Tajikistan Agricultural Sector Risk Assessment

Agriculture is among the most risk-prone sectors in the economies of Central Asia. Production shocks from weather, pests and diseases and adverse movements in agricultural product and input prices not only impact farmers and agri-business firms, bu...

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Main Authors: Broka, Sandra, Giertz, Åsa, Christensen, Garry, Hanif, Charity, Rasmussen, Debra
Format: Report
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2016
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2016/02/25908758/tajikistan-agricultural-sector-risk-assessment
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/23765
id okr-10986-23765
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic TARIFFS
POULTRY
TRANSFER OF RIGHTS
PRODUCER GROUPS
EXPORT MARKETS
MARKET STRUCTURE
MILLING
ANIMAL PRODUCTS
RAW MATERIAL
WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION
PRICE INCREASES
AGRICULTURAL CREDIT
AGRICULTURAL REFORM
MILLS
MILK
AGRICULTURE SECTOR
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION
FARM PRODUCTIVITY
TRADE BARRIERS
AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT
AGRICULTURAL INDUSTRIES
AGRICULTURAL SECTORS
DOMESTIC MARKET
EXPORTS
FARM MANAGEMENT
TRADE FLOWS
FOOD PURCHASES
DAIRY
DIRECT PAYMENTS
PRICE
BEEF PRICES
BEEF MEAT
PAYMENTS
MARKET ACCESS
MOBILIZATION
AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT
FREE TRADE
AGRICULTURAL SYSTEM
AGRICULTURE ORGANIZATION
TRADE AGREEMENTS
LIVESTOCK UNITS
AGRICULTURAL PRACTICES
FOREIGN MARKETS
ANIMAL HEALTH
CROP INSURANCE
OILS
CROP PRODUCTION
PRODUCTION SYSTEM
MILK PRODUCTION
AGRICULTURE MARKET
AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES
MARKET DEVELOPMENT
FENCING
AGRICULTURAL EXPORT
AGRICULTURAL MARKETS
SILOS
AGRICULTURAL TECHNOLOGY
RAW MATERIALS
ARTIFICIAL INSEMINATION
LOCAL FOOD PRODUCTION
CORPORATE FARMS
EXCHANGE RATES
SILAGE
LIVESTOCK PRODUCTS
DRYING
IMPORT RESTRICTIONS
WORLD PRICES
CROP PROTECTION
AGRICULTURE POLICY
AGRICULTURAL ECONOMY
CUTTING
AGRICULTURAL COMMODITY
IMPORTS
LIVESTOCK
FARMERS
SOYBEAN MEAL
TRADE AGREEMENT
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
FOOD PRODUCTS
VOLUME
CROPS
MARKET INFORMATION SYSTEMS
SMALL HOLDERS
IMPORT TARIFFS
COMBINES
AGRICULTURAL POLICY
TRANSACTIONS
TRADE TRANSACTION
CROP YIELDS
TRANSACTION
MARKETING CONTRACTS
AGRIBUSINESS SECTOR
LIVESTOCK SECTOR
AGRICULTURAL ENTERPRISES
FOOD SECURITY
COMMERCIAL AGRICULTURE
DOMESTIC MARKETS
AGRIBUSINESS
MARKET PRICES
EXTENSION SERVICES
AGRICULTURAL EXPORTS
FARM PRODUCTION
WHEAT TRADE
PURCHASING POWER
ANIMAL FEED
DAIRY PROCESSORS
TRADE ORGANIZATION
PRICE RISK
AGRICULTURAL SECTOR
AGRICULTURE
AGRICULTURAL LAND
GREEN TECHNOLOGY
FOOD SAFETY STANDARDS
TRADE FACILITATION
FRESH FRUIT
AGRICULTURAL SYSTEMS
FARM MILK
BREEDING STOCK
FERTILIZATION
INTERNATIONAL AGREEMENTS
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
MEAT PRODUCTS
COMMERCIAL PRODUCTION
AGRICULTURAL MARKET
CROP ROTATIONS
PRICE MOVEMENTS
HANDLING OF PRODUCTS
COTTON
DAIRY COWS
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS
LAND
AGRICULTURAL LENDING
BEEF PRODUCTION
FARM STORAGE
INTERNATIONAL MARKET
PRICE RISKS
SUPERMARKETS
FARM
RAW MILK
HOUSEHOLDS
ANIMAL PASSPORT
RURAL AREAS
FARMS
FOOD SAFETY
TARIFF
MEAT
FEED
DAIRY MARKET
EXPORT
TERM FINANCING
AGRICULTURAL FINANCE
AVERAGE FARM MILK
FARM INPUTS
QUALITY ASSURANCE
COMMODITIES
VEGETABLE OILS
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCT
FARMING SYSTEMS
COWS
PRICE INDEX
MILK PRICES
IMPORT VALUE
INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
GRAIN
PRICES
AGRICULTURAL GOODS
SUGAR
spellingShingle TARIFFS
POULTRY
TRANSFER OF RIGHTS
PRODUCER GROUPS
EXPORT MARKETS
MARKET STRUCTURE
MILLING
ANIMAL PRODUCTS
RAW MATERIAL
WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION
PRICE INCREASES
AGRICULTURAL CREDIT
AGRICULTURAL REFORM
MILLS
MILK
AGRICULTURE SECTOR
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION
FARM PRODUCTIVITY
TRADE BARRIERS
AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT
AGRICULTURAL INDUSTRIES
AGRICULTURAL SECTORS
DOMESTIC MARKET
EXPORTS
FARM MANAGEMENT
TRADE FLOWS
FOOD PURCHASES
DAIRY
DIRECT PAYMENTS
PRICE
BEEF PRICES
BEEF MEAT
PAYMENTS
MARKET ACCESS
MOBILIZATION
AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT
FREE TRADE
AGRICULTURAL SYSTEM
AGRICULTURE ORGANIZATION
TRADE AGREEMENTS
LIVESTOCK UNITS
AGRICULTURAL PRACTICES
FOREIGN MARKETS
ANIMAL HEALTH
CROP INSURANCE
OILS
CROP PRODUCTION
PRODUCTION SYSTEM
MILK PRODUCTION
AGRICULTURE MARKET
AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES
MARKET DEVELOPMENT
FENCING
AGRICULTURAL EXPORT
AGRICULTURAL MARKETS
SILOS
AGRICULTURAL TECHNOLOGY
RAW MATERIALS
ARTIFICIAL INSEMINATION
LOCAL FOOD PRODUCTION
CORPORATE FARMS
EXCHANGE RATES
SILAGE
LIVESTOCK PRODUCTS
DRYING
IMPORT RESTRICTIONS
WORLD PRICES
CROP PROTECTION
AGRICULTURE POLICY
AGRICULTURAL ECONOMY
CUTTING
AGRICULTURAL COMMODITY
IMPORTS
LIVESTOCK
FARMERS
SOYBEAN MEAL
TRADE AGREEMENT
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
FOOD PRODUCTS
VOLUME
CROPS
MARKET INFORMATION SYSTEMS
SMALL HOLDERS
IMPORT TARIFFS
COMBINES
AGRICULTURAL POLICY
TRANSACTIONS
TRADE TRANSACTION
CROP YIELDS
TRANSACTION
MARKETING CONTRACTS
AGRIBUSINESS SECTOR
LIVESTOCK SECTOR
AGRICULTURAL ENTERPRISES
FOOD SECURITY
COMMERCIAL AGRICULTURE
DOMESTIC MARKETS
AGRIBUSINESS
MARKET PRICES
EXTENSION SERVICES
AGRICULTURAL EXPORTS
FARM PRODUCTION
WHEAT TRADE
PURCHASING POWER
ANIMAL FEED
DAIRY PROCESSORS
TRADE ORGANIZATION
PRICE RISK
AGRICULTURAL SECTOR
AGRICULTURE
AGRICULTURAL LAND
GREEN TECHNOLOGY
FOOD SAFETY STANDARDS
TRADE FACILITATION
FRESH FRUIT
AGRICULTURAL SYSTEMS
FARM MILK
BREEDING STOCK
FERTILIZATION
INTERNATIONAL AGREEMENTS
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
MEAT PRODUCTS
COMMERCIAL PRODUCTION
AGRICULTURAL MARKET
CROP ROTATIONS
PRICE MOVEMENTS
HANDLING OF PRODUCTS
COTTON
DAIRY COWS
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS
LAND
AGRICULTURAL LENDING
BEEF PRODUCTION
FARM STORAGE
INTERNATIONAL MARKET
PRICE RISKS
SUPERMARKETS
FARM
RAW MILK
HOUSEHOLDS
ANIMAL PASSPORT
RURAL AREAS
FARMS
FOOD SAFETY
TARIFF
MEAT
FEED
DAIRY MARKET
EXPORT
TERM FINANCING
AGRICULTURAL FINANCE
AVERAGE FARM MILK
FARM INPUTS
QUALITY ASSURANCE
COMMODITIES
VEGETABLE OILS
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCT
FARMING SYSTEMS
COWS
PRICE INDEX
MILK PRICES
IMPORT VALUE
INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
GRAIN
PRICES
AGRICULTURAL GOODS
SUGAR
Broka, Sandra
Giertz, Åsa
Christensen, Garry
Hanif, Charity
Rasmussen, Debra
Tajikistan Agricultural Sector Risk Assessment
geographic_facet Europe and Central Asia
Tajikistan
relation Agriculture global practice technical assistance paper;
description Agriculture is among the most risk-prone sectors in the economies of Central Asia. Production shocks from weather, pests and diseases and adverse movements in agricultural product and input prices not only impact farmers and agri-business firms, but can also strain government finances. Some of these risks are small and localized and can be managed by producers. Others are the result of more severe, exogenous shocks outside agriculture or outside the country, which require a broader response. Failure to respond adequately to these more severe risks leads to a perpetual cycle of ‘shock-recovery-shock’, which reinforces poverty traps and compromises long-term growth. The agriculture sector’s exposure to production and price risk is increasing. Climate change is increasing production risks in the short to medium-term by increasing the frequency and severity of droughts and floods and in