Kyrgyz Republic Public Expenditure Review Policy Notes : Pensions

Today, the Kyrgyz pension system plays a major role in poverty alleviation of the elderly but this role is diminishing fast due to low coverage of working age population. The system currently provides pensions to more than 90 percent of the populat...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: World Bank
Format: Public Expenditure Review
Language:English
en_US
Published: Washington, DC 2014
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/05/19717536/kyrgyz-republic-public-expenditure-review-policy-notes-pensions
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19304
id okr-10986-19304
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic ACCRUAL RATE
ANNUITY
ANNUITY FACTORS
ASSET MANAGEMENT
AVERAGE WAGE GROWTH
BANKING SYSTEM
BASIC PENSION
BASIC PENSIONS
BENEFICIARIES
BENEFICIARY
BENEFIT ADJUSTMENTS
BENEFIT FORMULA
BENEFIT INDEXATION
BENEFIT LEVELS
BENEFIT PAYMENTS
CASH FLOWS
CASH INCOME
CHANGES IN FERTILITY
COMPENSATION
CONSTANT SHARE
CONSUMPTION SMOOTHING
CONTRIBUTION RATE
CONTRIBUTION RATES
CURRENCY
DATA AVAILABILITY
DEFICIT FINANCING
DEFICITS
DEFINED BENEFIT
DEFINED CONTRIBUTIONS
DEMOGRAPHIC
DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
DEPENDENCY RATIO
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DISABILITY
DISABILITY PENSION
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ELDERLY
ELDERLY POPULATION
EMPLOYEE
EQUITY ISSUES
EXCHANGE RATE
FAMILIES
FERTILITY
FERTILITY RATE
FERTILITY RATES
FINANCES
FINANCIAL FLOWS
FINANCIAL HEALTH
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FINANCIAL SUSTAINABILITY
FUND DATA
FUNDED COMPONENT
FUNDED COMPONENTS
FUNDED SCHEME
GENDER
GENDERS
GOVERNMENT BUDGET
GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES
GOVERNMENT FINANCING
GOVERNMENT INTERVENTION
GOVERNMENT PENSION
GOVERNMENT SPENDING
GOVERNMENT SUBSIDIES
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH RATES
HEALTH CARE
HEALTH INSURANCE
HUMAN DEVELOPMENT
IMMIGRATION
IMPLICIT PENSION DEBT
INCOME GROUPS
INCOME LEVEL
INCOME TAX
INDIVIDUAL ACCOUNT
INDIVIDUAL ACCOUNTS
INFLATION
INFLATION INDEXATION
INFLATION RATES
INFORMAL SECTOR
INITIAL RETIREMENT AGE
INSURANCE
INSURANCE PENSION
INSURANCE PENSIONS
INTEREST RATE
INTERGOVERNMENTAL TRANSFERS
INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT
INTERNATIONAL STANDARDS
INVESTMENT INCOME
INVESTMENT RETURNS
LABOR FORCE
LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION
LABOR MARKET
LEGISLATION
LIFE EXPECTANCY
LIFE EXPECTANCY ESTIMATES
LONG TERM PROJECTIONS
LOW-INCOME ECONOMY
MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
MARKET DISTORTIONS
MIGRANT
MIGRANT WORKERS
MIGRANTS
MIGRATION
MORTALITY
MULTI-PILLAR SYSTEM
NATIONAL COMMITTEE
NATIONAL PENSION
NET WAGES
NOTIONAL ACCOUNT
NOTIONAL ACCOUNTS
NOTIONAL CAPITAL
OLD AGE
OLD-AGE
OLD-AGE PENSION
OLD-AGE PENSIONS
OLDER PERSONS
OUTPUT
OUTPUTS
PAY-AS-YOU-GO SYSTEM
PAYROLL TAX
PENSION
PENSION AT RETIREMENT
PENSION BENEFIT
PENSION BENEFITS
PENSION COSTS
PENSION DEBT
PENSION EXPENDITURE
PENSION EXPENDITURES
PENSION FINANCING
PENSION FUND
