Welfare Dynamics with Synthetic Panels : The Case of the Arab World in Transition

This paper studies welfare dynamics, especially changes associated with middle-class status in countries in the Middle East and North Africa, before and after the Arab Spring transitions, using objective and subjective welfare measures. Absent pane...

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Main Authors:	Dang, Hai-Anh H., Ianchovichina, Elena
Format:	Working Paper
Language:	English en_US
Published:	2016
Subjects:	HOUSEHOLD SURVEY CAPITA INCOME POVERTY LINE ECONOMIC GROWTH NON-POOR GROUP PRO- POOR INCOME POVERTY ECONOMIC LITERATURE INCOME NORMAL DISTRIBUTION SCHOOLING POVERTY RATES INCOME REGIONS ANNUAL GROWTH RATE NATIONAL POVERTY LINE REGIONAL LEVEL TOTAL POVERTY CONSUMPTION DATA DEVELOPING COUNTRIES NATIONAL POVERTY POLICY DISCUSSIONS POOR PEOPLE EXTREME POVERTY LINE ESTIMATION RESULTS ANNUAL GROWTH DISAGGREGATED LEVEL CONSUMPTION GROWTH MEASURES NATIONAL POVERTY LINES REGION POVERTY REDUCTION ECONOMIC ACTIVITY PER CAPITA INCOMES PRO-POOR MEASURING POVERTY PER CAPITA INCOME POPULATION GROUP DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS HOUSEHOLD HEAD FOOD POVERTY LINE INCOME CHANGE INCOME INEQUALITY VULNERABLE HOUSEHOLDS DATA QUALITY POVERTY INCIDENCE INTERNATIONAL POVERTY LINE HOUSEHOLD COMPOSITION HOUSEHOLD INCOME POVERTY STATUS CHRONIC POVERTY HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE CAPITA INCOMES SOCIAL PROTECTION INCOME LEVELS PRODUCT POOR GROWTH WELFARE INDICATORS CHANGES IN POVERTY HOUSEHOLD HEADS REGIONAL POPULATION MARKET ECONOMIES FOOD ITEMS DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH REGIONAL ANALYSIS POVERTY LINES CONSUMPTION HUMAN CAPITAL REGIONAL AVERAGE REDUCING POVERTY COUNTRY LEVEL CUMULATIVE DISTRIBUTION POPULATION SHARE POOR POLICY FOOD POVERTY RURAL AREA POLICY MAKERS CHRONICALLY POOR DISTRIBUTION FUNCTION HOUSEHOLD DATA INCOME DISTRIBUTIONS DEVELOPING WORLD INCOME DISTRIBUTION ABSOLUTE POVERTY REGIONAL PRICE RURAL REGIONAL CONTEXT MIDDLE CLASS HOUSEHOLD BUDGET ECONOMICS QUALITY OF LIFE CUMULATIVE DISTRIBUTION FUNCTION POOR POPULATION PER CAPITA INCOME LEVELS WELFARE MEASURES POVERTY SITUATION REGIONS GROWTH RATE WAR EXTREME POVERTY SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES ABSOLUTE POVERTY LINE POVERTY HEADCOUNT POVERTY REGIONAL AVERAGES HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION PRO-POOR GROWTH POVERTY DYNAMICS POLICY RESEARCH POVERTY RATE POOR PRIMARY EDUCATION WELFARE MEASURE INDICATORS OF POVERTY DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS POLITICAL INSTABILITY RURAL RESIDENCE DEVELOPMENT POLICY INCOME GROUPS INEQUALITY GROWTH POOR HOUSEHOLDS
Online Access:	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2016/03/26050722/welfare-dynamics-synthetic-panels-case-arab-world-transition http://hdl.handle.net/10986/24136

id	okr-10986-24136
recordtype	oai_dc
spelling	okr-10986-241362021-04-23T14:04:19Z Welfare Dynamics with Synthetic Panels : The Case of the Arab World in Transition Dang, Hai-Anh H. Ianchovichina, Elena HOUSEHOLD SURVEY CAPITA INCOME POVERTY LINE ECONOMIC GROWTH NON-POOR GROUP PRO- POOR INCOME POVERTY ECONOMIC LITERATURE INCOME NORMAL DISTRIBUTION SCHOOLING POVERTY RATES INCOME REGIONS ANNUAL GROWTH RATE NATIONAL POVERTY LINE REGIONAL LEVEL TOTAL POVERTY CONSUMPTION DATA DEVELOPING COUNTRIES NATIONAL POVERTY POLICY DISCUSSIONS POOR PEOPLE EXTREME POVERTY LINE ESTIMATION RESULTS ANNUAL