Inventories in Developing Countries : Levels and Determinants--A Red Flag for Competitiveness and Growth

Raw materials inventories in the manufacturing sector in the 1970s, 1980s, and 1990s were two to five times as high in developing countries as in the United States, despite the fact that in most developing countries real interest rates are at least...

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Main Authors: Guasch, J. Luis, Kogan, Joseph
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2014
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2001/02/1003163/inventories-developing-countries-levels-determinants-red-flag-competitiveness-growth
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19711
id okr-10986-19711
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-197112021-04-23T14:03:44Z Inventories in Developing Countries : Levels and Determinants--A Red Flag for Competitiveness and Growth Guasch, J. Luis Kogan, Joseph ACTUAL COSTS AFFILIATES AGGREGATE DEMAND AGGREGATE INVENTORY CD COMMODITY COMPETITIVENESS COST OF CAPITAL CURRENT EXPENDITURES DEFICITS DELIVERIES DELIVERY TIMES DEREGULATION DEVELOPED COUNTRIES DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS ECONOMICS LITERATURE ECONOMIES OF SCALE ECONOMISTS EMPLOYMENT EQUILIBRIUM FIXED COSTS FREIGHT GDP GDP DEFLATOR GDP PER CAPITA GROWTH RATE HANDLING IMPORTS INCOME INEFFICIENCY INFLATION INFLATION RATE INFLATION RATES INSURANCE INTEREST RATE INTEREST RATES INTERMEDIATE GOODS INVENTORIES INVENTORY INVENTORY HOLDING COSTS INVENTORY MANAGEMENT INVENTORY MODELS INVENTORY SYSTEMS MANUFACTURING MARGINAL COST MARKET PRICES MATHEMATICAL MODELS NOMINAL INTEREST RATES OPTIMIZATION ORDERING PRODUCTION COSTS PRODUCTION TECHNOLOGY PRODUCTIVITY PUBLIC ENTERPRISES QUALITY ASSESSMENT QUALITY CONTROL SAFETY STOCK SAVINGS SHIPMENTS STOCKS TELECOMMUNICATIONS THIRD PARTY LOGISTICS TIME SERIES TRANSACTION COSTS TRANSIT TRANSPORT WORKING CAPITAL Raw materials inventories in the manufacturing sector in the 1970s, 1980s, and 1990s were two to five times as high in developing countries as in the United States, despite the fact that in most developing countries real interest rates are at least twice as high. Given the high cost of capital in most developing countries, these high inventory levels have an enormous impact on the cost of doing business and on productivity and competitiveness. Poor infrastructure and ineffective regulation as well as deficiencies in market development - rather than the interest rates and uncertainty - are the main determinants of these differences. Cross-country estimates show that a one-standard-deviation improvement in infrastructure reduces raw materials inventories by 27-47 percent. Poorly functioning markets, as measured by the ratio of transfers and subsidies to GDP, are also an important factor, with a one-standard-deviation improvement leading to a 19-30 percent reduction in raw materials inventories. The authors show that these reductions in raw materials inventories are not offset by a reduction in finished goods inventories upstream. The policy implications are clear and strong. Improvements in infrastructure (roads, ports, and telecommunications) can help to significantly reduce inventory levels (and thus the cost of doing business), especially when accompanied by effective regulation and the development and deregulation of associated markets. 2014-08-26T19:55:24Z 2014-08-26T19:55:24Z 2001-02 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2001/02/1003163/inventories-developing-countries-levels-determinants-red-flag-competitiveness-growth http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19711 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 2552 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic ACTUAL COSTS
AFFILIATES
AGGREGATE DEMAND
AGGREGATE INVENTORY
CD
COMMODITY
COMPETITIVENESS
COST OF CAPITAL
CURRENT EXPENDITURES
DEFICITS
DELIVERIES
DELIVERY TIMES
DEREGULATION
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
ECONOMICS LITERATURE
ECONOMIES OF SCALE
ECONOMISTS
EMPLOYMENT
EQUILIBRIUM
FIXED COSTS
FREIGHT
GDP
GDP DEFLATOR
GDP PER CAPITA
GROWTH RATE
HANDLING
IMPORTS
INCOME
INEFFICIENCY
INFLATION
INFLATION RATE
INFLATION RATES
INSURANCE
INTEREST RATE
INTEREST RATES
INTERMEDIATE GOODS
INVENTORIES
INVENTORY
