A New Scenario Framework for Climate Change Research : Scenario Matrix Architecture

This paper describes the scenario matrix architecture that underlies a framework for developing new scenarios for climate change research. The matrix architecture facilitates addressing key questions related to current climate research and policy-making: identifying the effectiveness of different ad...

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Main Authors:	van Vuuren, Detlef P., Kriegler, Elmar, O’Neill, Brian C., Ebi, Kristie L., Riahi, Keywan
Format:	Journal Article
Language:	en_US
Published:	Springer 2015
Subjects:	scenario development process climate policy carbon price carbon tax adaptation policy adaptation finance shared socioeconomic pathway
Online Access:	http://hdl.handle.net/10986/23212

id	okr-10986-23212
recordtype	oai_dc
spelling	okr-10986-232122021-04-23T14:04:13Z A New Scenario Framework for Climate Change Research : Scenario Matrix Architecture van Vuuren, Detlef P. Kriegler, Elmar O’Neill, Brian C. Ebi, Kristie L. Riahi, Keywan scenario development process climate policy carbon price carbon tax adaptation policy adaptation finance shared socioeconomic pathway This paper describes the scenario matrix architecture that underlies a framework for developing new scenarios for climate change research. The matrix architecture facilitates addressing key questions related to current climate research and policy-making: identifying the effectiveness of different adaptation and mitigation strategies (in terms of their costs, risks and other consequences) and the possible trade-offs and synergies. The two main axes of the matrix are: 1) the level of radiative forcing of the climate system (as characterised by the representative concentration pathways) and 2) a set of alternative plausible trajectories of future global development (described as shared socio-economic pathways). The matrix can be used to guide scenario development at different scales. It can also be used as a heuristic tool for classifying new and existing scenarios for assessment. Key elements of the architecture, in particular the shared socio-economic pathways and shared policy assumptions (devices for incorporating explicit mitigation and adaptation policies), are elaborated in other papers in this special issue. 2015-12-03T23:02:21Z 2015-12-03T23:02:21Z 2014-02 Journal Article Climate Change 1573-1480 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/23212 en_US CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank Springer Publications & Research :: Journal Article Publications & Research
repository_type	Digital Repository
institution_category	Foreign Institution
institution	Digital Repositories
building	World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection	World Bank
language	en_US
topic	scenario development process climate policy carbon price carbon tax adaptation policy adaptation finance shared socioeconomic pathway
spellingShingle	scenario development process climate policy carbon price carbon tax adaptation policy adaptation finance shared socioeconomic pathway van Vuuren, Detlef P. Kriegler, Elmar O’Neill, Brian C. Ebi, Kristie L. Riahi, Keywan A New Scenario Framework for Climate Change Research : Scenario Matrix Architecture
description	This paper describes the scenario matrix architecture that underlies a framework for developing new scenarios for climate change research. The matrix architecture facilitates addressing key questions related to current climate research and policy-making: identifying the effectiveness of different adaptation and mitigation strategies (in terms of their costs, risks and other consequences) and the possible trade-offs and synergies. The two main axes of the matrix are: 1) the level of radiative forcing of the climate system (as characterised by the representative concentration pathways) and 2) a set of alternative plausible trajectories of future global development (described as shared socio-economic pathways). The matrix can be used to guide scenario development at different scales. It can also be used as a heuristic tool for classifying new and existing scenarios for assessment. Key elements of the architecture, in particular the shared socio-economic pathways and shared policy assumptions (devices for incorporating explicit mitigation and adaptation policies), are elaborated in other papers in this special issue.
format	Journal Article
author	van Vuuren, Detlef P. Kriegler, Elmar O’Neill, Brian C. Ebi, Kristie L. Riahi, Keywan
author_facet	van Vuuren, Detlef P. Kriegler, Elmar O’Neill, Brian C. Ebi, Kristie L. Riahi, Keywan
author_sort	van Vuuren, Detlef P.
title	A New Scenario Framework for Climate Change Research : Scenario Matrix Architecture
title_short	A New Scenario Framework for Climate Change Research : Scenario Matrix Architecture
title_full	A New Scenario Framework for Climate Change Research : Scenario Matrix Architecture
title_fullStr	A New Scenario Framework for Climate Change Research : Scenario Matrix Architecture
title_full_unstemmed	A New Scenario Framework for Climate Change Research : Scenario Matrix Architecture
title_sort	new scenario framework for climate change research : scenario matrix architecture
publisher	Springer
publishDate	2015
url	http://hdl.handle.net/10986/23212
_version_	1764453216124141568

A New Scenario Framework for Climate Change Research : Scenario Matrix Architecture

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