Oil Prices and the Global Economy : A General Equilibrium Analysis

A global computable general equilibrium model is used to analyze the economic impacts of rising oil prices with endogenously determined availability of biofuels to mitigate those impacts. The negative effects on the global economy are comparable to those found in other studies, but the impacts are u...

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Main Author: Timilsina, Govinda R.
Format: Journal Article
Language:en_US
Published: Elsevier 2015
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22704
id okr-10986-22704
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-227042021-04-23T14:04:10Z Oil Prices and the Global Economy : A General Equilibrium Analysis Timilsina, Govinda R. oil prices CGE model global economy international trade A global computable general equilibrium model is used to analyze the economic impacts of rising oil prices with endogenously determined availability of biofuels to mitigate those impacts. The negative effects on the global economy are comparable to those found in other studies, but the impacts are unevenly distributed across countries/regions or sectors. The agricultural sectors of high-income countries, which are relatively energy intensive, would suffer more from a rising oil prices than that in lower-income countries, whereas the reverse is true for the impacts across manufacturing sectors. The impacts are especially strong for oil importers with relatively energy-intensive manufacturing and trade, such as India and China. While the availability of biofuels does mitigate some of the negative impacts of rising oil prices, the benefit is small because capacity of biofuels to economically substitute for fossil fuels on a large scale remains limited. 2015-09-29T17:05:38Z 2015-09-29T17:05:38Z 2015-03-23 Journal Article Energy Economics 0140-9883 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22704 en_US CC BY-NC-ND 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo World Bank Elsevier Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Journal Article
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language en_US
topic oil prices
CGE model
global economy
international trade
spellingShingle oil prices
CGE model
global economy
international trade
Timilsina, Govinda R.
Oil Prices and the Global Economy : A General Equilibrium Analysis
description A global computable general equilibrium model is used to analyze the economic impacts of rising oil prices with endogenously determined availability of biofuels to mitigate those impacts. The negative effects on the global economy are comparable to those found in other studies, but the impacts are unevenly distributed across countries/regions or sectors. The agricultural sectors of high-income countries, which are relatively energy intensive, would suffer more from a rising oil prices than that in lower-income countries, whereas the reverse is true for the impacts across manufacturing sectors. The impacts are especially strong for oil importers with relatively energy-intensive manufacturing and trade, such as India and China. While the availability of biofuels does mitigate some of the negative impacts of rising oil prices, the benefit is small because capacity of biofuels to economically substitute for fossil fuels on a large scale remains limited.
format Journal Article
author Timilsina, Govinda R.
author_facet Timilsina, Govinda R.
author_sort Timilsina, Govinda R.
title Oil Prices and the Global Economy : A General Equilibrium Analysis
title_short Oil Prices and the Global Economy : A General Equilibrium Analysis
title_full Oil Prices and the Global Economy : A General Equilibrium Analysis
title_fullStr Oil Prices and the Global Economy : A General Equilibrium Analysis
title_full_unstemmed Oil Prices and the Global Economy : A General Equilibrium Analysis
title_sort oil prices and the global economy : a general equilibrium analysis
publisher Elsevier
publishDate 2015
url http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22704
_version_ 1764451821409009664