International Contagion : Implications for Policy

The authors try to identify and evaluate the public policy implications of financial crises. In this model, financial contagion can be driven by a combination of fundamentals and by self-fulfilling market expectations. The model allows the authors...

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Main Authors: Chang, Roberto, Majnoni, Giovanni
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2014
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2000/03/437907/international-contagion-implications-policy
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19845
id okr-10986-19845
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-198452021-04-23T14:03:47Z International Contagion : Implications for Policy Chang, Roberto Majnoni, Giovanni ACCOUNTING ADB ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS ANALYTICAL APPROACH BALANCE SHEETS BANK RESTRUCTURING BANK RUNS BANK SAFETY BANKING SECTOR BANKING SYSTEM BANKING SYSTEMS BANKRUPTCY BONDS BORROWING CAPITAL ACCUMULATION CAPITAL CONTROLS CAPITAL INFLOWS CAPITAL MARKETS CENTRAL BANK CERTAIN EXTENT CONSOLIDATION CONTAGION CONTINGENT LIABILITIES CORPORATE SECTOR CURRENCY CRISES CURRENCY DEPRECIATION DEBT DEBT FINANCING DEBT STRUCTURE DEPOSIT INSURANCE DISTORTIONARY TAXES EQUILIBRIUM EXCHANGE RATE EXCHANGE RATE FLEXIBILITY EXCHANGE RATES EXPECTED RETURN EXPECTED VALUE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ATLANTA FINANCIAL CONTAGION FINANCIAL CRISES FINANCIAL CRISIS FINANCIAL DECISIONS FINANCIAL DEEPENING FINANCIAL DISTRESS FINANCIAL FRAGILITY FINANCIAL INTEGRATION FINANCIAL LIBERALIZATION FINANCIAL MARKETS FINANCIAL RESOURCES FINANCIAL SECTOR FINANCIAL STRUCTURE FINANCIAL SYSTEMS FOREIGN EXCHANGE GDP GROWTH POTENTIAL INCOME INDEXATION INFLATION INSOLVENCY INSURANCE INTEREST RATE INTEREST RATES INTERNATIONAL CRISIS LENDER OF LAST RESORT LIABILITY MANAGEMENT LIQUIDITY MACROECONOMIC POLICIES MATURITIES MONETARY POLICY MONEY SUPPLY OFF BALANCE SHEET OPPORTUNITY COST PROBABILITY OF DEFAULT PUBLIC DEBT PUBLIC POLICY RECESSION REGULATORY FRAMEWORK RISK NEUTRAL RISK PREMIUM RISK SHARING RUNS ON BANKS SHAREHOLDERS SHORT TERM DEBT STOCK MARKETS TAXATION The authors try to identify and evaluate the public policy implications of financial crises. In this model, financial contagion can be driven by a combination of fundamentals and by self-fulfilling market expectations. The model allows the authors to identify different notions of contagion, especially the distinction between "monsoonal effects", "spillovers", and "switchers between equilibria". They discuss both domestic and international policy options. Domestic policies, they say, should be aimed at reducing financial fragility - that is, reducing unnecessary short-term debt commitments. With explicit commitments, the maturity of external debts should be lengthened. With implicit commitments, such as private liability guarantees, they emphasize limiting or eliminating such guarantees, to improve an economy's international liquidity and reduce its exposure to contagion. Internationally, they stress the need for improving financial standards, which makes it easier to assess when a country is subject to different kinds of contagion. The effectiveness of international rescue packages depends on the kind of contagion to which a country is exposed. Implications: the international community should help those countries that are already helping themselves. 2014-08-28T19:07:13Z 2014-08-28T19:07:13Z 2000-03 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2000/03/437907/international-contagion-implications-policy http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19845 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 2306 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic ACCOUNTING
ADB
ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS
ANALYTICAL APPROACH
BALANCE SHEETS
BANK RESTRUCTURING
BANK RUNS
BANK SAFETY
BANKING SECTOR
BANKING SYSTEM
BANKING SYSTEMS
BANKRUPTCY
BONDS
BORROWING
CAPITAL ACCUMULATION
CAPITAL CONTROLS
CAPITAL INFLOWS
CAPITAL MARKETS
CENTRAL BANK
CERTAIN EXTENT
CONSOLIDATION
CONTAGION
CONTINGENT LIABILITIES
CORPORATE SECTOR
CURRENCY CRISES
CURRENCY DEPRECIATION
DEBT
DEBT FINANCING
DEBT STRUCTURE
DEPOSIT INSURANCE
DISTORTIONARY TAXES
EQUILIBRIUM
EXCHANGE RATE
EXCHANGE RATE FLEXIBILITY
EXCHANGE RATES
EXPECTED RETURN
EXPECTED VALUE
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ATLANTA
FINANCIAL CONTAGION
FINANCIAL CRISES