GROWTH DISAGGREGATED LEVEL CONSUMPTION GROWTH MEASURES NATIONAL POVERTY LINES REGION POVERTY REDUCTION ECONOMIC ACTIVITY PER CAPITA INCOMES PRO-POOR MEASURING POVERTY PER CAPITA INCOME POPULATION GROUP DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS HOUSEHOLD HEAD FOOD POVERTY LINE INCOME CHANGE INCOME INEQUALITY VULNERABLE HOUSEHOLDS DATA QUALITY POVERTY INCIDENCE INTERNATIONAL POVERTY LINE HOUSEHOLD COMPOSITION HOUSEHOLD INCOME POVERTY STATUS CHRONIC POVERTY HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE CAPITA INCOMES SOCIAL PROTECTION INCOME LEVELS PRODUCT POOR GROWTH WELFARE INDICATORS CHANGES IN POVERTY HOUSEHOLD HEADS REGIONAL POPULATION MARKET ECONOMIES FOOD ITEMS DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH REGIONAL ANALYSIS POVERTY LINES CONSUMPTION HUMAN CAPITAL REGIONAL AVERAGE REDUCING POVERTY COUNTRY LEVEL CUMULATIVE DISTRIBUTION POPULATION SHARE POOR POLICY FOOD POVERTY RURAL AREA POLICY MAKERS CHRONICALLY POOR DISTRIBUTION FUNCTION HOUSEHOLD DATA INCOME DISTRIBUTIONS DEVELOPING WORLD INCOME DISTRIBUTION ABSOLUTE POVERTY REGIONAL PRICE RURAL REGIONAL CONTEXT MIDDLE CLASS HOUSEHOLD BUDGET ECONOMICS QUALITY OF LIFE CUMULATIVE DISTRIBUTION FUNCTION POOR POPULATION PER CAPITA INCOME LEVELS WELFARE MEASURES POVERTY SITUATION REGIONS GROWTH RATE WAR EXTREME POVERTY SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES ABSOLUTE POVERTY LINE POVERTY HEADCOUNT POVERTY REGIONAL AVERAGES HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION PRO-POOR GROWTH POVERTY DYNAMICS POLICY RESEARCH POVERTY RATE POOR PRIMARY EDUCATION WELFARE MEASURE INDICATORS OF POVERTY DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS POLITICAL INSTABILITY RURAL RESIDENCE DEVELOPMENT POLICY INCOME GROUPS INEQUALITY GROWTH POOR HOUSEHOLDS This paper studies welfare dynamics, especially changes associated with middle-class status in countries in the Middle East and North Africa, before and after the Arab Spring transitions, using objective and subjective welfare measures. Absent panel data, the analysis employs state-of-the-art synthetic panel techniques using repeated cross sections of expenditure data from household surveys and subjective well-being data from value surveys, which were conducted during the 2000s and the Arab Spring period. The objective welfare dynamics indicate mixed trends. About half the poor in the 2000s moved out of poverty by the end of the decade, but chronic poverty remained high; upward mobility was strong in Syria and Tunisia, but downward mobility was pronounced in Yemen and Egypt. Subjective well-being dynamics suggest negative developments in most countries during the Arab Spring transitions. Low education achievement, informal worker status, and rural residency are positively associated with lower than average chances for upward mobility, and greater than average chances for downward mobility according to both types of welfare measures. 2016-04-26T15:09:58Z 2016-04-26T15:09:58Z 2016-03-10 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2016/03/26050722/welfare-dynamics-synthetic-panels-case-arab-world-transition http://hdl.handle.net/10986/24136 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 7595 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Middle East and North Africa Middle East North Africa
repository_type	Digital Repository
institution_category	Foreign Institution
institution	Digital Repositories
