A New Scenario Framework for Climate Change Research : Background, Process, and Future Directions

The scientific community is developing new global, regional, and sectoral scenarios to facilitate interdisciplinary research and assessment to explore the range of possible future climates and related physical changes that could pose risks to human and natural systems; how these changes could intera...

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Main Authors: Ebi, Kristie L., Hallegatte, Stephane, Kram, Tom, Arnell, Nigel W., Carter, Timothy R.
Format: Journal Article
Language:en_US
Published: Springer 2015
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10986/23211
id okr-10986-23211
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-232112021-04-23T14:04:13Z A New Scenario Framework for Climate Change Research : Background, Process, and Future Directions Ebi, Kristie L. Hallegatte, Stephane Kram, Tom Arnell, Nigel W. Carter, Timothy R. scenario development process shared socioeconomic pathway interdisciplinary climate scenario framework climate-carbon cycle adaptation policy energy tax radiative force level The scientific community is developing new global, regional, and sectoral scenarios to facilitate interdisciplinary research and assessment to explore the range of possible future climates and related physical changes that could pose risks to human and natural systems; how these changes could interact with social, economic, and environmental development pathways; the degree to which mitigation and adaptation policies can avoid and reduce risks; the costs and benefits of various policy mixes; and the relationship of future climate change adaptation and mitigation policy responses with sustainable development. This paper provides the background to and process of developing the conceptual framework for these scenarios, as described in the three subsequent papers in this Special Issue (Van Vuuren et al., 2013; O’Neill et al., 2013; Kriegler et al., Submitted for publication in this special issue). The paper also discusses research needs to further develop, apply, and revise this framework in an iterative and open-ended process. A key goal of the framework design and its future development is to facilitate the collaboration of climate change researchers from a broad range of perspectives and disciplines to develop policy- and decision-relevant scenarios and explore the challenges and opportunities human and natural systems could face with additional climate change. 2015-12-03T22:50:16Z 2015-12-03T22:50:16Z 2014-02 Journal Article Climate Change 1573-1480 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/23211 en_US CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank Springer Publications & Research :: Journal Article Publications & Research
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language en_US
topic scenario development process
shared socioeconomic pathway
interdisciplinary climate
scenario framework
climate-carbon cycle
adaptation policy
energy tax
radiative force level
spellingShingle scenario development process
shared socioeconomic pathway
interdisciplinary climate
scenario framework
climate-carbon cycle
adaptation policy
energy tax
radiative force level
Ebi, Kristie L.
Hallegatte, Stephane
Kram, Tom
Arnell, Nigel W.
Carter, Timothy R.
A New Scenario Framework for Climate Change Research : Background, Process, and Future Directions
description The scientific community is developing new global, regional, and sectoral scenarios to facilitate interdisciplinary research and assessment to explore the range of possible future climates and related physical changes that could pose risks to human and natural systems; how these changes could interact with social, economic, and environmental development pathways; the degree to which mitigation and adaptation policies can avoid and reduce risks; the costs and benefits of various policy mixes; and the relationship of future climate change adaptation and mitigation policy responses with sustainable development. This paper provides the background to and process of developing the conceptual framework for these scenarios, as described in the three subsequent papers in this Special Issue (Van Vuuren et al., 2013; O’Neill et al., 2013; Kriegler et al., Submitted for publication in this special issue). The paper also discusses research needs to further develop, apply, and revise this framework in an iterative and open-ended process. A key goal of the framework design and its future development is to facilitate the collaboration of climate change researchers from a broad range of perspectives and disciplines to develop policy- and decision-relevant scenarios and explore the challenges and opportunities human and natural systems could face with additional climate change.
format Journal Article
author Ebi, Kristie L.
Hallegatte, Stephane
Kram, Tom
Arnell, Nigel W.
Carter, Timothy R.
author_facet Ebi, Kristie L.
Hallegatte, Stephane
Kram, Tom
Arnell, Nigel W.
Carter, Timothy R.
author_sort Ebi, Kristie L.
title A New Scenario Framework for Climate Change Research : Background, Process, and Future Directions
title_short A New Scenario Framework for Climate Change Research : Background, Process, and Future Directions
title_full A New Scenario Framework for Climate Change Research : Background, Process, and Future Directions
title_fullStr A New Scenario Framework for Climate Change Research : Background, Process, and Future Directions
title_full_unstemmed A New Scenario Framework for Climate Change Research : Background, Process, and Future Directions
title_sort new scenario framework for climate change research : background, process, and future directions
publisher Springer
publishDate 2015
url http://hdl.handle.net/10986/23211
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