Grain Price Spikes and Beggar-Thy-Neighbor Policy Responses : A Global Economywide Analysis

When prices spike in international grain markets, national governments often reduce the extent to which that spike affects their domestic food markets. Those actions exacerbate the price spike and international welfare transfer associated with the...

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Main Authors:	Jensen, Hans G, Anderson, Kym
Format:	Policy Research Working Paper
Language:	English en_US
Published:	World Bank Group, Washington, DC 2014
Subjects:	AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS AGRICULTURAL PRICE AGRICULTURE ALLOCATION ALLOWANCE BARRIER BORDER PRICE CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE COMMODITIES COMMODITY COMMODITY PRICE COMMODITY PRICE BOOMS COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY CONSUMER PRICES CORRELATION COEFFICIENT COUNTRY TO COUNTRY CURRENCY DAIRY DEMAND CURVE DEVALUATION DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPING COUNTRY DOMESTIC MARKET DOMESTIC MARKETS DOMESTIC PRICE DOMESTIC PRICES DOMESTIC PRODUCTION ECONOMIC POLICY ECONOMIC WELFARE EQUILIBRIUM EXCESS SUPPLY EXOGENOUS SHOCK EXOGENOUS SHOCKS EXOGENOUS SUPPLY EXPORT SUBSIDIES EXPORTER EXPORTERS EXTREME WEATHER EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS FACTORS OF PRODUCTION FINANCIAL CRISIS FOOD EXPORT FOOD EXPORTS FOOD IMPORTS FOOD MARKETS FOOD POLICY FOOD PRICE FOOD PRICES FOOD PRODUCTS FOODS GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODEL GLOBAL ECONOMY GOVERNMENT INTERVENTION GOVERNMENT INTERVENTIONS GRAIN PRODUCTION GRAINS HIGH-INCOME COUNTRIES IMPORT IMPORT PROTECTION IMPORT RESTRICTIONS IMPORT TARIFF IMPORT TARIFFS INCOME INTERNATIONAL MARKET INTERNATIONAL PRICE INTERNATIONAL PRICES INTERNATIONAL TRADE LIVESTOCK PRODUCTS MAIZE MARKET ACCESS MARKET PRICE MARKETPLACE MEAT MULTILATERAL TRADE OUTPUT PADDY POLICY MAKERS POLICY RESPONSE POLITICAL ECONOMY PRICE CHANGE PRICE CHANGES PRICE COMPARISONS PRICE DISTORTIONS PRICE ELASTICITIES PRICE ELASTICITY PRICE ELASTICITY OF DEMAND PRICE FLUCTUATIONS PRICE IMPACTS PRICE INCREASES PRICE STABILIZATION PRICE SUPPORT PRICE SUPPORTS PRICE VOLATILITY PROCESSED FOODS PRODUCER PRICE PRODUCT MARKETS SEVERE WEATHER SHORTFALL SHORTFALLS SMALL COUNTRIES SOCIAL SAFETY NET SOCIAL SAFETY NETS STOCK CHANGES STOCKS SUBSTITUTE SUBSTITUTES SUPPLY CURVE SUPPLY RESPONSE SUPPLY RESPONSES SUPPLY SHOCK SUPPLY SHOCKS SURPLUS SURPLUS COUNTRY TAX TAX RATES TRADE BARRIERS TRADE POLICY TRADE RESTRICTION TRADE RESTRICTIONS TRADE RESTRICTIVENESS TRADE TAXES VOLATILITY WHEAT WORLD ECONOMY WORLD MARKET WORLD TRADE
Online Access:	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/08/20127805/grain-price-spikes-beggar-thy-neighbor-policy-responses-global-economywide-analysis-grain-price-spikes-beggar-thy-neighbor-policy-responses-global-economywide-analysis http://hdl.handle.net/10986/20363

