Open Skies over the Middle East

The dynamism of air traffic markets in the Middle East obscures the persistence of restrictions on international competition. But how important are such restrictions for passenger traffic? This paper uses detailed data on worldwide passenger aviation to estimate the effect of air transport policy on...

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Main Authors: Cristea, Anca, Hillberry, Russell, Mattoo, Aaditya
Format: Journal Article
Language:en_US
Published: Wiley 2015
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22764
id okr-10986-22764
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-227642021-04-23T14:04:11Z Open Skies over the Middle East Cristea, Anca Hillberry, Russell Mattoo, Aaditya air transport air service agreements services liberalization plurilateral agreements economic policy The dynamism of air traffic markets in the Middle East obscures the persistence of restrictions on international competition. But how important are such restrictions for passenger traffic? This paper uses detailed data on worldwide passenger aviation to estimate the effect of air transport policy on international air traffic. The policy variable is a quantitative measure of the commitments under international agreements. The paper analyses, for the first time, not only bilateral agreements, but also plurilateral agreements such as the one among Arab states. The analysis finds that more liberal policy is associated with greater passenger traffic between countries. Higher traffic levels appear to be driven by larger numbers of city-pairs being served, as well as by more passengers traveling along given routes. To demonstrate the quantitative implication of the estimates, two liberalization scenarios in the Middle East are evaluated. Deepening the plurilateral agreement among Arab states would lead to a 30 per cent increase in intra-regional passenger traffic. Widening the agreement to include Turkey would generate significantly larger gains because current policy vis-à-vis Turkey is much more restrictive. This article may be used for non-commercial purposes in accordance with Wiley Terms and Conditions http://olabout.wiley.com/WileyCDA/Section/id-820227.html 2015-10-09T18:25:11Z 2015-10-09T18:25:11Z 2015-08-14 Journal Article The World Economy http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22764 en_US For non-commercial purposes in accordance with Wiley Terms and Conditions http://olabout.wiley.com/WileyCDA/Section/id-820227.html World Bank Wiley Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Journal Article Middle East and North Africa Middle East Turkey
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language en_US
topic air transport
air service agreements
services liberalization
plurilateral agreements
economic policy
spellingShingle air transport
air service agreements
services liberalization
plurilateral agreements
economic policy
Cristea, Anca
Hillberry, Russell
Mattoo, Aaditya
Open Skies over the Middle East
geographic_facet Middle East and North Africa
Middle East
Turkey
description The dynamism of air traffic markets in the Middle East obscures the persistence of restrictions on international competition. But how important are such restrictions for passenger traffic? This paper uses detailed data on worldwide passenger aviation to estimate the effect of air transport policy on international air traffic. The policy variable is a quantitative measure of the commitments under international agreements. The paper analyses, for the first time, not only bilateral agreements, but also plurilateral agreements such as the one among Arab states. The analysis finds that more liberal policy is associated with greater passenger traffic between countries. Higher traffic levels appear to be driven by larger numbers of city-pairs being served, as well as by more passengers traveling along given routes. To demonstrate the quantitative implication of the estimates, two liberalization scenarios in the Middle East are evaluated. Deepening the plurilateral agreement among Arab states would lead to a 30 per cent increase in intra-regional passenger traffic. Widening the agreement to include Turkey would generate significantly larger gains because current policy vis-à-vis Turkey is much more restrictive. This article may be used for non-commercial purposes in accordance with Wiley Terms and Conditions http://olabout.wiley.com/WileyCDA/Section/id-820227.html
format Journal Article
author Cristea, Anca
Hillberry, Russell
Mattoo, Aaditya
author_facet Cristea, Anca
Hillberry, Russell
Mattoo, Aaditya
author_sort Cristea, Anca
title Open Skies over the Middle East
title_short Open Skies over the Middle East
title_full Open Skies over the Middle East
title_fullStr Open Skies over the Middle East
title_full_unstemmed Open Skies over the Middle East
title_sort open skies over the middle east
publisher Wiley
publishDate 2015
url http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22764
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