Is a ‘Factory Southern Africa’ Feasible? : Harnessing Flying Geese to the South African Gateway

The countries comprising the Southern African Customs Union (SACU) are currently not very integrated into global value chains (GVCs), potentially missing out on important development opportunities. Accordingly, we explore high level options for pro...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Draper, Peter, Freytag, Andreas, Scholvin, Sören, Tran, Luong Thanh
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2016
Subjects:
TAX
AIR
OIL
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2016/01/25840684/‘factory-southern-africa’-feasible-harnessing-flying-geese-south-african-gateway
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/23788
id okr-10986-23788
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic TARIFFS
CAPITAL MARKETS
AUTOMOBILE
ECONOMIC GROWTH
POLICY ENVIRONMENT
AIRPORT
TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE
TRANSPORT CORRIDORS
INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
TRANSPORTATION COSTS
PRODUCERS
PROPERTY RIGHTS
ECONOMIC PROCESSES
POLITICAL ECONOMIES
TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURES
POLITICAL ECONOMY
REVENUES
INCENTIVES
EQUILIBRIUM
LORRIES
MODELS
EMPIRICAL STUDIES
RAILWAY LINES
TRAFFIC
TAX
AIRPORTS
WEALTH
AIR
FLIGHT CONNECTIONS
OLIGOPOLY
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC DYNAMICS
ROAD
REGIONAL TRANSPORT
COSTS
RAIL TRANSPORT
OIL
TRAINING
RAIL LINK
TRANSPORT
POPULATION GROWTH
CAPITAL FORMATION
MOBILITY
AIR CONDITIONING
OPTIONS
RAIL COMPANY
QUOTAS
TRANSPORT OF GOODS
MARKETS
AIR CARGO
TECHNOLOGY TRANSFERS
ECONOMIC CHANGE
ECONOMIC POLICIES
NATURAL RESOURCES
METALS
TRANSPORT POLICY
EFFICIENCY
INFRASTRUCTURE
TAXES
AUTOMOBILES
INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT
RESOURCES
UNEMPLOYMENT
TRANSPORT NETWORK
DRIVING
CONGESTION
TRANSPORTATION
TRANSIT
WAGES
POLICIES
TRANSPARENCY
CHEMICAL INDUSTRY
VALUES
CARS
VALUE
LAND TRANSPORT
POLICY MAKERS
CREDIT
QUALITY STANDARDS
TRAINS
MINES
SURFACE TRANSPORT
POPULATION DENSITY
INTERMEDIATE GOODS
PROPERTY
TRANSACTION COSTS
ENVIRONMENT
INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS
RAILWAY
PORT INFRASTRUCTURE
ECONOMICS
AUTOMOTIVE SECTOR
BASIC METALS
BRIDGE
ROADS
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
TRADE
MARITIME TRANSPORT
RAILWAYS
AIR TRANSPORT
LAND
ECONOMIES OF SCALE
INVESTMENT
COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE
COAL
HIGH TRANSPORT
RAIL
LANES
HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT
INVESTMENTS
RISK MANAGEMENT
RECYCLING
AIRWAYS
INTERMEDIATE INPUTS
TRANSPORT COSTS
ENVIRONMENTAL
POLICY INSTRUMENTS
ROAD TRANSPORT
STRUCTURAL UNEMPLOYMENT
INFRASTRUCTURES
DEMOGRAPHICS
PRICES
ECONOMIES
BOTTLENECKS
PRODUCTION PROCESSES
COMPETITION
spellingShingle TARIFFS
CAPITAL MARKETS
AUTOMOBILE
ECONOMIC GROWTH
POLICY ENVIRONMENT
AIRPORT
TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE
TRANSPORT CORRIDORS
INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
TRANSPORTATION COSTS
PRODUCERS
PROPERTY RIGHTS
ECONOMIC PROCESSES
POLITICAL ECONOMIES
TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURES
POLITICAL ECONOMY
REVENUES
INCENTIVES
EQUILIBRIUM
LORRIES
MODELS
EMPIRICAL STUDIES
RAILWAY LINES
TRAFFIC
TAX
AIRPORTS
WEALTH
AIR
FLIGHT CONNECTIONS
OLIGOPOLY
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC DYNAMICS