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spelling	okr-10986-203632021-04-23T14:03:55Z Grain Price Spikes and Beggar-Thy-Neighbor Policy Responses : A Global Economywide Analysis Jensen, Hans G Anderson, Kym AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS AGRICULTURAL PRICE AGRICULTURE ALLOCATION ALLOWANCE BARRIER BORDER PRICE CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE COMMODITIES COMMODITY COMMODITY PRICE COMMODITY PRICE BOOMS COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY CONSUMER PRICES CORRELATION COEFFICIENT COUNTRY TO COUNTRY CURRENCY DAIRY DEMAND CURVE DEVALUATION DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPING COUNTRY DOMESTIC MARKET DOMESTIC MARKETS DOMESTIC PRICE DOMESTIC PRICES DOMESTIC PRODUCTION ECONOMIC POLICY ECONOMIC WELFARE EQUILIBRIUM EXCESS SUPPLY EXOGENOUS SHOCK EXOGENOUS SHOCKS EXOGENOUS SUPPLY EXPORT SUBSIDIES EXPORTER EXPORTERS EXTREME WEATHER EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS FACTORS OF PRODUCTION FINANCIAL CRISIS FOOD EXPORT FOOD EXPORTS FOOD IMPORTS FOOD MARKETS FOOD POLICY FOOD PRICE FOOD PRICES FOOD PRODUCTS FOODS GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODEL GLOBAL ECONOMY GOVERNMENT INTERVENTION GOVERNMENT INTERVENTIONS GRAIN PRODUCTION GRAINS HIGH-INCOME COUNTRIES IMPORT IMPORT PROTECTION IMPORT RESTRICTIONS IMPORT TARIFF IMPORT TARIFFS INCOME INTERNATIONAL MARKET INTERNATIONAL PRICE INTERNATIONAL PRICES INTERNATIONAL TRADE LIVESTOCK PRODUCTS MAIZE MARKET ACCESS MARKET PRICE MARKETPLACE MEAT MULTILATERAL TRADE OUTPUT PADDY POLICY MAKERS POLICY RESPONSE POLITICAL ECONOMY PRICE CHANGE PRICE CHANGES PRICE COMPARISONS PRICE DISTORTIONS PRICE ELASTICITIES PRICE ELASTICITY PRICE ELASTICITY OF DEMAND PRICE FLUCTUATIONS PRICE IMPACTS PRICE INCREASES PRICE STABILIZATION PRICE SUPPORT PRICE SUPPORTS PRICE VOLATILITY PROCESSED FOODS PRODUCER PRICE PRODUCT MARKETS SEVERE WEATHER SHORTFALL SHORTFALLS SMALL COUNTRIES SOCIAL SAFETY NET SOCIAL SAFETY NETS STOCK CHANGES STOCKS SUBSTITUTE SUBSTITUTES SUPPLY CURVE SUPPLY RESPONSE SUPPLY RESPONSES SUPPLY SHOCK SUPPLY SHOCKS SURPLUS SURPLUS COUNTRY TAX TAX RATES TRADE BARRIERS TRADE POLICY TRADE RESTRICTION TRADE RESTRICTIONS TRADE RESTRICTIVENESS TRADE TAXES VOLATILITY WHEAT WORLD ECONOMY WORLD MARKET WORLD TRADE When prices spike in international grain markets, national governments often reduce the extent to which that spike affects their domestic food markets. Those actions exacerbate the price spike and international welfare transfer associated with the terms of trade change. Several recent analyses have assessed the extent to which those policies contributed to the 2006-08 international price rise, but only by focusing on one commodity or using a back-of-the-envelope method. This paper provides a more comprehensive analysis that uses a global economywide model that is able to take account of the interactions between markets for farm products that are closely related in production or consumption. The model is able to estimate the impacts of those insulating policies on grain prices and on the grain trade and economic welfare of various countries. The results support the conclusion from earlier studies that there is a need for stronger World Trade Organization disciplines on export restrictions. 2014-10-06T19:58:44Z 2014-10-06T19:58:44Z 2014-08 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/08/20127805/grain-price-spikes-beggar-thy-neighbor-policy-responses-global-economywide-analysis-grain-price-spikes-beggar-thy-neighbor-policy-responses-global-economywide-analysis http://hdl.handle.net/10986/20363 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 7007 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank Group, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research
repository_type	Digital Repository
institution_category	Foreign Institution