PENSION PAYMENTS
PENSION POLICY
PENSION REFORM
PENSION RIGHTS
PENSION SCHEME
PENSION SPENDING
PENSION SYSTEM
PENSION SYSTEM PARAMETERS
PENSION SYSTEMS
PENSIONER
PENSIONERS
PENSIONS
POPULATION DATA
POPULATION PROJECTIONS
POTENTIAL INVESTMENT
POVERTY ALLEVIATION
PRICE INDEXATION
PRIVATE PENSION
PRIVATE PENSION FUNDS
PRIVATE SAVINGS
PUBLIC INVESTMENTS
PUBLIC PENSION
PUBLIC SPENDING
RATE OF RETURN
REGULATORY FRAMEWORK
REPLACEMENT RATE
REPLACEMENT RATES
RESPECT
RETIREES
RETIREMENT
RETIREMENT AGE
RETIREMENT BENEFITS
RETIREMENT PENSIONS
SAVINGS ACCOUNT
SAVINGS ACCOUNTS
SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
SOCIAL FUND
SOCIAL IMPACT
SOCIAL PENSION
SOCIAL PENSIONS
SOCIAL POLICY
STOCKS
SUBSISTENCE FARMING
SURVIVOR PENSION
SUSTAINABLE ECONOMIC GROWTH
TRANSITION COUNTRIES
TRANSITION ECONOMIES
UNEMPLOYMENT
UNEMPLOYMENT RATES
VOLUNTARY PENSION
VOLUNTARY PENSIONS
WILL
WORKING POPULATION
WORKING-AGE POPULATION
spellingShingle ACCRUAL RATE
ANNUITY
ANNUITY FACTORS
ASSET MANAGEMENT
AVERAGE WAGE GROWTH
BANKING SYSTEM
BASIC PENSION
BASIC PENSIONS
BENEFICIARIES
BENEFICIARY
BENEFIT ADJUSTMENTS
BENEFIT FORMULA
BENEFIT INDEXATION
BENEFIT LEVELS
BENEFIT PAYMENTS
CASH FLOWS
CASH INCOME
CHANGES IN FERTILITY
COMPENSATION
CONSTANT SHARE
CONSUMPTION SMOOTHING
CONTRIBUTION RATE
CONTRIBUTION RATES
CURRENCY
DATA AVAILABILITY
DEFICIT FINANCING
DEFICITS
DEFINED BENEFIT
DEFINED CONTRIBUTIONS
DEMOGRAPHIC
DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS
DEPENDENCY RATIO
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DISABILITY
DISABILITY PENSION
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ELDERLY
ELDERLY POPULATION
EMPLOYEE
EQUITY ISSUES
EXCHANGE RATE
FAMILIES
FERTILITY
FERTILITY RATE
FERTILITY RATES
FINANCES
FINANCIAL FLOWS
FINANCIAL HEALTH
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FINANCIAL SUSTAINABILITY
FUND DATA
FUNDED COMPONENT
FUNDED COMPONENTS
FUNDED SCHEME
GENDER
GENDERS
GOVERNMENT BUDGET
GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES
GOVERNMENT FINANCING
GOVERNMENT INTERVENTION
GOVERNMENT PENSION
GOVERNMENT SPENDING
GOVERNMENT SUBSIDIES
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH RATES
HEALTH CARE
HEALTH INSURANCE
HUMAN DEVELOPMENT
IMMIGRATION
IMPLICIT PENSION DEBT
INCOME GROUPS
INCOME LEVEL
INCOME TAX
INDIVIDUAL ACCOUNT
INDIVIDUAL ACCOUNTS
INFLATION
INFLATION INDEXATION
INFLATION RATES
INFORMAL SECTOR
INITIAL RETIREMENT AGE
INSURANCE
INSURANCE PENSION
INSURANCE PENSIONS
INTEREST RATE
INTERGOVERNMENTAL TRANSFERS
INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT
INTERNATIONAL STANDARDS
INVESTMENT INCOME
INVESTMENT RETURNS
LABOR FORCE
LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION
LABOR MARKET
LEGISLATION
LIFE EXPECTANCY
LIFE EXPECTANCY ESTIMATES
LONG TERM PROJECTIONS
LOW-INCOME ECONOMY
MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
MARKET DISTORTIONS
MIGRANT
MIGRANT WORKERS
MIGRANTS
MIGRATION
MORTALITY
MULTI-PILLAR SYSTEM
NATIONAL COMMITTEE
NATIONAL PENSION
NET WAGES
NOTIONAL ACCOUNT
NOTIONAL ACCOUNTS
NOTIONAL CAPITAL
OLD AGE
OLD-AGE
OLD-AGE PENSION
OLD-AGE PENSIONS
OLDER PERSONS
OUTPUT
