Give Growth and Macroeconomic Stability in Russia a Chance : Harden Budgets by Eliminating Nonpayments

The authors analyze the links between Russias disappointing growth performance in the second half of the 1990s, its costly and unsuccessful stabilization, the macroeconomic meltdown of 1998, and the spectacular rise of non-payments. Non-payments fl...

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Main Authors: Pinto, Brian, Drebentsov, Vladimir, Morozov, Alexander
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2015
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2000/04/693414/give-growth-macroeconomic-stability-russia-chance-harden-budgets-eliminating-nonpayments
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22208
id okr-10986-22208
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-222082021-04-23T14:04:06Z Give Growth and Macroeconomic Stability in Russia a Chance : Harden Budgets by Eliminating Nonpayments Pinto, Brian Drebentsov, Vladimir Morozov, Alexander AFFILIATES AGRICULTURE ASSETS BANK LOANS BORROWING CAPITAL GAINS CASH COLLECTIONS CHEMICAL INDUSTRY CORPORATE GOVERNANCE DEBT FINANCING DEFAULT RISK DEVALUATION DISINFLATION ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE ECONOMIC POLICIES ECONOMIC RESOURCES ELECTRICITY ELECTRICITY GENERATION EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE EMPLOYMENT EQUILIBRIUM EVASION EXCHANGE RATE EXPENDITURES EXPORTS FINANCING SOURCES FISCAL DEFICITS FISCAL REFORMS FORECASTS GDP GOVERNMENT SPENDING GOVERNMENT SUBSIDIES GROWTH RATE HARD BUDGET CONSTRAINTS INCENTIVE EFFECTS INFLATION INSURANCE INTEREST RATES LIQUIDITY MACROECONOMIC PERFORMANCE MACROECONOMIC POLICIES MACROECONOMIC POLICY MACROECONOMIC STABILITY MACROECONOMIC STABILIZATION MARGINAL COSTS MARKET ECONOMIES MARKET PRICES MONOPOLIES NEGATIVE EXTERNALITIES OIL OIL PRICES PAYMENT ARREARS PENALTIES PENSIONS PRICE DISCRIMINATION PRIVATE SECTOR PRIVATIZATION PUBLIC DEBT PUBLIC SERVANTS PUBLIC SPENDING REAL GDP REAL INTEREST RATE REAL SECTOR SAVINGS SIDE PAYMENTS SOFT BUDGET CONSTRAINTS STATE ENTERPRISES SUBNATIONAL GOVERNMENTS TAX TAX COLLECTION TAX COMPLIANCE TAXATION TRADE BALANCE TRANSITION ECONOMIES TRANSPARENCY TRANSPORT TREASURY TURNOVER TAXES UTILITIES VALUE ADDED WAGES The authors analyze the links between Russias disappointing growth performance in the second half of the 1990s, its costly and unsuccessful stabilization, the macroeconomic meltdown of 1998, and the spectacular rise of non-payments. Non-payments flourished in an environment of fundamental inconsistency between a macroeconomic policy geared at sharp disinflation, and a microeconomic policy of bailing enterprises out through soft budget constraints. Heavy untargeted implicit subsidies flowing through the non-payments system (amounting to 10 percent of GDP annually) have stifled growth, contributed to the August 1998 meltdown, through their impact on public debt, and have made at best a questionable contribution to equity. Dismantling this system must be a top priority, along with promoting enterprise restructuring and growth (by hardening budget constraints) and medium-term macroeconomic stability (by reducing the size of subsidies). Getting the government out of the non-payments system means settling all appropriately controlled budgetary expenditures on time, and in cash, and eschewing spending arrears, thereby setting an example for enterprises, and laying the groundwork for eliminating tax offsets at all levels of government, and insisting on cash tax payments. To stop energy-related subsidies, would require not only that the government pay its own energy bills on time, and in cash, but also that the energy monopolies be empowered to disconnect non-paying clients. This will enable the government to insist that the energy monopolies in turn pay their own taxes in full, and on time. 2015-07-17T17:42:14Z 2015-07-17T17:42:14Z 2000-04 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2000/04/693414/give-growth-macroeconomic-stability-russia-chance-harden-budgets-eliminating-nonpayments http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22208 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 2324 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Europe and Central Asia Russian Federation
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic AFFILIATES
AGRICULTURE
ASSETS
BANK LOANS
BORROWING
CAPITAL GAINS
CASH COLLECTIONS
CHEMICAL INDUSTRY
CORPORATE GOVERNANCE
DEBT FINANCING
DEFAULT RISK
DEVALUATION
DISINFLATION
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
ECONOMIC POLICIES
ECONOMIC RESOURCES
ELECTRICITY
ELECTRICITY GENERATION
EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE
EMPLOYMENT
EQUILIBRIUM
EVASION
EXCHANGE RATE
EXPENDITURES
EXPORTS
FINANCING SOURCES
FISCAL DEFICITS
FISCAL REFORMS
FORECASTS
GDP
GOVERNMENT SPENDING
GOVERNMENT SUBSIDIES
GROWTH RATE
HARD BUDGET CONSTRAINTS
INCENTIVE EFFECTS
INFLATION
INSURANCE
INTEREST RATES
LIQUIDITY
MACROECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
