Financing the Future : Infrastructure Needs in Latin America, 2000-05

To assess five-year demand for infrastructure investment in Latin America and the Caribbean, and the private sector's role in meeting this demand, the author developed a model to predict future demand for infrastructure - defined as what consumers and producers would ask for, given their income...

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Main Author: Fay, Marianne
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2014
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19965
id okr-10986-19965
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-199652021-04-23T14:03:52Z Financing the Future : Infrastructure Needs in Latin America, 2000-05 Fay, Marianne Infrastructure financing Infrastructure development Demand forecasting Telephone lines Power generation Roads & highways Telecommunications Private investments Private capital flows Private financing To assess five-year demand for infrastructure investment in Latin America and the Caribbean, and the private sector's role in meeting this demand, the author developed a model to predict future demand for infrastructure - defined as what consumers and producers would ask for, given their income and level of economic activity. Overall projections over the next five years: a) A doubling of telephone mainlines per capita. b) A steady increase in electricity generating capacity. c) Small increases in water and sanitation coverage. d) Steady expansion of road infrastructure, with rail transport becoming less important. Investments of $57 billion annually for 2000-05 (roughly 2.6 percent of Latin America's GDP) are expected to be absorbed largely by electricity ($22 billion), roads ($18 billion), and telecommunications ($ 6 billion). A surge in private finance of infrastructure in recent years (roughly $35 billion in 1998, excluding divestiture payments) has disproportionately favored telecommunications ($14 billion) and transport ($12 billion). Private investment exceeds predicted need for telecommunications (although the model did not include costs associated with the emergence of cellular phones), covers about half the demand for roads, and meets just a fraction of needs in power and water and sanitation - where there will be a shortfall in investments. Projections are likely to be on the low side because they cover new investments, not rehabilitation or maintenance. 2014-09-04T20:54:52Z 2014-09-04T20:54:52Z 2001-02 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19965 en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 2545 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Latin America
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language en_US
topic Infrastructure financing
Infrastructure development
Demand forecasting
Telephone lines
Power generation
Roads & highways
Telecommunications
Private investments
Private capital flows
Private financing
spellingShingle Infrastructure financing
Infrastructure development
Demand forecasting
Telephone lines
Power generation
Roads & highways
Telecommunications
Private investments
Private capital flows
Private financing
Fay, Marianne
Financing the Future : Infrastructure Needs in Latin America, 2000-05
geographic_facet Latin America
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 2545
description To assess five-year demand for infrastructure investment in Latin America and the Caribbean, and the private sector's role in meeting this demand, the author developed a model to predict future demand for infrastructure - defined as what consumers and producers would ask for, given their income and level of economic activity. Overall projections over the next five years: a) A doubling of telephone mainlines per capita. b) A steady increase in electricity generating capacity. c) Small increases in water and sanitation coverage. d) Steady expansion of road infrastructure, with rail transport becoming less important. Investments of $57 billion annually for 2000-05 (roughly 2.6 percent of Latin America's GDP) are expected to be absorbed largely by electricity ($22 billion), roads ($18 billion), and telecommunications ($ 6 billion). A surge in private finance of infrastructure in recent years (roughly $35 billion in 1998, excluding divestiture payments) has disproportionately favored telecommunications ($14 billion) and transport ($12 billion). Private investment exceeds predicted need for telecommunications (although the model did not include costs associated with the emergence of cellular phones), covers about half the demand for roads, and meets just a fraction of needs in power and water and sanitation - where there will be a shortfall in investments. Projections are likely to be on the low side because they cover new investments, not rehabilitation or maintenance.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Fay, Marianne
author_facet Fay, Marianne
author_sort Fay, Marianne
title Financing the Future : Infrastructure Needs in Latin America, 2000-05
title_short Financing the Future : Infrastructure Needs in Latin America, 2000-05
title_full Financing the Future : Infrastructure Needs in Latin America, 2000-05
title_fullStr Financing the Future : Infrastructure Needs in Latin America, 2000-05
title_full_unstemmed Financing the Future : Infrastructure Needs in Latin America, 2000-05
title_sort financing the future : infrastructure needs in latin america, 2000-05
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2014
url http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19965
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