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FINANCIAL DECISIONS
FINANCIAL DEEPENING
FINANCIAL DISTRESS
FINANCIAL FRAGILITY
FINANCIAL INTEGRATION
FINANCIAL LIBERALIZATION
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FINANCIAL RESOURCES
FINANCIAL SECTOR
FINANCIAL STRUCTURE
FINANCIAL SYSTEMS
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
GDP
GROWTH POTENTIAL
INCOME
INDEXATION
INFLATION
INSOLVENCY
INSURANCE
INTEREST RATE
INTEREST RATES
INTERNATIONAL CRISIS
LENDER OF LAST RESORT
LIABILITY MANAGEMENT
LIQUIDITY
MACROECONOMIC POLICIES
MATURITIES
MONETARY POLICY
MONEY SUPPLY
OFF BALANCE SHEET
OPPORTUNITY COST
PROBABILITY OF DEFAULT
PUBLIC DEBT
PUBLIC POLICY
RECESSION
REGULATORY FRAMEWORK
RISK NEUTRAL
RISK PREMIUM
RISK SHARING
RUNS ON BANKS
SHAREHOLDERS
SHORT TERM DEBT
STOCK MARKETS
TAXATION
spellingShingle ACCOUNTING
ADB
ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS
ANALYTICAL APPROACH
BALANCE SHEETS
BANK RESTRUCTURING
BANK RUNS
BANK SAFETY
BANKING SECTOR
BANKING SYSTEM
BANKING SYSTEMS
BANKRUPTCY
BONDS
BORROWING
CAPITAL ACCUMULATION
CAPITAL CONTROLS
CAPITAL INFLOWS
CAPITAL MARKETS
CENTRAL BANK
CERTAIN EXTENT
CONSOLIDATION
CONTAGION
CONTINGENT LIABILITIES
CORPORATE SECTOR
CURRENCY CRISES
CURRENCY DEPRECIATION
DEBT
DEBT FINANCING
DEBT STRUCTURE
DEPOSIT INSURANCE
DISTORTIONARY TAXES
EQUILIBRIUM
EXCHANGE RATE
EXCHANGE RATE FLEXIBILITY
EXCHANGE RATES
EXPECTED RETURN
EXPECTED VALUE
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ATLANTA
FINANCIAL CONTAGION
FINANCIAL CRISES
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FINANCIAL DECISIONS
FINANCIAL DEEPENING
FINANCIAL DISTRESS
FINANCIAL FRAGILITY
FINANCIAL INTEGRATION
FINANCIAL LIBERALIZATION
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FINANCIAL RESOURCES
FINANCIAL SECTOR
FINANCIAL STRUCTURE
FINANCIAL SYSTEMS
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
GDP
GROWTH POTENTIAL
INCOME
INDEXATION
INFLATION
INSOLVENCY
INSURANCE
INTEREST RATE
INTEREST RATES
INTERNATIONAL CRISIS
LENDER OF LAST RESORT
LIABILITY MANAGEMENT
LIQUIDITY
MACROECONOMIC POLICIES
MATURITIES
MONETARY POLICY
MONEY SUPPLY
OFF BALANCE SHEET
OPPORTUNITY COST
PROBABILITY OF DEFAULT
PUBLIC DEBT
PUBLIC POLICY
RECESSION
REGULATORY FRAMEWORK
RISK NEUTRAL
RISK PREMIUM
RISK SHARING
RUNS ON BANKS
SHAREHOLDERS
SHORT TERM DEBT
STOCK MARKETS
TAXATION
Chang, Roberto
Majnoni, Giovanni
International Contagion : Implications for Policy
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 2306
description The authors try to identify and evaluate the public policy implications of financial crises. In this model, financial contagion can be driven by a combination of fundamentals and by self-fulfilling market expectations. The model allows the authors to identify different notions of contagion, especially the distinction between "monsoonal effects", "spillovers", and "switchers between equilibria". They discuss both domestic and international policy options. Domestic policies, they say, should be aimed at reducing financial fragility - that is, reducing unnecessary short-term debt commitments. With explicit commitments, the maturity of external debts should be lengthened. With implicit commitments, such as private liability guarantees, they emphasize limiting or eliminating such guarantees, to improve an economy's international liquidity and reduce its exposure to contagion. Internationally, they stress the need for improving financial standards, which makes it easier to assess when a country is subject to different kinds of contagion. The effectiveness of international rescue packages depends on the kind of contagion to which a country is exposed. Implications: the international community should help those countries that are already helping themselves.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Chang, Roberto
Majnoni, Giovanni
author_facet Chang, Roberto
Majnoni, Giovanni
author_sort Chang, Roberto
title International Contagion : Implications for Policy
title_short International Contagion : Implications for Policy
title_full International Contagion : Implications for Policy
title_fullStr International Contagion : Implications for Policy
title_full_unstemmed International Contagion : Implications for Policy
title_sort international contagion : implications for policy
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2014
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2000/03/437907/international-contagion-implications-policy
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19845
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