the longer-term by reducing the availability of water for irrigation due to accelerated glacial melt. The modernization and commercialization of agricultural production and processing, which is critical for sector growth, also raises the sector’s exposure to price risk at a time of high volatility on international markets for agricultural commodities. An effective response to these risks requires a broader, more integrated approach to risk management than the current system of ex-ante, public sector activity associated with crop and livestock disease and ad hoc, ex-post emergency responses to local disasters. Measures to strengthen risk mitigation will need to be mainstreamed into sector development and investment programs, additional human and financial resources will need to be allocated to the public institutions responsible for ex-ante and ex-post risk management, and the potential for transfer (insurance) mechanisms will need to be clarified and developed where feasible. Given the limited human and financial resources available for public sector activity, a clear sense of the priorities for agriculture risk management is also required, together with a balanced view of the respective roles of public and private sector stakeholders.
format Report
author Broka, Sandra
Giertz, Åsa
Christensen, Garry
Hanif, Charity
Rasmussen, Debra
author_facet Broka, Sandra
Giertz, Åsa
Christensen, Garry
Hanif, Charity
Rasmussen, Debra
author_sort Broka, Sandra
title Tajikistan Agricultural Sector Risk Assessment
title_short Tajikistan Agricultural Sector Risk Assessment
title_full Tajikistan Agricultural Sector Risk Assessment
title_fullStr Tajikistan Agricultural Sector Risk Assessment
title_full_unstemmed Tajikistan Agricultural Sector Risk Assessment
title_sort tajikistan agricultural sector risk assessment
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2016
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2016/02/25908758/tajikistan-agricultural-sector-risk-assessment
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/23765
_version_ 1764454887906607104
spelling okr-10986-237652021-05-25T10:54:41Z Tajikistan Agricultural Sector Risk Assessment Broka, Sandra Giertz, Åsa Christensen, Garry Hanif, Charity Rasmussen, Debra TARIFFS POULTRY TRANSFER OF RIGHTS PRODUCER GROUPS EXPORT MARKETS MARKET STRUCTURE MILLING ANIMAL PRODUCTS RAW MATERIAL WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION PRICE INCREASES AGRICULTURAL CREDIT AGRICULTURAL REFORM MILLS MILK AGRICULTURE SECTOR AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION FARM PRODUCTIVITY TRADE BARRIERS AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT AGRICULTURAL INDUSTRIES AGRICULTURAL SECTORS DOMESTIC MARKET EXPORTS FARM MANAGEMENT TRADE FLOWS FOOD PURCHASES DAIRY DIRECT PAYMENTS PRICE BEEF PRICES BEEF MEAT PAYMENTS MARKET ACCESS MOBILIZATION AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT FREE TRADE AGRICULTURAL SYSTEM AGRICULTURE ORGANIZATION TRADE AGREEMENTS LIVESTOCK UNITS AGRICULTURAL PRACTICES FOREIGN MARKETS ANIMAL HEALTH CROP INSURANCE OILS CROP PRODUCTION PRODUCTION SYSTEM MILK PRODUCTION AGRICULTURE MARKET AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES MARKET DEVELOPMENT FENCING AGRICULTURAL EXPORT AGRICULTURAL MARKETS SILOS AGRICULTURAL TECHNOLOGY RAW MATERIALS ARTIFICIAL INSEMINATION LOCAL FOOD PRODUCTION CORPORATE FARMS EXCHANGE RATES SILAGE LIVESTOCK PRODUCTS DRYING IMPORT RESTRICTIONS WORLD PRICES CROP PROTECTION AGRICULTURE POLICY AGRICULTURAL ECONOMY CUTTING AGRICULTURAL COMMODITY IMPORTS LIVESTOCK FARMERS SOYBEAN MEAL TRADE AGREEMENT GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT FOOD PRODUCTS VOLUME CROPS MARKET INFORMATION SYSTEMS SMALL HOLDERS IMPORT TARIFFS COMBINES AGRICULTURAL POLICY TRANSACTIONS TRADE TRANSACTION CROP