Gone with the Storm : Rainfall Shocks and Household Well-Being in Guatemala

This paper investigates the causal consequences of Tropical Storm Agatha (2010) -- the strongest tropical storm ever to strike Guatemala since rainfall records have been kept -- on household welfare. The analysis reveals substantial negative effect...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors:	Baez, Javier E., Lucchetti, Leonardo, Genoni, Maria E., Salazar, Mateo
Format:	Publications & Research
Language:	English en_US
Published:	World Bank Group, Washington, DC 2015
Subjects:	ACCESS TO ELECTRICITY AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS AGRICULTURAL LAND ALLOCATION ALLOCATION MECHANISM ANTI-POVERTY AVERAGE PRICE BUFFER STOCK CALORIE INTAKE CALORIES PER DAY CALORIES PER PERSON CALORIES PER PERSON PER DAY CASH TRANSFERS CHILD LABOR CHILD NUTRITION CLIMATE COLLATERAL EFFECTS CONSUMPTION AGGREGATE CONSUMPTION BASKET CONSUMPTION DATA CONSUMPTION INSURANCE CONSUMPTION MEASURE CONSUMPTION PRICE CONSUMPTION SMOOTHING CROP INCOME DEMOGRAPHIC CHARACTERISTICS DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DIVERSIFICATION DOMESTIC PRODUCTION DROUGHT ECONOMETRIC MODELS ECONOMIC IMPACTS ENERGY CONSUMPTION EXTREME EVENTS EXTREME POVERTY EXTREME POVERTY LINE EXTREME RAINFALL EXTREME WEATHER EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS FINANCIAL CRISIS FOOD AID FOOD CONSUMPTION FOOD EXPENDITURES FOOD ITEMS FOOD PRICE FOOD PRICES FOOD SECURITY GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM GEOGRAPHICAL REGIONS HIGHER INCIDENCE OF POVERTY HOUSEHOLD BUDGET HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA HOUSEHOLD DATA HOUSEHOLD EXPENDITURES HOUSEHOLD HEAD HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD MEMBERS HOUSEHOLD SURVEY HOUSEHOLD WELFARE HOUSING HUMAN CAPITAL HUMAN CAPITAL FORMATION HUMANITARIAN ASSISTANCE HURRICANE HURRICANE RISK HURRICANES INCOME INCOME RISK INCOME SHOCK INEQUALITY INFANT MORTALITY INFANT MORTALITY RATES INSURANCE JOBS LABOR INCOME LABOR SUPPLY LIVING STANDARDS LOSSES IN CONSUMPTION MALNUTRITION MILK NATIONAL POVERTY NATIONAL POVERTY LINE NATIONAL POVERTY RATE NATURAL DISASTER NATURAL DISASTERS NATURAL SHOCKS NUTRITION PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION POOR POVERTY GAP POVERTY INCIDENCE POVERTY LINES POVERTY MAP POVERTY PERSISTENCE POVERTY RATE POVERTY RATES POVERTY STATUS POVERTY THRESHOLD PRICE INDEX PRIVATE TRANSFERS PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION REDUCTION IN CONSUMPTION RESOURCE ECONOMICS RISK MANAGEMENT RURAL RURAL AREAS RURAL FAMILIES RURAL HOUSEHOLDS RURAL POOR RURAL POOR HOUSEHOLDS RURAL VILLAGES SANITATION SCHOOL ATTENDANCE SCHOOLING SOCIAL PROTECTION STORMS SUBSISTENCE TOTAL CONSUMPTION TOTAL DAMAGES TOTAL INCOME TROPICAL CYCLONE TROPICAL STORM VULNERABILITY TO POVERTY WELFARE INDICATOR
Online Access:	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2015/01/23884248/gone-storm-rainfall-shocks-household-well-being-guatemala http://hdl.handle.net/10986/21396

id	okr-10986-21396
recordtype	oai_dc
repository_type	Digital Repository
institution_category	Foreign Institution
institution	Digital Repositories
building	World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection	World Bank
