Monetary Policy Strategies for Latin America

The authors examine possible monetary policy strategies for Latin America that may help lock in the gains the region attained in the fight against inflation in the 1990s. Instead of focusing the debate about the conduct of monetary policy on whethe...

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Main Authors: Mishkin, Frederic S., Savastano, Miguel A.
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2014
Subjects:
ITC
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2001/10/1614835/monetary-policy-strategies-latin-america
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19530
id okr-10986-19530
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic ACCOUNTABILITY
ADJUSTMENT MECHANISM
ADVERSE EFFECTS
AGGREGATE DEMAND
AGGREGATE DEMAND CURVE
AGGREGATE SUPPLY
AGGREGATE SUPPLY CURVE
ASYMMETRIC INFORMATION
BANK DEPOSITS
BANK OF ENGLAND
BANK PANICS
BANK RUNS
BANKING LAW
BANKING SUPERVISION
BANKING SYSTEM
BENCHMARK
BONDS
CAPITAL FLIGHT
CAPITAL MARKETS
CAPITAL MOBILITY
CENTRAL BANK
CENTRAL BANK LENDING
CENTRAL BANKS
COMPETITIVENESS
CURRENCY BOARD
CURRENCY BOARDS
CURRENCY RISK
DEVALUATION
DISCOUNT RATE
DISCRETIONARY MONETARY POLICY
DISINFLATION
DOMESTIC ECONOMY
DOMESTIC INTEREST RATES
DOMESTIC PRICES
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
ECONOMIC CONDITIONS
ECONOMIC RESEARCH
ECONOMICS
EMERGING ECONOMIES
EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES
EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK
EXCHANGE RATE DEPRECIATION
EXCHANGE RATES
EXPANSIONARY MONETARY POLICY
EXPECTED VALUE
EXTERNAL SHOCKS
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FINANCIAL DEEPENING
FINANCIAL INTEGRATION
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FINANCIAL SECTOR
FINANCIAL SYSTEM
FINANCIAL SYSTEMS
FISCAL DEFICITS
FISCAL DISCIPLINE
FISCAL POLICIES
FIXED EXCHANGE RATE
FORECASTS
FOREIGN BANKS
FOREIGN CURRENCY
FOREIGN INTEREST RATES
FOREIGN SHOCKS
GROWTH RATES
HIGH INFLATION
INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES
INFLATION RATE
INFLATION RATES
INFLATION STABILIZATION
INFLATION TARGETING
INFLATION TARGETS
INTEREST RATES
INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
INTERNATIONAL RESERVES
ITC
LENDER OF LAST RESORT
LENDERS OF LAST RESORT
LIQUIDATION
LIQUIDITY
LOW INTEREST RATES
MONETARY AGGREGATES
MONETARY AUTHORITIES
MONETARY POLICY
MONETARY REGIME
MONETARY STABILITY
MONETARY TARGETING
MONEY BASE
MONEY DEMAND
MONEY GROWTH RATES
MONEY SUPPLY
NET WORTH
NOMINAL ANCHOR
NOMINAL EXCHANGE RATE
NOMINAL INCOME
NOMINAL INTEREST RATE
OFFSHORE BANKING
OPEN ECONOMIES
OPEN MARKETS
OUTPUT GROWTH
OUTPUT VOLATILITY
PENALTIES
POLICY INSTRUMENTS
POLICY RESEARCH
POTENTIAL OUTPUT
PRICE STABILITY
PRIVATE SECTOR
PRIVATIZATION
PROTECTIONISM
RATE OF INFLATION
REAL GDP
REAL OUTPUT
RESERVE REQUIREMENTS
RISK PREMIUM
SLOW GROWTH
SMALL BANKS
SOFT PEGS
STABILIZATION PROGRAM
TRADABLE GOODS
TRANSPARENCY
UNEMPLOYMENT
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
spellingShingle ACCOUNTABILITY
ADJUSTMENT MECHANISM
ADVERSE EFFECTS
AGGREGATE DEMAND
AGGREGATE DEMAND CURVE
AGGREGATE SUPPLY
AGGREGATE SUPPLY CURVE
ASYMMETRIC INFORMATION
BANK DEPOSITS
BANK OF ENGLAND
BANK PANICS
BANK RUNS
BANKING LAW
BANKING SUPERVISION
BANKING SYSTEM
BENCHMARK
BONDS
CAPITAL FLIGHT
CAPITAL MARKETS
CAPITAL MOBILITY
CENTRAL BANK
CENTRAL BANK LENDING
CENTRAL BANKS
COMPETITIVENESS
CURRENCY BOARD
CURRENCY BOARDS
CURRENCY RISK
DEVALUATION
DISCOUNT RATE
DISCRETIONARY MONETARY POLICY
DISINFLATION
DOMESTIC ECONOMY
DOMESTIC INTEREST RATES
DOMESTIC PRICES
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
ECONOMIC CONDITIONS
ECONOMIC RESEARCH
ECONOMICS
EMERGING ECONOMIES
EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES
EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK
EXCHANGE RATE DEPRECIATION
EXCHANGE RATES
EXPANSIONARY MONETARY POLICY
EXPECTED VALUE
EXTERNAL SHOCKS
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FINANCIAL DEEPENING
FINANCIAL INTEGRATION
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FINANCIAL SECTOR
FINANCIAL SYSTEM
FINANCIAL SYSTEMS
FISCAL DEFICITS
FISCAL DISCIPLINE
FISCAL POLICIES
FIXED EXCHANGE RATE
FORECASTS
FOREIGN BANKS
FOREIGN CURRENCY
FOREIGN INTEREST RATES
FOREIGN SHOCKS
GROWTH RATES
HIGH INFLATION
INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES
INFLATION RATE
INFLATION RATES
INFLATION STABILIZATION
INFLATION TARGETING
INFLATION TARGETS
INTEREST RATES
INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
INTERNATIONAL RESERVES
ITC
LENDER OF LAST RESORT
LENDERS OF LAST RESORT
LIQUIDATION
LIQUIDITY
LOW INTEREST RATES
MONETARY AGGREGATES
MONETARY AUTHORITIES
MONETARY POLICY
MONETARY REGIME
MONETARY STABILITY
MONETARY TARGETING
MONEY BASE
MONEY DEMAND
MONEY GROWTH RATES
MONEY SUPPLY
NET WORTH
NOMINAL ANCHOR
NOMINAL EXCHANGE RATE
NOMINAL INCOME
NOMINAL INTEREST RATE
OFFSHORE BANKING
OPEN ECONOMIES
OPEN MARKETS
OUTPUT GROWTH
OUTPUT VOLATILITY
PENALTIES
POLICY INSTRUMENTS
POLICY RESEARCH
POTENTIAL OUTPUT
PRICE STABILITY
PRIVATE SECTOR
PRIVATIZATION
PROTECTIONISM
RATE OF INFLATION
REAL GDP
REAL OUTPUT
RESERVE REQUIREMENTS
RISK PREMIUM
SLOW GROWTH
SMALL BANKS
SOFT PEGS
STABILIZATION PROGRAM
TRADABLE GOODS
TRANSPARENCY
UNEMPLOYMENT
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
Mishkin, Frederic S.
Savastano, Miguel A.
Monetary Policy Strategies for Latin America
geographic_facet Latin America & Caribbean
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 2685
description The authors examine possible monetary policy strategies for Latin America that may help lock in the gains the region attained in the fight against inflation in the 1990s. Instead of focusing the debate about the conduct of monetary policy on whether the nominal exchange rate should be fixed or flexible, the focus should be on whether the monetary policy regime appropriately constrains discretion in monetary policymaking. Three basic frameworks deserve serious discussion as possible long-run strategies for monetary policy in Latin America. The authors examine the advantages and disadvantages of a hard exchange-rate peg, monetary targeting, and inflation targeting, in light of monetary policy's recent track record in several Latin American countries, looking for clues about which of the strategies might be best suited to economies in the region. The answer: It depends on the country's institutional environment. Some countries appear not to have the institutions to constrain monetary policy if discretion is allowed. In those countries, there is a strong argument for hard pegs, including full dollarization, that allow little or no discretion to monetary authorities. In countries such as Chile, which can constrain discretion, inflation targeting is likely to produce a monetary policy that keeps inflation low yet appropriately copes with domestic and foreign shocks. Monetary targeting as a strategy for Latin America is not viable because of the likely instability of the relationship between inflation and monetary aggregates, of which there is ample international evidence. No monetary strategy can solve the basic problems that have existed in Latin American economies for a long time. The authors welcome the recent move in Latin American countries toward inflation targeting, but say no policy will succeed unless government policies also create the right institutional environment.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Mishkin, Frederic S.
Savastano, Miguel A.
author_facet Mishkin, Frederic S.