YIELDS TRANSACTION MARKETING CONTRACTS AGRIBUSINESS SECTOR LIVESTOCK SECTOR AGRICULTURAL ENTERPRISES FOOD SECURITY COMMERCIAL AGRICULTURE DOMESTIC MARKETS AGRIBUSINESS MARKET PRICES EXTENSION SERVICES AGRICULTURAL EXPORTS FARM PRODUCTION WHEAT TRADE PURCHASING POWER ANIMAL FEED DAIRY PROCESSORS TRADE ORGANIZATION PRICE RISK AGRICULTURAL SECTOR AGRICULTURE AGRICULTURAL LAND GREEN TECHNOLOGY FOOD SAFETY STANDARDS TRADE FACILITATION FRESH FRUIT AGRICULTURAL SYSTEMS FARM MILK BREEDING STOCK FERTILIZATION INTERNATIONAL AGREEMENTS FOREIGN EXCHANGE MEAT PRODUCTS COMMERCIAL PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL MARKET CROP ROTATIONS PRICE MOVEMENTS HANDLING OF PRODUCTS COTTON DAIRY COWS AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS LAND AGRICULTURAL LENDING BEEF PRODUCTION FARM STORAGE INTERNATIONAL MARKET PRICE RISKS SUPERMARKETS FARM RAW MILK HOUSEHOLDS ANIMAL PASSPORT RURAL AREAS FARMS FOOD SAFETY TARIFF MEAT FEED DAIRY MARKET EXPORT TERM FINANCING AGRICULTURAL FINANCE AVERAGE FARM MILK FARM INPUTS QUALITY ASSURANCE COMMODITIES VEGETABLE OILS AGRICULTURAL PRODUCT FARMING SYSTEMS COWS PRICE INDEX MILK PRICES IMPORT VALUE INTERNATIONAL MARKETS GRAIN PRICES AGRICULTURAL GOODS SUGAR Agriculture is among the most risk-prone sectors in the economies of Central Asia. Production shocks from weather, pests and diseases and adverse movements in agricultural product and input prices not only impact farmers and agri-business firms, but can also strain government finances. Some of these risks are small and localized and can be managed by producers. Others are the result of more severe, exogenous shocks outside agriculture or outside the country, which require a broader response. Failure to respond adequately to these more severe risks leads to a perpetual cycle of ‘shock-recovery-shock’, which reinforces poverty traps and compromises long-term growth. The agriculture sector’s exposure to production and price risk is increasing. Climate change is increasing production risks in the short to medium-term by increasing the frequency and severity of droughts and floods and in the longer-term by reducing the availability of water for irrigation due to accelerated glacial melt. The modernization and commercialization of agricultural production and processing, which is critical for sector growth, also raises the sector’s exposure to price risk at a time of high volatility on international markets for agricultural commodities. An effective response to these risks requires a broader, more integrated approach to risk management than the current system of ex-ante, public sector activity associated with crop and livestock disease and ad hoc, ex-post emergency responses to local disasters. Measures to strengthen risk mitigation will need to be mainstreamed into sector development and investment programs, additional human and financial resources will need to be allocated to the public institutions responsible for ex-ante and ex-post risk management, and the potential for transfer (insurance) mechanisms will need to be clarified and developed where feasible. Given the limited human and financial resources available for public sector activity, a clear sense of the priorities for agriculture risk management is also required, together with a balanced view of the respective roles of public and private sector stakeholders. 2016-02-25T23:12:50Z 2016-02-25T23:12:50Z 2016-02 Report http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2016/02/25908758/tajikistan-agricultural-sector-risk-assessment http://hdl.handle.net/10986/23765 English en_US Agriculture global practice technical assistance paper; CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Economic & Sector Work :: Other Agriculture Study Economic & Sector Work Europe and Central Asia Tajikistan