Moldova Financial Sector Assessment Program : Stress Testing

This note discusses the stress tests that were carried out on Moldova’s banking system as part of the 2014 financial sector assessment program (FSAP) update. The objective of this exercise was to assess the resilience of the banking system to major...

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Main Author: International Monetary Fund
Format: Report
Language:English
en_US
Published: Washington, DC 2015
Subjects:
NPL
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2015/10/25149649/moldova-financial-sector-assessment-program-technical-note-stress-testing
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22905
id okr-10986-22905
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic CURRENCY MISMATCHES
DEPOSIT
CAPITAL MARKETS
HOLDING
REGULATORY FRAMEWORK
EQUITY INSTRUMENT
BORROWER
CORPORATE DEFAULT
INTEREST INCOME
OIL PRICE
NPL
DEPOSITS
FIXED INCOME
DEFAULTS
STOCK
VALUATION
INTEREST
MATURITY DATE
INTEREST RATE
EXCHANGE
BANKING SYSTEM
LIQUIDITY
REPAYMENTS
DEFAULT PROBABILITY
PORTFOLIO
LIQUIDITY RISK
DEFAULT RISK
BONDS
CAPITAL ADEQUACY
MACROECONOMIC CONDITIONS
LOAN
PROBABILITY OF DEFAULT
BORROWERS
NON-PERFORMING LOANS
GOVERNMENT BOND
INFLATION
CASH FLOWS
OUTPUT LOSSES
INSTRUMENTS
CENTRAL BANK
MATURITY
WITHDRAWALS
MARKET LIQUIDITY
VALUATION CHANGES
OIL PRICES
GLOBAL ECONOMY
CURRENCY
DOMESTIC CURRENCY
EXCHANGE RATE MOVEMENTS
INCOME INSTRUMENTS
BOND YIELD
PORTFOLIOS
DEBTS
RISK FACTOR
FOREIGN CURRENCIES
EXCHANGE RATES
TRADING
CREDIT RISKS
INTEREST RATES
MONETARY FUND
SOVEREIGN BOND
MONEY MARKET RATE
DOMESTIC BANKS
MARKETS
DEBT
COUPON PAYMENT
SOVEREIGN RATING
BANK LIQUIDITY
LOANS
RESERVES
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
FINANCIAL SYSTEM
INVESTMENT RISKS
FINANCE
FOREIGN CURRENCY
DOMESTIC BANK
TAXES
LOAN CATEGORY
BANKING SECTOR
GOVERNMENT SECURITIES
TRANSACTIONS
EMERGING MARKETS
EQUITY
FINANCIAL STABILITY
FINANCIAL CRISIS
MARKET PRICES
LIQUIDITY RATIOS
BOND PORTFOLIO
FUTURE
DEPOSIT LIABILITIES
CAPACITY CONSTRAINTS
LIQUIDITY POSITION
EQUITY INVESTMENTS
DOMESTIC BANKING
CAPITALIZATION
ASSET QUALITY
LOAN PORTFOLIO
FOREIGN BANKS
BALANCE SHEET
MARKET
DEFAULT
LOCAL CURRENCY
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
MARKET RISK
EQUITY INVESTMENT
DEFAULT PROBABILITIES
MONETARY POLICIES
INVESTMENT PORTFOLIOS
SECURITIES
SOLVENCY
CAPITAL INFLOW
CREDIT SPREADS
RISK FACTORS
MARKET RISKS
CREDIT RISK
MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES
HOLDINGS
CURRENCIES
EQUITY INSTRUMENTS
GOVERNMENT BONDS
DOMESTIC GOVERNMENT BONDS
EQUITY HOLDINGS
CORPORATE BONDS
MARKET SHARE
NONPERFORMING LOAN
DEBT INSTRUMENTS
STOCK EXCHANGE
NATIONAL BANK
INVESTMENT
LENDING INTEREST RATE
BOND
DOMESTIC CREDIT
SOVEREIGN BONDS
SHARE
CORPORATE BOND
BANKRUPTCIES
BALANCE SHEETS
COLLATERAL
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FLOATING RATE
RISK MEASUREMENT
INDIVIDUAL BOND
CURRENCY RISK
COUPON
CAPITAL INFLOWS
MONEY MARKET
LIQUIDITY POSITIONS
INVESTMENTS
LENDING
DEBT INSTRUMENT
INTEREST RATE RISK
LIQUIDITY RATIO
CREDIT GROWTH
BANKING SECTOR ASSETS
MATURITIES
EXCHANGE RATE
INSTRUMENT
REMITTANCES
LIABILITIES
HEDGE
LIQUID ASSETS
INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENTS
CREDIT LINES
