Predicting World Bank Project Outcome Ratings
A number of recent studies have empirically documented links between characteristics of World Bank projects and their ultimate outcomes as evaluated by the World Bank's Independent Evaluation Group. This paper explores the in-sample and out-of...
| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Policy Research Working Paper |
| Language: | English en_US |
| Published: |
World Bank Group, Washington, DC
2014
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/08/20009441/predicting-world-bank-project-outcome-ratings http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19395 |
| Summary: | A number of recent studies have
empirically documented links between characteristics of
World Bank projects and their ultimate outcomes as evaluated
by the World Bank's Independent Evaluation Group. This
paper explores the in-sample and out-of-sample predictive
performance of empirical models relating project outcomes to
project characteristics observed early in the life of a
project. Such models perform better than self-assessments of
project performance provided by World Bank staff during the
implementation of the project. These findings are applied to
the problem of predicting eventual Independent Evaluation
Group ratings for currently active projects in the World
Bank's portfolio. |
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