language	English en_US
topic	ACCESS TO ELECTRICITY AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS AGRICULTURAL LAND ALLOCATION ALLOCATION MECHANISM ANTI-POVERTY AVERAGE PRICE BUFFER STOCK CALORIE INTAKE CALORIES PER DAY CALORIES PER PERSON CALORIES PER PERSON PER DAY CASH TRANSFERS CHILD LABOR CHILD NUTRITION CLIMATE COLLATERAL EFFECTS CONSUMPTION AGGREGATE CONSUMPTION BASKET CONSUMPTION DATA CONSUMPTION INSURANCE CONSUMPTION MEASURE CONSUMPTION PRICE CONSUMPTION SMOOTHING CROP INCOME DEMOGRAPHIC CHARACTERISTICS DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DIVERSIFICATION DOMESTIC PRODUCTION DROUGHT ECONOMETRIC MODELS ECONOMIC IMPACTS ENERGY CONSUMPTION EXTREME EVENTS EXTREME POVERTY EXTREME POVERTY LINE EXTREME RAINFALL EXTREME WEATHER EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS FINANCIAL CRISIS FOOD AID FOOD CONSUMPTION FOOD EXPENDITURES FOOD ITEMS FOOD PRICE FOOD PRICES FOOD SECURITY GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM GEOGRAPHICAL REGIONS HIGHER INCIDENCE OF POVERTY HOUSEHOLD BUDGET HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA HOUSEHOLD DATA HOUSEHOLD EXPENDITURES HOUSEHOLD HEAD HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD MEMBERS HOUSEHOLD SURVEY HOUSEHOLD WELFARE HOUSING HUMAN CAPITAL HUMAN CAPITAL FORMATION HUMANITARIAN ASSISTANCE HURRICANE HURRICANE RISK HURRICANES INCOME INCOME RISK INCOME SHOCK INEQUALITY INFANT MORTALITY INFANT MORTALITY RATES INSURANCE JOBS LABOR INCOME LABOR SUPPLY LIVING STANDARDS LOSSES IN CONSUMPTION MALNUTRITION MILK NATIONAL POVERTY NATIONAL POVERTY LINE NATIONAL POVERTY RATE NATURAL DISASTER NATURAL DISASTERS NATURAL SHOCKS NUTRITION PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION POOR POVERTY GAP POVERTY INCIDENCE POVERTY LINES POVERTY MAP POVERTY PERSISTENCE POVERTY RATE POVERTY RATES POVERTY STATUS POVERTY THRESHOLD PRICE INDEX PRIVATE TRANSFERS PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION REDUCTION IN CONSUMPTION RESOURCE ECONOMICS RISK MANAGEMENT RURAL RURAL AREAS RURAL FAMILIES RURAL HOUSEHOLDS RURAL POOR RURAL POOR HOUSEHOLDS RURAL VILLAGES SANITATION SCHOOL ATTENDANCE SCHOOLING SOCIAL PROTECTION STORMS SUBSISTENCE TOTAL CONSUMPTION TOTAL DAMAGES TOTAL INCOME TROPICAL CYCLONE TROPICAL STORM VULNERABILITY TO POVERTY WELFARE INDICATOR
spellingShingle	ACCESS TO ELECTRICITY AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS AGRICULTURAL LAND ALLOCATION ALLOCATION MECHANISM ANTI-POVERTY AVERAGE PRICE BUFFER STOCK CALORIE INTAKE CALORIES PER DAY CALORIES PER PERSON CALORIES PER PERSON PER DAY CASH TRANSFERS CHILD LABOR CHILD NUTRITION CLIMATE COLLATERAL EFFECTS CONSUMPTION AGGREGATE CONSUMPTION BASKET CONSUMPTION DATA CONSUMPTION INSURANCE CONSUMPTION MEASURE CONSUMPTION PRICE CONSUMPTION SMOOTHING CROP INCOME DEMOGRAPHIC CHARACTERISTICS DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DIVERSIFICATION DOMESTIC PRODUCTION DROUGHT ECONOMETRIC MODELS ECONOMIC IMPACTS ENERGY CONSUMPTION EXTREME EVENTS EXTREME POVERTY EXTREME POVERTY LINE EXTREME RAINFALL EXTREME WEATHER EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS FINANCIAL CRISIS FOOD AID FOOD CONSUMPTION FOOD EXPENDITURES FOOD ITEMS FOOD PRICE FOOD PRICES FOOD SECURITY GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM GEOGRAPHICAL REGIONS HIGHER INCIDENCE OF POVERTY HOUSEHOLD BUDGET HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA HOUSEHOLD DATA HOUSEHOLD EXPENDITURES HOUSEHOLD HEAD HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD MEMBERS HOUSEHOLD SURVEY HOUSEHOLD WELFARE HOUSING HUMAN CAPITAL HUMAN CAPITAL FORMATION HUMANITARIAN ASSISTANCE HURRICANE HURRICANE RISK HURRICANES INCOME INCOME RISK INCOME SHOCK INEQUALITY INFANT MORTALITY INFANT MORTALITY RATES INSURANCE JOBS LABOR INCOME LABOR SUPPLY LIVING STANDARDS LOSSES IN CONSUMPTION MALNUTRITION MILK NATIONAL POVERTY NATIONAL POVERTY LINE NATIONAL POVERTY RATE NATURAL DISASTER NATURAL DISASTERS NATURAL SHOCKS NUTRITION PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION POOR POVERTY GAP POVERTY INCIDENCE POVERTY LINES POVERTY MAP POVERTY PERSISTENCE POVERTY RATE POVERTY RATES POVERTY STATUS POVERTY THRESHOLD PRICE INDEX PRIVATE TRANSFERS PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION REDUCTION IN CONSUMPTION RESOURCE ECONOMICS RISK MANAGEMENT RURAL RURAL AREAS RURAL FAMILIES RURAL HOUSEHOLDS RURAL POOR RURAL POOR HOUSEHOLDS RURAL VILLAGES SANITATION SCHOOL ATTENDANCE SCHOOLING SOCIAL PROTECTION STORMS SUBSISTENCE TOTAL CONSUMPTION TOTAL DAMAGES TOTAL INCOME TROPICAL CYCLONE TROPICAL STORM VULNERABILITY TO POVERTY WELFARE INDICATOR Baez, Javier E. Lucchetti, Leonardo Genoni, Maria E. Salazar, Mateo Gone with the Storm : Rainfall Shocks and Household Well-Being in Guatemala
geographic_facet	Latin America & Caribbean Guatemala
relation	Policy Research Working Paper;No. 7177
description	This paper investigates the causal consequences of Tropical Storm Agatha (2010) -- the strongest tropical storm ever to strike Guatemala since rainfall records have been kept -- on household welfare. The analysis reveals substantial negative effects, particularly among urban households. Per capita consumption fell by 12.6 percent, raising poverty by 5.5 percentage points (an increase of 18 percent). The negative effects of the shock span other areas of human welfare. Households cut back on food consumption (10 percent or 43 to 108 fewer calories per person per day) and reduced expenditures on basic durables. These effects are related to a drop in income per capita (10 percent), mostly among salaried workers. Adults coped with the shock by increasing their labor supply (on the intensive margin) and simultaneously relying on the labor supply of their children and withdrawing them from school. Impact heterogeneity is associated with the intensity of the shock, food price inflation, and the timing of Agatha with respect to the harvest cycle of the main crops. The results are robust to placebo treatments, household migration, issues of measurement error, and different samples. The negative effects of the storm partly explain the increase in poverty seen in urban Guatemala between 2006 and 2011, which national authorities and analysts previously attributed solely to the collateral effects of the global financial crisis.
format	Publications & Research
author	Baez, Javier E. Lucchetti, Leonardo Genoni, Maria E. Salazar, Mateo
author_facet	Baez, Javier E. Lucchetti, Leonardo Genoni, Maria E. Salazar, Mateo
author_sort	Baez, Javier E.