institution	Digital Repositories
building	World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection	World Bank
language	English en_US
topic	AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS AGRICULTURAL PRICE AGRICULTURE ALLOCATION ALLOWANCE BARRIER BORDER PRICE CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE COMMODITIES COMMODITY COMMODITY PRICE COMMODITY PRICE BOOMS COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY CONSUMER PRICES CORRELATION COEFFICIENT COUNTRY TO COUNTRY CURRENCY DAIRY DEMAND CURVE DEVALUATION DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPING COUNTRY DOMESTIC MARKET DOMESTIC MARKETS DOMESTIC PRICE DOMESTIC PRICES DOMESTIC PRODUCTION ECONOMIC POLICY ECONOMIC WELFARE EQUILIBRIUM EXCESS SUPPLY EXOGENOUS SHOCK EXOGENOUS SHOCKS EXOGENOUS SUPPLY EXPORT SUBSIDIES EXPORTER EXPORTERS EXTREME WEATHER EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS FACTORS OF PRODUCTION FINANCIAL CRISIS FOOD EXPORT FOOD EXPORTS FOOD IMPORTS FOOD MARKETS FOOD POLICY FOOD PRICE FOOD PRICES FOOD PRODUCTS FOODS GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODEL GLOBAL ECONOMY GOVERNMENT INTERVENTION GOVERNMENT INTERVENTIONS GRAIN PRODUCTION GRAINS HIGH-INCOME COUNTRIES IMPORT IMPORT PROTECTION IMPORT RESTRICTIONS IMPORT TARIFF IMPORT TARIFFS INCOME INTERNATIONAL MARKET INTERNATIONAL PRICE INTERNATIONAL PRICES INTERNATIONAL TRADE LIVESTOCK PRODUCTS MAIZE MARKET ACCESS MARKET PRICE MARKETPLACE MEAT MULTILATERAL TRADE OUTPUT PADDY POLICY MAKERS POLICY RESPONSE POLITICAL ECONOMY PRICE CHANGE PRICE CHANGES PRICE COMPARISONS PRICE DISTORTIONS PRICE ELASTICITIES PRICE ELASTICITY PRICE ELASTICITY OF DEMAND PRICE FLUCTUATIONS PRICE IMPACTS PRICE INCREASES PRICE STABILIZATION PRICE SUPPORT PRICE SUPPORTS PRICE VOLATILITY PROCESSED FOODS PRODUCER PRICE PRODUCT MARKETS SEVERE WEATHER SHORTFALL SHORTFALLS SMALL COUNTRIES SOCIAL SAFETY NET SOCIAL SAFETY NETS STOCK CHANGES STOCKS SUBSTITUTE SUBSTITUTES SUPPLY CURVE SUPPLY RESPONSE SUPPLY RESPONSES SUPPLY SHOCK SUPPLY SHOCKS SURPLUS SURPLUS COUNTRY TAX TAX RATES TRADE BARRIERS TRADE POLICY TRADE RESTRICTION TRADE RESTRICTIONS TRADE RESTRICTIVENESS TRADE TAXES VOLATILITY WHEAT WORLD ECONOMY WORLD MARKET WORLD TRADE
spellingShingle	AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS AGRICULTURAL PRICE AGRICULTURE ALLOCATION ALLOWANCE BARRIER BORDER PRICE CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE COMMODITIES COMMODITY COMMODITY PRICE COMMODITY PRICE BOOMS COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY CONSUMER PRICES CORRELATION COEFFICIENT COUNTRY TO COUNTRY CURRENCY DAIRY DEMAND CURVE DEVALUATION DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPING COUNTRY DOMESTIC MARKET DOMESTIC MARKETS DOMESTIC PRICE DOMESTIC PRICES DOMESTIC PRODUCTION ECONOMIC POLICY ECONOMIC WELFARE EQUILIBRIUM EXCESS SUPPLY EXOGENOUS SHOCK EXOGENOUS SHOCKS EXOGENOUS SUPPLY EXPORT SUBSIDIES EXPORTER EXPORTERS EXTREME WEATHER EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS FACTORS OF PRODUCTION FINANCIAL CRISIS FOOD EXPORT FOOD EXPORTS FOOD IMPORTS FOOD MARKETS FOOD POLICY FOOD PRICE FOOD PRICES FOOD PRODUCTS FOODS GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODEL GLOBAL ECONOMY GOVERNMENT INTERVENTION GOVERNMENT INTERVENTIONS GRAIN PRODUCTION GRAINS HIGH-INCOME COUNTRIES IMPORT IMPORT PROTECTION IMPORT RESTRICTIONS IMPORT TARIFF IMPORT TARIFFS INCOME