On the Duration of Civil War

The authors model the duration of large-scale, violent civil conflicts, applying hazard functions to a comprehensive data set on such conflicts for the period 1960-99. They find that the duration of conflicts is determined by a substantially differ...

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Main Authors:	Collier, Paul, Hoeffler, Anke, Soderbom, Mans
Format:	Policy Research Working Paper
Language:	English en_US
Published:	World Bank, Washington, DC 2014
Subjects:	ARMAMENTS CIVIL CONFLICT CIVIL CONFLICTS CIVIL WAR CIVIL WAR DATA CIVIL WARS CONFLICT COUNTRIES CONFLICT RESOLUTION CONFLICT RISK CRIMINAL ACTIVITY DEFENSE DIASPORA DIASPORA VARIABLE DIASPORAS DURATION OF WAR ECONOMIC GROWTH ETHNIC DIVERSITY ETHNIC DOMINANCE ETHNIC FRACTIONALIZATION ETHNIC GROUP ETHNIC GROUPS ETHNIC HATREDS GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODEL OF INSURRECTIONS GEOGRAPHIC DISPERSION GEOGRAPHIC VARIABLES GOVERNMENT CAPABILITY HAZARD FUNCTION HAZARD MODEL HOMOGENOUS SOCIETIES HOMOGENOUS SOCIETY INCOME INEQUALITY INTERNATIONAL WAR JOURNAL OF CONFLICT RESOLUTION MILITARY EQUIPMENT MODEL OF CONFLICT PEACE PEACE RESEARCH POLITICAL REPRESSION POLITICAL SUPPORT POOR POST- CONFLICT POST-CONFLICT POST-CONFLICT COUNTRY POST-CONFLICT SITUATIONS POST-CONFLICT SOCIETIES PROBABILITY OF WAR REBEL ORGANIZATION REBEL ORGANIZATIONS REBEL VICTORY REBELLION REBELLIONS REFUGEES RELIGIOUS DIVERSITY RELIGIOUS FRACTIONALIZATION RISK OF CONFLICT SOCIAL FRACTIONALIZATION VIOLENT CONFLICT WAR DURATION WAR ECONOMIES WAR PROJECT
Online Access:	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2001/09/1614731/duration-civil-war http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19534