OUTPUTS
PAY-AS-YOU-GO SYSTEM
PAYROLL TAX
PENSION
PENSION AT RETIREMENT
PENSION BENEFIT
PENSION BENEFITS
PENSION COSTS
PENSION DEBT
PENSION EXPENDITURE
PENSION EXPENDITURES
PENSION FINANCING
PENSION FUND
PENSION PAYMENTS
PENSION POLICY
PENSION REFORM
PENSION RIGHTS
PENSION SCHEME
PENSION SPENDING
PENSION SYSTEM
PENSION SYSTEM PARAMETERS
PENSION SYSTEMS
PENSIONER
PENSIONERS
PENSIONS
POPULATION DATA
POPULATION PROJECTIONS
POTENTIAL INVESTMENT
POVERTY ALLEVIATION
PRICE INDEXATION
PRIVATE PENSION
PRIVATE PENSION FUNDS
PRIVATE SAVINGS
PUBLIC INVESTMENTS
PUBLIC PENSION
PUBLIC SPENDING
RATE OF RETURN
REGULATORY FRAMEWORK
REPLACEMENT RATE
REPLACEMENT RATES
RESPECT
RETIREES
RETIREMENT
RETIREMENT AGE
RETIREMENT BENEFITS
RETIREMENT PENSIONS
SAVINGS ACCOUNT
SAVINGS ACCOUNTS
SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
SOCIAL FUND
SOCIAL IMPACT
SOCIAL PENSION
SOCIAL PENSIONS
SOCIAL POLICY
STOCKS
SUBSISTENCE FARMING
SURVIVOR PENSION
SUSTAINABLE ECONOMIC GROWTH
TRANSITION COUNTRIES
TRANSITION ECONOMIES
UNEMPLOYMENT
UNEMPLOYMENT RATES
VOLUNTARY PENSION
VOLUNTARY PENSIONS
WILL
WORKING POPULATION
WORKING-AGE POPULATION
World Bank
Kyrgyz Republic Public Expenditure Review Policy Notes : Pensions
geographic_facet Europe and Central Asia
Kyrgyz Republic
description Today, the Kyrgyz pension system plays a major role in poverty alleviation of the elderly but this role is diminishing fast due to low coverage of working age population. The system currently provides pensions to more than 90 percent of the population over age 65 thus being a significant buffer against poverty. Over time, though, the poverty reduction effect of the pension system is expected to weaken substantially as the current low coverage rates among the working age population translate into much lower coverage rates of about only 60 percent for the future old age population. As a result, poverty rates among the old-age population will grow and government spending on social pensions will increase dramatically. The structure of this chapter is as follows. The next section provides an overview of the current pension system and the main issues facing it. Section three presents the results of the financial projections for the current system assuming a no-reform scenario and the implications of doing nothing on the finances of the Social Fund, the cost to the government and the expected benefits (baseline projections). Section four considers several broad reform options and their impact with respect to the financial sustainability and affordability of the system as well as adequacy of benefits. Section five outlines the issues remaining beyond the scope of this study which require further analysis. Annex one summarizes the main parameters of the current pension system and annexes two provides a brief description of the main assumptions used in the projections and the projection methodology. The diagnosis of the current system and the evaluation of the reform options presented in this chapter are based on the simulations produced with the World Bank Pension Reform Options Simulation Toolkit (PROST) model.
