Analyzing the Dynamics of School Dropout in Upper Secondary Education in Latin America : A Cohort Approach

This study examines trends in school dropout at the upper secondary education level across Latin America over the past two decades, and attempts to identify factors influencing these rates. The methodology contributes to the existing literature by...

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Main Authors: Bentaouet Kattan, Raja, Székely, Miguel
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank Group, Washington, DC 2015
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2015/03/24205715/analyzing-dynamics-school-dropout-upper-secondary-education-latin-america-cohort-approach
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/21671
id okr-10986-21671
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic SKILLS
COMPARATIVE EDUCATION
ECONOMIC GROWTH
BASIC EDUCATION
TEACHERS
DROPOUT RATE
SCHOOLING
SCHOOL DROPOUT
EARLY CHILDHOOD DEVELOPMENT
INTERACTIVE RADIO INSTRUCTION
MARGINAL COST
MARKET FACTORS
SKILLS DEVELOPMENT
SCHOOL ENROLLMENT
ATTENDANCE RATES
INTERACTIVE RADIO
EDUCATIONAL ACHIEVEMENT
EDUCATION POLICY
LABOR FORCE
DROPOUT PATTERNS
ECONOMETRIC ESTIMATES
HIGH SCHOOL
POLITICAL ECONOMY
EDUCATION OUTCOMES
EFFECTIVENESS OF EDUCATION SYSTEMS
HIGHER EDUCATION
EDUCATION EXPENDITURES
INCENTIVES
HIGHER ENROLLMENT
RE-ENTRY
MODELS
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
ADULTS
ACCESS TO EDUCATION
KNOWLEDGE
RESOURCES PER CHILD
COGNITIVE DEVELOPMENT
COMPLETION RATES
GENDER GAP
QUALITY OF EDUCATION
TRAINING
TEACHER TRAINING
DEMAND FOR EDUCATION
EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT
POPULATION GROWTH
ECONOMETRICS
OPTIONS
SECONDARY SCHOOL
PRIMARY SCHOOL ATTENDANCE
PRIMARY SCHOOLING
STUDENT ACHIEVEMENT
VOCATIONAL EDUCATION
LEARNING
EDUCATION SYSTEM
SCHOOL QUALITY
PRIMARY SCHOOL
SCHOOL ENROLLMENTS
NATURAL RESOURCES
PRIMARY COMPLETION RATES
RADIO
SCHOOL- AGE
RESOURCES
EDUCATION SYSTEMS
UNEMPLOYMENT
DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION
BENEFITS OF EDUCATION
TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE
DROPOUT RATES
INVESTMENT IN EDUCATION
PRIMARY COMPLETION
STUDENT POPULATION
ENROLLMENT RATES
WAGES
EFFECTIVENESS OF EDUCATION
VALUES
SCHOOLS
SCHOOL ATTENDANCE
EFFECTIVE TEACHERS
EDUCATION REFORM
ECONOMIC VALUE
POLICY MAKERS
EDUCATION SERVICES
LEARNING OUTCOMES
PRODUCTION FUNCTIONS
CREDIT
PURCHASING POWER
DEMAND
EXPANSION OF EDUCATION
ENROLLMENT RATE
MARGINAL BENEFITS
MARGINAL COSTS
EDUCATIONAL QUALITY
EXPENDITURES
PARENTAL PRIORITIES
EARLY CHILDHOOD
DECISION MAKING
CLASS SIZE
HIGH DROPOUT
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
OPPORTUNITY COSTS
TRANSACTION COSTS
ENVIRONMENT
SCHOOL IMPROVEMENT
COHORT ANALYSIS
ADOLESCENTS
EARLY DROPOUT
TEACHER
DISCOUNT RATES
QUALITY OF EDUCATION SERVICES
RADIO INSTRUCTION
ECONOMIC FACTORS
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
TRADE
ENROLLMENT LEVELS
EDUCATION EXPANSION
SCHOLARSHIP PROGRAMS
EDUCATION
COST PER STUDENT
SCHOOL PERFORMANCE
CLASS SIZES
PRIVATE COSTS
HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT
PRIMARY EDUCATION
FORMAL SCHOOLING
LABOR MARKETS
CLASSROOM
SCHOOL
SECONDARY EDUCATION
SCHOOL ENVIRONMENT
DEMOGRAPHICS
PRICES
ECONOMIC CONDITIONS
SCHOOL AGE
RETURNS TO EDUCATION
spellingShingle SKILLS
COMPARATIVE EDUCATION
ECONOMIC GROWTH
BASIC EDUCATION
TEACHERS
DROPOUT RATE
SCHOOLING
SCHOOL DROPOUT
EARLY CHILDHOOD DEVELOPMENT
INTERACTIVE RADIO INSTRUCTION
MARGINAL COST
MARKET FACTORS
SKILLS DEVELOPMENT
