Confronting the Food–Energy–Environment Trilemma : Global Land Use in the Long Run

Economic, agronomic, and biophysical drivers affect global land use, so all three influences need to be considered in evaluating economically optimal allocations of the world’s land resources. A dynamic, forward-looking optimization framework applied over the course of the coming century shows that...

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Main Authors:	Steinbuks, Jevgenijs, Hertel, Thomas W.
Format:	Journal Article
Language:	en_US
Published:	Springer 2015
Subjects:	biofuels climate change deforestation energy environment food forestry greenhouse gas emissions global land use
Online Access:	http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22716

id	okr-10986-22716
recordtype	oai_dc
spelling	okr-10986-227162021-04-23T14:04:10Z Confronting the Food–Energy–Environment Trilemma : Global Land Use in the Long Run Steinbuks, Jevgenijs Hertel, Thomas W. biofuels climate change deforestation energy environment food forestry greenhouse gas emissions global land use Economic, agronomic, and biophysical drivers affect global land use, so all three influences need to be considered in evaluating economically optimal allocations of the world’s land resources. A dynamic, forward-looking optimization framework applied over the course of the coming century shows that although some deforestation is optimal in the near term, in the absence of climate change regulation, the desirability of further deforestation is eliminated by mid-century. Although adverse productivity shocks from climate change have a modest effect on global land use, such shocks combined with rapid growth in energy prices lead to significant deforestation and higher greenhouse gas emissions than in the baseline. Imposition of a global greenhouse gas emissions constraint further heightens the competition for land, as fertilizer use declines and land-based mitigation strategies expand. However, anticipation of the constraint largely dilutes its environmental effectiveness, as deforestation accelerates prior to imposition of the target. 2015-10-01T16:33:06Z 2015-10-01T16:33:06Z 2014-11-22 Journal Article Environmental and Resource Economics http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22716 en_US CC BY-NC-ND 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo World Bank Springer Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Journal Article
repository_type	Digital Repository
institution_category	Foreign Institution
institution	Digital Repositories
building	World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection	World Bank
language	en_US
topic	biofuels climate change deforestation energy environment food forestry greenhouse gas emissions global land use
spellingShingle	biofuels climate change deforestation energy environment food forestry greenhouse gas emissions global land use Steinbuks, Jevgenijs Hertel, Thomas W. Confronting the Food–Energy–Environment Trilemma : Global Land Use in the Long Run
description	Economic, agronomic, and biophysical drivers affect global land use, so all three influences need to be considered in evaluating economically optimal allocations of the world’s land resources. A dynamic, forward-looking optimization framework applied over the course of the coming century shows that although some deforestation is optimal in the near term, in the absence of climate change regulation, the desirability of further deforestation is eliminated by mid-century. Although adverse productivity shocks from climate change have a modest effect on global land use, such shocks combined with rapid growth in energy prices lead to significant deforestation and higher greenhouse gas emissions than in the baseline. Imposition of a global greenhouse gas emissions constraint further heightens the competition for land, as fertilizer use declines and land-based mitigation strategies expand. However, anticipation of the constraint largely dilutes its environmental effectiveness, as deforestation accelerates prior to imposition of the target.
format	Journal Article
author	Steinbuks, Jevgenijs Hertel, Thomas W.
author_facet	Steinbuks, Jevgenijs Hertel, Thomas W.
author_sort	Steinbuks, Jevgenijs
title	Confronting the Food–Energy–Environment Trilemma : Global Land Use in the Long Run
title_short	Confronting the Food–Energy–Environment Trilemma : Global Land Use in the Long Run
title_full	Confronting the Food–Energy–Environment Trilemma : Global Land Use in the Long Run
title_fullStr	Confronting the Food–Energy–Environment Trilemma : Global Land Use in the Long Run
title_full_unstemmed	Confronting the Food–Energy–Environment Trilemma : Global Land Use in the Long Run
title_sort	confronting the food–energy–environment trilemma : global land use in the long run
publisher	Springer
publishDate	2015
url	http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22716
_version_	1764451921023729664

Confronting the Food–Energy–Environment Trilemma : Global Land Use in the Long Run

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