FOREIGN BANK
spellingShingle CURRENCY MISMATCHES
DEPOSIT
CAPITAL MARKETS
HOLDING
REGULATORY FRAMEWORK
EQUITY INSTRUMENT
BORROWER
CORPORATE DEFAULT
INTEREST INCOME
OIL PRICE
NPL
DEPOSITS
FIXED INCOME
DEFAULTS
STOCK
VALUATION
INTEREST
MATURITY DATE
INTEREST RATE
EXCHANGE
BANKING SYSTEM
LIQUIDITY
REPAYMENTS
DEFAULT PROBABILITY
PORTFOLIO
LIQUIDITY RISK
DEFAULT RISK
BONDS
CAPITAL ADEQUACY
MACROECONOMIC CONDITIONS
LOAN
PROBABILITY OF DEFAULT
BORROWERS
NON-PERFORMING LOANS
GOVERNMENT BOND
INFLATION
CASH FLOWS
OUTPUT LOSSES
INSTRUMENTS
CENTRAL BANK
MATURITY
WITHDRAWALS
MARKET LIQUIDITY
VALUATION CHANGES
OIL PRICES
GLOBAL ECONOMY
CURRENCY
DOMESTIC CURRENCY
EXCHANGE RATE MOVEMENTS
INCOME INSTRUMENTS
BOND YIELD
PORTFOLIOS
DEBTS
RISK FACTOR
FOREIGN CURRENCIES
EXCHANGE RATES
TRADING
CREDIT RISKS
INTEREST RATES
MONETARY FUND
SOVEREIGN BOND
MONEY MARKET RATE
DOMESTIC BANKS
MARKETS
DEBT
COUPON PAYMENT
SOVEREIGN RATING
BANK LIQUIDITY
LOANS
RESERVES
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
FINANCIAL SYSTEM
INVESTMENT RISKS
FINANCE
FOREIGN CURRENCY
DOMESTIC BANK
TAXES
LOAN CATEGORY
BANKING SECTOR
GOVERNMENT SECURITIES
TRANSACTIONS
EMERGING MARKETS
EQUITY
FINANCIAL STABILITY
FINANCIAL CRISIS
MARKET PRICES
LIQUIDITY RATIOS
BOND PORTFOLIO
FUTURE
DEPOSIT LIABILITIES
CAPACITY CONSTRAINTS
LIQUIDITY POSITION
EQUITY INVESTMENTS
DOMESTIC BANKING
CAPITALIZATION
ASSET QUALITY
LOAN PORTFOLIO
FOREIGN BANKS
BALANCE SHEET
MARKET
DEFAULT
LOCAL CURRENCY
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
MARKET RISK
EQUITY INVESTMENT
DEFAULT PROBABILITIES
MONETARY POLICIES
INVESTMENT PORTFOLIOS
SECURITIES
SOLVENCY
CAPITAL INFLOW
CREDIT SPREADS
RISK FACTORS
MARKET RISKS
CREDIT RISK
MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES
HOLDINGS
CURRENCIES
EQUITY INSTRUMENTS
GOVERNMENT BONDS
DOMESTIC GOVERNMENT BONDS
EQUITY HOLDINGS
CORPORATE BONDS
MARKET SHARE
NONPERFORMING LOAN
DEBT INSTRUMENTS
STOCK EXCHANGE
NATIONAL BANK
INVESTMENT
LENDING INTEREST RATE
BOND
DOMESTIC CREDIT
SOVEREIGN BONDS
SHARE
CORPORATE BOND
BANKRUPTCIES
BALANCE SHEETS
COLLATERAL
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FLOATING RATE
RISK MEASUREMENT
INDIVIDUAL BOND
CURRENCY RISK
COUPON
CAPITAL INFLOWS
MONEY MARKET
LIQUIDITY POSITIONS
INVESTMENTS
LENDING
DEBT INSTRUMENT
INTEREST RATE RISK
LIQUIDITY RATIO
CREDIT GROWTH
BANKING SECTOR ASSETS
MATURITIES
EXCHANGE RATE
INSTRUMENT
REMITTANCES
LIABILITIES
HEDGE
LIQUID ASSETS
INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENTS
CREDIT LINES
FOREIGN BANK
International Monetary Fund
Moldova Financial Sector Assessment Program : Stress Testing
geographic_facet Europe and Central Asia
Moldova
description This note discusses the stress tests that were carried out on Moldova’s banking system as part of the 2014 financial sector assessment program (FSAP) update. The objective of this exercise was to assess the resilience of the banking system to major sources of risk. The stress tests were conducted in collaboration with the National Bank of Moldova (NBM), and complement other approaches, such as the analysis of financial indicators and the assessment of the quality of supervision. The stress tests focused on the banking system and covered all 14 banks operating in the country. Four