building	World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection	World Bank
language	English en_US
topic	HOUSEHOLD SURVEY CAPITA INCOME POVERTY LINE ECONOMIC GROWTH NON-POOR GROUP PRO- POOR INCOME POVERTY ECONOMIC LITERATURE INCOME NORMAL DISTRIBUTION SCHOOLING POVERTY RATES INCOME REGIONS ANNUAL GROWTH RATE NATIONAL POVERTY LINE REGIONAL LEVEL TOTAL POVERTY CONSUMPTION DATA DEVELOPING COUNTRIES NATIONAL POVERTY POLICY DISCUSSIONS POOR PEOPLE EXTREME POVERTY LINE ESTIMATION RESULTS ANNUAL GROWTH DISAGGREGATED LEVEL CONSUMPTION GROWTH MEASURES NATIONAL POVERTY LINES REGION POVERTY REDUCTION ECONOMIC ACTIVITY PER CAPITA INCOMES PRO-POOR MEASURING POVERTY PER CAPITA INCOME POPULATION GROUP DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS HOUSEHOLD HEAD FOOD POVERTY LINE INCOME CHANGE INCOME INEQUALITY VULNERABLE HOUSEHOLDS DATA QUALITY POVERTY INCIDENCE INTERNATIONAL POVERTY LINE HOUSEHOLD COMPOSITION HOUSEHOLD INCOME POVERTY STATUS CHRONIC POVERTY HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE CAPITA INCOMES SOCIAL PROTECTION INCOME LEVELS PRODUCT POOR GROWTH WELFARE INDICATORS CHANGES IN POVERTY HOUSEHOLD HEADS REGIONAL POPULATION MARKET ECONOMIES FOOD ITEMS DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH REGIONAL ANALYSIS POVERTY LINES CONSUMPTION HUMAN CAPITAL REGIONAL AVERAGE REDUCING POVERTY COUNTRY LEVEL CUMULATIVE DISTRIBUTION POPULATION SHARE POOR POLICY FOOD POVERTY RURAL AREA POLICY MAKERS CHRONICALLY POOR DISTRIBUTION FUNCTION HOUSEHOLD DATA INCOME DISTRIBUTIONS DEVELOPING WORLD INCOME DISTRIBUTION ABSOLUTE POVERTY REGIONAL PRICE RURAL REGIONAL CONTEXT MIDDLE CLASS HOUSEHOLD BUDGET ECONOMICS QUALITY OF LIFE CUMULATIVE DISTRIBUTION FUNCTION POOR POPULATION PER CAPITA INCOME LEVELS WELFARE MEASURES POVERTY SITUATION REGIONS GROWTH RATE WAR EXTREME POVERTY SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES ABSOLUTE POVERTY LINE POVERTY HEADCOUNT POVERTY REGIONAL AVERAGES HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION PRO-POOR GROWTH POVERTY DYNAMICS POLICY RESEARCH POVERTY RATE POOR PRIMARY EDUCATION WELFARE MEASURE INDICATORS OF POVERTY DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS POLITICAL INSTABILITY RURAL RESIDENCE DEVELOPMENT POLICY INCOME GROUPS INEQUALITY GROWTH POOR HOUSEHOLDS
spellingShingle	HOUSEHOLD SURVEY CAPITA INCOME POVERTY LINE ECONOMIC GROWTH NON-POOR GROUP PRO- POOR INCOME POVERTY ECONOMIC LITERATURE INCOME NORMAL DISTRIBUTION SCHOOLING POVERTY RATES INCOME REGIONS ANNUAL GROWTH RATE NATIONAL POVERTY LINE REGIONAL LEVEL TOTAL POVERTY CONSUMPTION DATA DEVELOPING COUNTRIES NATIONAL POVERTY POLICY DISCUSSIONS POOR PEOPLE EXTREME POVERTY LINE ESTIMATION RESULTS ANNUAL GROWTH DISAGGREGATED LEVEL CONSUMPTION GROWTH MEASURES NATIONAL POVERTY LINES REGION POVERTY REDUCTION ECONOMIC ACTIVITY PER CAPITA INCOMES PRO-POOR MEASURING POVERTY PER CAPITA INCOME POPULATION GROUP DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS HOUSEHOLD HEAD FOOD POVERTY LINE INCOME CHANGE INCOME INEQUALITY VULNERABLE HOUSEHOLDS DATA QUALITY POVERTY INCIDENCE INTERNATIONAL POVERTY LINE HOUSEHOLD COMPOSITION HOUSEHOLD INCOME POVERTY STATUS CHRONIC POVERTY HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE CAPITA INCOMES SOCIAL PROTECTION INCOME LEVELS PRODUCT POOR GROWTH WELFARE INDICATORS CHANGES IN POVERTY HOUSEHOLD HEADS REGIONAL POPULATION MARKET ECONOMIES FOOD ITEMS DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH REGIONAL ANALYSIS POVERTY LINES CONSUMPTION