Inside the Crisis : An Empirical Analysis of Banking Systems in Distress

Much of the substantial literature on banking crises, focuses on early warning indicators. The authors look at what happens to the economy, and the banking sector after a banking crisis breaks out. Much of the theory of banking crises assigns a cen...

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Main Authors: Demirguc-Kunt, Asli, Detragiache, Enrica, Gupta, Poonam
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2014
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2000/08/693219/inside-crisis-empirical-analysis-banking-systems-distress
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19812
id okr-10986-19812
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-198122021-04-23T14:03:46Z Inside the Crisis : An Empirical Analysis of Banking Systems in Distress Demirguc-Kunt, Asli Detragiache, Enrica Gupta, Poonam ASSET MANAGEMENT ASSET PRICES BAILOUT COSTS BANK ASSETS BANK CAPITAL BANK CREDIT BANK DEPOSITS BANK FAILURES BANK LENDING BANK LIQUIDITY BANK LOANS BANK RECAPITALIZATION BANK RUNS BANK SAFETY BANKING CRISES BANKING CRISIS BANKING DEPOSITS BANKING SECTOR BANKING SYSTEM BANKING SYSTEMS BANKS BONDS CAPITALIZATION CENTRAL BANK CENTRAL BANK LENDING CENTRAL BANKS CONTINGENT LIABILITIES COVERAGE CURRENCY CRISES CURRENCY DEPRECIATION DEBT DEFAULT RISK DEFICITS DEMAND DEPOSITS DEPOSIT GUARANTEES DEPOSIT INSURANCE DEPOSITORS DEPOSITS DISTRESSED BANKS EARNING ASSETS EMERGING MARKETS EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ATLANTA FINANCIAL CRISES FINANCIAL CRISIS FINANCIAL DISTRESS FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES FINANCIAL INTERMEDIATION FOREIGN BANKS FOREIGN CURRENCY DEPOSITS FOREIGN EXCHANGE GDP GDP PER CAPITA GROWTH RATE INFLATION INSOLVENCY INTEREST MARGIN INTEREST RATE INTEREST RATES LENDER OF LAST RESORT LOAN LOSS PROVISIONS MACROECONOMIC POLICIES MACROECONOMIC SHOCKS MARKET DISCIPLINE MERGERS MONETARY AUTHORITIES MONETARY POLICIES OPERATING COSTS OVERHEAD COSTS POLITICAL ECONOMY PROFITABILITY RATE OF EXCHANGE REAL INTEREST RATE REAL SECTOR RESERVES RETURN ON ASSETS RISK PREMIUMS SAFETY NETS SECURITIES SMALL BANKS SYSTEMIC BANKING CRISES TIME DEPOSITS TIME SERIES TRANSITION ECONOMIES VALUATION Much of the substantial literature on banking crises, focuses on early warning indicators. The authors look at what happens to the economy, and the banking sector after a banking crisis breaks out. Much of the theory of banking crises assigns a central role to depositor runs, with vulnerability to runs viewed as a basic characteristic of banks as financial intermediaries. But banking systems can be financially distressed, even when depositors do not withdraw their deposits, if other bank creditors rush for the exit, or if banks become insolvent. Are contemporary banking crises characterized by large declines in deposits? The authors find that contemporary banking crises are not accompanied by declines in aggregate bank deposits, and credit does not fall relative to output, but the growth of both deposits, and credit does slow down substantially. Output recovery begins the second year after the crisis, and is not led by a resumption of credit growth. Instead, banks (including the stronger banks) reallocate their asset portfolio away from loans. This suggests that protecting deposits during a banking crisis, may not be enough to protect bank credit, as lack of usable collateral, and poor borrower creditworthiness, discourage banks from lending. However, protecting bank credit may not be a priority right after a crisis, as the real economy can rebound without it, at least while there is substantial under-used capacity. 2014-08-28T17:13:14Z 2014-08-28T17:13:14Z 2000-08 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2000/08/693219/inside-crisis-empirical-analysis-banking-systems-distress http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19812 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 2431 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic ASSET MANAGEMENT
ASSET PRICES
BAILOUT COSTS
BANK ASSETS
BANK CAPITAL
BANK CREDIT
BANK DEPOSITS
BANK FAILURES
BANK LENDING
BANK LIQUIDITY
BANK LOANS
BANK RECAPITALIZATION
BANK RUNS
BANK SAFETY
BANKING CRISES
BANKING CRISIS
BANKING DEPOSITS
BANKING SECTOR
BANKING SYSTEM
BANKING SYSTEMS
BANKS
BONDS
CAPITALIZATION
CENTRAL BANK
CENTRAL BANK LENDING
CENTRAL BANKS
CONTINGENT LIABILITIES
COVERAGE
CURRENCY CRISES
CURRENCY DEPRECIATION
DEBT
DEFAULT RISK
DEFICITS
DEMAND DEPOSITS
DEPOSIT GUARANTEES
DEPOSIT INSURANCE
DEPOSITORS
DEPOSITS
DISTRESSED BANKS
EARNING ASSETS
EMERGING MARKETS
EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ATLANTA
FINANCIAL CRISES
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FINANCIAL DISTRESS
FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES
FINANCIAL INTERMEDIATION
FOREIGN BANKS
FOREIGN CURRENCY DEPOSITS
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
GDP
GDP PER CAPITA
GROWTH RATE
INFLATION
INSOLVENCY
INTEREST MARGIN
INTEREST RATE
INTEREST RATES
LENDER OF LAST RESORT
LOAN LOSS PROVISIONS
MACROECONOMIC POLICIES
MACROECONOMIC SHOCKS
MARKET DISCIPLINE
MERGERS
MONETARY AUTHORITIES
MONETARY POLICIES
OPERATING COSTS
OVERHEAD COSTS
POLITICAL ECONOMY
PROFITABILITY
RATE OF EXCHANGE
REAL INTEREST RATE
REAL SECTOR
RESERVES
RETURN ON ASSETS
RISK PREMIUMS
SAFETY NETS
SECURITIES
SMALL BANKS
SYSTEMIC BANKING CRISES
TIME DEPOSITS
TIME SERIES
TRANSITION ECONOMIES
VALUATION
spellingShingle ASSET MANAGEMENT
ASSET PRICES
BAILOUT COSTS
BANK ASSETS
BANK CAPITAL
BANK CREDIT
BANK DEPOSITS
BANK FAILURES
BANK LENDING
BANK LIQUIDITY
BANK LOANS
BANK RECAPITALIZATION
BANK RUNS
BANK SAFETY
BANKING CRISES
BANKING CRISIS
BANKING DEPOSITS
BANKING SECTOR
BANKING SYSTEM
BANKING SYSTEMS
BANKS
BONDS
CAPITALIZATION
CENTRAL BANK
CENTRAL BANK LENDING
CENTRAL BANKS
CONTINGENT LIABILITIES
COVERAGE
CURRENCY CRISES
CURRENCY DEPRECIATION
DEBT
DEFAULT RISK
DEFICITS
DEMAND DEPOSITS
DEPOSIT GUARANTEES
DEPOSIT INSURANCE
DEPOSITORS
DEPOSITS
DISTRESSED BANKS
EARNING ASSETS
EMERGING MARKETS
EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ATLANTA
FINANCIAL CRISES
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FINANCIAL DISTRESS
FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES
FINANCIAL INTERMEDIATION
FOREIGN BANKS
FOREIGN CURRENCY DEPOSITS
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
GDP
GDP PER CAPITA
GROWTH RATE
INFLATION
INSOLVENCY
INTEREST MARGIN
INTEREST RATE
INTEREST RATES
LENDER OF LAST RESORT
LOAN LOSS PROVISIONS
MACROECONOMIC POLICIES
MACROECONOMIC SHOCKS
MARKET DISCIPLINE
MERGERS
MONETARY AUTHORITIES
MONETARY POLICIES
OPERATING COSTS
OVERHEAD COSTS
POLITICAL ECONOMY
PROFITABILITY
RATE OF EXCHANGE
REAL INTEREST RATE
REAL SECTOR
RESERVES
RETURN ON ASSETS
RISK PREMIUMS
SAFETY NETS
SECURITIES
SMALL BANKS
SYSTEMIC BANKING CRISES
TIME DEPOSITS
TIME SERIES
TRANSITION ECONOMIES
VALUATION
Demirguc-Kunt, Asli
Detragiache, Enrica
Gupta, Poonam
Inside the Crisis : An Empirical Analysis of Banking Systems in Distress
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 2431
description Much of the substantial literature on banking crises, focuses on early warning indicators. The authors look at what happens to the economy, and the banking sector after a banking crisis breaks out. Much of the theory of banking crises assigns a central role to depositor runs, with vulnerability to runs viewed as a basic characteristic of banks as financial intermediaries. But banking systems can be financially distressed, even when depositors do not withdraw their deposits, if other bank creditors rush for the exit, or if banks become insolvent. Are contemporary banking crises characterized by large declines in deposits? The authors find that contemporary banking crises are not accompanied by declines in aggregate bank deposits, and credit does not fall relative to output, but the growth of both deposits, and credit does slow down substantially. Output recovery begins the second year after the crisis, and is not led by a resumption of credit growth. Instead, banks (including the stronger banks) reallocate their asset portfolio away from loans. This suggests that protecting deposits during a banking crisis, may not be enough to protect bank credit, as lack of usable collateral, and poor borrower creditworthiness, discourage banks from lending. However, protecting bank credit may not be a priority right after a crisis, as the real economy can rebound without it, at least while there is substantial under-used capacity.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Demirguc-Kunt, Asli
Detragiache, Enrica
Gupta, Poonam
author_facet Demirguc-Kunt, Asli
Detragiache, Enrica
Gupta, Poonam
author_sort Demirguc-Kunt, Asli
title Inside the Crisis : An Empirical Analysis of Banking Systems in Distress
title_short Inside the Crisis : An Empirical Analysis of Banking Systems in Distress
title_full Inside the Crisis : An Empirical Analysis of Banking Systems in Distress
title_fullStr Inside the Crisis : An Empirical Analysis of Banking Systems in Distress
title_full_unstemmed Inside the Crisis : An Empirical Analysis of Banking Systems in Distress
title_sort inside the crisis : an empirical analysis of banking systems in distress
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2014
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2000/08/693219/inside-crisis-empirical-analysis-banking-systems-distress
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19812
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