Regional Integration and Industrial Growth among Developing Countries : The Case of Three ASEAN Members
Has the revival of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) in the early 1990s affected the industrial growth of Indonesia, Malaysia, and the Philippines? The author uses two mechanisms to capture this potential impact: scale effects, and...
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Format: | Policy Research Working Paper |
Language: | English en_US |
Published: |
World Bank, Washington, DC
2014
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Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2001/10/1615099/regional-integration-industrial-growth-among-developing-countries-case-three-asean-members http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19509 |
Summary: | Has the revival of the Association of
Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) in the early 1990s affected
the industrial growth of Indonesia, Malaysia, and the
Philippines? The author uses two mechanisms to capture this
potential impact: scale effects, and intermediate imports
variety. She performs the analysis on twenty two industries
(at the three-digit level of the International Standard
Industrial Classification) over the period 1971-95. The
results show significant heterogeneity in industry-level
returns to scale. Moreover, the three ASEAN members have
very small, mostly negative cross-industry scale effects. As
a result, they may not achieve large, or across-the-board
gains from their regional arrangement through scale effects.
The author finds unexpected results with respect to the role
of intermediate imports variety in industrial growth. She
finds no support for the hypothesis that non-regional (rest
of the world) suppliers, and goods variety have a positive
effect on ASEAN industries through the channel of imported
intermediate inputs. The regional variety measure, however,
seems to have a positive effect on the output growth of a
handful of industries. This result seems due to the fact
that these countries have long had a strong intra-regional,
and intra-industry trade, whose history predates, and
outweighs the ASEAN revival. |
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