SCHOOL ENROLLMENT
ATTENDANCE RATES
INTERACTIVE RADIO
EDUCATIONAL ACHIEVEMENT
EDUCATION POLICY
LABOR FORCE
DROPOUT PATTERNS
ECONOMETRIC ESTIMATES
HIGH SCHOOL
POLITICAL ECONOMY
EDUCATION OUTCOMES
EFFECTIVENESS OF EDUCATION SYSTEMS
HIGHER EDUCATION
EDUCATION EXPENDITURES
INCENTIVES
HIGHER ENROLLMENT
RE-ENTRY
MODELS
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
ADULTS
ACCESS TO EDUCATION
KNOWLEDGE
RESOURCES PER CHILD
COGNITIVE DEVELOPMENT
COMPLETION RATES
GENDER GAP
QUALITY OF EDUCATION
TRAINING
TEACHER TRAINING
DEMAND FOR EDUCATION
EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT
POPULATION GROWTH
ECONOMETRICS
OPTIONS
SECONDARY SCHOOL
PRIMARY SCHOOL ATTENDANCE
PRIMARY SCHOOLING
STUDENT ACHIEVEMENT
VOCATIONAL EDUCATION
LEARNING
EDUCATION SYSTEM
SCHOOL QUALITY
PRIMARY SCHOOL
SCHOOL ENROLLMENTS
NATURAL RESOURCES
PRIMARY COMPLETION RATES
RADIO
SCHOOL- AGE
RESOURCES
EDUCATION SYSTEMS
UNEMPLOYMENT
DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION
BENEFITS OF EDUCATION
TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE
DROPOUT RATES
INVESTMENT IN EDUCATION
PRIMARY COMPLETION
STUDENT POPULATION
ENROLLMENT RATES
WAGES
EFFECTIVENESS OF EDUCATION
VALUES
SCHOOLS
SCHOOL ATTENDANCE
EFFECTIVE TEACHERS
EDUCATION REFORM
ECONOMIC VALUE
POLICY MAKERS
EDUCATION SERVICES
LEARNING OUTCOMES
PRODUCTION FUNCTIONS
CREDIT
PURCHASING POWER
DEMAND
EXPANSION OF EDUCATION
ENROLLMENT RATE
MARGINAL BENEFITS
MARGINAL COSTS
EDUCATIONAL QUALITY
EXPENDITURES
PARENTAL PRIORITIES
EARLY CHILDHOOD
DECISION MAKING
CLASS SIZE
HIGH DROPOUT
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
OPPORTUNITY COSTS
TRANSACTION COSTS
ENVIRONMENT
SCHOOL IMPROVEMENT
COHORT ANALYSIS
ADOLESCENTS
EARLY DROPOUT
TEACHER
DISCOUNT RATES
QUALITY OF EDUCATION SERVICES
RADIO INSTRUCTION
ECONOMIC FACTORS
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
TRADE
ENROLLMENT LEVELS
EDUCATION EXPANSION
SCHOLARSHIP PROGRAMS
EDUCATION
COST PER STUDENT
SCHOOL PERFORMANCE
CLASS SIZES
PRIVATE COSTS
HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT
PRIMARY EDUCATION
FORMAL SCHOOLING
LABOR MARKETS
CLASSROOM
SCHOOL
SECONDARY EDUCATION
SCHOOL ENVIRONMENT
DEMOGRAPHICS
PRICES
ECONOMIC CONDITIONS
SCHOOL AGE
RETURNS TO EDUCATION
Bentaouet Kattan, Raja
Székely, Miguel
Analyzing the Dynamics of School Dropout in Upper Secondary Education in Latin America : A Cohort Approach
geographic_facet Latin America & Caribbean
Latin America
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 7223
description This study examines trends in school dropout at the upper secondary education level across Latin America over the past two decades, and attempts to identify factors influencing these rates. The methodology contributes to the existing literature by employing repeated cross sections of data to track the life cycle path of representative groups of individuals belonging to a birth cohort, by constructing and analyzing a synthetic data base of household survey data from 18 countries. A key finding is that while upper secondary enrollment rates increased in the region, the proportion of upper secondary age youth dropping out of school has remained persistently high, despite relatively favorable macroeconomic conditions. Furthermore, the study traces the moment in the life cycle at which the majority of dropout takes place to reveal differences between countries. Finally, to explain the trends in upper secondary dropout rates, the study examines the impact of three groups of factors: (i) shifts in the cohort size and socioeconomic