INTERNATIONAL MARKET INTERNATIONAL PRICE INTERNATIONAL PRICES INTERNATIONAL TRADE LIVESTOCK PRODUCTS MAIZE MARKET ACCESS MARKET PRICE MARKETPLACE MEAT MULTILATERAL TRADE OUTPUT PADDY POLICY MAKERS POLICY RESPONSE POLITICAL ECONOMY PRICE CHANGE PRICE CHANGES PRICE COMPARISONS PRICE DISTORTIONS PRICE ELASTICITIES PRICE ELASTICITY PRICE ELASTICITY OF DEMAND PRICE FLUCTUATIONS PRICE IMPACTS PRICE INCREASES PRICE STABILIZATION PRICE SUPPORT PRICE SUPPORTS PRICE VOLATILITY PROCESSED FOODS PRODUCER PRICE PRODUCT MARKETS SEVERE WEATHER SHORTFALL SHORTFALLS SMALL COUNTRIES SOCIAL SAFETY NET SOCIAL SAFETY NETS STOCK CHANGES STOCKS SUBSTITUTE SUBSTITUTES SUPPLY CURVE SUPPLY RESPONSE SUPPLY RESPONSES SUPPLY SHOCK SUPPLY SHOCKS SURPLUS SURPLUS COUNTRY TAX TAX RATES TRADE BARRIERS TRADE POLICY TRADE RESTRICTION TRADE RESTRICTIONS TRADE RESTRICTIVENESS TRADE TAXES VOLATILITY WHEAT WORLD ECONOMY WORLD MARKET WORLD TRADE Jensen, Hans G Anderson, Kym Grain Price Spikes and Beggar-Thy-Neighbor Policy Responses : A Global Economywide Analysis
relation	Policy Research Working Paper;No. 7007
description	When prices spike in international grain markets, national governments often reduce the extent to which that spike affects their domestic food markets. Those actions exacerbate the price spike and international welfare transfer associated with the terms of trade change. Several recent analyses have assessed the extent to which those policies contributed to the 2006-08 international price rise, but only by focusing on one commodity or using a back-of-the-envelope method. This paper provides a more comprehensive analysis that uses a global economywide model that is able to take account of the interactions between markets for farm products that are closely related in production or consumption. The model is able to estimate the impacts of those insulating policies on grain prices and on the grain trade and economic welfare of various countries. The results support the conclusion from earlier studies that there is a need for stronger World Trade Organization disciplines on export restrictions.
format	Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author	Jensen, Hans G Anderson, Kym
author_facet	Jensen, Hans G Anderson, Kym
author_sort	Jensen, Hans G
title	Grain Price Spikes and Beggar-Thy-Neighbor Policy Responses : A Global Economywide Analysis
title_short	Grain Price Spikes and Beggar-Thy-Neighbor Policy Responses : A Global Economywide Analysis
title_full	Grain Price Spikes and Beggar-Thy-Neighbor Policy Responses : A Global Economywide Analysis
title_fullStr	Grain Price Spikes and Beggar-Thy-Neighbor Policy Responses : A Global Economywide Analysis
title_full_unstemmed	Grain Price Spikes and Beggar-Thy-Neighbor Policy Responses : A Global Economywide Analysis
title_sort	grain price spikes and beggar-thy-neighbor policy responses : a global economywide analysis
publisher	World Bank Group, Washington, DC
publishDate	2014
url	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/08/20127805/grain-price-spikes-beggar-thy-neighbor-policy-responses-global-economywide-analysis-grain-price-spikes-beggar-thy-neighbor-policy-responses-global-economywide-analysis http://hdl.handle.net/10986/20363
_version_	1764445121121615872

Grain Price Spikes and Beggar-Thy-Neighbor Policy Responses : A Global Economywide Analysis

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