On the Welfare Implications of Automation

This paper establishes that the rise in the income share of information and communication technology accounts for half of the decline in labor income share in the United States. This decline can be decomposed into a sharp decline in the income shar...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Eden, Maya, Gaggl, Paul
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2015
Subjects:
TAX
GDP
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2015/11/25380579/welfare-implications-automation
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/23453
Description
Summary:This paper establishes that the rise in the income share of information and communication technology accounts for half of the decline in labor income share in the United States. This decline can be decomposed into a sharp decline in the income share of “routine” labor—which is relatively more prone to automation—and a milder rise in the non-routine share. Quantitatively, this decomposition suggests large effects of information and communication technology on the income distribution within labor, but only moderate effects on the distribution of income between capital and labor. A production structure calibrated to match these trends suggests modest aggregate welfare gains from automation.