composition of the population eligible for entering upper secondary education; (b) the macroeconomic environment and labor market opportunities; and (c) the returns to schooling. A series of regressions shows that an important factor that may be driving higher dropout levels has been the higher numbers of students from poor socioeconomic backgrounds reaching the upper secondary level. In addition, high returns to education have been a pull factor into the schooling system, while, especially in countries where the majority of youth dropout early (prior to upper secondary education), the data confirm an apparent substitution effect due to the opportunity cost of forgoing employment opportunities. Overall, the findings confirm the importance of policy makers' focus on upper secondary education across Latin America and suggest implications for focusing the policy agenda.
format Working Paper
author Bentaouet Kattan, Raja
Székely, Miguel
author_facet Bentaouet Kattan, Raja
Székely, Miguel
author_sort Bentaouet Kattan, Raja
title Analyzing the Dynamics of School Dropout in Upper Secondary Education in Latin America : A Cohort Approach
title_short Analyzing the Dynamics of School Dropout in Upper Secondary Education in Latin America : A Cohort Approach
title_full Analyzing the Dynamics of School Dropout in Upper Secondary Education in Latin America : A Cohort Approach
title_fullStr Analyzing the Dynamics of School Dropout in Upper Secondary Education in Latin America : A Cohort Approach
title_full_unstemmed Analyzing the Dynamics of School Dropout in Upper Secondary Education in Latin America : A Cohort Approach
title_sort analyzing the dynamics of school dropout in upper secondary education in latin america : a cohort approach
publisher World Bank Group, Washington, DC
publishDate 2015
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2015/03/24205715/analyzing-dynamics-school-dropout-upper-secondary-education-latin-america-cohort-approach
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/21671
_version_ 1764448934393020416
spelling okr-10986-216712021-04-23T14:04:03Z Analyzing the Dynamics of School Dropout in Upper Secondary Education in Latin America : A Cohort Approach Bentaouet Kattan, Raja Székely, Miguel SKILLS COMPARATIVE EDUCATION ECONOMIC GROWTH BASIC EDUCATION TEACHERS DROPOUT RATE SCHOOLING SCHOOL DROPOUT EARLY CHILDHOOD DEVELOPMENT INTERACTIVE RADIO INSTRUCTION MARGINAL COST MARKET FACTORS SKILLS DEVELOPMENT SCHOOL ENROLLMENT ATTENDANCE RATES INTERACTIVE RADIO EDUCATIONAL ACHIEVEMENT EDUCATION POLICY LABOR FORCE DROPOUT PATTERNS ECONOMETRIC ESTIMATES HIGH SCHOOL POLITICAL ECONOMY EDUCATION OUTCOMES EFFECTIVENESS OF EDUCATION SYSTEMS HIGHER EDUCATION EDUCATION EXPENDITURES INCENTIVES HIGHER ENROLLMENT RE-ENTRY MODELS SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT ADULTS ACCESS TO EDUCATION KNOWLEDGE RESOURCES PER CHILD COGNITIVE DEVELOPMENT COMPLETION RATES GENDER GAP QUALITY OF EDUCATION TRAINING TEACHER TRAINING DEMAND FOR EDUCATION EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT POPULATION GROWTH ECONOMETRICS OPTIONS SECONDARY SCHOOL PRIMARY SCHOOL ATTENDANCE PRIMARY SCHOOLING STUDENT ACHIEVEMENT VOCATIONAL EDUCATION LEARNING EDUCATION SYSTEM SCHOOL QUALITY PRIMARY SCHOOL SCHOOL ENROLLMENTS NATURAL RESOURCES PRIMARY COMPLETION RATES RADIO SCHOOL- AGE RESOURCES EDUCATION SYSTEMS UNEMPLOYMENT DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION BENEFITS OF EDUCATION TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE DROPOUT RATES INVESTMENT IN EDUCATION PRIMARY COMPLETION STUDENT POPULATION ENROLLMENT RATES WAGES EFFECTIVENESS OF EDUCATION VALUES SCHOOLS SCHOOL ATTENDANCE EFFECTIVE TEACHERS EDUCATION REFORM ECONOMIC VALUE POLICY MAKERS EDUCATION SERVICES LEARNING OUTCOMES PRODUCTION FUNCTIONS CREDIT PURCHASING POWER DEMAND EXPANSION OF EDUCATION ENROLLMENT RATE MARGINAL BENEFITS MARGINAL COSTS EDUCATIONAL QUALITY EXPENDITURES PARENTAL PRIORITIES EARLY CHILDHOOD DECISION MAKING CLASS SIZE HIGH DROPOUT EDUCATIONAL SERVICES OPPORTUNITY COSTS TRANSACTION COSTS ENVIRONMENT SCHOOL IMPROVEMENT COHORT ANALYSIS ADOLESCENTS EARLY DROPOUT TEACHER DISCOUNT RATES QUALITY OF EDUCATION SERVICES RADIO INSTRUCTION ECONOMIC FACTORS ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT TRADE ENROLLMENT LEVELS EDUCATION EXPANSION SCHOLARSHIP PROGRAMS EDUCATION COST PER STUDENT SCHOOL PERFORMANCE CLASS SIZES PRIVATE COSTS HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT PRIMARY EDUCATION FORMAL SCHOOLING LABOR MARKETS CLASSROOM SCHOOL SECONDARY EDUCATION SCHOOL ENVIRONMENT DEMOGRAPHICS PRICES ECONOMIC CONDITIONS SCHOOL AGE RETURNS TO EDUCATION This study examines trends in school dropout at the upper secondary education level across Latin America over the past two decades, and attempts to identify factors influencing these rates. The methodology contributes to the existing literature by employing repeated cross sections of data to track the life cycle path of representative groups of individuals belonging to a birth cohort, by constructing and analyzing a synthetic data base of household survey data from 18 countries. A key finding is that while upper secondary enrollment rates increased in the region, the proportion of upper secondary age youth dropping out of school has remained persistently high, despite relatively favorable macroeconomic conditions. Furthermore, the study traces the moment in the life cycle at which the majority of dropout takes place to reveal differences between countries. Finally, to explain the trends in upper secondary dropout rates, the study examines the impact of three groups of factors: (i) shifts in the cohort size and socioeconomic composition of the population eligible for entering upper secondary education; (b) the macroeconomic environment and labor market opportunities; and (c) the returns to schooling. A series of regressions shows that an important factor that may be driving higher dropout levels has been the higher numbers of students from poor socioeconomic backgrounds reaching the upper secondary level. In addition, high returns to education have been a pull factor into the schooling system, while, especially in countries where the majority of youth dropout early (prior to upper secondary education), the data confirm an apparent substitution effect due to the opportunity cost of forgoing employment opportunities. Overall, the findings confirm the importance of policy makers' focus on upper secondary education across Latin America and suggest implications for focusing the policy agenda. 2015-04-02T17:52:05Z 2015-04-02T17:52:05Z 2015-03 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2015/03/24205715/analyzing-dynamics-school-dropout-upper-secondary-education-latin-america-cohort-approach http://hdl.handle.net/10986/21671 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 7223 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank Group, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Latin America & Caribbean Latin America