macroeconomic scenarios were considered in the financial stability assessment. The stress tests include a comprehensive assessment of risk factors. Potential credit risk losses on the loan book represent the most important risk factor for the banking system. The stress tests also assessed the liquidity in foreign currency, and yielded similar results. However, there are a couple of banks whose ability to meet the liquidity norms is based on relatively large-scale cross-border interbank placements, and there are some doubts about the genuine liquidity of these positions. This note is structured as follows: section one gives executive summary; section two presents a brief description of the banking sector in Moldova and stress test coverage; section three describes the macroeconomic scenarios used in the stress tests; section four details the different methodologies used in the solvency stress tests; section five describes the liquidity stress tests; and section six concludes.
format Report
author International Monetary Fund
author_facet International Monetary Fund
author_sort International Monetary Fund
title Moldova Financial Sector Assessment Program : Stress Testing
title_short Moldova Financial Sector Assessment Program : Stress Testing
title_full Moldova Financial Sector Assessment Program : Stress Testing
title_fullStr Moldova Financial Sector Assessment Program : Stress Testing
title_full_unstemmed Moldova Financial Sector Assessment Program : Stress Testing
title_sort moldova financial sector assessment program : stress testing
publisher Washington, DC
publishDate 2015
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2015/10/25149649/moldova-financial-sector-assessment-program-technical-note-stress-testing
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22905
_version_ 1764452381994516480
spelling okr-10986-229052021-04-23T14:04:11Z Moldova Financial Sector Assessment Program : Stress Testing International Monetary Fund CURRENCY MISMATCHES DEPOSIT CAPITAL MARKETS HOLDING REGULATORY FRAMEWORK EQUITY INSTRUMENT BORROWER CORPORATE DEFAULT INTEREST INCOME OIL PRICE NPL DEPOSITS FIXED INCOME DEFAULTS STOCK VALUATION INTEREST MATURITY DATE INTEREST RATE EXCHANGE BANKING SYSTEM LIQUIDITY REPAYMENTS DEFAULT PROBABILITY PORTFOLIO LIQUIDITY RISK DEFAULT RISK BONDS CAPITAL ADEQUACY MACROECONOMIC CONDITIONS LOAN PROBABILITY OF DEFAULT BORROWERS NON-PERFORMING LOANS GOVERNMENT BOND INFLATION CASH FLOWS OUTPUT LOSSES INSTRUMENTS CENTRAL BANK MATURITY WITHDRAWALS MARKET LIQUIDITY VALUATION CHANGES OIL PRICES GLOBAL ECONOMY CURRENCY DOMESTIC CURRENCY EXCHANGE RATE MOVEMENTS INCOME INSTRUMENTS BOND YIELD PORTFOLIOS DEBTS RISK FACTOR FOREIGN CURRENCIES EXCHANGE RATES TRADING CREDIT RISKS INTEREST RATES MONETARY FUND SOVEREIGN BOND MONEY MARKET RATE DOMESTIC BANKS MARKETS DEBT COUPON PAYMENT SOVEREIGN RATING BANK LIQUIDITY LOANS RESERVES GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT FINANCIAL SYSTEM INVESTMENT RISKS FINANCE FOREIGN CURRENCY DOMESTIC BANK TAXES LOAN CATEGORY BANKING SECTOR GOVERNMENT SECURITIES TRANSACTIONS EMERGING MARKETS EQUITY FINANCIAL STABILITY FINANCIAL CRISIS MARKET PRICES LIQUIDITY RATIOS BOND PORTFOLIO FUTURE DEPOSIT LIABILITIES CAPACITY CONSTRAINTS