INVENTORY HOLDING COSTS
INVENTORY MANAGEMENT
INVENTORY MODELS
INVENTORY SYSTEMS
MANUFACTURING
MARGINAL COST
MARKET PRICES
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
NOMINAL INTEREST RATES
OPTIMIZATION
ORDERING
PRODUCTION COSTS
PRODUCTION TECHNOLOGY
PRODUCTIVITY
PUBLIC ENTERPRISES
QUALITY ASSESSMENT
QUALITY CONTROL
SAFETY STOCK
SAVINGS
SHIPMENTS
STOCKS
TELECOMMUNICATIONS
THIRD PARTY LOGISTICS
TIME SERIES
TRANSACTION COSTS
TRANSIT
TRANSPORT
WORKING CAPITAL
spellingShingle ACTUAL COSTS
AFFILIATES
AGGREGATE DEMAND
AGGREGATE INVENTORY
CD
COMMODITY
COMPETITIVENESS
COST OF CAPITAL
CURRENT EXPENDITURES
DEFICITS
DELIVERIES
DELIVERY TIMES
DEREGULATION
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
ECONOMICS LITERATURE
ECONOMIES OF SCALE
ECONOMISTS
EMPLOYMENT
EQUILIBRIUM
FIXED COSTS
FREIGHT
GDP
GDP DEFLATOR
GDP PER CAPITA
GROWTH RATE
HANDLING
IMPORTS
INCOME
INEFFICIENCY
INFLATION
INFLATION RATE
INFLATION RATES
INSURANCE
INTEREST RATE
INTEREST RATES
INTERMEDIATE GOODS
INVENTORIES
INVENTORY
INVENTORY HOLDING COSTS
INVENTORY MANAGEMENT
INVENTORY MODELS
INVENTORY SYSTEMS
MANUFACTURING
MARGINAL COST
MARKET PRICES
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
NOMINAL INTEREST RATES
OPTIMIZATION
ORDERING
PRODUCTION COSTS
PRODUCTION TECHNOLOGY
PRODUCTIVITY
PUBLIC ENTERPRISES
QUALITY ASSESSMENT
QUALITY CONTROL
SAFETY STOCK
SAVINGS
SHIPMENTS
STOCKS
TELECOMMUNICATIONS
THIRD PARTY LOGISTICS
TIME SERIES
TRANSACTION COSTS
TRANSIT
TRANSPORT
WORKING CAPITAL
Guasch, J. Luis
Kogan, Joseph
Inventories in Developing Countries : Levels and Determinants--A Red Flag for Competitiveness and Growth
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 2552
description Raw materials inventories in the manufacturing sector in the 1970s, 1980s, and 1990s were two to five times as high in developing countries as in the United States, despite the fact that in most developing countries real interest rates are at least twice as high. Given the high cost of capital in most developing countries, these high inventory levels have an enormous impact on the cost of doing business and on productivity and competitiveness. Poor infrastructure and ineffective regulation as well as deficiencies in market development - rather than the interest rates and uncertainty - are the main determinants of these differences. Cross-country estimates show that a one-standard-deviation improvement in infrastructure reduces raw materials inventories by 27-47 percent. Poorly functioning markets, as measured by the ratio of transfers and subsidies to GDP, are also an important factor, with a one-standard-deviation improvement leading to a 19-30 percent reduction in raw materials inventories. The authors show that these reductions in raw materials inventories are not offset by a reduction in finished goods inventories upstream. The policy implications are clear and strong. Improvements in infrastructure (roads, ports, and telecommunications) can help to significantly reduce inventory levels (and thus the cost of doing business), especially when accompanied by effective regulation and the development and deregulation of associated markets.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Guasch, J. Luis
Kogan, Joseph
author_facet Guasch, J. Luis
Kogan, Joseph
author_sort Guasch, J. Luis
title Inventories in Developing Countries : Levels and Determinants--A Red Flag for Competitiveness and Growth
title_short Inventories in Developing Countries : Levels and Determinants--A Red Flag for Competitiveness and Growth
title_full Inventories in Developing Countries : Levels and Determinants--A Red Flag for Competitiveness and Growth
title_fullStr Inventories in Developing Countries : Levels and Determinants--A Red Flag for Competitiveness and Growth
title_full_unstemmed Inventories in Developing Countries : Levels and Determinants--A Red Flag for Competitiveness and Growth
title_sort inventories in developing countries : levels and determinants--a red flag for competitiveness and growth
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2014
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2001/02/1003163/inventories-developing-countries-levels-determinants-red-flag-competitiveness-growth
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19711
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