ROAD
REGIONAL TRANSPORT
COSTS
RAIL TRANSPORT
OIL
TRAINING
RAIL LINK
TRANSPORT
POPULATION GROWTH
CAPITAL FORMATION
MOBILITY
AIR CONDITIONING
OPTIONS
RAIL COMPANY
QUOTAS
TRANSPORT OF GOODS
MARKETS
AIR CARGO
TECHNOLOGY TRANSFERS
ECONOMIC CHANGE
ECONOMIC POLICIES
NATURAL RESOURCES
METALS
TRANSPORT POLICY
EFFICIENCY
INFRASTRUCTURE
TAXES
AUTOMOBILES
INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT
RESOURCES
UNEMPLOYMENT
TRANSPORT NETWORK
DRIVING
CONGESTION
TRANSPORTATION
TRANSIT
WAGES
POLICIES
TRANSPARENCY
CHEMICAL INDUSTRY
VALUES
CARS
VALUE
LAND TRANSPORT
POLICY MAKERS
CREDIT
QUALITY STANDARDS
TRAINS
MINES
SURFACE TRANSPORT
POPULATION DENSITY
INTERMEDIATE GOODS
PROPERTY
TRANSACTION COSTS
ENVIRONMENT
INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS
RAILWAY
PORT INFRASTRUCTURE
ECONOMICS
AUTOMOTIVE SECTOR
BASIC METALS
BRIDGE
ROADS
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
TRADE
MARITIME TRANSPORT
RAILWAYS
AIR TRANSPORT
LAND
ECONOMIES OF SCALE
INVESTMENT
COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE
COAL
HIGH TRANSPORT
RAIL
LANES
HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT
INVESTMENTS
RISK MANAGEMENT
RECYCLING
AIRWAYS
INTERMEDIATE INPUTS
TRANSPORT COSTS
ENVIRONMENTAL
POLICY INSTRUMENTS
ROAD TRANSPORT
STRUCTURAL UNEMPLOYMENT
INFRASTRUCTURES
DEMOGRAPHICS
PRICES
ECONOMIES
BOTTLENECKS
PRODUCTION PROCESSES
COMPETITION
Draper, Peter
Freytag, Andreas
Scholvin, Sören
Tran, Luong Thanh
Is a ‘Factory Southern Africa’ Feasible? : Harnessing Flying Geese to the South African Gateway
geographic_facet Africa
Southern Africa
description The countries comprising the Southern African Customs Union (SACU) are currently not very integrated into global value chains (GVCs), potentially missing out on important development opportunities. Accordingly, we explore high level options for promoting their integration. Given East Asia’s spectacular success with integrating into GVCs, we first assess the probability that SACU can copy their flying geese pattern. That was initiated by Japanese multinational corporations (MNCs) investing in successive East Asian countries thereby becoming the lead geese, to be joined subsequently by MNCs from other countries. We argue that the conditions for pursuing a flying geese approach are difficult to replicate in SACU. Therefore, we proffer and explore the proposition that South Africa could serve as the gateway for harnessing MNC geese flying from third countries into the SACU region, in time propelling regional development through knowledge and investment spillovers, and serving as a conduit into GVCs. However, there may be substantial obstacles to deepening this integration potential. Other African gateways are emerging as alternatives to South Africa. And some SACU governments would prefer to build regional value chains (RVCs) rather than prioritize GVC integration. We argue that RVCs are complements to GVCs. SACU countries, excluding South Africa, may not attract many world leading MNCs since their markets are small, but could attract smaller regional players from South Africa or elsewhere. Thus building RVCs in the short run could assist with integration into GVCs in the longer run. Overall, this requires harnessing South African and MNC geese to the South African gateway, in a mutually complementary strategy.
