made to reduce external tariffs on semi-processed and processed goods to attenuate the expected negative effects of the rise in effective rates of protection. More generally, to prevent the high potential for trade diversion associated with Egypt's high tariffs, a simultaneous reduction in Egypt's external tariffs should accompany the EU-Egypt agreement. 2014-08-11T16:39:33Z 2014-08-11T16:39:33Z 2002-09 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2002/09/2004283/politically-optimal-tariffs-application-egypt http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19278 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 2882 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research Middle East and North Africa Egypt, Arab Republic of