LIQUIDITY POSITION EQUITY INVESTMENTS DOMESTIC BANKING CAPITALIZATION ASSET QUALITY LOAN PORTFOLIO FOREIGN BANKS BALANCE SHEET MARKET DEFAULT LOCAL CURRENCY FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET RISK EQUITY INVESTMENT DEFAULT PROBABILITIES MONETARY POLICIES INVESTMENT PORTFOLIOS SECURITIES SOLVENCY CAPITAL INFLOW CREDIT SPREADS RISK FACTORS MARKET RISKS CREDIT RISK MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES HOLDINGS CURRENCIES EQUITY INSTRUMENTS GOVERNMENT BONDS DOMESTIC GOVERNMENT BONDS EQUITY HOLDINGS CORPORATE BONDS MARKET SHARE NONPERFORMING LOAN DEBT INSTRUMENTS STOCK EXCHANGE NATIONAL BANK INVESTMENT LENDING INTEREST RATE BOND DOMESTIC CREDIT SOVEREIGN BONDS SHARE CORPORATE BOND BANKRUPTCIES BALANCE SHEETS COLLATERAL FINANCIAL MARKETS FLOATING RATE RISK MEASUREMENT INDIVIDUAL BOND CURRENCY RISK COUPON CAPITAL INFLOWS MONEY MARKET LIQUIDITY POSITIONS INVESTMENTS LENDING DEBT INSTRUMENT INTEREST RATE RISK LIQUIDITY RATIO CREDIT GROWTH BANKING SECTOR ASSETS MATURITIES EXCHANGE RATE INSTRUMENT REMITTANCES LIABILITIES HEDGE LIQUID ASSETS INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENTS CREDIT LINES FOREIGN BANK This note discusses the stress tests that were carried out on Moldova’s banking system as part of the 2014 financial sector assessment program (FSAP) update. The objective of this exercise was to assess the resilience of the banking system to major sources of risk. The stress tests were conducted in collaboration with the National Bank of Moldova (NBM), and complement other approaches, such as the analysis of financial indicators and the assessment of the quality of supervision. The stress tests focused on the banking system and covered all 14 banks operating in the country. Four macroeconomic scenarios were considered in the financial stability assessment. The stress tests include a comprehensive assessment of risk factors. Potential credit risk losses on the loan book represent the most important risk factor for the banking system. The stress tests also assessed the liquidity in foreign currency, and yielded similar results. However, there are a couple of banks whose ability to meet the liquidity norms is based on relatively large-scale cross-border interbank placements, and there are some doubts about the genuine liquidity of these positions. This note is structured as follows: section one gives executive summary; section two presents a brief description of the banking sector in Moldova and stress test coverage; section three describes the macroeconomic scenarios used in the stress tests; section four details the different methodologies used in the solvency stress tests; section five describes the liquidity stress tests; and section six concludes. 2015-11-06T15:49:29Z 2015-11-06T15:49:29Z 2014-06 Report http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2015/10/25149649/moldova-financial-sector-assessment-program-technical-note-stress-testing http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22905 English en_US CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ International Monetary Fund Washington, DC Economic & Sector Work :: Financial Sector Assessment Program Economic & Sector Work Europe and Central Asia Moldova