How Vulnerable are Arab Countries to Global Food Price Shocks?
We estimate pass-through effects of international food price movements into domestic food prices for 18 countries in the Middle East and North Africa, using threshold regressions. International price movements transmit to various degrees into domestic prices. Transmission is mostly asymmetric, pushi...
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okr-10986-204772021-04-23T14:03:56Z How Vulnerable are Arab Countries to Global Food Price Shocks? Ianchovichina, Elena I. Loening, Josef L. Wood, Christina A. inflation food price pass-through food subsidies fiscal policy Arab world threshold regression food subsidies price controls market distortions food price policy Arab Spring We estimate pass-through effects of international food price movements into domestic food prices for 18 countries in the Middle East and North Africa, using threshold regressions. International price movements transmit to various degrees into domestic prices. Transmission is mostly asymmetric, pushing domestic price levels up as increases in international food prices are typically passed through, but declines are rarely transmitted. This situation is indicative of policy and market distortions, notably the presence of food subsidies in the context of fiscal constraints. Hence, both international prices and their volatility matter for domestic inflation, yet domestic factors also play a role. 2014-10-28T18:20:33Z 2014-10-28T18:20:33Z 2014-06-27 Journal Article Journal of Development Studies 0022-0388 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/20477 en_US CC BY-NC-ND 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo World Bank Taylor and Francis Publications & Research :: Journal Article Middle East and North Africa North Africa Middle East |
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en_US |
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inflation food price pass-through food subsidies fiscal policy Arab world threshold regression food subsidies price controls market distortions food price policy Arab Spring |
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inflation food price pass-through food subsidies fiscal policy Arab world threshold regression food subsidies price controls market distortions food price policy Arab Spring Ianchovichina, Elena I. Loening, Josef L. Wood, Christina A. How Vulnerable are Arab Countries to Global Food Price Shocks? |
geographic_facet |
Middle East and North Africa North Africa Middle East |
description |
We estimate pass-through effects of international food price movements into domestic food prices for 18 countries in the Middle East and North Africa, using threshold regressions. International price movements transmit to various degrees into domestic prices. Transmission is mostly asymmetric, pushing domestic price levels up as increases in international food prices are typically passed through, but declines are rarely transmitted. This situation is indicative of policy and market distortions, notably the presence of food subsidies in the context of fiscal constraints. Hence, both international prices and their volatility matter for domestic inflation, yet domestic factors also play a role. |
format |
Journal Article |
author |
Ianchovichina, Elena I. Loening, Josef L. Wood, Christina A. |
author_facet |
Ianchovichina, Elena I. Loening, Josef L. Wood, Christina A. |
author_sort |
Ianchovichina, Elena I. |
title |
How Vulnerable are Arab Countries to Global Food Price Shocks? |
title_short |
How Vulnerable are Arab Countries to Global Food Price Shocks? |
title_full |
How Vulnerable are Arab Countries to Global Food Price Shocks? |
title_fullStr |
How Vulnerable are Arab Countries to Global Food Price Shocks? |
title_full_unstemmed |
How Vulnerable are Arab Countries to Global Food Price Shocks? |
title_sort |
how vulnerable are arab countries to global food price shocks? |
publisher |
Taylor and Francis |
publishDate |
2014 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/20477 |
_version_ |
1764445483095293952 |