title	Gone with the Storm : Rainfall Shocks and Household Well-Being in Guatemala
title_short	Gone with the Storm : Rainfall Shocks and Household Well-Being in Guatemala
title_full	Gone with the Storm : Rainfall Shocks and Household Well-Being in Guatemala
title_fullStr	Gone with the Storm : Rainfall Shocks and Household Well-Being in Guatemala
title_full_unstemmed	Gone with the Storm : Rainfall Shocks and Household Well-Being in Guatemala
title_sort	gone with the storm : rainfall shocks and household well-being in guatemala
publisher	World Bank Group, Washington, DC
publishDate	2015
url	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2015/01/23884248/gone-storm-rainfall-shocks-household-well-being-guatemala http://hdl.handle.net/10986/21396
_version_	1764448141680050176
spelling	okr-10986-213962021-04-23T14:04:02Z Gone with the Storm : Rainfall Shocks and Household Well-Being in Guatemala Baez, Javier E. Lucchetti, Leonardo Genoni, Maria E. Salazar, Mateo ACCESS TO ELECTRICITY AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS AGRICULTURAL LAND ALLOCATION ALLOCATION MECHANISM ANTI-POVERTY AVERAGE PRICE BUFFER STOCK CALORIE INTAKE CALORIES PER DAY CALORIES PER PERSON CALORIES PER PERSON PER DAY CASH TRANSFERS CHILD LABOR CHILD NUTRITION CLIMATE COLLATERAL EFFECTS CONSUMPTION AGGREGATE CONSUMPTION BASKET CONSUMPTION DATA CONSUMPTION INSURANCE CONSUMPTION MEASURE CONSUMPTION PRICE CONSUMPTION SMOOTHING CROP INCOME DEMOGRAPHIC CHARACTERISTICS DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DIVERSIFICATION DOMESTIC PRODUCTION DROUGHT ECONOMETRIC MODELS ECONOMIC IMPACTS ENERGY CONSUMPTION EXTREME EVENTS EXTREME POVERTY EXTREME POVERTY LINE EXTREME RAINFALL EXTREME WEATHER EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS FINANCIAL CRISIS FOOD AID FOOD CONSUMPTION FOOD EXPENDITURES FOOD ITEMS FOOD PRICE FOOD PRICES FOOD SECURITY GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM GEOGRAPHICAL REGIONS HIGHER INCIDENCE OF POVERTY HOUSEHOLD BUDGET HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA HOUSEHOLD DATA HOUSEHOLD EXPENDITURES HOUSEHOLD HEAD HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD MEMBERS HOUSEHOLD SURVEY HOUSEHOLD WELFARE HOUSING HUMAN CAPITAL HUMAN CAPITAL FORMATION HUMANITARIAN ASSISTANCE HURRICANE HURRICANE RISK HURRICANES INCOME INCOME RISK INCOME SHOCK INEQUALITY INFANT MORTALITY INFANT MORTALITY RATES INSURANCE JOBS LABOR INCOME LABOR SUPPLY LIVING STANDARDS LOSSES IN CONSUMPTION MALNUTRITION MILK NATIONAL POVERTY NATIONAL POVERTY LINE NATIONAL POVERTY RATE NATURAL DISASTER NATURAL DISASTERS NATURAL SHOCKS NUTRITION PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION POOR POVERTY GAP POVERTY INCIDENCE POVERTY LINES POVERTY MAP POVERTY PERSISTENCE POVERTY RATE POVERTY RATES POVERTY STATUS POVERTY THRESHOLD PRICE INDEX PRIVATE TRANSFERS PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION REDUCTION IN CONSUMPTION RESOURCE ECONOMICS RISK MANAGEMENT RURAL RURAL AREAS RURAL FAMILIES RURAL HOUSEHOLDS RURAL POOR RURAL POOR HOUSEHOLDS RURAL VILLAGES SANITATION SCHOOL ATTENDANCE SCHOOLING SOCIAL PROTECTION STORMS SUBSISTENCE TOTAL CONSUMPTION TOTAL DAMAGES TOTAL INCOME TROPICAL CYCLONE TROPICAL STORM VULNERABILITY TO POVERTY WELFARE INDICATOR This paper investigates the causal consequences of Tropical Storm Agatha (2010) -- the strongest tropical storm ever to strike Guatemala since rainfall records have been kept -- on household welfare. The analysis reveals substantial negative effects, particularly among urban households. Per capita consumption fell by 12.6 percent, raising poverty by 5.5 percentage points (an increase of 18 percent). The negative effects of the shock span other areas of human welfare. Households cut back on food consumption (10 percent or 43 to 108 fewer calories per person per day) and reduced expenditures on basic durables. These effects are related to a drop in income per capita (10 percent), mostly among salaried workers. Adults coped with the shock by increasing their labor supply (on the intensive margin) and simultaneously relying on the labor supply of their children and withdrawing them from school. Impact heterogeneity is associated with the intensity of the shock, food price inflation, and the timing of Agatha with respect to the harvest cycle of the main crops. The results are robust to placebo treatments, household migration, issues of measurement error, and different samples. The negative effects of the storm partly explain the increase in poverty seen in urban Guatemala between 2006 and 2011, which national authorities and analysts previously attributed solely to the collateral effects of the global financial crisis. 2015-02-03T17:21:14Z 2015-02-03T17:21:14Z 2015-01 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2015/01/23884248/gone-storm-rainfall-shocks-household-well-being-guatemala http://hdl.handle.net/10986/21396 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 7177 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank Group, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Latin America & Caribbean Guatemala

Gone with the Storm : Rainfall Shocks and Household Well-Being in Guatemala

Similar Items