MACROECONOMIC POLICIES
MACROECONOMIC POLICY
MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
MACROECONOMIC STABILIZATION
MARGINAL COSTS
MARKET ECONOMIES
MARKET PRICES
MONOPOLIES
NEGATIVE EXTERNALITIES
OIL
OIL PRICES
PAYMENT ARREARS
PENALTIES
PENSIONS
PRICE DISCRIMINATION
PRIVATE SECTOR
PRIVATIZATION
PUBLIC DEBT
PUBLIC SERVANTS
PUBLIC SPENDING
REAL GDP
REAL INTEREST RATE
REAL SECTOR
SAVINGS
SIDE PAYMENTS
SOFT BUDGET CONSTRAINTS
STATE ENTERPRISES
SUBNATIONAL GOVERNMENTS
TAX
TAX COLLECTION
TAX COMPLIANCE
TAXATION
TRADE BALANCE
TRANSITION ECONOMIES
TRANSPARENCY
TRANSPORT
TREASURY
TURNOVER TAXES
UTILITIES
VALUE ADDED
WAGES
spellingShingle AFFILIATES
AGRICULTURE
ASSETS
BANK LOANS
BORROWING
CAPITAL GAINS
CASH COLLECTIONS
CHEMICAL INDUSTRY
CORPORATE GOVERNANCE
DEBT FINANCING
DEFAULT RISK
DEVALUATION
DISINFLATION
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
ECONOMIC POLICIES
ECONOMIC RESOURCES
ELECTRICITY
ELECTRICITY GENERATION
EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE
EMPLOYMENT
EQUILIBRIUM
EVASION
EXCHANGE RATE
EXPENDITURES
EXPORTS
FINANCING SOURCES
FISCAL DEFICITS
FISCAL REFORMS
FORECASTS
GDP
GOVERNMENT SPENDING
GOVERNMENT SUBSIDIES
GROWTH RATE
HARD BUDGET CONSTRAINTS
INCENTIVE EFFECTS
INFLATION
INSURANCE
INTEREST RATES
LIQUIDITY
MACROECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
MACROECONOMIC POLICIES
MACROECONOMIC POLICY
MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
MACROECONOMIC STABILIZATION
MARGINAL COSTS
MARKET ECONOMIES
MARKET PRICES
MONOPOLIES
NEGATIVE EXTERNALITIES
OIL
OIL PRICES
PAYMENT ARREARS
PENALTIES
PENSIONS
PRICE DISCRIMINATION
PRIVATE SECTOR
PRIVATIZATION
PUBLIC DEBT
PUBLIC SERVANTS
PUBLIC SPENDING
REAL GDP
REAL INTEREST RATE
REAL SECTOR
SAVINGS
SIDE PAYMENTS
SOFT BUDGET CONSTRAINTS
STATE ENTERPRISES
SUBNATIONAL GOVERNMENTS
TAX
TAX COLLECTION
TAX COMPLIANCE
TAXATION
TRADE BALANCE
TRANSITION ECONOMIES
TRANSPARENCY
TRANSPORT
TREASURY
TURNOVER TAXES
UTILITIES
VALUE ADDED
WAGES
Pinto, Brian
Drebentsov, Vladimir
Morozov, Alexander
Give Growth and Macroeconomic Stability in Russia a Chance : Harden Budgets by Eliminating Nonpayments
geographic_facet Europe and Central Asia
Russian Federation
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 2324
description The authors analyze the links between Russias disappointing growth performance in the second half of the 1990s, its costly and unsuccessful stabilization, the macroeconomic meltdown of 1998, and the spectacular rise of non-payments. Non-payments flourished in an environment of fundamental inconsistency between a macroeconomic policy geared at sharp disinflation, and a microeconomic policy of bailing enterprises out through soft budget constraints. Heavy untargeted implicit subsidies flowing through the non-payments system (amounting to 10 percent of GDP annually) have stifled growth, contributed to the August 1998 meltdown, through their impact on public debt, and have made at best a questionable contribution to equity. Dismantling this system must be a top priority, along with promoting enterprise restructuring and growth (by hardening budget constraints) and medium-term macroeconomic stability (by reducing the size of subsidies). Getting the government out of the non-payments system means settling all appropriately controlled budgetary expenditures on time, and in cash, and eschewing spending arrears, thereby setting an example for enterprises, and laying the groundwork for eliminating tax offsets at all levels of government, and insisting on cash tax payments. To stop energy-related subsidies, would require not only that the government pay its own energy bills on time, and in cash, but also that the energy monopolies be empowered to disconnect non-paying clients. This will enable the government to insist that the energy monopolies in turn pay their own taxes in full, and on time.
format Working Paper
author Pinto, Brian
Drebentsov, Vladimir
Morozov, Alexander
author_facet Pinto, Brian
Drebentsov, Vladimir
Morozov, Alexander
author_sort Pinto, Brian
title Give Growth and Macroeconomic Stability in Russia a Chance : Harden Budgets by Eliminating Nonpayments
title_short Give Growth and Macroeconomic Stability in Russia a Chance : Harden Budgets by Eliminating Nonpayments
title_full Give Growth and Macroeconomic Stability in Russia a Chance : Harden Budgets by Eliminating Nonpayments
title_fullStr Give Growth and Macroeconomic Stability in Russia a Chance : Harden Budgets by Eliminating Nonpayments
title_full_unstemmed Give Growth and Macroeconomic Stability in Russia a Chance : Harden Budgets by Eliminating Nonpayments
title_sort give growth and macroeconomic stability in russia a chance : harden budgets by eliminating nonpayments
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2015
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2000/04/693414/give-growth-macroeconomic-stability-russia-chance-harden-budgets-eliminating-nonpayments
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22208
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