format Working Paper
author Draper, Peter
Freytag, Andreas
Scholvin, Sören
Tran, Luong Thanh
author_facet Draper, Peter
Freytag, Andreas
Scholvin, Sören
Tran, Luong Thanh
author_sort Draper, Peter
title Is a ‘Factory Southern Africa’ Feasible? : Harnessing Flying Geese to the South African Gateway
title_short Is a ‘Factory Southern Africa’ Feasible? : Harnessing Flying Geese to the South African Gateway
title_full Is a ‘Factory Southern Africa’ Feasible? : Harnessing Flying Geese to the South African Gateway
title_fullStr Is a ‘Factory Southern Africa’ Feasible? : Harnessing Flying Geese to the South African Gateway
title_full_unstemmed Is a ‘Factory Southern Africa’ Feasible? : Harnessing Flying Geese to the South African Gateway
title_sort is a ‘factory southern africa’ feasible? : harnessing flying geese to the south african gateway
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2016
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2016/01/25840684/‘factory-southern-africa’-feasible-harnessing-flying-geese-south-african-gateway
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/23788
_version_ 1764454729782394880
spelling okr-10986-237882021-05-25T10:54:41Z Is a ‘Factory Southern Africa’ Feasible? : Harnessing Flying Geese to the South African Gateway Draper, Peter Freytag, Andreas Scholvin, Sören Tran, Luong Thanh TARIFFS CAPITAL MARKETS AUTOMOBILE ECONOMIC GROWTH POLICY ENVIRONMENT AIRPORT TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE TRANSPORT CORRIDORS INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT TRANSPORTATION COSTS PRODUCERS PROPERTY RIGHTS ECONOMIC PROCESSES POLITICAL ECONOMIES TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURES POLITICAL ECONOMY REVENUES INCENTIVES EQUILIBRIUM LORRIES MODELS EMPIRICAL STUDIES RAILWAY LINES TRAFFIC TAX AIRPORTS WEALTH AIR FLIGHT CONNECTIONS OLIGOPOLY DEVELOPED COUNTRIES EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS ECONOMIC ACTIVITY DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC DYNAMICS ROAD REGIONAL TRANSPORT COSTS RAIL TRANSPORT OIL TRAINING RAIL LINK TRANSPORT POPULATION GROWTH CAPITAL FORMATION MOBILITY AIR CONDITIONING OPTIONS RAIL COMPANY QUOTAS TRANSPORT OF GOODS MARKETS AIR CARGO TECHNOLOGY TRANSFERS ECONOMIC CHANGE ECONOMIC POLICIES NATURAL RESOURCES METALS TRANSPORT POLICY EFFICIENCY INFRASTRUCTURE TAXES AUTOMOBILES INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT RESOURCES UNEMPLOYMENT TRANSPORT NETWORK DRIVING CONGESTION TRANSPORTATION TRANSIT WAGES POLICIES TRANSPARENCY CHEMICAL INDUSTRY VALUES CARS VALUE LAND TRANSPORT POLICY MAKERS CREDIT QUALITY STANDARDS TRAINS MINES SURFACE TRANSPORT POPULATION DENSITY INTERMEDIATE GOODS PROPERTY TRANSACTION COSTS ENVIRONMENT INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS RAILWAY PORT INFRASTRUCTURE ECONOMICS AUTOMOTIVE SECTOR BASIC METALS BRIDGE ROADS ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT TRADE MARITIME TRANSPORT RAILWAYS AIR TRANSPORT LAND ECONOMIES OF SCALE INVESTMENT COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE COAL HIGH TRANSPORT RAIL LANES HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT INVESTMENTS RISK MANAGEMENT RECYCLING AIRWAYS INTERMEDIATE INPUTS TRANSPORT COSTS ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY INSTRUMENTS ROAD TRANSPORT STRUCTURAL UNEMPLOYMENT INFRASTRUCTURES DEMOGRAPHICS PRICES ECONOMIES BOTTLENECKS PRODUCTION PROCESSES COMPETITION The countries comprising the Southern African Customs Union (SACU) are currently not very integrated into global value chains (GVCs), potentially missing out on important development opportunities. Accordingly, we explore high level options for promoting their integration. Given East Asia’s spectacular success with integrating into GVCs, we first assess the probability that SACU can copy their flying geese pattern. That was initiated by Japanese multinational corporations (MNCs) investing in successive East Asian countries thereby becoming the lead geese, to be joined subsequently by MNCs from other countries. We argue that the conditions for pursuing a flying geese approach are difficult to replicate in SACU. Therefore, we proffer and explore the proposition that South Africa could serve as the gateway for harnessing MNC geese flying from third countries into the SACU region, in time propelling regional development through knowledge and investment spillovers, and serving as a conduit into GVCs. However, there may be substantial obstacles to deepening this integration potential. Other African gateways are emerging as alternatives to South Africa. And some SACU governments would prefer to build regional value chains (RVCs) rather than prioritize GVC integration. We argue that RVCs are complements to GVCs. SACU countries, excluding South Africa, may not attract many world leading MNCs since their markets are small, but could attract smaller regional players from South Africa or elsewhere. Thus building RVCs in the short run could assist with integration into GVCs in the longer run. Overall, this requires harnessing South African and MNC geese to the South African gateway, in a mutually complementary strategy. 2016-03-01T20:16:36Z 2016-03-01T20:16:36Z 2016-01 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2016/01/25840684/‘factory-southern-africa’-feasible-harnessing-flying-geese-south-african-gateway http://hdl.handle.net/10986/23788 English en_US CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Economic & Sector Work :: General Economy, Macroeconomics, and Growth Study Economic & Sector Work Africa Southern Africa