Savastano, Miguel A.
author_sort Mishkin, Frederic S.
title Monetary Policy Strategies for Latin America
title_short Monetary Policy Strategies for Latin America
title_full Monetary Policy Strategies for Latin America
title_fullStr Monetary Policy Strategies for Latin America
title_full_unstemmed Monetary Policy Strategies for Latin America
title_sort monetary policy strategies for latin america
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2014
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2001/10/1614835/monetary-policy-strategies-latin-america
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19530
_version_ 1764439945517203456
spelling okr-10986-195302021-04-23T14:03:43Z Monetary Policy Strategies for Latin America Mishkin, Frederic S. Savastano, Miguel A. ACCOUNTABILITY ADJUSTMENT MECHANISM ADVERSE EFFECTS AGGREGATE DEMAND AGGREGATE DEMAND CURVE AGGREGATE SUPPLY AGGREGATE SUPPLY CURVE ASYMMETRIC INFORMATION BANK DEPOSITS BANK OF ENGLAND BANK PANICS BANK RUNS BANKING LAW BANKING SUPERVISION BANKING SYSTEM BENCHMARK BONDS CAPITAL FLIGHT CAPITAL MARKETS CAPITAL MOBILITY CENTRAL BANK CENTRAL BANK LENDING CENTRAL BANKS COMPETITIVENESS CURRENCY BOARD CURRENCY BOARDS CURRENCY RISK DEVALUATION DISCOUNT RATE DISCRETIONARY MONETARY POLICY DISINFLATION DOMESTIC ECONOMY DOMESTIC INTEREST RATES DOMESTIC PRICES ECONOMIC ACTIVITY ECONOMIC CONDITIONS ECONOMIC RESEARCH ECONOMICS EMERGING ECONOMIES EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK EXCHANGE RATE DEPRECIATION EXCHANGE RATES EXPANSIONARY MONETARY POLICY EXPECTED VALUE EXTERNAL SHOCKS FINANCIAL CRISIS FINANCIAL DEEPENING FINANCIAL INTEGRATION FINANCIAL MARKETS FINANCIAL SECTOR FINANCIAL SYSTEM FINANCIAL SYSTEMS FISCAL DEFICITS FISCAL DISCIPLINE FISCAL POLICIES FIXED EXCHANGE RATE FORECASTS FOREIGN BANKS FOREIGN CURRENCY FOREIGN INTEREST RATES FOREIGN SHOCKS GROWTH RATES HIGH INFLATION INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES INFLATION RATE INFLATION RATES INFLATION STABILIZATION INFLATION TARGETING INFLATION TARGETS INTEREST RATES INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND INTERNATIONAL RESERVES ITC LENDER OF LAST RESORT LENDERS OF LAST RESORT LIQUIDATION LIQUIDITY LOW INTEREST RATES MONETARY AGGREGATES MONETARY AUTHORITIES MONETARY POLICY MONETARY REGIME MONETARY STABILITY MONETARY TARGETING MONEY BASE MONEY DEMAND MONEY GROWTH RATES MONEY SUPPLY NET WORTH NOMINAL ANCHOR NOMINAL EXCHANGE RATE NOMINAL INCOME NOMINAL INTEREST RATE OFFSHORE BANKING OPEN ECONOMIES OPEN MARKETS OUTPUT GROWTH OUTPUT VOLATILITY PENALTIES POLICY INSTRUMENTS POLICY RESEARCH POTENTIAL OUTPUT PRICE STABILITY PRIVATE SECTOR PRIVATIZATION PROTECTIONISM RATE OF INFLATION REAL GDP REAL OUTPUT RESERVE REQUIREMENTS RISK PREMIUM SLOW GROWTH SMALL BANKS SOFT PEGS STABILIZATION PROGRAM TRADABLE GOODS TRANSPARENCY UNEMPLOYMENT UNEMPLOYMENT RATE The authors examine possible monetary policy strategies for Latin America that may help lock in the gains the region attained in the fight against inflation in the 1990s. Instead of focusing the debate about the conduct of monetary policy on whether the nominal exchange rate should be fixed or flexible, the focus should be on whether the monetary policy regime appropriately constrains discretion in monetary policymaking. Three basic frameworks deserve serious discussion as possible long-run strategies for monetary policy in Latin America. The authors examine the advantages and disadvantages of a hard exchange-rate peg, monetary targeting, and inflation targeting, in light of monetary policy's recent track record in several Latin American countries, looking for clues about which of the strategies might be best suited to economies in the region. The answer: It depends on the country's institutional environment. Some countries appear not to have the institutions to constrain monetary policy if discretion is allowed. In those countries, there is a strong argument for hard pegs, including full dollarization, that allow little or no discretion to monetary authorities. In countries such as Chile, which can constrain discretion, inflation targeting is likely to produce a monetary policy that keeps inflation low yet appropriately copes with domestic and foreign shocks. Monetary targeting as a strategy for Latin America is not viable because of the likely instability of the relationship between inflation and monetary aggregates, of which there is ample international evidence. No monetary strategy can solve the basic problems that have existed in Latin American economies for a long time. The authors welcome the recent move in Latin American countries toward inflation targeting, but say no policy will succeed unless government policies also create the right institutional environment. 2014-08-20T20:52:58Z 2014-08-20T20:52:58Z 2001-10 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2001/10/1614835/monetary-policy-strategies-latin-america http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19530 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 2685 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research Latin America & Caribbean