id	okr-10986-19534
recordtype	oai_dc
spelling	okr-10986-195342021-04-23T14:03:43Z On the Duration of Civil War Collier, Paul Hoeffler, Anke Soderbom, Mans ARMAMENTS CIVIL CONFLICT CIVIL CONFLICTS CIVIL WAR CIVIL WAR DATA CIVIL WARS CONFLICT COUNTRIES CONFLICT RESOLUTION CONFLICT RISK CRIMINAL ACTIVITY DEFENSE DIASPORA DIASPORA VARIABLE DIASPORAS DURATION OF WAR ECONOMIC GROWTH ETHNIC DIVERSITY ETHNIC DOMINANCE ETHNIC FRACTIONALIZATION ETHNIC GROUP ETHNIC GROUPS ETHNIC HATREDS GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODEL OF INSURRECTIONS GEOGRAPHIC DISPERSION GEOGRAPHIC VARIABLES GOVERNMENT CAPABILITY HAZARD FUNCTION HAZARD MODEL HOMOGENOUS SOCIETIES HOMOGENOUS SOCIETY INCOME INEQUALITY INTERNATIONAL WAR JOURNAL OF CONFLICT RESOLUTION MILITARY EQUIPMENT MODEL OF CONFLICT PEACE PEACE RESEARCH POLITICAL REPRESSION POLITICAL SUPPORT POOR POST- CONFLICT POST-CONFLICT POST-CONFLICT COUNTRY POST-CONFLICT SITUATIONS POST-CONFLICT SOCIETIES PROBABILITY OF WAR REBEL ORGANIZATION REBEL ORGANIZATIONS REBEL VICTORY REBELLION REBELLIONS REFUGEES RELIGIOUS DIVERSITY RELIGIOUS FRACTIONALIZATION RISK OF CONFLICT SOCIAL FRACTIONALIZATION VIOLENT CONFLICT WAR DURATION WAR ECONOMIES WAR PROJECT The authors model the duration of large-scale, violent civil conflicts, applying hazard functions to a comprehensive data set on such conflicts for the period 1960-99. They find that the duration of conflicts is determined by a substantially different set of variables than those that determine their initiation. The duration of conflict increases substantially if the society is composed of a few large ethnic groups, if there is extensive forest cover, and if the conflict has commenced since 1980. None of these factors affects the initiation of conflict. The authors also find that neither the duration nor the initiation of conflict is affected by initial inequality or political repression. This finding is consistent with the hypothesis that rebellions are initiated where they are viable during conflict, regardless of the prospects of attaining post-conflict goals, and that they persist unless circumstances change. 2014-08-20T21:06:54Z 2014-08-20T21:06:54Z 2001-09 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2001/09/1614731/duration-civil-war http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19534 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 2681 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research
repository_type	Digital Repository
institution_category	Foreign Institution
institution	Digital Repositories
building	World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection	World Bank
language	English en_US
topic	ARMAMENTS CIVIL CONFLICT CIVIL CONFLICTS CIVIL WAR CIVIL WAR DATA CIVIL WARS CONFLICT COUNTRIES CONFLICT RESOLUTION CONFLICT RISK CRIMINAL ACTIVITY DEFENSE DIASPORA DIASPORA VARIABLE DIASPORAS DURATION OF WAR ECONOMIC GROWTH ETHNIC DIVERSITY ETHNIC DOMINANCE ETHNIC FRACTIONALIZATION ETHNIC GROUP ETHNIC GROUPS ETHNIC HATREDS GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODEL OF INSURRECTIONS GEOGRAPHIC DISPERSION GEOGRAPHIC VARIABLES GOVERNMENT CAPABILITY HAZARD FUNCTION HAZARD MODEL HOMOGENOUS SOCIETIES HOMOGENOUS SOCIETY INCOME INEQUALITY INTERNATIONAL WAR JOURNAL OF CONFLICT RESOLUTION MILITARY EQUIPMENT MODEL OF CONFLICT PEACE PEACE RESEARCH POLITICAL REPRESSION POLITICAL SUPPORT POOR POST- CONFLICT POST-CONFLICT POST-CONFLICT COUNTRY POST-CONFLICT SITUATIONS POST-CONFLICT SOCIETIES PROBABILITY OF WAR REBEL ORGANIZATION REBEL ORGANIZATIONS REBEL VICTORY REBELLION REBELLIONS REFUGEES RELIGIOUS DIVERSITY RELIGIOUS FRACTIONALIZATION RISK OF CONFLICT SOCIAL FRACTIONALIZATION VIOLENT CONFLICT WAR DURATION WAR ECONOMIES WAR PROJECT
spellingShingle	ARMAMENTS CIVIL CONFLICT CIVIL CONFLICTS CIVIL WAR CIVIL WAR DATA CIVIL WARS CONFLICT COUNTRIES CONFLICT RESOLUTION CONFLICT RISK CRIMINAL ACTIVITY DEFENSE DIASPORA DIASPORA VARIABLE DIASPORAS DURATION OF WAR ECONOMIC GROWTH ETHNIC DIVERSITY ETHNIC DOMINANCE ETHNIC FRACTIONALIZATION ETHNIC GROUP ETHNIC GROUPS ETHNIC HATREDS GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODEL OF INSURRECTIONS GEOGRAPHIC DISPERSION GEOGRAPHIC VARIABLES GOVERNMENT CAPABILITY HAZARD FUNCTION HAZARD MODEL HOMOGENOUS SOCIETIES HOMOGENOUS SOCIETY INCOME INEQUALITY INTERNATIONAL WAR JOURNAL OF CONFLICT RESOLUTION MILITARY EQUIPMENT MODEL OF CONFLICT PEACE PEACE RESEARCH POLITICAL REPRESSION POLITICAL SUPPORT POOR POST- CONFLICT POST-CONFLICT POST-CONFLICT COUNTRY POST-CONFLICT SITUATIONS POST-CONFLICT SOCIETIES PROBABILITY OF WAR REBEL ORGANIZATION REBEL ORGANIZATIONS REBEL VICTORY REBELLION REBELLIONS REFUGEES RELIGIOUS DIVERSITY RELIGIOUS FRACTIONALIZATION RISK OF CONFLICT SOCIAL FRACTIONALIZATION VIOLENT CONFLICT WAR DURATION WAR ECONOMIES WAR PROJECT Collier, Paul Hoeffler, Anke Soderbom, Mans On the Duration of Civil War
relation	Policy Research Working Paper;No. 2681
description	The authors model the duration of large-scale, violent civil conflicts, applying hazard functions to a comprehensive data set on such conflicts for the period 1960-99. They find that the duration of conflicts is determined by a substantially different set of variables than those that determine their initiation. The duration of conflict increases substantially if the society is composed of a few large ethnic groups, if there is extensive forest cover, and if the conflict has commenced since 1980. None of these factors affects the initiation of conflict. The authors also find that neither the duration nor the initiation of conflict is affected by initial inequality or political repression. This finding is consistent with the hypothesis that rebellions are initiated where they are viable during conflict, regardless of the prospects of attaining post-conflict goals, and that they persist unless circumstances change.
format	Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author	Collier, Paul Hoeffler, Anke Soderbom, Mans
author_facet	Collier, Paul Hoeffler, Anke Soderbom, Mans
author_sort	Collier, Paul
title	On the Duration of Civil War
title_short	On the Duration of Civil War
title_full	On the Duration of Civil War
title_fullStr	On the Duration of Civil War
title_full_unstemmed	On the Duration of Civil War
title_sort	on the duration of civil war
publisher	World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate	2014
url	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2001/09/1614731/duration-civil-war http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19534
_version_	1764439954582142976

On the Duration of Civil War

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