How Vulnerable are Arab Countries to Global Food Price Shocks?

We estimate pass-through effects of international food price movements into domestic food prices for 18 countries in the Middle East and North Africa, using threshold regressions. International price movements transmit to various degrees into domestic prices. Transmission is mostly asymmetric, pushi...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Ianchovichina, Elena I., Loening, Josef L., Wood, Christina A.
Format: Journal Article
Language:en_US
Published: Taylor and Francis 2014
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10986/20477
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spelling okr-10986-204772021-04-23T14:03:56Z How Vulnerable are Arab Countries to Global Food Price Shocks? Ianchovichina, Elena I. Loening, Josef L. Wood, Christina A. inflation food price pass-through food subsidies fiscal policy Arab world threshold regression food subsidies price controls market distortions food price policy Arab Spring We estimate pass-through effects of international food price movements into domestic food prices for 18 countries in the Middle East and North Africa, using threshold regressions. International price movements transmit to various degrees into domestic prices. Transmission is mostly asymmetric, pushing domestic price levels up as increases in international food prices are typically passed through, but declines are rarely transmitted. This situation is indicative of policy and market distortions, notably the presence of food subsidies in the context of fiscal constraints. Hence, both international prices and their volatility matter for domestic inflation, yet domestic factors also play a role. 2014-10-28T18:20:33Z 2014-10-28T18:20:33Z 2014-06-27 Journal Article Journal of Development Studies 0022-0388 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/20477 en_US CC BY-NC-ND 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo World Bank Taylor and Francis Publications & Research :: Journal Article Middle East and North Africa North Africa Middle East
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language en_US
topic inflation
food price pass-through
food subsidies
fiscal policy
Arab world
threshold regression
food subsidies
price controls
market distortions
food price policy
Arab Spring
spellingShingle inflation
food price pass-through
food subsidies
fiscal policy
Arab world
threshold regression
food subsidies
price controls
market distortions
food price policy
Arab Spring
Ianchovichina, Elena I.
Loening, Josef L.
Wood, Christina A.
How Vulnerable are Arab Countries to Global Food Price Shocks?
geographic_facet Middle East and North Africa
North Africa
Middle East
description We estimate pass-through effects of international food price movements into domestic food prices for 18 countries in the Middle East and North Africa, using threshold regressions. International price movements transmit to various degrees into domestic prices. Transmission is mostly asymmetric, pushing domestic price levels up as increases in international food prices are typically passed through, but declines are rarely transmitted. This situation is indicative of policy and market distortions, notably the presence of food subsidies in the context of fiscal constraints. Hence, both international prices and their volatility matter for domestic inflation, yet domestic factors also play a role.
format Journal Article
author Ianchovichina, Elena I.
Loening, Josef L.
Wood, Christina A.
author_facet Ianchovichina, Elena I.
Loening, Josef L.
Wood, Christina A.
author_sort Ianchovichina, Elena I.
title How Vulnerable are Arab Countries to Global Food Price Shocks?
title_short How Vulnerable are Arab Countries to Global Food Price Shocks?
title_full How Vulnerable are Arab Countries to Global Food Price Shocks?
title_fullStr How Vulnerable are Arab Countries to Global Food Price Shocks?
title_full_unstemmed How Vulnerable are Arab Countries to Global Food Price Shocks?
title_sort how vulnerable are arab countries to global food price shocks?
publisher Taylor and Francis
publishDate 2014
url http://hdl.handle.net/10986/20477
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