Commodity Markets Outlook, April 2015

The decline in commodity prices that began with metals and agriculture four years ago—joined by crude oil in mid-2014—continued in 2015Q1 (Figure 1). Energy, metals, and agricultural prices were down 28, 11, and 5 percent, respectively, from the previous quarter. Increasing supplies, bumper harv...

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Main Author: World Bank Group
Format: Serial
Language:en_US
Published: Washington, DC 2015
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10986/21768
id okr-10986-21768
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spelling okr-10986-217682017-12-14T04:42:26Z Commodity Markets Outlook, April 2015 World Bank Group primary fuels price trends oil prices energy forecasts precious metals fertilizer prices grain prices raw material price index coffee prices tea prices forecasts The decline in commodity prices that began with metals and agriculture four years ago—joined by crude oil in mid-2014—continued in 2015Q1 (Figure 1). Energy, metals, and agricultural prices were down 28, 11, and 5 percent, respectively, from the previous quarter. Increasing supplies, bumper harvests, weak demand and a stronger U.S. dollar contributed to the declines. The weakness is expected to continue for the rest of the year. All key price indices are projected to decline in 2015 before recovering moderately in 2016 (Figure 2). This issue’s Special Focus section examines the four episodes of oil price crashes since 1970 and finds that the 2014-15 and 1985-86 crashes were driven mostly by supply-related factors, while the other two episodes were associated with the First Gulf War and 2008 financial crisis, respectively. This report is released quarterly, in January, April, July, and October. It provides detailed market analysis for major commodity groups, including energy, metals, agriculture, precious metals, and fertilizers. Price forecasts to 2025 for 46 commodities are also presented, together with historical price data. 2015-04-23T15:31:13Z 2015-04-23T15:31:13Z 2015-04-22 Serial http://hdl.handle.net/10986/21768 en_US CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Working Paper
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language en_US
topic primary fuels
price trends
oil prices
energy forecasts
precious metals
fertilizer prices
grain prices
raw material price index
coffee prices
tea prices
forecasts
spellingShingle primary fuels
price trends
oil prices
energy forecasts
precious metals
fertilizer prices
grain prices
raw material price index
coffee prices
tea prices
forecasts
World Bank Group
Commodity Markets Outlook, April 2015
description The decline in commodity prices that began with metals and agriculture four years ago—joined by crude oil in mid-2014—continued in 2015Q1 (Figure 1). Energy, metals, and agricultural prices were down 28, 11, and 5 percent, respectively, from the previous quarter. Increasing supplies, bumper harvests, weak demand and a stronger U.S. dollar contributed to the declines. The weakness is expected to continue for the rest of the year. All key price indices are projected to decline in 2015 before recovering moderately in 2016 (Figure 2). This issue’s Special Focus section examines the four episodes of oil price crashes since 1970 and finds that the 2014-15 and 1985-86 crashes were driven mostly by supply-related factors, while the other two episodes were associated with the First Gulf War and 2008 financial crisis, respectively. This report is released quarterly, in January, April, July, and October. It provides detailed market analysis for major commodity groups, including energy, metals, agriculture, precious metals, and fertilizers. Price forecasts to 2025 for 46 commodities are also presented, together with historical price data.
format Serial
author World Bank Group
author_facet World Bank Group
author_sort World Bank Group
title Commodity Markets Outlook, April 2015
title_short Commodity Markets Outlook, April 2015
title_full Commodity Markets Outlook, April 2015
title_fullStr Commodity Markets Outlook, April 2015
title_full_unstemmed Commodity Markets Outlook, April 2015
title_sort commodity markets outlook, april 2015
publisher Washington, DC
publishDate 2015
url http://hdl.handle.net/10986/21768
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