HUMAN CAPITAL REGIONAL AVERAGE REDUCING POVERTY COUNTRY LEVEL CUMULATIVE DISTRIBUTION POPULATION SHARE POOR POLICY FOOD POVERTY RURAL AREA POLICY MAKERS CHRONICALLY POOR DISTRIBUTION FUNCTION HOUSEHOLD DATA INCOME DISTRIBUTIONS DEVELOPING WORLD INCOME DISTRIBUTION ABSOLUTE POVERTY REGIONAL PRICE RURAL REGIONAL CONTEXT MIDDLE CLASS HOUSEHOLD BUDGET ECONOMICS QUALITY OF LIFE CUMULATIVE DISTRIBUTION FUNCTION POOR POPULATION PER CAPITA INCOME LEVELS WELFARE MEASURES POVERTY SITUATION REGIONS GROWTH RATE WAR EXTREME POVERTY SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES ABSOLUTE POVERTY LINE POVERTY HEADCOUNT POVERTY REGIONAL AVERAGES HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION PRO-POOR GROWTH POVERTY DYNAMICS POLICY RESEARCH POVERTY RATE POOR PRIMARY EDUCATION WELFARE MEASURE INDICATORS OF POVERTY DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS POLITICAL INSTABILITY RURAL RESIDENCE DEVELOPMENT POLICY INCOME GROUPS INEQUALITY GROWTH POOR HOUSEHOLDS Dang, Hai-Anh H. Ianchovichina, Elena Welfare Dynamics with Synthetic Panels : The Case of the Arab World in Transition
geographic_facet	Middle East and North Africa Middle East North Africa
relation	Policy Research Working Paper;No. 7595
description	This paper studies welfare dynamics, especially changes associated with middle-class status in countries in the Middle East and North Africa, before and after the Arab Spring transitions, using objective and subjective welfare measures. Absent panel data, the analysis employs state-of-the-art synthetic panel techniques using repeated cross sections of expenditure data from household surveys and subjective well-being data from value surveys, which were conducted during the 2000s and the Arab Spring period. The objective welfare dynamics indicate mixed trends. About half the poor in the 2000s moved out of poverty by the end of the decade, but chronic poverty remained high; upward mobility was strong in Syria and Tunisia, but downward mobility was pronounced in Yemen and Egypt. Subjective well-being dynamics suggest negative developments in most countries during the Arab Spring transitions. Low education achievement, informal worker status, and rural residency are positively associated with lower than average chances for upward mobility, and greater than average chances for downward mobility according to both types of welfare measures.
format	Working Paper
author	Dang, Hai-Anh H. Ianchovichina, Elena
author_facet	Dang, Hai-Anh H. Ianchovichina, Elena
author_sort	Dang, Hai-Anh H.
title	Welfare Dynamics with Synthetic Panels : The Case of the Arab World in Transition
title_short	Welfare Dynamics with Synthetic Panels : The Case of the Arab World in Transition
title_full	Welfare Dynamics with Synthetic Panels : The Case of the Arab World in Transition
title_fullStr	Welfare Dynamics with Synthetic Panels : The Case of the Arab World in Transition
title_full_unstemmed	Welfare Dynamics with Synthetic Panels : The Case of the Arab World in Transition
title_sort	welfare dynamics with synthetic panels : the case of the arab world in transition
publishDate	2016
url	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2016/03/26050722/welfare-dynamics-synthetic-panels-case-arab-world-transition http://hdl.handle.net/10986/24136
_version_	1764455743576080384

Welfare Dynamics with Synthetic Panels : The Case of the Arab World in Transition

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