format Economic & Sector Work :: Public Expenditure Review
author World Bank
author_facet World Bank
author_sort World Bank
title Kyrgyz Republic Public Expenditure Review Policy Notes : Pensions
title_short Kyrgyz Republic Public Expenditure Review Policy Notes : Pensions
title_full Kyrgyz Republic Public Expenditure Review Policy Notes : Pensions
title_fullStr Kyrgyz Republic Public Expenditure Review Policy Notes : Pensions
title_full_unstemmed Kyrgyz Republic Public Expenditure Review Policy Notes : Pensions
title_sort kyrgyz republic public expenditure review policy notes : pensions
publisher Washington, DC
publishDate 2014
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/05/19717536/kyrgyz-republic-public-expenditure-review-policy-notes-pensions
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19304
_version_ 1764443594593140736
spelling okr-10986-193042021-04-23T14:03:51Z Kyrgyz Republic Public Expenditure Review Policy Notes : Pensions World Bank ACCRUAL RATE ANNUITY ANNUITY FACTORS ASSET MANAGEMENT AVERAGE WAGE GROWTH BANKING SYSTEM BASIC PENSION BASIC PENSIONS BENEFICIARIES BENEFICIARY BENEFIT ADJUSTMENTS BENEFIT FORMULA BENEFIT INDEXATION BENEFIT LEVELS BENEFIT PAYMENTS CASH FLOWS CASH INCOME CHANGES IN FERTILITY COMPENSATION CONSTANT SHARE CONSUMPTION SMOOTHING CONTRIBUTION RATE CONTRIBUTION RATES CURRENCY DATA AVAILABILITY DEFICIT FINANCING DEFICITS DEFINED BENEFIT DEFINED CONTRIBUTIONS DEMOGRAPHIC DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS DEPENDENCY RATIO DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DISABILITY DISABILITY PENSION ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ELDERLY ELDERLY POPULATION EMPLOYEE EQUITY ISSUES EXCHANGE RATE FAMILIES FERTILITY FERTILITY RATE FERTILITY RATES FINANCES FINANCIAL FLOWS FINANCIAL HEALTH FINANCIAL MARKETS FINANCIAL SUSTAINABILITY FUND DATA FUNDED COMPONENT FUNDED COMPONENTS FUNDED SCHEME GENDER GENDERS GOVERNMENT BUDGET GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES GOVERNMENT FINANCING GOVERNMENT INTERVENTION GOVERNMENT PENSION GOVERNMENT SPENDING GOVERNMENT SUBSIDIES GROWTH RATE GROWTH RATES HEALTH CARE HEALTH INSURANCE HUMAN DEVELOPMENT IMMIGRATION IMPLICIT PENSION DEBT INCOME GROUPS INCOME LEVEL INCOME TAX INDIVIDUAL ACCOUNT INDIVIDUAL ACCOUNTS INFLATION INFLATION INDEXATION INFLATION RATES INFORMAL SECTOR INITIAL RETIREMENT AGE INSURANCE INSURANCE PENSION INSURANCE PENSIONS INTEREST RATE INTERGOVERNMENTAL TRANSFERS INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT INTERNATIONAL STANDARDS INVESTMENT INCOME INVESTMENT RETURNS LABOR FORCE LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION LABOR MARKET LEGISLATION LIFE EXPECTANCY LIFE EXPECTANCY ESTIMATES LONG TERM PROJECTIONS LOW-INCOME ECONOMY MACROECONOMIC STABILITY MARKET DISTORTIONS MIGRANT MIGRANT WORKERS MIGRANTS MIGRATION MORTALITY MULTI-PILLAR SYSTEM NATIONAL COMMITTEE NATIONAL PENSION NET WAGES NOTIONAL ACCOUNT NOTIONAL ACCOUNTS NOTIONAL CAPITAL OLD AGE OLD-AGE OLD-AGE PENSION OLD-AGE PENSIONS OLDER PERSONS OUTPUT OUTPUTS PAY-AS-YOU-GO SYSTEM PAYROLL TAX PENSION PENSION AT RETIREMENT PENSION BENEFIT PENSION BENEFITS PENSION COSTS PENSION DEBT PENSION EXPENDITURE PENSION