Contingent Liabilities Risk Management : A Credit Risk Analysis Framework for Sovereign Guarantees and On-Lending

Sovereign credit guarantees and government on-lending can catalyze private sector investment and fulfill specific policy objectives. However, contingent liabilities stemming from guarantees and contingent assets stemming from on-lending expose gove...

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Main Author: Bachmair, Fritz Florian
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2016
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2016/01/25814382/contingent-liabilities-risk-management-credit-risk-analysis-framework-sovereign-guarantees-on-lending-country-experiences-colombia-indonesia-sweden-turkey
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/23774
id okr-10986-23774
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-237742021-05-25T10:54:42Z Contingent Liabilities Risk Management : A Credit Risk Analysis Framework for Sovereign Guarantees and On-Lending Bachmair, Fritz Florian CREDIT RISK GOVERNMENT ON-LENDING PRIVATE SECTOR INVESTMENT RISK MANAGEMENT SOVEREIGN CREDIT GUARANTIES Sovereign credit guarantees and government on-lending can catalyze private sector investment and fulfill specific policy objectives. However, contingent liabilities stemming from guarantees and contingent assets stemming from on-lending expose governments to risk. Prudent risk management, including risk analysis and measurement, can help identify and mitigate these risks. This paper proposes a four-step structure for analyzing and measuring credit risk: (i) defining key characteristics to determine the choice of a risk analysis approach; (ii) analyzing risk drivers; (iii) quantifying risks; and (iv) applying risk analyses and quantification to the design of risk management tools. This structure is based on an assessment of approaches discussed in academia and applied in practice. The paper demonstrates how the four steps of credit risk management are applied in Colombia, Sweden, and Turkey. It also discusses how the proposed framework is applied in Indonesia as it develops a credit risk management framework for sovereign guarantees. 2016-02-26T17:23:16Z 2016-02-26T17:23:16Z 2016-01 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2016/01/25814382/contingent-liabilities-risk-management-credit-risk-analysis-framework-sovereign-guarantees-on-lending-country-experiences-colombia-indonesia-sweden-turkey http://hdl.handle.net/10986/23774 English en_US MFM Global Practice discussion paper,no. 9; CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Working Paper East Asia and Pacific Europe and Central Asia Latin America & Caribbean Colombia Indonesia Sweden Turkey
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic CREDIT RISK
GOVERNMENT ON-LENDING
PRIVATE SECTOR INVESTMENT
RISK MANAGEMENT
SOVEREIGN CREDIT GUARANTIES
spellingShingle CREDIT RISK
GOVERNMENT ON-LENDING
PRIVATE SECTOR INVESTMENT
RISK MANAGEMENT
SOVEREIGN CREDIT GUARANTIES
Bachmair, Fritz Florian
Contingent Liabilities Risk Management : A Credit Risk Analysis Framework for Sovereign Guarantees and On-Lending
geographic_facet East Asia and Pacific
Europe and Central Asia
Latin America & Caribbean
Colombia
Indonesia
Sweden
Turkey
relation MFM Global Practice discussion paper,no. 9;
description Sovereign credit guarantees and government on-lending can catalyze private sector investment and fulfill specific policy objectives. However, contingent liabilities stemming from guarantees and contingent assets stemming from on-lending expose governments to risk. Prudent risk management, including risk analysis and measurement, can help identify and mitigate these risks. This paper proposes a four-step structure for analyzing and measuring credit risk: (i) defining key characteristics to determine the choice of a risk analysis approach; (ii) analyzing risk drivers; (iii) quantifying risks; and (iv) applying risk analyses and quantification to the design of risk management tools. This structure is based on an assessment of approaches discussed in academia and applied in practice. The paper demonstrates how the four steps of credit risk management are applied in Colombia, Sweden, and Turkey. It also discusses how the proposed framework is applied in Indonesia as it develops a credit risk management framework for sovereign guarantees.
format Working Paper
author Bachmair, Fritz Florian
author_facet Bachmair, Fritz Florian
author_sort Bachmair, Fritz Florian
title Contingent Liabilities Risk Management : A Credit Risk Analysis Framework for Sovereign Guarantees and On-Lending
title_short Contingent Liabilities Risk Management : A Credit Risk Analysis Framework for Sovereign Guarantees and On-Lending
title_full Contingent Liabilities Risk Management : A Credit Risk Analysis Framework for Sovereign Guarantees and On-Lending
title_fullStr Contingent Liabilities Risk Management : A Credit Risk Analysis Framework for Sovereign Guarantees and On-Lending
title_full_unstemmed Contingent Liabilities Risk Management : A Credit Risk Analysis Framework for Sovereign Guarantees and On-Lending
title_sort contingent liabilities risk management : a credit risk analysis framework for sovereign guarantees and on-lending
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2016
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2016/01/25814382/contingent-liabilities-risk-management-credit-risk-analysis-framework-sovereign-guarantees-on-lending-country-experiences-colombia-indonesia-sweden-turkey
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/23774
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