EXPENDITURES PENSION FINANCING PENSION FUND PENSION PAYMENTS PENSION POLICY PENSION REFORM PENSION RIGHTS PENSION SCHEME PENSION SPENDING PENSION SYSTEM PENSION SYSTEM PARAMETERS PENSION SYSTEMS PENSIONER PENSIONERS PENSIONS POPULATION DATA POPULATION PROJECTIONS POTENTIAL INVESTMENT POVERTY ALLEVIATION PRICE INDEXATION PRIVATE PENSION PRIVATE PENSION FUNDS PRIVATE SAVINGS PUBLIC INVESTMENTS PUBLIC PENSION PUBLIC SPENDING RATE OF RETURN REGULATORY FRAMEWORK REPLACEMENT RATE REPLACEMENT RATES RESPECT RETIREES RETIREMENT RETIREMENT AGE RETIREMENT BENEFITS RETIREMENT PENSIONS SAVINGS ACCOUNT SAVINGS ACCOUNTS SOCIAL ASSISTANCE SOCIAL FUND SOCIAL IMPACT SOCIAL PENSION SOCIAL PENSIONS SOCIAL POLICY STOCKS SUBSISTENCE FARMING SURVIVOR PENSION SUSTAINABLE ECONOMIC GROWTH TRANSITION COUNTRIES TRANSITION ECONOMIES UNEMPLOYMENT UNEMPLOYMENT RATES VOLUNTARY PENSION VOLUNTARY PENSIONS WILL WORKING POPULATION WORKING-AGE POPULATION Today, the Kyrgyz pension system plays a major role in poverty alleviation of the elderly but this role is diminishing fast due to low coverage of working age population. The system currently provides pensions to more than 90 percent of the population over age 65 thus being a significant buffer against poverty. Over time, though, the poverty reduction effect of the pension system is expected to weaken substantially as the current low coverage rates among the working age population translate into much lower coverage rates of about only 60 percent for the future old age population. As a result, poverty rates among the old-age population will grow and government spending on social pensions will increase dramatically. The structure of this chapter is as follows. The next section provides an overview of the current pension system and the main issues facing it. Section three presents the results of the financial projections for the current system assuming a no-reform scenario and the implications of doing nothing on the finances of the Social Fund, the cost to the government and the expected benefits (baseline projections). Section four considers several broad reform options and their impact with respect to the financial sustainability and affordability of the system as well as adequacy of benefits. Section five outlines the issues remaining beyond the scope of this study which require further analysis. Annex one summarizes the main parameters of the current pension system and annexes two provides a brief description of the main assumptions used in the projections and the projection methodology. The diagnosis of the current system and the evaluation of the reform options presented in this chapter are based on the simulations produced with the World Bank Pension Reform Options Simulation Toolkit (PROST) model. 2014-08-14T16:49:53Z 2014-08-14T16:49:53Z 2014-05 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/05/19717536/kyrgyz-republic-public-expenditure-review-policy-notes-pensions http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19304 English en_US CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ Washington, DC Economic & Sector Work :: Public Expenditure Review Economic & Sector Work Europe and Central Asia Kyrgyz Republic